UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Diego Lopes defeats Steve Garcia by KO/TKO
Lopes vs Garcia — Featherweight · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Garcia got the better of the exchanges in the opening round.
Early in round two, Garcia sat Lopes down with a clean left hand.
Lopes answered by connecting with his own shots, and after Garcia tried to fire back, Lopes pounded out the finish.
- Official UFC resultsUFC · UFC Freedom 250 results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Lopes
A relentless, finish-hunting featherweight who challenged for the title and owns wins over Brian Ortega and Dan Ige. Lopes is dangerous in every phase — slick submissions, wild scrambles and real power — and fights at a chaotic pace that overwhelms opponents. He's the more proven, higher-level operator here.
Case for Garcia
Maybe the hottest finisher in the division nobody's talking about — a seven-fight win streak, six by stoppage, with genuine one-shot power in both hands. Garcia is big for 145 lb and hits hard enough to end Lopes's night the instant he gets careless in a scramble.
What We Were Watching For
- Lopes thrives in chaos — does that play into Garcia's power, or into Lopes's scrambles?
- Garcia's finishing streak against the best opponent of his career by a clear margin.
- Can Lopes drag it to the mat and find the submission before Garcia lands clean?
- Two heavy hitters at 145 lb — the first mistake could end it either way.
Records & career stats
- 3.79 5.46
- 47% 60%
- 4.65 2.22
- 69% 89%
- 85% 79%
- 27-8-0
- Record
- 19-5-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Brazil
- Nationality
- USA
- 31
- Age
- 34
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Southpaw
- 11:34
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 05:58
- Brazilian Warriors / Lobo Gym
- Team
- Jackson Wink MMA Academy - NM
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Diego Lopes
Lopes says his corner told him to go forward after the first round, and he made the pressure adjustment that let him exchange and finish Garcia.Lopes says his corner told him to go forward after the first round, and he made the pressure adjustment that let him exchange and finish Garcia.
- Identified forward pressure as the key corner instruction after round one.
- Said he made the necessary adjustments once Garcia chose to exchange.
- Backed his ability to trade with opponents in the middle of the octagon.
Demetrious Johnson
Demetrious Johnson says Lopes struggled with Garcia’s footwork early, then found the finish once he crossed the gap and committed to combination exchanges.Demetrious Johnson says Lopes struggled with Garcia’s footwork early, then found the finish once he crossed the gap and committed to combination exchanges.
- Highlighted Garcia’s early success taking dominant angles.
- Said Lopes became dangerous when he stopped circling and started fighting through the pocket.
- Credited the drop and second-round finish once Lopes chose to exchange.
We Want Picks
Their pick: Lopes to win · ✓ Hit We Want Picks says Lopes was losing striking exchanges until he committed to throwing, where the power gap immediately changed the fight and produced the finish.We Want Picks says Lopes was losing striking exchanges until he committed to throwing, where the power gap immediately changed the fight and produced the finish.
- Thought Lopes struggled early with Garcia’s striking and footwork.
- Called the power difference obvious once Lopes committed to the exchange.
- Argued Lopes can win more fights if he starts throwing earlier.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Sub
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Diego Lopes by submission.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Herrick sides with Lopes because Garcia's knockout streak has not come against Lopes-level opposition. He sees Lopes as better tested, harder to hurt, and likely to win a competitive three-round fight on the scorecards.
- Garcia is dangerous, but has not beaten this tier of featherweight
- Lopes has already shown durability against elite opposition
- Calls the pick medium-high confidence, around 65-70%
“With my pick, I'm going to go with Lopez. I got that at probably decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second.
“fights. And that is why I'm going to go with Diego Lopez to win this fight by a”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
AJ expects Lopes to survive Garcia's pressure behind the better chin, cleaner counters and grappling threat, then find a later-stage finish as Garcia walks into big shots.
“So, Diego Lopez over Steve Garcia later stage finish is going to be my pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Tracy admits he's worried Garcia's long, rangy striking could trouble Lopes, but trusts Lopes's proven iron chin, power and more well-rounded grappling. He sees Lopes as the bigger threat in a firefight and able to take Garcia down and bully him.
- Lopes's chin is battle-tested (Volk x2, Silva, Ige); Garcia's is unproven
- Power and grappling edge — could take Garcia down
- Worried Garcia's slick range striking could make Lopes look lost
“That's for sure. He He's in for a tough task. I'm going to lean Diego Lopez by a”
* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Diego Lopes by knockout.
