| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 49 |
| Machado Garry | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 46 |
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Islam Makhachev defeats Ian Machado Garry by unanimous decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Makhachev vs Machado Garry — Welterweight Title · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Islam Makhachev opened the UFC 330 main event by taking control with his grappling, then dropped Ian Machado Garry in the second round with a right hand and a left high kick after a clinch break. It gave the champion the clearest moment of the fight and forced Garry to recover under sustained pressure.
Garry worked his way back into the contest in the third, out-landing Makhachev as the champion began to tire. The challenger had found a route into the fight, but Makhachev returned to his wrestling in the fourth and repeatedly put Garry back on the mat.
Makhachev closed the fight by taking Garry’s back after another fifth-round takedown. That late control settled the pace of the final round and secured a unanimous decision, keeping the welterweight title with the champion.
Judges' scorecards
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 49 |
| Machado Garry | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 46 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 48 |
| Machado Garry | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 47 |
- Official UFC resultsUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry — Main Card Results
- Official UFC scorecardsUFC 330 Official Scorecards
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Makhachev
Makhachev's clearest route is to turn a striking exchange into a takedown, then make Garry solve the next position before he can rebuild distance.
Case for Machado Garry
Garry needs to keep the fight long, make Makhachev reset after every exchange and force the champion to cross open space before the clinch arrives.
What We Were Watching For
- Garry's first response when Makhachev closes distance behind his striking.
- Whether Makhachev can hold position after Garry's initial takedown defense.
- The champion's pace against a challenger whose best work comes with room to see attacks develop.
- How quickly each fighter can turn a defended attack into the next phase.
Records & career stats
- 2.27 4.29
- 61% 53%
- 1.42 2.59
- 91% 71%
- 67% 47%
- 28-1-0
- Record
- 17-1-0
- 8-0 last 8
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- Russia
- Nationality
- Ireland
- 34
- Age
- 28
- Southpaw
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 11:45
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 15:37
- Lightweight (moving up)
- Weight classWeight
- Welterweight
- AKA (American Kickboxing Academy) San Jose
- Team
- Team Garry
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Livid Larry MMA selects Islam Makhachev as the UFC 330 winner without inferring a method or round.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Favors Makhachev to win a decision, projecting close scorecards.
“with Islam Makhachev to win this fight. I think that it's going to be a decision for Islam Makhachev.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Expects Makhachev's grappling advantage to produce a third-round submission over Garry.
“So, ultimately, I'm going with Islam Makhachev submitting Ian Garry in the third round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Sub
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Predicts Makhachev submits Garry through takedown setups and top pressure.
“cinder block. That is Islam Makachev's top pressure. And I'm gonna predict Islam Makachev submits Ian Garry.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Sub
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Backs Makhachev to beat Garry and predicts a second- or third-round submission, so no single round is recorded.
“I'm going to pick Islam Makashev to beat Ian Garry and I'm confident he gets it done. I think it's going to be a submission, either a second or third round submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Favors Makhachev without turning a possible submission into a method prediction.
“Islam Makachev wins this fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Picks Islam Makhachev by decision over Ian Machado Garry.
“So, I'm picking Makhachev to win by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Favors Makhachev on the strength of his ground advantage, estimating the matchup around 60/40.
“why I'm actually picking Islam for this one is the difference in the ground and like how green Gary looks.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Expects Makhachev's wrestling and positional control to narrowly win a competitive decision.
“But I got to go with Islam, man. And I think he's going to win this one by a decision, but I'm going to say that it's competitive. I'm going to say that it's going to be a three to2 decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Lucrative James makes Islam Makhachev his final UFC 330 prediction by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Both hosts align on Makhachev but do not share a single method call.
“We've seen him, then Ian could have some random success. I'm going to pick Islam here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Acknowledges Garry's range and intelligence but expects Makhachev's all-round game and experience to win a competitive decision.
“With that being said, this is Makhachev. I'm going Makhachev, and I'm picking him to win this one by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Makhachev by unanimous decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Picks Makhachev, citing his takedown pressure and grappling advantage over Garry.
“Pick: Islam Makhachev”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Picks Islam Makhachev; surrounding score prediction is not treated as an official method.
“You did all right." And I do think he'll test him. But, give me Islam. I think he's going to win.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Expects Makhachev's eventual takedowns to win rounds or create a finish; selects Makhachev.
“I think Islam's going to get the win.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Makhachev by unanimous decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Explicitly favours Makhachev, saying he probably wins; no method is recorded.
“I do favor Islam Makhachev, of course I do. I would be a fool to sit here and say that Islam Makhachev doesn't probably win that fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Picks Makhachev but does not commit to a finish method.
