UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez  1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Gilbert Urbina defeats Vlasto Čepo by KO/TKO

Loss Vlasto Čepo 14-4-0
KO/TKO · punches and elbows

Round 1 · 1:01

Čepo vs Urbina — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Cepo pressed forward aggressively from the opening bell. Urbina met him as he came in.

Urbina dropped Cepo with a stiff jab. The fight then went to the floor.

Urbina followed with an unanswered barrage on the floor, and Marc Goddard stopped the fight at 1:01 of round one.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Čepo

Čepo has finished all fourteen of his wins — ten by knockout, four by submission — and stopped both Daniel Schwindt and Erhan Kartal in the first round of his last two. Urbina has been stopped by strikes in each of his last two fights, and at 1.85 m to Urbina's 1.75 m Čepo has the size as well as the finishing rate.

Case for Urbina

Urbina is the one fighter here who leans on wrestling, averaging 2.86 takedowns per fifteen minutes. All fourteen of Čepo's wins ended early and his only trip to the judges was a loss, so if Urbina can close distance and drag this into a grinding, control-heavy fifteen minutes, he forces the one shape of fight Čepo has never won.

What We Were Watching For

  • Urbina's takedown entries — 2.86 per fifteen minutes is his only clear edge.
  • The opening exchanges; Čepo's last two wins both ended in round one.
  • Urbina's durability after back-to-back stoppage losses, one to Saturday's headliner Uroš Medić.
  • Whether Čepo can handle a long fight — all fourteen of his wins ended early and he has never won a decision.
Records & career stats
14-3-0
Record
7-5-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Serbia
Nationality
United States
31
Age
30
1.83 m
Height — Čepo leads
1.75 m
185 cm
Reach — Urbina leads
191 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Čepo leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
57%
10
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Čepo leads
3
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Čepo leads
2
6.89
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Čepo leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
6.68
29.51
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Urbina leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.72
38%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Urbina leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
48%
—
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
01:01
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
04:24

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Calls Cepo a relentless first-round finisher moving into a home-town showcase and thinks Urbina, moving up to 185 and easy to bait into a brawl, gets destroyed early.

“heavy hands, reckless aggression, and an opponent that I think is ripe for the opponent that I think is ripe for the pickings here. So, we're going with pickings here. So, we're going with Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should destroy Orbena in round one. And uh destroy Orbena in round one. And uh yeah, I think Erbena defensively a yeah, I think Erbena defensively a little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances too. And he's tak”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Notes Urbina repeatedly gets dropped by big hooks on the chin, including in his loss to Medic, and that Cepo's right hook has finished four of his last five.

“there, I think he'll do work on top position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. We move on. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big dude for the division. They had him at dude for the division. They had him at the press conference. He's their hyped the press conference. He's their hyped top one. I don't think he's all that. top one. I don't think he's ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Reads the matchmaking as a gift-wrapped home debut and rates Cepo explosive enough that he sees no path for Urbina.

“Vlasto Cipo is definitely going to get it done. There's no way he loses to it done. There's no way he loses to Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo who actually I seen a little bit about. who actually I seen a little bit about. He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, I got Vlasto Cipo for the win. This I got Vlasto Cipo for the w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Openly says he is not sold on Cepo and thinks Urbina is technically the better fighter, but sides with Cepo's power and chaotic early aggression overwhelming him.

“getting him out of there. So, I do think it's possible Erbena wins this fight. it's possible Erbena wins this fight. I'm not counting him out, but I'm going I'm not counting him out, but I'm going to lean with uh on the side of Lassto to lean with uh on the side of Lassto here. I I like I think he's a ton of here. I I like I think he's a ton of fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just b”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Warns that Cepo has one of the worst ground games he has seen and that Urbina genuinely has a grappling path, but rates Urbina as chinny with horrible fight IQ.

“rats in a shoe. I think these guys are going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I think he's going to get that knockout. think he's going to get that knockout. So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win by first round KO. by first round KO. And then we get to the co-main event, we And then we get to the co-main event, we have Navajo Sterling going against Jan have Navajo Sterling going against Jan Błachowicz. Błachowicz. Um Um who”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Rates Urbina well short of the level and expects Cepo to crowd him, hedging on whether it ends inside the distance.