“I'm picking Lopes to win by KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Lopes ("Diego Lopez") is better and made a career of catching pressure fighters coming in, so he survives Garcia's early rush and finishes him with ground-and-pound in the first round.
“Steve Garcia getting this one done. I'm going with Diego Lopez by late or mid”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Diego Lopes.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Lucrative James picks Diego Lopes by second-round KO/TKO.
“I will be predicting Diego Lopez to win this fight via knockout in round two.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Sub
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Diego Lopez by submission.
“Give me Diego Lopez by submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
A tiny lean for Diego: once you factor in his grappling and five-round title-fight experience he's the more dangerous overall.
“I'm going to pick Diego because I think he's the more dangerous overall.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Dec
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Garcia is a sloppy, very hittable fighter taking a massive step up, while Lopes has gone fifty minutes with Volkanovski and finished Jean Silva. The host thinks Lopes is a step ahead and too sharp, though Lopes tends to go to decision.
- Medium confidence — admits the odds (~63%) are closer than expected
- Garcia's danger is real — seven of his last eight by KO
- A very winnable stylistic matchup for Lopes, not a domination
“I'm going to go with Diego Lopes to beat Steve Garcia by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Sub
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Diego Lopes by submission.
“Official prediction for this fight, I’m going to go with Diego Lopes by submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Clenbat leans Diego Lopes as the pick.
“I'm going to lean Diego Lopes for my pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Artem MMA explicitly picks Diego Lopez by knockout.
“I did pick Diego Lopez to win this match up by knockout”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
The final Pure Picks recap selects Diego Lopes.
“My pick's still Diego Lopez right now”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Diego Lopes by round-two TKO.
“fight is going to be Diego Lopes by round two TKO to ground and pound or a”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Lopes is probably going to beat Garcia despite Bisping loving Garcia. He expects Lopes — who did much of his camp at Oklahoma State — to shoot takedowns and use his jiu-jitsu rather than bang with Garcia, whose finishing power is most dangerous on the feet.
- Expects Lopes to wrestle (Oklahoma State camp) and win on the ground
- May rob fans of the striking battle, since Garcia's edge is on the feet
“Diego Lopes is probably going to beat Steve Garcia. I love Steve Garcia.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
TankTopMMA takes Lopes to finish Garcia.
“I'm going to be taking Diego Lopes by a round one finish.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Sub
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
CBS Sports' UFC Freedom 250 article says SportsLine expert Kyle Marley backs Diego Lopes by submission over Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Diego Lopes; method is explicitly left as decision or third-round knockout, so no single method is recorded.
“distance or Lopez catches Steve late in the third round. My prediction, Diego Lopez by decision or third round knockout.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Diego Lopes · Sub
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Rparqs picks Lopes to win by submission.
“Give me Diego Lopez here. I'm going to say first round submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Wade thinks fans are sleeping on Garcia, who he believes should be favoured — on a long streak with seven KOs in his last eight. He argues Lopes is easily hittable, and while Lopes owns one of the best chins he's seen, even that chin can eventually be broken, and Garcia is the man to do it.
- Discounts the #2-vs-#9 ranking gap as not indicative
- Lopes is 'addicted to good fights' and will trade — into Garcia's hands
- Admits possible American bias
“I'm putting it out there right now. I think Steve Garcia beats Diego Lopez.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia · Dec
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
He flips from expecting Garcia to get outclassed: after watching tape he thinks Garcia — a long, lanky southpaw with nasty boxing and reach — out-strikes Lopes. The length helps Garcia see takedowns coming and pile up body and straight shots while Lopes hunts one big shot.
- Reach and length let Garcia counter and read the takedowns
- Garcia's chin means he won't be KO'd
- Self-flags it as a crazy pick / upset
“Steve Garcia is going to pull this one off by decision.”
* He flags it himself as a 'crazy pick.'
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia · Dec
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
MMA JOEY selects Steve Garcia by decision after comparing the striking and momentum in the matchup.
“I'm going Steve Garcia decision 2928.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
138 MMA sides with Steve Garcia in the close opener.
“I think I'm going to take Steve Garcia.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia · KO/TKO
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Fight IQ with Von picks Garcia by knockout.
“My pick is Steve Garcia via KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Izzysdegenmind selects Steve Garcia for the opener.
“Give me Steve Garcia to win by knockout or TKO or decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
GypMMA sides with Garcia after tape study.