“Makachev is gonna dominate Ian Garry largely on the mat and get his arm raised.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Fight Productions takes Islam Makhachev by decision after weighing his grappling and control path.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 4
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Makhachev by fourth-round submission.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
- Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 4
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Makhachev by fourth-round submission.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Picks Islam Makhachev by decision; caption names are garbled but matchup context is explicit.
“I think Islamic is going to win by decision over Ian Machado Gary.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CallumCF MMA picks Islam Makhachev by decision, projecting a competitive but grappling-led fight.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Final call is Garry by decision.
“So, I'm going to take Ian Machado Garry via decision to get it done over Islam Makhachev.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Believes Garry's size, striking and cage work give him the edge and calls a decision win.
“And I'm going to take Ian Garry by decision. I'm going to say Ian Garry wins this fight by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Calls Garry a live major underdog based on his range, striking, takedown defense and ability to stand back up.
“So yeah, I'm going to go with Ian Gary to win this fight by by close decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry and calls him a live underdog with the striking and movement edge.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Ian Machado Garry by second-round knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Garry by unanimous decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
- Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision
MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Ian Garry by unanimous decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Analyst picks: Livid Larry MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Miss; The MMA Guru Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Hit; Kunath Miss; HopperMMA Hit; Brent Brookhouse Hit; Michael Iannone Hit; Leftlane MMA Hit; Alexander Volkanovski Hit; Brian Campbell Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Shakiel Mahjouri Hit; Michael Mormile Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Brandon Wise Miss; CallumCF MMA Hit; Jesse Holland Miss; Alexander K. Lee Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Livid Larry MMA
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Livid Larry MMA selects Islam Makhachev as the UFC 330 winner without inferring a method or round. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Livid Larry MMA selects Islam Makhachev as the UFC 330 winner without inferring a method or round. Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Favors Makhachev to win a decision, projecting close scorecards. “with Islam Makhachev to win this fight. I think that it's going to be a decision for Islam Makhachev.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Favors Makhachev to win a decision, projecting close scorecards. “with Islam Makhachev to win this fight. I think that it's going to be a decision for Islam Makhachev.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Expects Makhachev's grappling advantage to produce a third-round submission over Garry. “So, ultimately, I'm going with Islam Makhachev submitting Ian Garry in the third round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub · R3 | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Expects Makhachev's grappling advantage to produce a third-round submission over Garry. “So, ultimately, I'm going with Islam Makhachev submitting Ian Garry in the third round.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Sub Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Predicts Makhachev submits Garry through takedown setups and top pressure. “cinder block. That is Islam Makachev's top pressure. And I'm gonna predict Islam Makachev submits Ian Garry.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Predicts Makhachev submits Garry through takedown setups and top pressure. “cinder block. That is Islam Makachev's top pressure. And I'm gonna predict Islam Makachev submits Ian Garry.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Sub Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Backs Makhachev to beat Garry and predicts a second- or third-round submission, so no single round is recorded. “I'm going to pick Islam Makashev to beat Ian Garry and I'm confident he gets it done. I think it's going to be a submission, either a second or third round submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Backs Makhachev to beat Garry and predicts a second- or third-round submission, so no single round is recorded. “I'm going to pick Islam Makashev to beat Ian Garry and I'm confident he gets it done. I think it's going to be a submission, either a second or third round submission.” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Favors Makhachev without turning a possible submission into a method prediction. “Islam Makachev wins this fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Makhachev without turning a possible submission into a method prediction. “Islam Makachev wins this fight.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kasper MMA
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Picks Islam Makhachev by decision over Ian Machado Garry. “So, I'm picking Makhachev to win by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Islam Makhachev by decision over Ian Machado Garry. “So, I'm picking Makhachev to win by decision.” Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Final call is Garry by decision. “So, I'm going to take Ian Machado Garry via decision to get it done over Islam Makhachev.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Final call is Garry by decision. “So, I'm going to take Ian Machado Garry via decision to get it done over Islam Makhachev.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Believes Garry's size, striking and cage work give him the edge and calls a decision win. “And I'm going to take Ian Garry by decision. I'm going to say Ian Garry wins this fight by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Believes Garry's size, striking and cage work give him the edge and calls a decision win. “And I'm going to take Ian Garry by decision. I'm going to say Ian Garry wins this fight by decision.” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Favors Makhachev on the strength of his ground advantage, estimating the matchup around 60/40. “why I'm actually picking Islam for this one is the difference in the ground and like how green Gary looks.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Makhachev on the strength of his ground advantage, estimating the matchup around 60/40. “why I'm actually picking Islam for this one is the difference in the ground and like how green Gary looks.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Expects Makhachev's wrestling and positional control to narrowly win a competitive decision. “But I got to go with Islam, man. And I think he's going to win this one by a decision, but I'm going to say that it's competitive. I'm going to say that it's going to be a three to2 decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Makhachev's wrestling and positional control to narrowly win a competitive decision. “But I got to go with Islam, man. And I think he's going to win this one by a decision, but I'm going to say that it's competitive. I'm going to say that it's going to be a three to2 decision.