UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang  3 Oct 2026 · the Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, US

Imanol Rodriguez defeats Alden Coria by KO/TKO

Win Imanol Rodriguez 8-0-0
Loss Alden Coria 13-4-0
KO/TKO · body kick

Round 1 · 3:11

Rodriguez vs Coria — Flyweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Rodriguez was on top of Coria from the opening bell, showing speed and power with his hands.

He then landed a body kick that dropped Coria, who fell backwards and clutched his midsection.

Rodriguez followed Coria to the canvas and sealed the win quickly.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Rodriguez

Rodriguez brings a developing flyweight game.

Case for Coria

Coria brings the opposing pace and positional test.

What We Were Watching For

  • Who wins the early exchanges.
  • Whether grappling or range decides the bout.
Records & career stats
Rodriguez vs Coria
7-0-0
Record
13-3-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Mexico
Nationality
United States
26
Age
28
1.63 m
Height — Coria leads
172.72 cm
164 cm
Reach — Coria leads
170.18 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Rodriguez leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
69%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Rodriguez leads
5
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Coria leads
4
5.71
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Rodriguez leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.05
2.42
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Coria leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.21
58%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Coria leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
70%
—
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
56%
05:47
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:36
The Academy Fight Club and Blackxicans
Team
4oz Fight Club, Aztlan Boxing

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight
Fighter interview▶ Imanol Rodriguez Octagon Interview | UFC 332
Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Hank
Hear it — 60:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s pressure and expects him to stop Coria in the second round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
  • Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 8:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Chiesa identifies wrestling as the potential difference between two fighters with training partners who can emulate their opponent. He favors Rodriguez's wrestling while warning that Rodriguez must avoid rushing into Coria's powerful counters.

“I'm going with INL Rodriguez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Matt
Hear it — 93:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s more aggressive three-round output and his striking and wrestling, while respecting Coria’s toughness.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (21 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 29:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Picks Rodriguez by TKO while acknowledging Coria could make it a difficult decision. Favors Rodriguez’s finishing ability, pressure, volume and ability to get back up after takedowns.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 1:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA favors Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria, pointing to his well-rounded skills, excellent boxing and explosive power against Coria’s methodical, tactical approach.

“Emannuel Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Tom Feely
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Feely praises Rodriguez’s speed, explosiveness, and varied offense. He sees a close matchup but favors Rodriguez’s athleticism and Coria’s uncertain wrestling defense.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
Kunath
Hear it — 16:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Kunath selects Imanol Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 11:07

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

HopperoMMA selects Imanol Rodriguez by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Artem MMA
Hear it — 23:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s momentum, pressure and grappling against a Coria he thinks recently struggled with pressure and wrestling. Is confident in Rodriguez winning, while less certain about a finish.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
mmadbm
Hear it — 16:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Picks Rodriguez by knockout because his aggression, persistence and explosiveness should get him inside Coria’s range and create damaging exchanges. He believes Coria’s complacency will catch up with him against Rodriguez’s approach.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Litterine selects Imanol Rodriguez in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Shelton expects Rodriguez's striking to let him keep the fight standing, be more active and land the more damaging shots; he says Rodriguez could even get a TKO, but the formal bet is a moneyline pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Vinny
Hear it — 61:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Likes Rodriguez’s tenacity but thinks Coria’s size makes a finish less likely.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
  • Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Gerardo Rivas
Hear it — 24:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Expects Rodriguez’s harder punches to produce the most important moments and open transitions to the ground.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 19:33

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Livid Larry MMA
Hear it — 24:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Livid Larry MMA selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
  • Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (28 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 26:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bedtime favors Coria’s jab and more technical boxing, along with his ability to scramble back up after takedowns. He expects Coria to take over in the third round and edge a 29–28 decision, while respecting Rodriguez’s power and wrestling.

  • Calls it a very close fight.
“I'm picking Alden Corier by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle
Hear it — 16:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

He sees Coria as the bigger, more technical boxer who can keep Rodriguez at range with knees, front kicks, a jab, and combinations; Rodriguez would need to close distance with fast combinations and avoid reckless counters. He expects Coria's distance management and countering to produce more damage, and guesses Coria may have improved his takedown defense after the Nicoll fight, leading to a decision.

  • He treats Rodriguez's takedowns as a possible response to Coria's range control, but expects damage to favor Coria.
“So, I'm going to go with him in this one being the much bigger and longer fighter with also having improved takedown defense.”

