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Scorecard
Called 203 of 308 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
203 of 308 — 66% now, from 64% at their first scored card.
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Method
53% 57 of 108 correct winners that named a method
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Round
32% 12 of 37 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
47% 17 of 36 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 7 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 332 11 hit · 3 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 7 hit · 5 miss
- Silva vs. Delgado 8 hit · 5 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 7 hit · 6 miss
- Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 6 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 330 5 hit · 4 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 8 hit · 2 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 4 hit · 4 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 10 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 329 12 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 4 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 328 2 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 327 3 hit · 2 miss
- UFC Seattle 3 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 323 7 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 322 7 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 321 4 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 320 3 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 319 4 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 317 5 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 316 6 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 315 4 hit · 3 miss
- Machado Garry vs Prates 10 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 314 1 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 313 0 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 312 5 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 311 6 hit · 6 miss
- Dern vs Ribas 2 7 hit · 7 miss
- UFC 308 9 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 306 0 hit · 1 miss
- Namajunas vs Cortez 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 302 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 300 1 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 298 12 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 294 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Fight Night 221 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 284 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 280 0 hit · 1 miss
- Makhachev vs. Green 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 264 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 254 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 246 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 242 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Fight Night 149 7 hit · 4 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 333
Volkanovski vs. Evloev
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkanovski vs Evloev * Calls decision as the primary pick but says a late TKO would not surprise him. | Volkanovski · Dec | Upcoming | Volkanovski | Dec | Not called |
| Yan vs Dvalishvili | Yan · Dec | Upcoming | Yan | Dec | Not called |
| Murzakanov vs Reyes * An early prediction in a card-announcement reaction. | Murzakanov · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Murzakanov | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Volkov vs Kuniev * An early selected lean in a card-announcement reaction. | Volkov · to win | Upcoming | Volkov | Not called | Not called |
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“So I'm going to go with a slight underdog Christian Leroy Duncan and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by TKO in the second or third round” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. * slight underdog | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · KO/TKO | Herbert · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“I'm going with J Herbert by TKO” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · Dec | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“So I'm going to go with Andre Philly getting this one done over Kai Mara the third here and I think it's going to be 29-28 split decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · to win | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“UFC's Queso is going to put Alan Fry Jr on skates and finish him in the first round rj Harris folks the big brawler he's getting it done” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · to win | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“and I don't think Souza's knockoff version of Entourage is going to be able to defeat the great Ly Godz in this matchup” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Kareckaitė · to win | Draw | Kareckaitė | Not called | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I'm going to go with Alice Pereira getting this one done” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2 | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
“early second round I reckon tko finish in the second round for the Argentinian Drew Dober Francisco Prada” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Analyst stated a lean | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Price · to win | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“So I'm taking the underdog the slight underdog by the way in Nico Price over Leon Chbazian” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I am going to go Julius Walker but best believe we're rooting for the great GM3” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“but I'm going to go with well make a backo here against Atari Tanelov” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 78.6% 11 3
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Favors Hernandez to get an early stoppage. Doubts dos Anjos can return successfully after a lengthy layoff following his knee injury, and does not expect him to outgrapple Hernandez. | |||||
| Talbott · to win | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Miss | |
Favors Talbott to finish Figueiredo around the second round, discussing either a TKO or submission without choosing one method. Expects his reach, body work and sustained pursuit to create openings, while questioning whether he can stay composed when Figueiredo slows the fight. | |||||
| Gautier · KO/TKO | Kopylov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Gautier by knockout but calls it a risky step up in competition. Thinks his reach, physicality and power can punish Kopylov’s tendency to absorb shots and trade rather than evade. | |||||
| Green · KO/TKO | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Green by TKO after initially envisioning a three-round scrap. Favors his straight punches, movement and experience, and thinks he can catch Ribovics as he enters with hooks; acknowledges Ribovics’ dynamic kicks are a threat. | |||||
| Nolan · KO/TKO | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Favors Nolan’s power and finishing ability over McGee’s recent vulnerability on the feet. Thinks Nolan’s work on his grappling helps address the gaps in his overall game. | |||||
| McGhee · to win | McGhee · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Strongly favors McGhee against the short-notice newcomer. Rates McGhee’s sharp, powerful striking and takedown defense, citing his competitive performance against Petr Yan and questioning Romero’s level of opposition. | |||||
| Pinas · KO/TKO · R1 | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Pinas by first-round TKO. Favors his explosive power and cites his knockout of Cesar Almeida, while seeing Pulyaev as too hesitant against athletic opponents. | |||||
| Rodriguez · KO/TKO | Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Rodriguez by TKO while acknowledging Coria could make it a difficult decision. Favors Rodriguez’s finishing ability, pressure, volume and ability to get back up after takedowns. | |||||
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Silva by a close decision, suggesting 48–47 or 49–46. Favors her varied kicks and experience over longer fights, while recognizing Wang’s talent and the risk of Silva being caught in exchanges. | |||||
| Smith · KO/TKO · R1 | Smith · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Smith by first-round TKO. Questions Whitehead’s level of opposition and sees this as a favorable matchup for Smith, while noting Smith briefly lost momentum against Niko Price. | |||||
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Leans toward Vettori despite concern about his recent losses. Expects his output over three rounds to be enough and questions Naurdiev’s level of opposition. | |||||
| Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Walker’s range and low kicks against Parkin. Thinks Walker can avoid extended boxing exchanges and potentially mix in grappling. Although he thought Parkin beat Tybura, he sees that close matchup as a limit on his confidence in Parkin. | |||||
| Soldić · KO/TKO | Soldić · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Favors Soldic’s power, deceptive combinations and counters to stop Williams. Calls it a risky matchup because Williams can also knock him out, particularly with Soldic returning to welterweight. | |||||
| Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Wint by first-round TKO, favoring his athleticism and dominant performances. Acknowledges Armand’s size and punching power, and that Wint is still developing his striking composure. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 21.5%. Chikadze · Dec | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Giga Chikadze by Decision. “So I'm gonna go with Jaci getting this one done in a very close decision win as an upset to kick off the card.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 21.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · Dec | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision. “Casey O'Neal is going to dig deep and win that competitive classic women's MMA 2928 decision. So, I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · KO/TKO | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO. “I'm going to say that Edmond gets this one done by TKO in the first two rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ryan Gandra by KO/TKO. “I'm going to go with him to win this one by TKO in the early rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Aswell Jr. · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Michael Aswell (winner only). “I'm actually going to go against Juang Yu here and side with Michael Aswell Jr.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO · R1 | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Robelis Despaigne by KO/TKO in round 1. “I can just so see him floating around before nightmarishly KOing Titu Ivasa badly and we get a really horrific first round KO loss for Tuasa.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · Dec | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Charles Jourdain by Decision. “I think Jordan is going to win a 29-28 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO · R1 | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Iwo Baraniewski by KO/TKO in round 1. “I'm going to go with a first minute KO win for Alon uh for Ew Badini here over Alonzo Manfield.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Gable Steveson by KO/TKO in round 1. “I'm going to go with Gable Stevenson destroying him in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · KO/TKO | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Dooho Choi by KO/TKO. “So, I'm going to go with Doo Hu Choy by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Arman Tsarukyan (winner only; no final method call). “So I am going with Arman Sukian.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKO | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Joshua Van by KO/TKO. “I think Joshua Van's going to win this one by third or fourth round TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Silva vs. Delgado
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Tarin · Dec | Tarin · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Regina Tarin by Decision. “I'm going to go with Regina Tarin getting this one done by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Bahamondes · KO/TKO | Bahamondes · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by TKO. “I'm going to go Bahamondes by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Belgaroui · KO/TKO | Belgaroui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Yousri Belgaroui by TKO. “I'm going to go Yousri Belgaroui by TKO over Djorden Santos.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Cortes Acosta · KO/TKO | Blaydes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Waldo Cortes Acosta by TKO. “I'm going to go with Waldo Cortes Acosta by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Chairez · KO/TKO | Elliott · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Edgar Chairez by TKO. “I'm going to say that Edgar Chairez catches Tim Elliott by TKO here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Fiorot · Dec | Grasso · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Manon Fiorot by Decision. “So, I'm going to go Manon Fiorot. Her movement, even like just things like her sidekick to the body on Grasso, I can see her edging out a 29-28 decision here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Garcia · to win | Rongzhu · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Rafa Garcia to win. “I'm going to go with Rafa Garcia.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. King · to win | King · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Sean King III to win. “I'm going to go with Sean King the Third.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Gantt · Dec | Gantt · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Tommy Gantt by Decision. “I'm just going to go with Tommy Gantt and say that he wins this fight by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Martinez · Dec | Martinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks David Martinez by Decision. “I can see David Martinez winning a 30-27 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. McMillen · KO/TKO | McMillen · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Tommy McMillen by TKO. “I'm going to go McMillen. TKO second or third round is what I think is going to happen here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Morales · Dec | Moreno · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Joseph Morales by Decision. “I just think Morales is going to hurt him more and sting him and it only takes one shot on those eyebrows for Brandon Moreno and boom, he's bleeding. It's going to be a flyweight decision, three rounds, probably 29-28.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.0%. Silva · to win | Silva · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Miss | |
Picks Jean Silva to win. “Silva is going to finish Jose Miguel Delgado in round two.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 17.5%. Song · to win | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Song Yadong as the underdog, pointing to his power, sprawl, conditioning, and opportunities during Umar Nurmagomedov's entries. “I'm gonna go with Song. I think he chins Umar.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 17.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Yan · Dec | Gomes · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Yan Xiaonan to win a close decision on cleaner output and experience at range. “I'm going to go Yan Xiaonan by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Asakura · KO/TKO · R1 | Asakura · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Picks Kai Asakura's speed and finishing threat to produce an early stoppage. “A first-round TKO win for Kai Asakura over Aori Chuang.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Perez · to win | Sumudaerji · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Alex Perez in the rematch without committing to a method. “I'm going with Alex Perez.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Rodrigues Jr. · to win | Liu · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. while presenting submission and TKO as alternative routes, so no single method is recorded. “Levi Rodriguez Jr. ... win by submission or TKO over Leuch.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Bilal Hasan by an early TKO without a specific round. “Balo Hassan getting this one done by TKO in the earlier rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Andre Lima to win a competitive decision. “I'm going to go with Andre Lemur by decision ... 29-28.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Jenkins · KO/TKO | Woodson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Jack Jenkins by TKO without a stated round. “I'm going to go with Jenkins by TKO.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tsuruya · to win | Tsuruya · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Rei Tsuruya without committing to a method. “I'm gonna go with Ray Turia.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Xiong · Dec | Polastri · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Xiong Jingnan's size and experience to earn a decision. “Jong Jingyang winning this one by decision. 30-27, 29-28.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Lui · Dec | Santiago · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Lawrence Lui's striking and grappling mix to win a decision. “Lawrence Louie ... beats Hector Santiago by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Francesco Nuzzi without a stated method. “I'm going to go with Francesco Nuzzi.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Nelson · to win | Nelson · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Cam Nelson as an underdog without a stated method. “I'm going to go with Cam Nelson getting this one done over Ding Mang.” | |||||
Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Dyer · KO/TKO | Dyer · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Shanaelle Dyer to win by stoppage. “So, I'm going to go with Shanaelle Dyer getting this one by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. McVey · KO/TKO | McVey · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Leans toward Jackson McVey, with a possible second-round stoppage. “I'm leaning towards Jackson McVey getting this one done, maybe by TKO in the second round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Young · Dec | Dorsainvil · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Gage Young to win by a 29-28 decision. “I'm going to go with Gage Young getting this one done by 29-28 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Marcio Barbosa to win. “I'm going to go with Marcio Barbosa getting this one done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Nzechukwu · KO/TKO | Gaziev · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Kennedy Nzechukwu by a second- or third-round TKO. “So I'm going to go with Kennedy Nzechukwu getting this one done against Shamil the Blob Gaziev by second or third round TKO.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Douglas · to win | Emmers · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Llerena Douglas, citing his knockout power. “I'm going to go with Llerena Douglas. His KO power is just too much for Emmers.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Judice · Dec | Judice · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Carly Judice by decision. “I'm going to go with Carly Judice getting this one done by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Jones · KO/TKO | Mederos · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Mason Jones by TKO. “I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. de Ridder · to win | de Ridder · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Reinier de Ridder to win. “I'm going to go with Reinier De Ridder in this one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Rodrigues · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Gregory Rodrigues by TKO. “I'm going to go with Gregory Rodrigues by TKO.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors the LFA light-heavyweight champion Fernando for his size and finishing potential. “I'm going to go with Lucas Fernando.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Magny · to win | Magny · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Magny an unusual pick but ultimately backs him to win. “I'm picking Neil Magny to win.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Gore · Dec | Gore · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Gore over Luque and expects him to take the decision. “I'm going with Tawn Gore over Vicente Luke.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. McConico · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes McConico in a high-variance pick. “I'm going to go with Eric McConico underdog pick in 2026.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Sees Turner as capable of catching Fernandes in striking exchanges and backs him to win. “exchanging in a real fight. So I'm going to go with Jaylen Turner. I'm actually to go with Jaylen Turner. I'm actually going to agree with the odds. They've going to agree with the odds. They've got him as a favorite. A lot of people got him as a favorite. A lot of people are disagreeing with it. Like, how can are disagreeing with it. Like, how can you car Fernandez is the next big thing” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · to win | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Álvarez's striking and backs him over Njokuani. “I'm going to go with Joel Alvarez getting this one done. He should win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Dern's submission threat and expects her to beat Robertson. “Mackenzie Durn should beat Jillian Robertson here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Believes Garry's size, striking and cage work give him the edge and calls a decision win. “And I'm going to take Ian Garry by decision. I'm going to say Ian Garry wins this fight by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 26.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · to win | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Orolbai's dominant matchup position over Wells. “I'm going to go with Mike Dbecker getting this one done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 80.0% 8 2
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Salkilld · KO/TKO | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Settles on Salkilld to get it done, moving from a decision call to a stoppage without naming a round. “I'm going to go with Quillian Sal Kukul getting this one done. I'm going to say TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO | Ferreira · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Ferreira to stop Quarantillo in the first or second round, so no single round is recorded. “So, I'm going to go with Diego Ferreira getting this one done by TKO in the first or second round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R2 | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Calls a second-round stoppage for Miller. “I'm going to say round two TKO for Tim Miller here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Lemos · Sub | Thainara · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Goes against Thainara, backing Lemos's hands and power against a grappler he still rates as unproven, and calls a guillotine in the first or second round. “I'm actually going to go against Alexia Tinara here to be honest with you guys. I think this will be like the first capable opponent that she's fought.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Johns · to win | Johns · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Johns without naming a method. “I'm going to go with Miles Johns. Johnny Vasquez taking this fight on short notice.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · KO/TKO | Montanha · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Sutherland to finish Montanha by knockout. “I'm going to take Luis Southerntherland to KO Jose Montana to Silva.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Asplund · KO/TKO | Asplund · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Asplund by TKO, while allowing for the finish in the second or third round. “I'm going to go with Steven Asplund getting this one done by TKO. I think he'll eventually finish Guilherme Pat in the third round, maybe the second round by TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · KO/TKO · R3 | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Settles on Sousa by third-round TKO after weighing the finish. “Manuel Sosa, I think, is going to be able to walk through what Richie Miranda has and eventually just put him down, dude. You know, I mean, he's going to land that Miranda right straight on the chin of Richie. Oh, just jokes. Manuel shows it gets it done. Round three, TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Miller · to win | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Miller without naming a method. “I'm going to go with Juliana Miller here getting this one done over Ravena Oliveira.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Foro · KO/TKO | Foro · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Foro by knockout, hedging the round. “Okay, Carol Furrow is getting this one done though by TKO in the later rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1 | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Thinks Rodriguez's habit of lunging in and swinging from the waist walks him onto a Medic counter, and that Medic's body kicks plus his first-round finishing record end it early in front of a home crowd. “over Navaho Sterling. That's what I think's going to happen. We move on. think's going to happen. We move on. Up the card. Up the card. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think he should be a minus 400 favorite, he should be a minus 400 favorite, though. though. Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty underdog to pick here and I don't really underdog to” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the odds wrong, arguing Blachowicz is still at the top of his game and too hard to catch on the chin, and that he out-jabs and out-low-kicks Stirling at range on short notice. “him coming in at about 235 240. And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move on. on. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Are these odds having a [ __ ] laugh? +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight I think it's wrong. I think it's wrong. The odds on the weight and still have The odds on the weight and still have Jan Bl” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Rakic's size, movement and leg kicks to break down the plodding Tybura, then finish him on top after sprawling on a desperation takedown. “I'm going to go with Robert Valentin getting this one done by finish early. getting this one done by finish early. Early on the card. We move on. Early on the card. We move on. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin Tybura, Tybura, I don't know what we ever saw in him. I don't know what we ever saw in him. And yes, we And yes, we you remember a time where Rakic was you remember a time w” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
