"This is a message for the media... this division has people like me that want to finish fights." At 20 years old, Alice Pereira (@AlicePereiraUFC) is making her presence felt after another stoppage victory at #UFCVegas122. Results & Highlights ➡️ https://t.co/N9jdCEA1BX
View video on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Alice Pereira defeats Daria Zhelezniakova by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · retirement
Round 1 · 5:00
Pereira vs Zhelezniakova — Women's Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(34) 64%
36% (19)
AI Prediction
57%
43%
Market OddsPolymarket · historical · 10 Oct 20:18 UTC
55%
45%
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Pereira
Pereira is 7-1-0 at 20 years old, with five knockouts, one submission and one decision. She stands 1.73 m with a 180 cm reach, about seven centimetres longer than Zhelezniakova's 172.72 cm, and her 67% strike defense is slightly better than Zhelezniakova's 64%. Her latest win was a second-round knee knockout of Hailey Cowan at UFC Fight Night in April 2026.
Case for Zhelezniakova
Zhelezniakova is 10-3-0 with five knockouts and five decisions, and her tape shows the higher output, 4.13 significant strikes landed per minute against Pereira's 2.83. At 30 she has 13 professional fights to Pereira's eight, including unanimous-decision wins over Montserrat Rendon in March 2024 and Melissa Mullins in June 2025. Her last fight was a unanimous-decision loss to Melissa Croden in April 2026.
What We Were Watching For
- Reach and range: Pereira's 180 cm reach against Zhelezniakova's 172.72 cm.
- Output against defense: Zhelezniakova lands 4.13 strikes per minute, Pereira lands 2.83 and defends 67%.
- A common opponent: Pereira lost a split decision to Montserrat Rendon in September 2025, while Zhelezniakova beat Rendon by unanimous decision in March 2024.
- Finishing paths: five of Pereira's seven wins are knockouts, while five of Zhelezniakova's ten wins went to a decision.
Records & career stats
- 2.83 4.13
- 67% 64%
- 3.11 3.38
- 75% 50%
- 88% 50%
- 7-1-0
- Record
- 10-3-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- Brazil
- Nationality
- Russia
- 20
- Age
- 30
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 12:12
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:13
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
(34) 64%
WPereira
36% (19)
ZhelezniakovaL
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Lang expects Pereira to land the bigger strikes and create the more memorable moments.
“Pereira is the pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Angelo sees Pereira as the longer, slicker striker with more power and believes she can also handle the wrestling.
“So, yeah, Alice Pa going to be the pick here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Alice Pereira as his personal pick by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I'm going to go with Alice Pereira getting this one done”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Burden picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“so I'll go Elise Pereira by decision”
* lean
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“so I'm going to say Alice Peda gets this one done in a competitive decision here”
* Low confidence pick, sees competitive fight that could go either way.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zheleznyakova by third-round TKO, at low confidence.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Anthony Marro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Alice Pereira by Decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
MMA OddsBreaker
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I think Alice wins by knockout that's my pick”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Nick Marro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Alice Pereira by KO/TKO in round 3.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
James Lynch picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova after predicting the fight goes the distance.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
- Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Clenbat picks Alice Pereira with medium confidence, citing her reach advantage.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“i have Alice Pereira to win this”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Edwards sides with Pereira on youth and athleticism and names her moneyline as his best bet.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Adam Martin picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Mike Finch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Finch explicitly reverses his earlier lean from Daria Zhelezniakova to Alice Pereira, citing Pereira’s talent and improvement.
“ALICE PEREIRA, I pick flipped. I was on the underdog Daria Zalinsikova. I'll go Alice Pereira because she's talented and I saw a lot more in her second UFC fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I'm going to go with Payday as well.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight Productions takes Alice Pereira by decision, expecting her activity and kicks to win a winnable fight against Daria Zheleznyakova.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA expects Alice Pereira to squeak by with a decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Garrett Kerman’s final recommendation is Alice Pereira to win by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Alice Pereira.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks Alice Pereira by split decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“i'm going to take the Brazilian to win this one by unanimous decision”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“i got to go with Alice Pereira in this one”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda picks Alice Pereira, citing her timing, speed and reach advantage.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“give me Elise Pier i'm going to go by 2928 decision”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Petela picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMA JAWN channel picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by decision. The speaker says "unanimous decision", recorded as Decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Jeff Fox
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I'll give a go pae”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Ryan Wohl recommends Alice Pereira to win by KO/TKO/DQ or decision; no single method or round is stated.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alice Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
FightStudy predicts Alice Pereira by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I trust in the technical advantages of Zelelesnikokova i don't think Pereira has a good enough grappling game to try to exploit that side of his Lesnikova's game and I think we'll see the Russian end up outstriking Pereira and winning this fight on the scorecards”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
- Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Sheehan tentatively leans toward Zheleznyakova on experience and output, and expects her to craft a decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
MMA JOEY leans toward Daria Zhelezniakova by Decision.