* He calls it somewhat close.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 27:21

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bodetti takes the underdog Coria by a narrow margin, regarding his hands as equally clean and fast while favoring his wrestling, grappling and cardio. He considers it a competitive matchup rather than a confident lock.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Fite Feed
Hear it — 25:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s cleaner, more seasoned striking and range management in a competitive exchange with Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 3:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alden Coria by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Picks with the Geek 2
Hear it — 0:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s cleaner striking, height and reach, while acknowledging Rodriguez’s power.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (8 calls)
James Lynch
Hear it — 13:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Lynch picks Coria by decision and describes him as durable.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Clenbat
Hear it — 18:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Clenbat selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 22:47

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bruhn selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
The Octagon Oracle
Hear it — 42:45

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Expects Coria to accumulate damage and make Rodriguez’s attacks harder to sustain, leaning toward a decision while allowing a late stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
BeewolfMMA
Hear it — 24:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s boxing, wrestling, patience and discipline over Rodriguez’s reckless aggression. Expects him to catch an undisciplined entry and make a statement with a second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
  • Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (23 calls)
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 31:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
The Finz Chats
Hear it — 13:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

The Finz Chats selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (22 calls)
D.Rose
Hear it — 95:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s size, sharp striking and calm composure to manage Rodriguez’s danger; notes Rodriguez was hurt by Borjas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Schweppe picks Alden Coria by split decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 45:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 28:56

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Chris Cross
Hear it — 1:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Chris Cross leans toward Alden Coria to win a very close fight.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Carlos Cano
Hear it — 24:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s experience, size, reach and grappling in a competitive fight with Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Andio
Hear it — 25:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Andio selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (11 calls)

Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; Livid Larry MMA Miss; Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Matt Hit; Fite Feed Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Tom Feely Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Miss; James Lynch Miss; Clenbat Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Artem MMA Hit; Guy Bruhn Miss; The Octagon Oracle Miss; BeewolfMMA Miss; mmadbm Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Walk The Line MMA Miss; The Finz Chats Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; D.Rose Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Vinny Hit; The MMA Yuda Miss; Gerardo Rivas Hit; Chris Cross Miss; Carlos Cano Miss; Andio Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Hank12 resolved calls
Hank
Hear it — 60:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s pressure and expects him to stop Coria in the second round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
  • Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Rodriguez · KO/TKO · R2Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Jimbo Ortega MMA29 resolved calls
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 19:33

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Coria · KO/TKORodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Livid Larry MMA28 resolved calls
Livid Larry MMA
Hear it — 24:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Livid Larry MMA selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
  • Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (28 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 26:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bedtime favors Coria’s jab and more technical boxing, along with his ability to scramble back up after takedowns. He expects Coria to take over in the third round and edge a 29–28 decision, while respecting Rodriguez’s power and wrestling.

  • Calls it a very close fight.
“I'm picking Alden Corier by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle
Hear it — 16:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

He sees Coria as the bigger, more technical boxer who can keep Rodriguez at range with knees, front kicks, a jab, and combinations; Rodriguez would need to close distance with fast combinations and avoid reckless counters. He expects Coria's distance management and countering to produce more damage, and guesses Coria may have improved his takedown defense after the Nicoll fight, leading to a decision.

  • He treats Rodriguez's takedowns as a possible response to Coria's range control, but expects damage to favor Coria.
“So, I'm going to go with him in this one being the much bigger and longer fighter with also having improved takedown defense.”

* He calls it somewhat close.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 8:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Chiesa identifies wrestling as the potential difference between two fighters with training partners who can emulate their opponent. He favors Rodriguez's wrestling while warning that Rodriguez must avoid rushing into Coria's powerful counters.

“I'm going with INL Rodriguez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 27:21

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bodetti takes the underdog Coria by a narrow margin, regarding his hands as equally clean and fast while favoring his wrestling, grappling and cardio. He considers it a competitive matchup rather than a confident lock.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Matt21 resolved calls
Matt
Hear it — 93:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s more aggressive three-round output and his striking and wrestling, while respecting Coria’s toughness.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (21 calls)
Rodriguez · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Fite Feed12 resolved calls
Fite Feed
Hear it — 25:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s cleaner, more seasoned striking and range management in a competitive exchange with Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 29:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Picks Rodriguez by TKO while acknowledging Coria could make it a difficult decision. Favors Rodriguez’s finishing ability, pressure, volume and ability to get back up after takedowns.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Rodriguez · KO/TKORodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 1:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA favors Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria, pointing to his well-rounded skills, excellent boxing and explosive power against Coria’s methodical, tactical approach.