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Lucrative James makes Islam Makhachev his final UFC 330 prediction by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Lucrative James makes Islam Makhachev his final UFC 330 prediction by decision. Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Calls Garry a live major underdog based on his range, striking, takedown defense and ability to stand back up. “So yeah, I'm going to go with Ian Gary to win this fight by by close decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Calls Garry a live major underdog based on his range, striking, takedown defense and ability to stand back up. “So yeah, I'm going to go with Ian Gary to win this fight by by close decision.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Both hosts align on Makhachev but do not share a single method call. “We've seen him, then Ian could have some random success. I'm going to pick Islam here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Both hosts align on Makhachev but do not share a single method call. “We've seen him, then Ian could have some random success. I'm going to pick Islam here.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kunath
Kunath
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry and calls him a live underdog with the striking and movement edge. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Kunath picks Ian Machado Garry and calls him a live underdog with the striking and movement edge. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Acknowledges Garry's range and intelligence but expects Makhachev's all-round game and experience to win a competitive decision. “With that being said, this is Makhachev. I'm going Makhachev, and I'm picking him to win this one by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Acknowledges Garry's range and intelligence but expects Makhachev's all-round game and experience to win a competitive decision. “With that being said, this is Makhachev. I'm going Makhachev, and I'm picking him to win this one by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brent Brookhouse
Brent Brookhouse
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Makhachev by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Makhachev by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 24 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Iannone
Michael Iannone
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Picks Makhachev, citing his takedown pressure and grappling advantage over Garry. “Pick: Islam Makhachev” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Makhachev, citing his takedown pressure and grappling advantage over Garry. “Pick: Islam Makhachev” Track record: winner called in 13 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Leftlane MMA
Leftlane MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Picks Islam Makhachev; surrounding score prediction is not treated as an official method. “You did all right." And I do think he'll test him. But, give me Islam. I think he's going to win.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Islam Makhachev; surrounding score prediction is not treated as an official method. “You did all right." And I do think he'll test him. But, give me Islam. I think he's going to win.” Track record: winner called in 11 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander Volkanovski
Alexander Volkanovski
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Expects Makhachev's eventual takedowns to win rounds or create a finish; selects Makhachev. “I think Islam's going to get the win.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Expects Makhachev's eventual takedowns to win rounds or create a finish; selects Makhachev. “I think Islam's going to get the win.” Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brian Campbell
Brian Campbell
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Makhachev by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Makhachev by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Bisping
Michael Bisping
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Explicitly favours Makhachev, saying he probably wins; no method is recorded. “I do favor Islam Makhachev, of course I do. I would be a fool to sit here and say that Islam Makhachev doesn't probably win that fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Explicitly favours Makhachev, saying he probably wins; no method is recorded. “I do favor Islam Makhachev, of course I do. I would be a fool to sit here and say that Islam Makhachev doesn't probably win that fight.” Track record: winner called in 19 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Picks Makhachev but does not commit to a finish method. “Makachev is gonna dominate Ian Garry largely on the mat and get his arm raised.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Makhachev but does not commit to a finish method. “Makachev is gonna dominate Ian Garry largely on the mat and get his arm raised.” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Fight Productions takes Islam Makhachev by decision after weighing his grappling and control path. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Fight Productions takes Islam Makhachev by decision after weighing his grappling and control path. Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Shakiel Mahjouri
Shakiel Mahjouri
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 4 Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Makhachev by fourth-round submission. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub · R4 | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Makhachev by fourth-round submission. Track record: winner called in 21 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Mormile
Michael Mormile
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Sub · Round 4 Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Makhachev by fourth-round submission. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub · R4 | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Makhachev by fourth-round submission. Track record: winner called in 17 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Ian Machado Garry by second-round knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · KO/TKO · R2 | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Ian Machado Garry by second-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision Picks Islam Makhachev by decision; caption names are garbled but matchup context is explicit. “I think Islamic is going to win by decision over Ian Machado Gary.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Islam Makhachev by decision; caption names are garbled but matchup context is explicit. “I think Islamic is going to win by decision over Ian Machado Gary.” Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brandon Wise
Brandon Wise
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Garry by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Garry by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 19 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
CallumCF MMA
CallumCF MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision CallumCF MMA picks Islam Makhachev by decision, projecting a competitive but grappling-led fight. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| CallumCF MMA picks Islam Makhachev by decision, projecting a competitive but grappling-led fight. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry · Dec Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Ian Garry by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Ian Garry by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
25 of 32 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.

























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