UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez  1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Aleksandar Rakić defeats Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision

Loss Marcin Tybura 27-12-0
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Rakić vs Tybura — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Rakic took the first round with better output and cleaner blows in his heavyweight debut. The contest then moved into the second round.

Tybura pushed back through the second and third rounds. Rakic had already taken the opening round.

The contest went the full fifteen minutes and Rakic took the unanimous verdict.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Rakić

Rakić remains the cleaner athlete and the harder single-shot puncher, with a 71% finish rate and an 86% takedown defence that should keep this standing. Tybura was knocked out by Ante Delija in just over two minutes in September 2025, so the finish is there even on Rakić's first trip to heavyweight.

Case for Tybura

Tybura is the more durable and more experienced man at 27-11, with a 1.30 takedown average that gives him a path Rakić has struggled to answer. Rakić has lost four in a row and been stopped by strikes twice in that run; if Tybura can make it a grinding, clinch-heavy fight, the older man has the better engine.

What We Were Watching For

  • Rakić's leg kicks — historically his best weapon, and Tybura's base depends on his stance.
  • Takedowns; Tybura lands 1.30 per fifteen minutes against Rakić's 86% takedown defence.
  • Whether either man shows the chin damage of a combined six recent losses.
  • Pace after round two — Rakić is 34, Tybura 40, and neither has finished a fight late recently.
Records & career stats
Rakić Tybura
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.20 3.49
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 55% 55%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.78 3.34
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 87% 71%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 71% 63%
14-6-0
Record
27-11-0
1-4 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
Austria
Nationality
Poland
34
Age
40
1.93 m
Height — Rakić leads
1.91 m
198 cm
Reach
198 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
71%
Finish rateFinish % — Rakić leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
63%
9
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Tybura leads
10
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Tybura leads
7
4.20
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Rakić leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.49
2.78
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Rakić leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.34
55%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
55%
87%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Rakić leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
71%
11:03
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
11:11
Light Heavyweight (moving up)
Weight classWeight
Heavyweight
American Top Team Zagreb
Team
S4 Warszawa

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Sees a clear striking and speed edge for Rakic plus leg kicks and takedowns, with Tybura fading badly into the later rounds. Openly flags Rakic's chin as the one way it goes wrong.

“Rockic versus Marching Tiber, mate. You know the thing about Marching Tyber, know the thing about Marching Tyber, mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by decision, but I'm not fully confident. decision, but I'm not fully confident. Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling me obviously you pick [ __ ] Alexander me obviousl”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Thinks Rakic's speed, footwork and kicks at his new heavyweight build are far too much for a fading 40-year-old Tybura, who has no real power to threaten him.

“decision. Both seem very likely for this matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a pretty lopsided win against an aging pretty lopsided win against an aging Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me is going to be Alexander Rockic to get is going to be Alexander Rockic to get back on business. And I think he beats back on business. And I think he beats up Martian Tyber in the feature fight of up Martian Tyber in the ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Likes the move to heavyweight for Rakic, who he says is oversized for 205 and will perform better without the cut, with a clear athleticism, speed and power edge over the 40-year-old Tybura.

“Rakic. I think all signs point to him being a heavy favorite in this fight. being a heavy favorite in this fight. So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar Rakic Rakic to win. I don't know how. I know I know to win. I don't know how. I know I know in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys really want me to give you methods of really want me to give you methods of victory, but victory, but it's just it's it's too much at ti”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Expects Rakic's size, movement and leg kicks to break down the plodding Tybura, then finish him on top after sprawling on a desperation takedown.

“I'm going to go with Robert Valentin getting this one done by finish early. getting this one done by finish early. Early on the card. We move on. Early on the card. We move on. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin Tybura, Tybura, I don't know what we ever saw in him. I don't know what we ever saw in him. And yes, we And yes, we you remember a time where Rakic was you remember a time w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls it his lock of the card: Tybura's knees and mobility are shot, Rakic's low kicks are stylistically too much, and moving up may protect Rakic's chin by removing the weight cut.

“but because stylistically, I think his low kicks could be very problematic for low kicks could be very problematic for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO or points. or points. Next up, we got the co-main event, I Next up, we got the co-main event, I believe. believe. We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo Sterling. We got the white Ad”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Tybura slow, sloppy and washed and says Rakic should be faster and sharper even in his heavyweight debut, settling on a wide, coasting decision.