“i'm just gonna say Zelelesnia gets a done decision win”
* Analyst stated a lean
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“does Darius Allesnikova be a decision in an ugly fight is my official prediction”
* ugly fight
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Artem MMA picks the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Marcel Dorff picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daria Zhelezniakova (+119)”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
PickemMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“Give me Dory Zikova as a as a dog”
* Prefers the underdog price on Zhelezniakova over Pereira at minus money; notes neither is high level
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Bert MMA's card recap has the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova winning by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
Half The Battle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“give me a Nicova to come out here and get this upset”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Zhelezniakova as the winner; no method or round is stated.
“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Zhelezniakova”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“yeah I'm going to take Zenolova Daria by volume in a close contentious chick fight that probably goes 15 minutes”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Sumian picks Daria Zhelezniakova over Alice Pereira in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Darya Zheleznyakova as his pick.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
Alexander K. Lee picks Daria Zheleznyakova to defeat Alice Pereira.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The Brandon K channel picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
MMA AL DENTE
Current pick evidence
Picked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec
Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO
“I've got Daria Jallesnikova defeating Alis Para by decision”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Miss; Andy Lang Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Gabriel Sheehan Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; Drake Burden Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Anthony Marro Hit; MMA OddsBreaker Hit; Nick Marro Hit; James Lynch Hit; Clenbat Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Miss; Tim Edwards Hit; Marcel Dorff Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; Adam Martin Hit; Mike Finch Hit; PickemMMA Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Half The Battle Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Daniel Vreeland Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Garrett Kerman Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Zain Bando Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Uselyis Hit; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; MMA JAWN Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Drew Beaupre Miss; Jeff Fox Hit; Alexander K. Lee Miss; Brandon K Miss; Ryan Wohl Hit; Chris White Miss; FightStudy Hit; MMA AL DENTE Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MMA Lock of the Night
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I trust in the technical advantages of Zelelesnikokova i don't think Pereira has a good enough grappling game to try to exploit that side of his Lesnikova's game and I think we'll see the Russian end up outstriking Pereira and winning this fight on the scorecards” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I trust in the technical advantages of Zelelesnikokova i don't think Pereira has a good enough grappling game to try to exploit that side of his Lesnikova's game and I think we'll see the Russian end up outstriking Pereira and winning this fight on the scorecards” Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andy Lang
Andy Lang
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Lang expects Pereira to land the bigger strikes and create the more memorable moments. “Pereira is the pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Lang expects Pereira to land the bigger strikes and create the more memorable moments. “Pereira is the pick.” Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Angelo Bodetti
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Angelo sees Pereira as the longer, slicker striker with more power and believes she can also handle the wrestling. “So, yeah, Alice Pa going to be the pick here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Angelo sees Pereira as the longer, slicker striker with more power and believes she can also handle the wrestling. “So, yeah, Alice Pa going to be the pick here.” Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mate Bersenadze
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Alice Pereira as his personal pick by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Alice Pereira as his personal pick by decision. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Gabriel Sheehan
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Sheehan tentatively leans toward Zheleznyakova on experience and output, and expects her to craft a decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Sheehan tentatively leans toward Zheleznyakova on experience and output, and expects her to craft a decision. Track record: winner called in 4 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO MMA JOEY leans toward Daria Zhelezniakova by Decision. “i'm just gonna say Zelelesnia gets a done decision win” * Analyst stated a lean Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA JOEY leans toward Daria Zhelezniakova by Decision. “i'm just gonna say Zelelesnia gets a done decision win” * Analyst stated a lean Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I'm going to go with Alice Pereira getting this one done” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I'm going to go with Alice Pereira getting this one done” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Burden picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Burden picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “so I'll go Elise Pereira by decision” * lean Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“so I'll go Elise Pereira by decision” * lean Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “so I'm going to say Alice Peda gets this one done in a competitive decision here” * Low confidence pick, sees competitive fight that could go either way. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“so I'm going to say Alice Peda gets this one done in a competitive decision here” * Low confidence pick, sees competitive fight that could go either way. Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “does Darius Allesnikova be a decision in an ugly fight is my official prediction” * ugly fight Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“does Darius Allesnikova be a decision in an ugly fight is my official prediction” * ugly fight Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zheleznyakova by third-round TKO, at low confidence. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zheleznyakova by third-round TKO, at low confidence. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Anthony Marro