Says Todorovic is repeatedly KO-able, especially to elbows in tight and on clinch breaks with his chin up, and that Valentin is the nastier finisher with an early submission edge. “but yeah, Vlasto Cepo's getting this one done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We move on. move on. Darko Stosic versus Robert Valentin I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I've I've been a believer in Robert I've I've been a believer in Robert Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you know, he had a fight where he lost his know, he had a fight where he lost his mom and then he has to go” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Notes Urbina repeatedly gets dropped by big hooks on the chin, including in his loss to Medic, and that Cepo's right hook has finished four of his last five. “there, I think he'll do work on top position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. We move on. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big dude for the division. They had him at dude for the division. They had him at the press conference. He's their hyped the press conference. He's their hyped top one. I don't think he's all that. top one. I don't think he's ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 23.5%. Elliott · Dec | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Elliott as a near 3-to-1 underdog on craft and experience, saying the green Oliveira has not seen entries like Elliott's takedown-to-knee-and-low-kick sequences. “Nikolic getting this one done by brutal finish, in all honesty, in the first two finish, in all honesty, in the first two rounds. rounds. Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Oliveira. Listen. Oliveira. Listen. Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one off. off. I've been casting spells on Michael I've been casting spells on Michael Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem voodoo to ensure our” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 23.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · KO/TKO | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Thinks Klein is too sharp and has the reach to punish an aggressive opponent swinging early, catching him coming in with a counter. “he'll get a 29-28 decision. We move on. We move on. >> [snorts] >> [snorts] >> Ludovit Klein versus Tafon Nchukwi >> Ludovit Klein versus Tafon Nchukwi I'm going with Ludovit Klein. [ __ ] Tafon I'm going with Ludovit Klein. [ __ ] Tafon Nchukwi on everything. Absolute filth, Nchukwi on everything. Absolute filth, dirty fighter, won't ever root for him dirty fighter, won't ever root for him ever in his career. I'll celebrate the ever in his career. I'l” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Grad as the explosive, athletic, physically bigger man who has multiple winning paths, striking or grappling, against a Buzukja coming off a bad knockout loss. “think he should be this big of a favorite, but I am going to go with favorite, but I am going to go with Rebecqui getting it done. We move on. Rebecqui getting it done. We move on. Dennis Bazooka versus Bogdan Grad. Dennis Bazooka versus Bogdan Grad. Bazooka's a great name for a fighter, Bazooka's a great name for a fighter, but Bogdan has hair now. but Bogdan has hair now. >> [snorts] >> [snorts] >> He's grown his hair out. He's got a bit >> He's grown his hair out. He's” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 10 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Elliot · KO/TKO | Elliot · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Elliot as the larger, more physical fighter, expecting his grappling to keep him safe from Anderson's submission threats and his aggression to create a TKO. “I'm going to go with Ezra Elliott here over Damien Anderson.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · Sub | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Barbosa's experience and tested level over Melisano's inexperience, calling a submission win. “She'd probably put hands on Melissano, or probably sub her. I'm going to go” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call. “Um I'm going to go with Alvin Hines here over RJ Harris.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks the bigger, more proven Coria, expecting his finishing ability to produce a TKO without a single-round call. “I'm going to go with Alden Corriea. I reckon he wins this one by TKO” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Franco · to win | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Franco because he has been competitive against stronger opposition than Rodrigues Jr. “I reckon Felipe Franco actually will win” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ko · to win | Lebosnoyani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Ko on the strength of his grappling success against stronger reference opponents. “grapple, so I'm going to go with Seo Hee Ham KO getting this one done with his” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Delgado · to win | Delgado · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Delgado's size, striking danger and damage over Bashi's early grappling threat. “I'm going to go with Jose Miguel Delgado getting this one done” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · KO/TKO · R2 | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Picks McMillen's pressure, reach and wrestling to wear Montes down for a second-round TKO. “And I think McMillan's going to put him away in round two by TKO, knees up” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to win | Kline · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Kline's size, reach and range striking to do more damage over three rounds. “Tabatha Ricci versus Fatima Kline. I'm going to go with Fatima Clan. She's a” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub · R1 | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Hooper to find the back after Ramirez's guillotine attempts fail, calling a late first-round submission. “I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though. And I'm allowed” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Duncan's youth, activity and more varied striking to land more than Cannonier. “way. Um, but I am going to go Christian Lee Roy Duncan here. I” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · KO/TKO · R3 | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Picks Du Plessis' five-round pace, body and leg kicking, and youth to produce a third-round TKO over Usman. “I've got Dricus Du Plessis getting this one done, and I think he's going to TKO Kamaru Usman in round three” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 12
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 9 3
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Gives McGregor the opening-round danger, but thinks the long layoff and fading pop make it hard for him to hold Holloway off. He expects Holloway's pressure, jab, body-head follow-ups and pace to take over late and force a stoppage. “I'm going to go with Max Holay getting this one done” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Bautista · Dec | Bautista · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Thinks Bautista's physicality, cage pressure and wrestling optics are enough to win close rounds. He expects Sandhagen to be dangerous and creative, but not damaging enough to clearly outweigh Bautista's control and aggression on the judges' cards. “I think this is too much to overcome.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Thinks Ellison is an undersized and inexperienced UFC heavyweight debut opponent for this spot. He expects Steveson's athleticism, wrestling threat and power to be enough for a quick TKO, while noting it would not prove top-level heavyweight readiness yet. “By TKO in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · KO/TKO | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Gives Krylov the power-and-swarm path, but thinks Whittaker is far too technical and composed if the fight stays in striking layers. He expects Whittaker's shot selection to punish Krylov's entries and produce a first- or second-round knockout. “KO first or second round over Krylov. Nasty finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · KO/TKO | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Respects Kamaka as a live, well-rounded opponent, but thinks Riley's boxing advantage is too sharp. He expects Riley to read the kicks, answer with hands and find a knockout once he gets comfortable. “I'm going with KO. Luke Riley, first or second round over Kamaka.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yanez · KO/TKO | Yanez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Reads Garbrandt as a diminished version of himself whose confidence and willingness to engage are no longer reliable. He trusts Yanez's jab, boxing and composure to keep touching Garbrandt until the stoppage arrives. “I'm going with Cody Garbrandt losing by KO in the first or second round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Trusts Gandra's power edge much more than Reese's durability. He sees Reese as hittable enough that Gandra can land clean before the fight reaches the later grappling-heavy phases that would make the matchup more complicated. “I'm going to go with Ryan Gandra KO in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Costa · KO/TKO · R2 | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