“isn't good. This is absolutely a fight that Rockic should win. He should win it that Rockic should win. He should win it all day long. Might even find a TKO, but all day long. Might even find a TKO, but I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe even catches him with a head kick, even catches him with ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Frames it as the battle of who is least washed — Rakic has not won in five years, but he is the more skilled striker with better takedown defence against a Tybura who looks horrible.

“Let me just pick apart this slow old man for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." And I kind of think that's what's going And I kind of think that's what's going to happen. So, I'm going to go on to happen. So, I'm going to go on Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Up next, we got Robert Whittaker Up next, we got Robert Whittaker going against Duško Todorović. We got going against Duško Todorović. We got Valentine -130.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Backs Rakic’s footwork, striking and takedown defence despite a suspect chin, while calling the price risky money on a fighter coming off four straight losses.

“clearly, his last one. Seems like Seems like very risky money to make. very risky money to make. But Rakić is the pick. But Rakić is the pick. And then we have the co-main event of And then we have the co-main event of the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here because Bogdan Guskov will move to because Bogdan Guskov will move to another card. Jan got moved around and another card. Jan got moved around and there was a lot of movement here, but we there was a lot ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Tybura a beatable gatekeeper who has looked awful in his last two, while Rakic is the far better, taller, more powerful striker who should suit heavyweight better.

“long, athletic, pretty powerful, too. So, So, just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. And I'm going to go with Aleksandar And I'm going to go with Aleksandar Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really do feel like this has to be the fight do feel like this has to be the fight where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If you ain't beating Marcin Tybura, I don't you ain't beating Marcin ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Thinks Rakic has every base covered against an aging, fading Tybura — far faster at range, with no realistic takedown threat against him — and calls a quick blitz finish.

“slick for Tybura, avoid getting dragged into a slow-paced clinch battle, and into a slow-paced clinch battle, and just win this fight. So, I'm going to just win this fight. So, I'm going to say he actually wins via first-round KO say he actually wins via first-round KO here. here. And co-main event time, we got Jan And co-main event time, we got Jan Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's taking on Navajo Sterling. taking on Navajo Sterling. And um And um another fi”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Aleksandar Rakic by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Rakic a fraud he has no long-term confidence in, but says the move to heavyweight is right and the speed and athleticism edge over a slow 40-year-old Tybura should get him back on track.

“get back on track, have that speed advantage, be a little bit more athletic advantage, be a little bit more athletic than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a win here, then they match him up with a win here, then they match him up with a a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan Oezdemir takes that leg home. They match Oezdemir takes that leg home. They m”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Takes Rakic on speed and leg kicks moving up to heavyweight, while flatly refusing to bet him at the price because of the chin, the cardio and Tybura's grappling.

“think we're kind of on the same page there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's your official pick? your official pick? >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to see him high up this week. going to see him high up this week. >> All right, moving on down. We've got >> All right, moving on down. We've got R”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Sees a clear striking and speed edge for Rakic plus leg kicks and takedowns, with Tybura fading badly into the later rounds. Openly flags Rakic's chin as the one way it goes wrong.

“Rockic versus Marching Tiber, mate. You know the thing about Marching Tyber, know the thing about Marching Tyber, mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by decision, but I'm not fully confident. decision, but I'm not fully confident. Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling me obviously you pick [ __ ] Alexander me obviousl”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · DecRakić · Dec R3HitHitNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Thinks Rakic's speed, footwork and kicks at his new heavyweight build are far too much for a fading 40-year-old Tybura, who has no real power to threaten him.

“decision. Both seem very likely for this matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a pretty lopsided win against an aging pretty lopsided win against an aging Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me is going to be Alexander Rockic to get is going to be Alexander Rockic to get back on business. And I think he beats back on business. And I think he beats up Martian Tyber in the feature fight of up Martian Tyber in the ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Likes the move to heavyweight for Rakic, who he says is oversized for 205 and will perform better without the cut, with a clear athleticism, speed and power edge over the 40-year-old Tybura.

“Rakic. I think all signs point to him being a heavy favorite in this fight. being a heavy favorite in this fight. So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar Rakic Rakic to win. I don't know how. I know I know to win. I don't know how. I know I know in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys really want me to give you methods of really want me to give you methods of victory, but victory, but it's just it's it's too much at ti”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Expects Rakic's size, movement and leg kicks to break down the plodding Tybura, then finish him on top after sprawling on a desperation takedown.