“by wins over bums. Luckily for everybody here, here, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Seppo should win and he probably wins by Seppo should win and he probably wins by finish. finish. Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, technical striker, he's got good power. technical striker, he's got good power. He also has takedowns and offensive B”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Backs Cepo's 100% finish rate and Oktagon form in front of a home crowd, and dismisses Urbina as 7-4 with one UFC win and finished in his last two.

“been finished in his last two fights so far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the first round. first round. I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of these guys that looks really dominant on these guys that looks really dominant on the regional scene because of certai”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Notes all 14 of Cepo's wins are finishes and says Urbina's defence and chin are not good enough to bang with him, leaving Urbina only an outside wrestling-based path.

“I think the safe money is on Ceppo finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in the first round. the first round. So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo first round KO. first round KO. And another kind of janky fight here, And another kind of janky fight here, Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And pretty shocking that these guys are both pretty shocking that these guys are both”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Thinks Cepo is getting a deliberately favourable debut matchup, and that Urbina would need to weather a serious storm and drag Cepo into a fatigue state before the takedowns land.

“to get back up, but I'm just not convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get him to that point. So, for that reason, him to that point. So, for that reason, I think Chepo's going to come out here I think Chepo's going to come out here and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very first round. Next up in the lightweight first round. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between division, we got a match up between”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Lands on Cepo because Urbina is chinny and has been violently knocked out repeatedly, even though Cepo is defensively sloppy and easy to take down.

“knocked down. He might get hurt early. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my liking, so Seppo will get the win. But liking, so Seppo will get the win. But when you're betting a guy that's this when you're betting a guy that's this big of a favorite, I don't want him big of a favorite, I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gilbert Urbina

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Takes the big underdog purely on distrust of Cepo, whom he calls a strategy-free hook-swinger not worth 3-to-1 odds, versus Urbina's known UFC level and straight punches. Explicitly says he is not confident.

“god. I almost want to pick Gilbert Obina here, dude. here, dude. Do I [ __ ] do it? Do I [ __ ] do it? I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, obviously, yes, he got chinned in his obviously, yes, he got chinned in his last two and he lost to Medic. It's not last two and he lost ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gilbert Urbina

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Has trained with Urbina and rates his length, teeps, oblique kicks and front-choke game, plus higher-level UFC experience, against Cepo's wild pressure brawling.

“I think that there's going to be a finish and I think it's going to go to finish and I think it's going to go to the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm taking Gilbert Urbina inside the taking Gilbert Urbina inside the distance. distance. Boom. All right, guys, time for the Boom. All right, guys, time for the second fight on the main card, but second fight on the main card, but before I do that, I better take a little before I do that, I better take a little fan b”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; HopperMMA Miss; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Miss; Half The Battle Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gilbert Urbina

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Takes the big underdog purely on distrust of Cepo, whom he calls a strategy-free hook-swinger not worth 3-to-1 odds, versus Urbina's known UFC level and straight punches. Explicitly says he is not confident.

“god. I almost want to pick Gilbert Obina here, dude. here, dude. Do I [ __ ] do it? Do I [ __ ] do it? I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, obviously, yes, he got chinned in his obviously, yes, he got chinned in his last two and he lost to Medic. It's not last two and he lost ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Urbina · to winUrbina · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Calls Cepo a relentless first-round finisher moving into a home-town showcase and thinks Urbina, moving up to 185 and easy to bait into a brawl, gets destroyed early.

“heavy hands, reckless aggression, and an opponent that I think is ripe for the opponent that I think is ripe for the pickings here. So, we're going with pickings here. So, we're going with Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should destroy Orbena in round one. And uh destroy Orbena in round one. And uh yeah, I think Erbena defensively a yeah, I think Erbena defensively a little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances too. And he's tak”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gilbert Urbina

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Has trained with Urbina and rates his length, teeps, oblique kicks and front-choke game, plus higher-level UFC experience, against Cepo's wild pressure brawling.

