UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman  18 Jul 2026 · Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, US

Chase Hooper defeats Mitch Ramirez by Submission

Win Chase Hooper 17-5-1
Loss Mitch Ramirez 8-4-0
Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 1 · 2:15

Hooper vs Ramirez — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

A straight left hand created the opening Hooper needed to change levels and get the takedown.

Hooper transitioned to the back and locked in a body triangle to remove the escape.

The rear-naked choke forced the tap at 2:15 of round one.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Hooper

Hooper is the far more proven grappler and the fight's only real submission threat — eight of his wins are subs, and against Guida, Miller and Borshchev he dragged credible lightweights into his scramble-heavy chaos. If this hits the mat, it is his world.

Case for Ramirez

Ramirez's path is to keep it standing and violent. He finishes at an 88% clip with heavy kicks and forward pressure, and Hooper has just been stopped twice in a row by opponents who beat him to the punch before the grappling could start. Crack Hooper early and the takedown game never arrives.

What We Were Watching For

  • Can Ramirez stuff the entry? Hooper lives on getting it to the floor — Ramirez's takedown defense is the hinge of the fight.
  • Hooper's chin: two straight stoppage losses — does he still walk forward into range, or has caution crept in?
  • Ramirez's UFC-level cardio: he is 0-2 in the Octagon and fades late regionally, and Hooper's pace punishes slow tanks.
  • Scramble vs slug: the first clean exchange usually decides which fight this becomes.
Records & career stats
Hooper vs Ramirez
Hooper Ramirez
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.44 3.27
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 40% 38%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.97 3.77
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 55% 33%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 75% 88%
16-5-1
Record
8-3-0
3-2 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2-3 last 5
United States
Nationality
United States
26
Age
33
1.85 m
Height — Hooper leads
1.80 m
188 cm
Reach — Hooper leads
180 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
75%
Finish rateFinish % — Ramirez leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
88%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Ramirez leads
5
9
Wins by submissionSub wins — Hooper leads
2
4.44
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Hooper leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.27
2.97
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Hooper leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.77
40%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
38%
55%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Hooper leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
33%
08:48
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
06:58
Combat Sport & Fitness
Team
Syndicate MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

The MMA Guru
Hear it — 24:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Picks Hooper to find the back after Ramirez's guillotine attempts fail, calling a late first-round submission.

“I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though. And I'm allowed”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 36:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez.

“Chase Hooper to get this one done by submission. I know Ramirez is good”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 14:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges.

“And I'm going with the minus300 favorite just because the path is so clear and so just because the path is so clear and so there. But I also have zero trust in the there. But I also have zero trust in the guy. And I will probably I'm not bad. guy. And I will probably I'm not bad. I'm not never laying minus 300 on Chase I'm not never laying minus 300 on Chase Hooper. But [snorts]”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC Oklahoma City X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Chase Hooper by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 15:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Picks Hooper by first-round submission, viewing the matchup as a chance for him to rebound.

“>> Yeah, I'm picking Trooper Chase Hooper here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 13:21

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass.

“of the price, you know. If this is a pick'em, I'm going Chase Hooper all day.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 45:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mitch Ramirez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style.

“Ramirez to get the finish of Chase Hooper. So Mitch Ramirez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)

Analyst picks: AJ Devito Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Half The Battle Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 45:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mitch Ramirez · KO/TKO

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style.

“Ramirez to get the finish of Chase Hooper. So Mitch Ramirez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 24.8%. Ramirez · KO/TKOHooper · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 24:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Picks Hooper to find the back after Ramirez's guillotine attempts fail, calling a late first-round submission.

“I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though. And I'm allowed”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub · R1Hooper · Sub R1HitHitHit
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 36:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez.

“Chase Hooper to get this one done by submission. I know Ramirez is good”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to winHooper · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 14:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges.

“And I'm going with the minus300 favorite just because the path is so clear and so just because the path is so clear and so there. But I also have zero trust in the there. But I also have zero trust in the guy. And I will probably I'm not bad. guy. And I will probably I'm not bad. I'm not never laying minus 300 on Chase I'm not never laying minus 300 on Chase Hooper. But [snorts]”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to winHooper · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC Oklahoma City X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Chase Hooper by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · SubHooper · Sub R1HitHitNot called
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 15:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Picks Hooper by first-round submission, viewing the matchup as a chance for him to rebound.

“>> Yeah, I'm picking Trooper Chase Hooper here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub · R1Hooper · Sub R1HitHitHit
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 13:21

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chase Hooper

Fight result: Chase Hooper · Submission

Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass.

“of the price, you know. If this is a pick'em, I'm going Chase Hooper all day.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to winHooper · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called

6 of 7 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 7 sportsbooks

75% Chase Hooper
25% Mitch Ramirez

Favoured: Hooper (75%) Called it

Hooper defeats Ramirez · Sub R1

Final pre-fight line · as of 18 Jul 23:33 UTC · 7 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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