“Emannuel Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Rodriguez · KO/TKORodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Tom Feely20 resolved calls
Tom Feely
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Feely praises Rodriguez’s speed, explosiveness, and varied offense. He sees a close matchup but favors Rodriguez’s athleticism and Coria’s uncertain wrestling defense.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
Rodriguez · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 3:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alden Coria by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath
Hear it — 16:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Kunath selects Imanol Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 11:07

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

HopperoMMA selects Imanol Rodriguez by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Rodriguez · KO/TKO · R1Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Picks with the Geek 28 resolved calls
Picks with the Geek 2
Hear it — 0:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s cleaner striking, height and reach, while acknowledging Rodriguez’s power.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (8 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch
Hear it — 13:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Lynch picks Coria by decision and describes him as durable.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Clenbat36 resolved calls
Clenbat
Hear it — 18:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Clenbat selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 22:47

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA
Hear it — 23:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Rodriguez’s momentum, pressure and grappling against a Coria he thinks recently struggled with pressure and wrestling. Is confident in Rodriguez winning, while less certain about a finish.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Guy Bruhn12 resolved calls
Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Bruhn selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The Octagon Oracle12 resolved calls
The Octagon Oracle
Hear it — 42:45

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Expects Coria to accumulate damage and make Rodriguez’s attacks harder to sustain, leaning toward a decision while allowing a late stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
BeewolfMMA23 resolved calls
BeewolfMMA
Hear it — 24:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s boxing, wrestling, patience and discipline over Rodriguez’s reckless aggression. Expects him to catch an undisciplined entry and make a statement with a second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
  • Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (23 calls)
Coria · KO/TKO · R2Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
mmadbm23 resolved calls
mmadbm
Hear it — 16:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Picks Rodriguez by knockout because his aggression, persistence and explosiveness should get him inside Coria’s range and create damaging exchanges. He believes Coria’s complacency will catch up with him against Rodriguez’s approach.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Rodriguez · KO/TKORodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Litterine selects Imanol Rodriguez in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 31:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The Finz Chats22 resolved calls
The Finz Chats
Hear it — 13:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

The Finz Chats selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (22 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Shelton expects Rodriguez's striking to let him keep the fight standing, be more active and land the more damaging shots; he says Rodriguez could even get a TKO, but the formal bet is a moneyline pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
D.Rose21 resolved calls
D.Rose
Hear it — 95:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s size, sharp striking and calm composure to manage Rodriguez’s danger; notes Rodriguez was hurt by Borjas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Schweppe picks Alden Coria by split decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 45:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Coria · KO/TKO · R2Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Vinny12 resolved calls
Vinny
Hear it — 61:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Likes Rodriguez’s tenacity but thinks Coria’s size makes a finish less likely.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
  • Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Rodriguez · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 28:56

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda selects Alden Coria.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Gerardo Rivas15 resolved calls
Gerardo Rivas
Hear it — 24:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Expects Rodriguez’s harder punches to produce the most important moments and open transitions to the ground.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Rodriguez · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Chris Cross20 resolved calls
Chris Cross
Hear it — 1:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Chris Cross leans toward Alden Coria to win a very close fight.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Carlos Cano10 resolved calls
Carlos Cano
Hear it — 24:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria · Dec

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Favors Coria’s experience, size, reach and grappling in a competitive fight with Rodriguez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Coria · DecRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andio11 resolved calls
Andio
Hear it — 25:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alden Coria

Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO

Andio selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (11 calls)
Coria · to winRodriguez · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

14 of 37 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Rodriguez · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability Gemini put 60% on Rodriguez.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
42% Rodriguez
58% Coria
PickCoria · DecisionActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
58% Rodriguez
42% Coria
PickRodriguez · KO/TKO · R2ActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMiss
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
60% Rodriguez
40% Coria
PickRodriguez · DecisionActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 29 Sep, 4 days before the fight

2 of 3 models pick Rodriguez

Claude and Gemini pick Rodriguez; ChatGPT picks Coria.

Method mix differs most for KO/TKO: 31% (Gemini) to 45% (Claude), a 14-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Coria by decision

    Win probability: Rodriguez 42%, Coria 58%.

    gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep

    Medium confidence

  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 2

    Win probability: Rodriguez 58%, Coria 42%.

    claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep

    Medium confidence

  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick Rodriguez by decision

    Win probability: Rodriguez 60%, Coria 40%.

    Version not reported · 29 Sep

    Medium confidence
More detail4 areas differ

The models differ on winner, finish method, round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round—Round 2—
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round—Round 2—

ChatGPT

Pick

Coria by decision

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Rodriguez 42%, Coria 58%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 41% overall: Rodriguez 25%, Coria 16%
Submission, 12% overall: Rodriguez 4%, Coria 8%
Decision, 47% overall: Rodriguez 13%, Coria 34%

gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 2

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Rodriguez 58%, Coria 42%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 45% overall: Rodriguez 33%, Coria 12%
Submission, 13% overall: Rodriguez 5%, Coria 8%
Decision, 42% overall: Rodriguez 20%, Coria 22%

claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Rodriguez by decision

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Rodriguez 60%, Coria 40%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 31% overall: Rodriguez 21%, Coria 10%
Submission, 13% overall: Rodriguez 7%, Coria 6%
Decision, 56% overall: Rodriguez 32%, Coria 24%

Version not reported · 29 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.