Likes Alessandro Costa's recent body-shot finishing form and thinks Durden is vulnerable to exactly that kind of damage. He expects Costa's short, stocky frame to make the grappling difficult while his pressure creates a body-shot TKO. “Second round body shot TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Basharat · Dec | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Explicitly accounts for Garza stepping in on six days' notice. He expects Garza's size and danger to make it competitive, but sees Basharat's deeper UFC experience and MMA grappling as enough to win the final two rounds on the cards. “Getting this one done by a competitive decision where he wins the final two rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · Dec | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Leans to Pinas' explosiveness and athleticism, with enough power to hurt Almeida and win key exchanges. He still expects Almeida to be durable enough to survive the scary moments and force a competitive decision. “I'll say decision. I'll weirdly say decision here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · Sub · R2 | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Backs Pimblett despite acknowledging Saint Denis' pressure and early danger. His final read is that Pimblett hurts Saint Denis on the feet first, then uses the scramble or knockdown sequence to finish by second-round submission. “Submission second round after hurting him on the feet.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · KO/TKO | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Sees Wang as the far better striker and thinks her improved defensive grappling keeps Cortez from banking enough control. Once Wang keeps enough exchanges at range, he expects her speed and punching to produce a finish. “To get this one done by TKO finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO · R2 | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Doesn't buy that Gaethje still has the one-shot power to put Topuria away. Sees Topuria hurt him, start the attack, and finish inside two. “I think in the second round when Gaethje starts to feel like, okay, now's my time. That's when he's out cold. Ilia Topuria catches him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Gane ("Gan") stings him early and may win a round, but Pereira's superior striking technique and accumulating low kicks/body shots wear Gane down until he crumbles to the cage pressure. “So, I'm going to go with Alex Pereira round three TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · KO/TKO | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Zahabi ("Amy/Amian Zahabi") lacks the sudden power or grappling to threaten O'Malley ("Shaun Ali/Omali"), who will be too there-to-be-hit and get clipped for a vintage highlight KO in the first or second round. “can't be biased. No, I'm joking. I'm going with Sean O'Malley. He's going to” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Hokit ("Josh Hockett") puts a crazy pace on a fading, quit-prone Lewis, dominating top position and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO crumble. “I would have entertained the idea of a Derek Lewis upset KO, but I really think Josh Hockett has got this one in” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Chandler no longer has the strength game to control Ruffy ("Mauricio Huffy"), who finishes him violently on the feet. “I'm going against Michael Chandler. Um, I'm taking Mauricio Huffy by brutal, disgusting, despicable palms up, slime out KO in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · Sub | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Daukaus ("Kyle Dorcas") is dangerous on the feet, breaks Nickal down with strikes and clinch work, and eventually catches him in a D'Arce ("dash") choke off a lazy takedown. “So, I'm actually going to go with Kyle Daukas.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R1 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Lopes ("Diego Lopez") is better and made a career of catching pressure fighters coming in, so he survives Garcia's early rush and finishes him with ground-and-pound in the first round. “Steve Garcia getting this one done. I'm going with Diego Lopez by late or mid” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Chimaev despite openly wanting Strickland to win — doesn't trust Strickland's takedown defence to keep him off the mat. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Taira · to win | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sees Taira's size and grappling slow Van's pace and finish him inside two or three rounds. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Volkov · to win | Volkov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Loves the matchup but sides with the more proven Volkov over Cortes-Acosta. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Brady · to win | Brady · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Brady's high-level grappling exploits the gaps in Buckley's wrestling and takes over. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| No pick | Green · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Talks himself in a circle — first leans “Bobby Green over Jeremy Stephens by TKO in the second … or nah, decision,” then closes “I’m going to go with Jeremy Stephens.” No clear pick, so we log no call. | |||||
UFC 327
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Procházka · to win | Ulberg · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Agonises over it but switches back to Jiri — his pressure and improvement win out in a stylistically tough fight. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.0%. Costa · KO/TKO · R2 | Costa · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
A generational Costa masterclass — body kicks and shots for a second-round TKO. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Blaydes · KO/TKO | Hokit · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Blaydes is too composed and experienced; he weathers the pressure and finishes. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Reyes · KO/TKO | Reyes · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Walker starts an exchange and Reyes counters with his finishing instincts. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.0%. Swanson · KO/TKO | Swanson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Swanson still has it — a big highlight KO in round one or two. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Seattle
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Adesanya · KO/TKO · R3 | Pyfer · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Adesanya is levels above on the feet, chews up the legs and catches Pyfer coming in — a third-round TKO. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Barber · Dec | Grasso · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Barber's toughness and density, and Grasso's recent stinkers, edge a close 29-28 decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Chiesa · to win | Chiesa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Chiesa's grappling, size and momentum carry him past a fading Price. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.5%. Douglas · KO/TKO · R1 | Douglas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Douglas's heat-seeking power exploits Erosa's chin for a first-round KO. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Belgaroui · KO/TKO | Belgaroui · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Shocked he's an underdog — Belgaroui's sharper stand-up gets the TKO. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Nelson · to win | McKinney · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Reverse psychology — he always picks McKinney to win and it backfires, so he takes Nelson. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC 323
Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Santos · KO/TKO · R2 | Santos · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Myron Santos to stop Muhammad Naimov in the second round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2 | Abdul-Malik · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Mansur Abdul Malik by a late second-round TKO over Antonio Trocoli. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Baraniewski · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Iwo Baraniewski to win, while leaving the first-round finish method open between TKO and submission routes. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Turner · KO/TKO · R1 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
The MMA Guru picks Jaylen Turner to win by first-round TKO over Edson Barboza. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ferreira · to win | Ferreira · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Bruno Ferreira to finish Marvin Vettori early, without fixing one finish method. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Ziam · Dec | Ziam · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Fares Ziam to shut down Nazim Sadykhov by a clear 30-27 decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Barber · KO/TKO | Barber · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Macy Barber by TKO, with the likely finish window in rounds two or three, over Karine Silva. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. McKinney · KO/TKO · R1 | Duncan · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Terrence McKinney by first-round TKO over Chris Duncan. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Dawson · to win | Torres · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Grant Dawson to take over through grappling and win late, leaving the precise finish method open. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 322
Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Daukaus · KO/TKO · R2 | Daukaus · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus by second-round TKO over Gerald Meerschaert. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Mariscal · to win | Sabatini · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, leaving the finish-versus-decision route open. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Kline · Dec | Kline · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline by decision, while acknowledging a late finish is possible. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Susurkaev · KO/TKO | Susurkaev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Baisangur Susurkaev to stop Eric McConico inside the first ten minutes. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Camilo · Sub | Camilo · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Matheus Camilo by submission over Viacheslav Borshchev. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Nickal · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru leans Bo Nickal over Adolfo Vieira, with knockout and decision both treated as live outcomes. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.0%. Rodrigues · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues to stop Roman Kopylov early. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Blanchfield · Dec | Blanchfield · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield by a 29-28 decision over Tracy Cortez. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 321
Aspinall vs Gane
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salkilld · Dec | Salkilld · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Nasrat Haqparast by 29-28 decision over Quillan Salkilld. | |||||
| Aliskerov · KO/TKO | Aliskerov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO over Jun Yong Park, with the finish window open between rounds one and two. | |||||
| Klein · KO/TKO · R2 | Klein · Decision - Majority R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Ludovit Klein by second-round TKO over Mateusz Rebecki. | |||||
| Delgado · KO/TKO · R2 | Wood · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Jose Delgado by second-round TKO over Nathaniel Wood. | |||||
| Abdelwahab · Dec | Abdelwahab · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Hamdy Abdelwahab by decision over Chris Barnett. | |||||
| Amorim · Sub | Mizuki · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Jacqueline Amorim by submission over Mizuki Inoue. | |||||
UFC 320
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoo · KO/TKO · R1 | Santos · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Juesung Yu to knock out Daniel Santos in the first round. | |||||
| Mix · Sub | Wiklacz · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix by submission over Jakub Wiklacz. | |||||
| Shahbazyan · KO/TKO · R1 | Shahbazyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
The MMA Guru picks Edmen Shahbazyan by first-round TKO over Andre Muniz. | |||||
| Soriano · KO/TKO · R1 | Soriano · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano by first-round KO over Nikolay Veretennikov. | |||||
| Chiasson · Dec | Santos · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Macy Chiasson by decision over Yana Santos. | |||||
| Basharat · Dec | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat by 29-28 decision over Chris Gutierrez. | |||||
| Vanderford · Dec | Brahimaj · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Austin Vanderford by decision over Ramiz Brahimaj. | |||||
UFC 319
Du Plessis vs Chimaev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silva · to win | Silva · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva over Dione Barbosa after the late opponent change. | |||||
| Idiris · to win | Morales · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Alibi Idris over Joseph Morales. | |||||
| Klose · Dec | Klose · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by 29-28 decision over Edson Barboza. | |||||
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Alexander Hernandez over Chase Hooper. | |||||
| Andrade · KO/TKO · R2 | Godinez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Jessica Andrade by second-round TKO over Lupita Godinez. | |||||
| Oleksiejczuk · KO/TKO | Oleksiejczuk · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Michal Oleksiejczuk to finish Gerald Meerschaert, leaving the first- versus second-round timing open. | |||||
UFC 317
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigues · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues over Jack Hermansson, calling for a first- or second-round TKO. | |||||
| Amil · KO/TKO | Delgado · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Hyder Amil by TKO over Jose Miguel Delgado, leaning toward a second- or third-round finish and ultimately favoring the third. | |||||
| Cortez · Dec | Cortez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez by a close 29-28 decision over Viviane Araujo. | |||||
| McKinney · to win | McKinney · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney over Viacheslav Borshchev, with McKinney's grappling as the matchup's X-factor. | |||||
| Smith · KO/TKO · R1 | Smith · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Jacobe Smith by first-round TKO over Nico Price, expecting the prospect's speed and grappling to overwhelm him. | |||||
| Diniz · KO/TKO · R1 | Diniz · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Jonata Diniz by first-round TKO over Alvin Hines, citing the short-notice step up and Diniz's cleaner kickboxing. | |||||
UFC 316
Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams · KO/TKO · R1 | Gustafsson · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams over Andreas Gustafsson and calls for a first-round KO. | |||||
| Wang · KO/TKO · R1 | Wang · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong to overwhelm Ariane da Silva with sharper kickboxing and a first-round TKO. | |||||
| Salkilld · to win | Salkilld · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld over Yanal Ashmouz but allows for a decision or a finish across multiple rounds. | |||||
| Van · Dec | Van · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Joshua Van to control Bruno Silva and win a unanimous decision. | |||||
| Murzakanov · KO/TKO | Murzakanov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov to stop Brendson Ribeiro but names both the first and second rounds as possibilities. | |||||
| Spivac · to win | Cortes Acosta · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac through his grappling but gives both a first-round submission and a second-round TKO as possible finishes. | |||||
| Yoo · to win | Yoo · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks JooSang Yoo over Jeka Saragih and allows for a first- or second-round finish. | |||||