Anthony Marro
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Alice Pereira by Decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Alice Pereira by Decision. Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA OddsBreaker
MMA OddsBreaker
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I think Alice wins by knockout that's my pick” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
“I think Alice wins by knockout that's my pick” Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Marro
Nick Marro
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Alice Pereira by KO/TKO in round 3. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Alice Pereira by KO/TKO in round 3. Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Lynch
James Lynch
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO James Lynch picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova after predicting the fight goes the distance. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| James Lynch picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova after predicting the fight goes the distance. Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Clenbat picks Alice Pereira with medium confidence, citing her reach advantage. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat picks Alice Pereira with medium confidence, citing her reach advantage. Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Mathletes
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “i have Alice Pereira to win this” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“i have Alice Pereira to win this” Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Artem MMA picks the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Artem MMA picks the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova by decision. Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tim Edwards
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Edwards sides with Pereira on youth and athleticism and names her moneyline as his best bet. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Edwards sides with Pereira on youth and athleticism and names her moneyline as his best bet. Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Marcel Dorff
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Marcel Dorff picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Marcel Dorff picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision. Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Guy Bruhn
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daria Zhelezniakova (+119)” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daria Zhelezniakova (+119)” Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam Martin
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Adam Martin picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Adam Martin picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by knockout. Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mike Finch
Mike Finch
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Finch explicitly reverses his earlier lean from Daria Zhelezniakova to Alice Pereira, citing Pereira’s talent and improvement. “ALICE PEREIRA, I pick flipped. I was on the underdog Daria Zalinsikova. I'll go Alice Pereira because she's talented and I saw a lot more in her second UFC fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Finch explicitly reverses his earlier lean from Daria Zhelezniakova to Alice Pereira, citing Pereira’s talent and improvement. “ALICE PEREIRA, I pick flipped. I was on the underdog Daria Zalinsikova. I'll go Alice Pereira because she's talented and I saw a lot more in her second UFC fight.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
PickemMMA
PickemMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “Give me Dory Zikova as a as a dog” * Prefers the underdog price on Zhelezniakova over Pereira at minus money; notes neither is high level Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“Give me Dory Zikova as a as a dog” * Prefers the underdog price on Zhelezniakova over Pereira at minus money; notes neither is high level Track record: winner called in 12 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bert MMA
Bert MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Bert MMA's card recap has the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova winning by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bert MMA's card recap has the underdog Daria Zheleznyakova winning by decision. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “give me a Nicova to come out here and get this upset” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“give me a Nicova to come out here and get this upset” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Zhelezniakova as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Zhelezniakova” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Zhelezniakova as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Zhelezniakova” Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Daniel Vreeland
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I'm going to go with Payday as well.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I'm going to go with Payday as well.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Fight Productions takes Alice Pereira by decision, expecting her activity and kicks to win a winnable fight against Daria Zheleznyakova. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Fight Productions takes Alice Pereira by decision, expecting her activity and kicks to win a winnable fight against Daria Zheleznyakova. Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Walk The Line MMA expects Alice Pereira to squeak by with a decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Walk The Line MMA expects Alice Pereira to squeak by with a decision. Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MikesMMAPicks
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira. Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Garrett Kerman
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Garrett Kerman’s final recommendation is Alice Pereira to win by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Garrett Kerman’s final recommendation is Alice Pereira to win by decision. Track record: winner called in 7 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “yeah I'm going to take Zenolova Daria by volume in a close contentious chick fight that probably goes 15 minutes” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“yeah I'm going to take Zenolova Daria by volume in a close contentious chick fight that probably goes 15 minutes” Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Zain Bando