“I think that there's going to be a finish and I think it's going to go to finish and I think it's going to go to the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm taking Gilbert Urbina inside the taking Gilbert Urbina inside the distance. distance. Boom. All right, guys, time for the Boom. All right, guys, time for the second fight on the main card, but second fight on the main card, but before I do that, I better take a little before I do that, I better take a little fan b”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Urbina · to winUrbina · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Notes Urbina repeatedly gets dropped by big hooks on the chin, including in his loss to Medic, and that Cepo's right hook has finished four of his last five.

“there, I think he'll do work on top position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. We move on. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big dude for the division. They had him at dude for the division. They had him at the press conference. He's their hyped the press conference. He's their hyped top one. I don't think he's all that. top one. I don't think he's ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKOUrbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Reads the matchmaking as a gift-wrapped home debut and rates Cepo explosive enough that he sees no path for Urbina.

“Vlasto Cipo is definitely going to get it done. There's no way he loses to it done. There's no way he loses to Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo who actually I seen a little bit about. who actually I seen a little bit about. He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, I got Vlasto Cipo for the win. This I got Vlasto Cipo for the w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · to winUrbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Openly says he is not sold on Cepo and thinks Urbina is technically the better fighter, but sides with Cepo's power and chaotic early aggression overwhelming him.

“getting him out of there. So, I do think it's possible Erbena wins this fight. it's possible Erbena wins this fight. I'm not counting him out, but I'm going I'm not counting him out, but I'm going to lean with uh on the side of Lassto to lean with uh on the side of Lassto here. I I like I think he's a ton of here. I I like I think he's a ton of fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just b”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKOUrbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Warns that Cepo has one of the worst ground games he has seen and that Urbina genuinely has a grappling path, but rates Urbina as chinny with horrible fight IQ.

“rats in a shoe. I think these guys are going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I think he's going to get that knockout. think he's going to get that knockout. So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win by first round KO. by first round KO. And then we get to the co-main event, we And then we get to the co-main event, we have Navajo Sterling going against Jan have Navajo Sterling going against Jan Błachowicz. Błachowicz. Um Um who”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Rates Urbina well short of the level and expects Cepo to crowd him, hedging on whether it ends inside the distance.

“by wins over bums. Luckily for everybody here, here, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Seppo should win and he probably wins by Seppo should win and he probably wins by finish. finish. Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, technical striker, he's got good power. technical striker, he's got good power. He also has takedowns and offensive B”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · to winUrbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Backs Cepo's 100% finish rate and Oktagon form in front of a home crowd, and dismisses Urbina as 7-4 with one UFC win and finished in his last two.

“been finished in his last two fights so far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the first round. first round. I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of these guys that looks really dominant on these guys that looks really dominant on the regional scene because of certai”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Notes all 14 of Cepo's wins are finishes and says Urbina's defence and chin are not good enough to bang with him, leaving Urbina only an outside wrestling-based path.

“I think the safe money is on Ceppo finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in the first round. the first round. So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo first round KO. first round KO. And another kind of janky fight here, And another kind of janky fight here, Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And pretty shocking that these guys are both pretty shocking that these guys are both”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Thinks Cepo is getting a deliberately favourable debut matchup, and that Urbina would need to weather a serious storm and drag Cepo into a fatigue state before the takedowns land.

“to get back up, but I'm just not convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get him to that point. So, for that reason, him to that point. So, for that reason, I think Chepo's going to come out here I think Chepo's going to come out here and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very first round. Next up in the lightweight first round. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between division, we got a match up between”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Vlasto Čepo

Fight result: Gilbert Urbina · KO/TKO

Lands on Cepo because Urbina is chinny and has been violently knocked out repeatedly, even though Cepo is defensively sloppy and easy to take down.

“knocked down. He might get hurt early. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my liking, so Seppo will get the win. But liking, so Seppo will get the win. But when you're betting a guy that's this when you're betting a guy that's this big of a favorite, I don't want him big of a favorite, I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · to winUrbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 2 of 12 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

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