UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill  13 Apr 2024 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Arman Tsarukyan defeats Charles Oliveira by Decision (split)

Win Arman Tsarukyan 22-3-0
Loss Charles Oliveira 34-10-0
Watch the fight
Decision (split)

Round 3 · 5:00

Tsarukyan vs Oliveira · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Tsarukyan survived a tight guillotine from Oliveira in the opening round.

He answered with sustained wrestling and control between Oliveira's submission threats.

Oliveira threatened again late, but Tsarukyan received the split-decision verdict.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan's route was pace, chain wrestling and the willingness to keep making Oliveira defend. Over three rounds he could win the geography of the fight by forcing scrambles, denying easy resets and banking top control without needing a finish.

Case for Oliveira

Oliveira remained the more dangerous finisher in every sudden transition. Even when he gives ground he can turn a takedown or clinch exchange into a guillotine, triangle or back-take, and his length on the feet still makes every entry a risk.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Tsarukyan can wrestle without gifting Oliveira a neck or arm in the scramble.
  • How often Oliveira can make Tsarukyan respect the submission threat before the top-control minutes add up.
  • The second-half rounds: a three-round fight rewards urgency, so whichever man dictates the pace after round one likely takes the cards.
Records & career stats
Tsarukyan vs Oliveira
21-3-0
Record
34-9-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
Armenia
Nationality
Brazil
29
Age
36
1.70 m
Height — Oliveira leads
1.78 m
184 cm
Reach — Oliveira leads
188 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
84%
—
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
10
6
Wins by submissionSub wins — Oliveira leads
22
3.78
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Tsarukyan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.23
1.77
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Tsarukyan leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.05
55%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Tsarukyan leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
49%
75%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Tsarukyan leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
55%
11:42
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:58
Syndicate MMA - Las Vegas, NV
Team
Bronx's Gold Team

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 12:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Arman Tsarukyan

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

MMA Lock of the Night transcript pick: Arman Tsarukyan (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
TheWeasle
Hear it — 34:00

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Oliveira

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

TheWeasle transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 34:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Oliveira

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

The MMA Guru transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)

Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Hit; TheWeasle Miss; The MMA Guru Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 12:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Arman Tsarukyan

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

MMA Lock of the Night transcript pick: Arman Tsarukyan (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Tsarukyan · to winTsarukyan · Decision (split) R3HitNot calledNot called
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle
Hear it — 34:00

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Oliveira

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

TheWeasle transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Oliveira · to winTsarukyan · Decision (split) R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 34:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Oliveira

Fight result: Arman Tsarukyan · Decision (split)

The MMA Guru transcript pick: Charles Oliveira (winner only).

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Oliveira · to winTsarukyan · Decision (split) R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 1 of 3 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.