“I think Steve Garcia can actually beat Diego Lopes.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Levy likes Garcia as an underdog because he believes Garcia has better MMA boxing fundamentals, footwork and minute-winning tools, while Lopes relies more on opportunistic finishing moments.
- Garcia's boxing fundamentals and footwork are the edge
- Lopes has finish danger and a ground advantage
- Sees Garcia as a live underdog who can extend the streak
“department. So, for that reason, I'm going to pick Steve Garcia to come out”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Uselyis explicitly picks Steve Garcia.
“The pick is going to be Steve Garcia”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Steve Garcia.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia · Dec
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
HorseBeef MMA flips to Garcia by decision.
“I'm going to say Steve Garcia via decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Steve Garcia · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO
Picks Steve Garcia by second-round TKO, with decision retained as an alternative in the transcript.
“Diego against Steve Casia. Let's go with the American Steve Casia by second round TKO. Maybe a decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Miss; Travis Herrick MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; Drake Burden Hit; James Blissett Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Miss; HopperMMA Hit; Jake Letarski Miss; Fight IQ with Von Miss; BetSam Hit; Clenbat Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Izzysdegenmind Miss; GypMMA Miss; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; Half The Battle Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Joe SunTszu Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; TankTopMMA Hit; Kyle Marley Hit; Uselyis Miss; Chris Olson Miss; Moneyball MMA Hit; Rparqs Hit; HorseBeef MMA Miss; Lightning MMA Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaren Kawada
Jaren Kawada
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Sub Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Diego Lopes by submission. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Diego Lopes by submission. Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The W.A.D.E. Concept
The W.A.D.E. Concept
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Wade thinks fans are sleeping on Garcia, who he believes should be favoured — on a long streak with seven KOs in his last eight. He argues Lopes is easily hittable, and while Lopes owns one of the best chins he's seen, even that chin can eventually be broken, and Garcia is the man to do it.
“I'm putting it out there right now. I think Steve Garcia beats Diego Lopez.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Wade thinks fans are sleeping on Garcia, who he believes should be favoured — on a long streak with seven KOs in his last eight. He argues Lopes is easily hittable, and while Lopes owns one of the best chins he's seen, even that chin can eventually be broken, and Garcia is the man to do it.
“I'm putting it out there right now. I think Steve Garcia beats Diego Lopez.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Travis Herrick MMA
Travis Herrick MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Herrick sides with Lopes because Garcia's knockout streak has not come against Lopes-level opposition. He sees Lopes as better tested, harder to hurt, and likely to win a competitive three-round fight on the scorecards.
“With my pick, I'm going to go with Lopez. I got that at probably decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Herrick sides with Lopes because Garcia's knockout streak has not come against Lopes-level opposition. He sees Lopes as better tested, harder to hurt, and likely to win a competitive three-round fight on the scorecards.
“With my pick, I'm going to go with Lopez. I got that at probably decision.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia · Dec Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO He flips from expecting Garcia to get outclassed: after watching tape he thinks Garcia — a long, lanky southpaw with nasty boxing and reach — out-strikes Lopes. The length helps Garcia see takedowns coming and pile up body and straight shots while Lopes hunts one big shot.
“Steve Garcia is going to pull this one off by decision.” * He flags it himself as a 'crazy pick.' Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · Dec | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| He flips from expecting Garcia to get outclassed: after watching tape he thinks Garcia — a long, lanky southpaw with nasty boxing and reach — out-strikes Lopes. The length helps Garcia see takedowns coming and pile up body and straight shots while Lopes hunts one big shot.
“Steve Garcia is going to pull this one off by decision.” * He flags it himself as a 'crazy pick.' Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second. “fights. And that is why I'm going to go with Diego Lopez to win this fight by a” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second. “fights. And that is why I'm going to go with Diego Lopez to win this fight by a” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO AJ expects Lopes to survive Garcia's pressure behind the better chin, cleaner counters and grappling threat, then find a later-stage finish as Garcia walks into big shots. “So, Diego Lopez over Steve Garcia later stage finish is going to be my pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| AJ expects Lopes to survive Garcia's pressure behind the better chin, cleaner counters and grappling threat, then find a later-stage finish as Garcia walks into big shots. “So, Diego Lopez over Steve Garcia later stage finish is going to be my pick.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Tracy admits he's worried Garcia's long, rangy striking could trouble Lopes, but trusts Lopes's proven iron chin, power and more well-rounded grappling. He sees Lopes as the bigger threat in a firefight and able to take Garcia down and bully him.