| Mederos · to win | Mederos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks MarQuel Mederos over Mark Choinski, citing Mederos' size, reach and experience. | |||||
UFC 315
Muhammad vs Della Maddalena
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almakhan · KO/TKO | Almakhan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Bekzat Almakhan to finish Brad Katona by TKO but does not name a round. | |||||
| Lee · KO/TKO | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks JeongYeong Lee to stop Daniel Santos but does not name a round. | |||||
| Barriault · Dec | Barriault · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Marc-André Barriault to outwork Bruno Silva to a decision. | |||||
| Stirling · KO/TKO · R1 | Stirling · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Navajo Stirling by first-round TKO over Ivan Erslan. | |||||
| Cutelaba · to win | Bukauskas · Decision - Split R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Ion Cutelaba but gives TKO or submission in the first or early second round, so method and round remain unspecified. | |||||
| Jasudavicius · Dec | Jasudavicius · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win a decision over Jessica Andrade. | |||||
| Radtke · KO/TKO · R1 | Malott · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke by first-round TKO over Mike Malott. | |||||
Machado Garry vs Prates
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prates · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). | |||||
| Zhang · to win | Zhang · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Zhang Mingyang (winner only). | |||||
| Chikadze · to win | Onama · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: David Onama (winner only). | |||||
| Magomedov · to win | Magomedov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Abusupiyan Magomedov (winner only). | |||||
| Brown · to win | Brown · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Randy Brown (winner only). | |||||
| Aliskerov · to win | Aliskerov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ikram Aliskerov (winner only). | |||||
| Flick · to win | Schnell · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Matt Schnell (winner only). | |||||
| Elder · to win | Elder · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Evan Elder (winner only). | |||||
| Gutiérrez · to win | Gutiérrez · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Chris Gutiérrez (winner only). | |||||
| Blackshear · to win | Blackshear · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Da'Mon Blackshear (winner only). | |||||
| Wellmaker · to win | Wellmaker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Malcolm Wellmaker (winner only). | |||||
| Amorim · to win | Amorim · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Jacqueline Amorim (winner only). | |||||
| Romero · to win | Cuamba · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Roberto Romero (winner only). | |||||
| Edwards · to win | Edwards · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Joselyne Edwards (winner only). | |||||
UFC 314
Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lopes · KO/TKO · R1 | Volkanovski · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Diego Lopes to stop Alexander Volkanovski in the first round, citing Lopes's power and Volkanovski's recent knockout losses. | |||||
| Mitchell · Sub · R2 | Silva · Submission (ninja choke) R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Bryce Mitchell by second-round rear-naked choke against Jean Silva. | |||||
| Pimblett · KO/TKO · R2 | Pimblett · TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
The MMA Guru settles on Paddy Pimblett by second-round TKO, expecting Chandler's early pressure to fade before Pimblett finds the finish. | |||||
UFC 313
Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pereira · KO/TKO · R1 | Ankalaev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Alex Pereira by first-round KO, expecting Pereira to punish Ankalaev's entry with elbows and follow-up punches. | |||||
| Fiziev · KO/TKO | Gaethje · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Rafael Fiziev to TKO Justin Gaethje early, later describing the finish as arriving in the first or second round. | |||||
UFC 312
Du Plessis vs Strickland 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Du Plessis · KO/TKO | Du Plessis · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Dricus Du Plessis to finish Sean Strickland, settling on a second- or third-round TKO. | |||||
| Suarez · Dec | Zhang · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru takes Tatiana Suarez over Zhang Weili in a close decision, changing his initial lean after considering Suarez's wrestling. | |||||
| Tafa · KO/TKO | Teixeira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Justin Tafa to knock out Tallison Teixeira, trusting the UFC veteran's power against the debuting heavyweight. | |||||
| Crute vs Bellato | Bellato · KO/TKO | Decision - Majority | Bellato | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Matthews · to win | Matthews · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Jake Matthews over Francisco Prado, allowing for either a technical performance or a finish. | |||||
| Jenkins · to win | Santos · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru backs Jack Jenkins over Gabriel Santos, citing Jenkins's technical striking and low kicks. | |||||
| Borshchev · KO/TKO | Nolan · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev by a late-round TKO over Tom Nolan. | |||||
| Wang · to win | Wang · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong over Bruna Brasil, trusting her striking and size without naming a method. | |||||
| Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 | Topuria · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Alexandre Topuria by first-round TKO over Colby Thicknesse, citing the physical and grappling advantage. | |||||
| Steele · to win | Rongzhu · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Cody Steele over Rongzhu, citing Steele's prospect profile and recent finish. | |||||
| Salkilld · to win | Salkilld · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld over Anshul Jubli without adding a method beyond the winner call. | |||||
UFC 311
Makhachev vs Moicano
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurmagomedov · KO/TKO | Dvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Umar Nurmagomedov to stop Merab Dvalishvili, settling on a second- or third-round TKO. | |||||
| Hill · KO/TKO · R1 | Procházka · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Jamahal Hill by first-round KO over Jiri Prochazka, expecting Hill's lead hook to meet Prochazka's entries. | |||||
| Almeida · Dec | Almeida · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Jailton Almeida by decision over Sergei Spivac, expecting a slower grappling fight to reach the cards. | |||||
| de Ridder · Sub | de Ridder · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Reinier de Ridder to submit Kevin Holland, allowing for an early or second-round finish. | |||||
| Talbott · KO/TKO | Barcelos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Payton Talbott by TKO over Raoni Barcelos, citing Talbott's size and finishing threat. | |||||
| Bekoev · Dec | Bekoev · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
After noting the replacement matchup, The MMA Guru picks Azamat Bekoev by decision over Zachary Reese. | |||||
| Guskov · KO/TKO | Guskov · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Bogdan Guskov by KO over Billy Elekana, citing Guskov's speed and power on the feet. | |||||
| Ferreira · to win | Dawson · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Diego Ferreira over Grant Dawson, trusting Ferreira's scrambling and power against Dawson's grappling dependence. | |||||
| Rosa · to win | Perez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Ailin Perez, citing Rosa's sturdier all-around MMA game and takedown defense. | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Gafurov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Rinya Nakamura over Muin Gafurov, trusting Nakamura's athleticism and wrestling. | |||||
| Sopaj · to win | Sopaj · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Bernardo Sopaj over Ricky Turcios, pointing to Sopaj's grappling and prospect upside. | |||||
| Ulanbekov · to win | Ulanbekov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Tagir Ulanbekov over Clayton Carpenter, expecting Ulanbekov's range and grappling defense to win the close fight. | |||||
Dern vs Ribas 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kopylov · to win | Kopylov · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Roman Kopylov (winner only). | |||||
| Medić · to win | Soriano · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Uroš Medić (winner only). | |||||
| Ogden · to win | Moisés · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Trey Ogden (winner only). | |||||
| Caliari · to win | Kareckaitė · Decision - Split R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Nicolle Caliari (winner only). | |||||