“I'm going to go with Robert Valentin getting this one done by finish early. getting this one done by finish early. Early on the card. We move on. Early on the card. We move on. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin Tybura, Tybura, I don't know what we ever saw in him. I don't know what we ever saw in him. And yes, we And yes, we you remember a time where Rakic was you remember a time w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKORakić · Dec R3HitMissNot called
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls it his lock of the card: Tybura's knees and mobility are shot, Rakic's low kicks are stylistically too much, and moving up may protect Rakic's chin by removing the weight cut.

“but because stylistically, I think his low kicks could be very problematic for low kicks could be very problematic for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO or points. or points. Next up, we got the co-main event, I Next up, we got the co-main event, I believe. believe. We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo Sterling. We got the white Ad”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Tybura slow, sloppy and washed and says Rakic should be faster and sharper even in his heavyweight debut, settling on a wide, coasting decision.

“isn't good. This is absolutely a fight that Rockic should win. He should win it that Rockic should win. He should win it all day long. Might even find a TKO, but all day long. Might even find a TKO, but I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe even catches him with a head kick, even catches him with ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · DecRakić · Dec R3HitHitNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Frames it as the battle of who is least washed — Rakic has not won in five years, but he is the more skilled striker with better takedown defence against a Tybura who looks horrible.

“Let me just pick apart this slow old man for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." And I kind of think that's what's going And I kind of think that's what's going to happen. So, I'm going to go on to happen. So, I'm going to go on Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Up next, we got Robert Whittaker Up next, we got Robert Whittaker going against Duško Todorović. We got going against Duško Todorović. We got Valentine -130.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · DecRakić · Dec R3HitHitNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Backs Rakic’s footwork, striking and takedown defence despite a suspect chin, while calling the price risky money on a fighter coming off four straight losses.

“clearly, his last one. Seems like Seems like very risky money to make. very risky money to make. But Rakić is the pick. But Rakić is the pick. And then we have the co-main event of And then we have the co-main event of the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here because Bogdan Guskov will move to because Bogdan Guskov will move to another card. Jan got moved around and another card. Jan got moved around and there was a lot of movement here, but we there was a lot ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Tybura a beatable gatekeeper who has looked awful in his last two, while Rakic is the far better, taller, more powerful striker who should suit heavyweight better.

“long, athletic, pretty powerful, too. So, So, just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. And I'm going to go with Aleksandar And I'm going to go with Aleksandar Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really do feel like this has to be the fight do feel like this has to be the fight where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If you ain't beating Marcin Tybura, I don't you ain't beating Marcin ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO · R3Rakić · Dec R3HitMissMiss
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Thinks Rakic has every base covered against an aging, fading Tybura — far faster at range, with no realistic takedown threat against him — and calls a quick blitz finish.

“slick for Tybura, avoid getting dragged into a slow-paced clinch battle, and into a slow-paced clinch battle, and just win this fight. So, I'm going to just win this fight. So, I'm going to say he actually wins via first-round KO say he actually wins via first-round KO here. here. And co-main event time, we got Jan And co-main event time, we got Jan Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's taking on Navajo Sterling. taking on Navajo Sterling. And um And um another fi”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO · R1Rakić · Dec R3HitMissMiss
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić · Dec

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Aleksandar Rakic by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · DecRakić · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Calls Rakic a fraud he has no long-term confidence in, but says the move to heavyweight is right and the speed and athleticism edge over a slow 40-year-old Tybura should get him back on track.

“get back on track, have that speed advantage, be a little bit more athletic advantage, be a little bit more athletic than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a win here, then they match him up with a win here, then they match him up with a a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan Oezdemir takes that leg home. They match Oezdemir takes that leg home. They m”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Aleksandar Rakić

Fight result: Aleksandar Rakić · Decision

Takes Rakic on speed and leg kicks moving up to heavyweight, while flatly refusing to bet him at the price because of the chin, the cardio and Tybura's grappling.

“think we're kind of on the same page there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's your official pick? your official pick? >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to see him high up this week. going to see him high up this week. >> All right, moving on down. We've got >> All right, moving on down. We've got R”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called

13 of 13 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.