“That's for sure. He He's in for a tough task. I'm going to lean Diego Lopez by a” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Tracy admits he's worried Garcia's long, rangy striking could trouble Lopes, but trusts Lopes's proven iron chin, power and more well-rounded grappling. He sees Lopes as the bigger threat in a firefight and able to take Garcia down and bully him.
“That's for sure. He He's in for a tough task. I'm going to lean Diego Lopez by a” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kasper MMA
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Diego Lopes by knockout. “I'm picking Lopes to win by KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Diego Lopes by knockout. “I'm picking Lopes to win by KO.” Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia · Dec Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO MMA JOEY selects Steve Garcia by decision after comparing the striking and momentum in the matchup. “I'm going Steve Garcia decision 2928.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · Dec | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA JOEY selects Steve Garcia by decision after comparing the striking and momentum in the matchup. “I'm going Steve Garcia decision 2928.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Lopes ("Diego Lopez") is better and made a career of catching pressure fighters coming in, so he survives Garcia's early rush and finishes him with ground-and-pound in the first round. “Steve Garcia getting this one done. I'm going with Diego Lopez by late or mid” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R1 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Lopes ("Diego Lopez") is better and made a career of catching pressure fighters coming in, so he survives Garcia's early rush and finishes him with ground-and-pound in the first round. “Steve Garcia getting this one done. I'm going with Diego Lopez by late or mid” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Diego Lopes. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Diego Lopes. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Lucrative James picks Diego Lopes by second-round KO/TKO. “I will be predicting Diego Lopez to win this fight via knockout in round two.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Lucrative James picks Diego Lopes by second-round KO/TKO. “I will be predicting Diego Lopez to win this fight via knockout in round two.” Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Husky Hustler
MMA Husky Hustler
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Sub Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Diego Lopez by submission. “Give me Diego Lopez by submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Diego Lopez by submission. “Give me Diego Lopez by submission.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO A tiny lean for Diego: once you factor in his grappling and five-round title-fight experience he's the more dangerous overall. “I'm going to pick Diego because I think he's the more dangerous overall.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| A tiny lean for Diego: once you factor in his grappling and five-round title-fight experience he's the more dangerous overall. “I'm going to pick Diego because I think he's the more dangerous overall.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
138 MMA
138 MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO 138 MMA sides with Steve Garcia in the close opener. “I think I'm going to take Steve Garcia.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| 138 MMA sides with Steve Garcia in the close opener. “I think I'm going to take Steve Garcia.” Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Dec Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Garcia is a sloppy, very hittable fighter taking a massive step up, while Lopes has gone fifty minutes with Volkanovski and finished Jean Silva. The host thinks Lopes is a step ahead and too sharp, though Lopes tends to go to decision.
“I'm going to go with Diego Lopes to beat Steve Garcia by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Dec | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Garcia is a sloppy, very hittable fighter taking a massive step up, while Lopes has gone fifty minutes with Volkanovski and finished Jean Silva. The host thinks Lopes is a step ahead and too sharp, though Lopes tends to go to decision.
“I'm going to go with Diego Lopes to beat Steve Garcia by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jake Letarski
Jake Letarski
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Steve Garcia. Track record: winner called in 40 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight IQ with Von
Fight IQ with Von
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight IQ with Von picks Garcia by knockout. “My pick is Steve Garcia via KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Fight IQ with Von picks Garcia by knockout. “My pick is Steve Garcia via KO.” Track record: winner called in 10 of 16 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BetSam
BetSam
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Sub Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Diego Lopes by submission. “Official prediction for this fight, I’m going to go with Diego Lopes by submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Diego Lopes by submission. “Official prediction for this fight, I’m going to go with Diego Lopes by submission.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Clenbat leans Diego Lopes as the pick. “I'm going to lean Diego Lopes for my pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat leans Diego Lopes as the pick. “I'm going to lean Diego Lopes for my pick.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Artem MMA explicitly picks Diego Lopez by knockout. “I did pick Diego Lopez to win this match up by knockout” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Artem MMA explicitly picks Diego Lopez by knockout. “I did pick Diego Lopez to win this match up by knockout” Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Izzysdegenmind
Izzysdegenmind
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Izzysdegenmind selects Steve Garcia for the opener. “Give me Steve Garcia to win by knockout or TKO or decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Izzysdegenmind selects Steve Garcia for the opener. “Give me Steve Garcia to win by knockout or TKO or decision.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
GypMMA
GypMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO GypMMA sides with Garcia after tape study. “I think Steve Garcia can actually beat Diego Lopes.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| GypMMA sides with Garcia after tape study. “I think Steve Garcia can actually beat Diego Lopes.” Track record: winner called in 10 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Pure Picks
Pure Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO The final Pure Picks recap selects Diego Lopes. “My pick's still Diego Lopez right now” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The final Pure Picks recap selects Diego Lopes. “My pick's still Diego Lopez right now” Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Aniki MMA
Aniki MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Diego Lopes by round-two TKO. “fight is going to be Diego Lopes by round two TKO to ground and pound or a” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Diego Lopes by round-two TKO. “fight is going to be Diego Lopes by round two TKO to ground and pound or a” Track record: winner called in 11 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Bisping
Michael Bisping
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Lopes is probably going to beat Garcia despite Bisping loving Garcia. He expects Lopes — who did much of his camp at Oklahoma State — to shoot takedowns and use his jiu-jitsu rather than bang with Garcia, whose finishing power is most dangerous on the feet.