| Ribas · to win | Dern · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Amanda Ribas (winner only). | |||||
| Ponzinibbio · to win | Ponzinibbio · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Santiago Ponzinibbio (winner only). | |||||
| Almeida · to win | Almeida · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: César Almeida (winner only). | |||||
| Bashi · to win | Rodriguez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Austin Bashi (winner only). | |||||
| Johnson · to win | Bunes · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Jose Johnson (winner only). | |||||
| Tulio · to win | Tulio · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Marco Tulio (winner only). | |||||
| Smith · to win | Smith · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Jacobe Smith (winner only). | |||||
| Gadzhiyasulov · to win | Lopes · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (winner only). | |||||
| Kline · to win | Kline · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Fatima Kline (winner only). | |||||
| Aliev · to win | Aliev · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
THE MMA GURU transcript pick: Nurullo Aliev (winner only). | |||||
UFC 308
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 69.2% 9 4
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topuria · Dec | Topuria · KO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Ilia Topuria by decision over Max Holloway, expecting pressure and body work to edge the five-round fight. | |||||
| Magomedov · Dec | Magomedov · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Shara Magomedov by decision over Armen Petrosyan in a technical range fight. | |||||
| Whittaker · KO/TKO · R4 | Chimaev · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker by fourth-round TKO over Khamzat Chimaev, expecting him to survive the early grappling and capitalize late. | |||||
| Ankalaev · Dec | Ankalaev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev by decision over Aleksandar Rakić, projecting a close 29-28 fight. | |||||
| Murphy · Dec | Murphy · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy by decision over Dan Ige, expecting Murphy's rangy style to win the rounds. | |||||
| Cerqueira · KO/TKO | Aslan · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Raffael Cerqueira to stop Ibo Aslan, citing Cerqueira's size, athleticism and finishing danger. | |||||
| Neal · KO/TKO · R2 | Neal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
The MMA Guru picks Geoff Neal by second-round TKO over Rafael Dos Anjos, expecting Neal's power and pocket work to overwhelm him. | |||||
| Orolbai · to win | Rębecki · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Myktybek Orolbai over Mateusz Rębecki, trusting Orolbai's pace and late-fight wrestling. | |||||
| Ferreira · to win | Magomedov · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira over Abusupiyan Magomedov, trusting Ferreira's power in the exchanges. | |||||
| Nzechukwu · to win | Nzechukwu · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu over Chris Barnett, pointing to Nzechukwu's athletic heavyweight frame and Barnett's long layoff. | |||||
| Basharat · to win | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat over Victor Hugo, trusting Basharat's more complete game. | |||||
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Ismail Naurdiev over Bruno Silva, trusting Naurdiev in the return fight. | |||||
| Fakhretdinov · to win | Fakhretdinov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Carlos Leal, leaving the finish route open between a decision and submission. | |||||
UFC 306
Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Malley · to win | Dvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Sean O'Malley (winner only). | |||||
Namajunas vs Cortez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dober · to win | Silva · TKO - Doctor's Stoppage R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Drew Dober (winner only). | |||||
UFC 302
Makhachev vs. Poirier
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Submission (D'Arce choke) R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
UFC 300
Pereira vs. Hill
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveira · to win | Tsarukyan · Decision (split) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only). | |||||
| Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Max Holloway (winner only). | |||||
UFC 298
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 12
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick · to win | Maverick · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Miranda Maverick (winner only). | |||||
| Elliott · to win | Elliott · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Oban Elliott (winner only). | |||||
| Barlow · to win | Barlow · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Danny Barlow (winner only). | |||||
| Zhang · to win | Zhang · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Mingyang Zhang (winner only). | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Nakamura · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Rinya Nakamura (winner only). | |||||
| Lima · to win | Lima · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Marcos Rogério de Lima (winner only). | |||||
| Lemos · to win | Lemos · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Amanda Lemos (winner only). | |||||
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Anthony Hernandez (winner only). | |||||
| Dvalishvili · to win | Dvalishvili · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Merab Dvalishvili (winner only). | |||||
| Machado Garry · to win | Machado Garry · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). | |||||
| Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Robert Whittaker (winner only). | |||||
| Topuria · to win | Topuria · KO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ilia Topuria (winner only). | |||||
UFC 294
Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · KO/TKO (head kick and punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
UFC Fight Night 221
Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan · to win | Dvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Petr Yan (winner only). | |||||
UFC 284
Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
UFC 280
Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveira · to win | Makhachev · Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only). | |||||
Makhachev vs. Green
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · KO/TKO (punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
UFC 264
Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poirier · to win | Poirier · TKO (doctor stoppage) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Dustin Poirier (winner only). | |||||
UFC 254
Khabib vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurmagomedov · to win | Nurmagomedov · Technical Submission (triangle choke) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Khabib Nurmagomedov (winner only). | |||||
UFC 246
McGregor vs. Cowboy
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGregor · to win | McGregor · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Conor McGregor (winner only). | |||||
UFC 242
Khabib vs. Poirier
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
UFC Fight Night 149
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overeem · to win | Overeem · TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Alistair Overeem (winner only). | |||||
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
| Pavlovich · to win | Pavlovich · KO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Sergei Pavlovich (winner only). | |||||
| Shevchenko · to win | Modafferi · Decision (split) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Antonina Shevchenko (winner only). | |||||
| Amedovski · to win | Jotko · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Alen Amedovski (captioned as Adam Amirkhanov; winner only). | |||||
| Evloev · to win | Evloev · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Movsar Evloev (winner only). | |||||
| Aliev · to win | Aliev · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Sultan Aliev (winner only). | |||||
| da Silva Coelho · to win | Yakovlev · Submission (guillotine) R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Alex da Silva Coelho (winner only). | |||||
| Tybura · to win | Abdurakhimov · TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Marcin Tybura (winner only). | |||||
| Oleksiejczuk · to win | Oleksiejczuk · KO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Michał Oleksiejczuk (winner only). | |||||
| Mustafaev · to win | Mustafaev · TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Magomed Mustafaev (winner only). | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind The MMA Guru's logged calls.












