Zain Bando
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Alice Pereira. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Alice Pereira. Track record: winner called in 12 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Schweppe picks Alice Pereira by split decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Schweppe picks Alice Pereira by split decision. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “i'm going to take the Brazilian to win this one by unanimous decision” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“i'm going to take the Brazilian to win this one by unanimous decision” Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “i got to go with Alice Pereira in this one” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“i got to go with Alice Pereira in this one” Track record: winner called in 10 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMA Yuda picks Alice Pereira, citing her timing, speed and reach advantage. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMA Yuda picks Alice Pereira, citing her timing, speed and reach advantage. Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “give me Elise Pier i'm going to go by 2928 decision” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“give me Elise Pier i'm going to go by 2928 decision” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Sumian
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Sumian picks Daria Zhelezniakova over Alice Pereira in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Sumian picks Daria Zhelezniakova over Alice Pereira in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matthew Petela
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Petela picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Petela picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JAWN
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMA JAWN channel picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by decision. The speaker says "unanimous decision", recorded as Decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| The MMA JAWN channel picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by decision. The speaker says "unanimous decision", recorded as Decision. Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Kalikas
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Alice Pereira. Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drew Beaupre
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Darya Zheleznyakova as his pick. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Darya Zheleznyakova as his pick. Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jeff Fox
Jeff Fox
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I'll give a go pae” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I'll give a go pae” Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Alexander K. Lee picks Daria Zheleznyakova to defeat Alice Pereira. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Alexander K. Lee picks Daria Zheleznyakova to defeat Alice Pereira. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brandon K
Brandon K
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The Brandon K channel picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The Brandon K channel picks Daria Zhelezniakova to beat Alice Pereira by decision. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ryan Wohl
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO Ryan Wohl recommends Alice Pereira to win by KO/TKO/DQ or decision; no single method or round is stated. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Ryan Wohl recommends Alice Pereira to win by KO/TKO/DQ or decision; no single method or round is stated. Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris White
Chris White
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Daria Zheleznyakova. Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
FightStudy
FightStudy
Current pick evidencePicked: Alice Pereira · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO FightStudy predicts Alice Pereira by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| FightStudy predicts Alice Pereira by decision. Track record: winner called in 4 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA AL DENTE
MMA AL DENTE
Current pick evidencePicked: Daria Zhelezniakova · Dec Fight result: Alice Pereira · KO/TKO “I've got Daria Jallesnikova defeating Alis Para by decision” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I've got Daria Jallesnikova defeating Alis Para by decision” Track record: winner called in 4 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
34 of 53 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Pereira · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 58% on Pereira.
55%
Pereira
45%
Zhelezniakova
PickPereira · DecisionActualPereira · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
57%
Pereira
43%
Zhelezniakova
PickPereira · DecisionActualPereira · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
58%
Pereira
42%
Zhelezniakova
PickPereira · DecisionActualPereira · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight
All 3 models pick Pereira
All three expect a win by decision, with win chances from 55% (ChatGPT) to 58% (Gemini).
Method mix differs most for Decision: 54% (Claude) to 66% (Gemini), a 12-point range.
-
ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Pereira by decision
Win probability: Pereira 55%, Zhelezniakova 45%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Pereira by decision
Win probability: Pereira 57%, Zhelezniakova 43%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Pereira by decision
Win probability: Pereira 58%, Zhelezniakova 42%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail2 areas differ
The models differ on confidence, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
ChatGPT
Pick
Pereira by decision
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Pereira 55%, Zhelezniakova 45%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 29% overall: Pereira 21%, Zhelezniakova 8%
Submission, 6% overall: Pereira 5%, Zhelezniakova 1%
Decision, 65% overall: Pereira 29%, Zhelezniakova 36%
gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Pereira by decision
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Pereira 57%, Zhelezniakova 43%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 30% overall: Pereira 20%, Zhelezniakova 10%
Submission, 16% overall: Pereira 6%, Zhelezniakova 10%
Decision, 54% overall: Pereira 31%, Zhelezniakova 23%
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Pereira by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Pereira 58%, Zhelezniakova 42%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 27% overall: Pereira 16%, Zhelezniakova 11%
Submission, 7% overall: Pereira 4%, Zhelezniakova 3%
Decision, 66% overall: Pereira 38%, Zhelezniakova 28%
Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
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