“Diego Lopes is probably going to beat Steve Garcia. I love Steve Garcia.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Lopes is probably going to beat Garcia despite Bisping loving Garcia. He expects Lopes — who did much of his camp at Oklahoma State — to shoot takedowns and use his jiu-jitsu rather than bang with Garcia, whose finishing power is most dangerous on the feet.
“Diego Lopes is probably going to beat Steve Garcia. I love Steve Garcia.” Track record: winner called in 19 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Levy likes Garcia as an underdog because he believes Garcia has better MMA boxing fundamentals, footwork and minute-winning tools, while Lopes relies more on opportunistic finishing moments.
“department. So, for that reason, I'm going to pick Steve Garcia to come out” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Levy likes Garcia as an underdog because he believes Garcia has better MMA boxing fundamentals, footwork and minute-winning tools, while Lopes relies more on opportunistic finishing moments.
“department. So, for that reason, I'm going to pick Steve Garcia to come out” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Steve Garcia. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Joe SunTszu
Joe SunTszu
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Steve Garcia. Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Steve Garcia. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TankTopMMA
TankTopMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO TankTopMMA takes Lopes to finish Garcia. “I'm going to be taking Diego Lopes by a round one finish.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| TankTopMMA takes Lopes to finish Garcia. “I'm going to be taking Diego Lopes by a round one finish.” Track record: winner called in 8 of 16 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kyle Marley
Kyle Marley
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Sub Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO CBS Sports' UFC Freedom 250 article says SportsLine expert Kyle Marley backs Diego Lopes by submission over Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| CBS Sports' UFC Freedom 250 article says SportsLine expert Kyle Marley backs Diego Lopes by submission over Steve Garcia. Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Uselyis explicitly picks Steve Garcia. “The pick is going to be Steve Garcia” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Uselyis explicitly picks Steve Garcia. “The pick is going to be Steve Garcia” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Steve Garcia. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Steve Garcia. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Moneyball MMA
Moneyball MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Diego Lopes; method is explicitly left as decision or third-round knockout, so no single method is recorded. “distance or Lopez catches Steve late in the third round. My prediction, Diego Lopez by decision or third round knockout.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Diego Lopes; method is explicitly left as decision or third-round knockout, so no single method is recorded. “distance or Lopez catches Steve late in the third round. My prediction, Diego Lopez by decision or third round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Rparqs
Rparqs
Current pick evidencePicked: Diego Lopes · Sub Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Rparqs picks Lopes to win by submission. “Give me Diego Lopez here. I'm going to say first round submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Rparqs picks Lopes to win by submission. “Give me Diego Lopez here. I'm going to say first round submission.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HorseBeef MMA
HorseBeef MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia · Dec Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO HorseBeef MMA flips to Garcia by decision. “I'm going to say Steve Garcia via decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · Dec | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| HorseBeef MMA flips to Garcia by decision. “I'm going to say Steve Garcia via decision.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lightning MMA
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Steve Garcia · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Diego Lopes · KO/TKO Picks Steve Garcia by second-round TKO, with decision retained as an alternative in the transcript. “Diego against Steve Casia. Let's go with the American Steve Casia by second round TKO. Maybe a decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Steve Garcia by second-round TKO, with decision retained as an alternative in the transcript. “Diego against Steve Casia. Let's go with the American Steve Casia by second round TKO. Maybe a decision.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
22 of 38 called the winner.
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