Chase Hooper defeats Mitch Ramirez by Submission
Hooper vs Ramirez — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
A straight left hand created the opening Hooper needed to change levels and get the takedown.
Hooper transitioned to the back and locked in a body triangle to remove the escape.
The rear-naked choke forced the tap at 2:15 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City results
Watch
More from this fight.
More videos · 4 clips
Signature moments
Signature moments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin perfect call; Marcel Dorff perfect call; Ben Duffy called it; Keith Shillan called it; Mike Finch called it; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; James Lynch called it; AJ missed.
9 of 10 nailed it · 2 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 14 of 17 Adam Martin: predicted Hooper · Sub. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
Takes Hooper by submission, though he does not feel strongly about the matchup.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 13 of 16 Marcel Dorff: predicted Hooper · Sub · R1. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
Picks Hooper by first-round submission, viewing the matchup as a chance for him to rebound.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Ben Duffy Analyst called 13 of 16 Ben Duffy: predicted Hooper · Decision. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Sees Ramirez as hard to submit but a rare opponent Hooper can confidently outstrike, leading to a decision.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Keith Shillan Analyst called 11 of 15 Keith Shillan: predicted Hooper · Decision. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Calls Ramirez low level and takes Hooper to win a decision rather than force a submission call.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 23 of 36 Mike Finch: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper as the pure pick because of his grappling edge, while acknowledging the recent knockout losses make the price unappealing.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 36 resolved picks, 9 a perfect call.
Half The Battle Analyst called 33 of 48 Half The Battle: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 48 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges.
Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 44 of 62 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez.
Track record: winner called in 44 of 62 resolved picks, 10 a perfect call.
James Lynch Analyst called 17 of 24 James Lynch: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper to use wrestling and a safer approach to win a decision over Ramirez.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 24 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 52 of 71 AJ: predicted Ramirez · KO/TKO. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Miss.
Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style.
Track record: winner called in 52 of 71 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Hooper (75%) Called it
Hooper def. Ramirez · Sub R1
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 16-5-1
- Record
- 8-3-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Combat Sport & Fitness
- Team
- Syndicate MMA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hooper
Hooper is the far more proven grappler and the fight's only real submission threat — eight of his wins are subs, and against Guida, Miller and Borshchev he dragged credible lightweights into his scramble-heavy chaos. If this hits the mat, it is his world.
Case for Ramirez
Ramirez's path is to keep it standing and violent. He finishes at an 88% clip with heavy kicks and forward pressure, and Hooper has just been stopped twice in a row by opponents who beat him to the punch before the grappling could start. Crack Hooper early and the takedown game never arrives.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Ramirez stuff the entry? Hooper lives on getting it to the floor — Ramirez's takedown defense is the hinge of the fight.
- Hooper's chin: two straight stoppage losses — does he still walk forward into range, or has caution crept in?
- Ramirez's UFC-level cardio: he is 0-2 in the Octagon and fades late regionally, and Hooper's pace punishes slow tanks.
- Scramble vs slug: the first clean exchange usually decides which fight this becomes.
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