UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang  3 Oct 2026 · the Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, US

Damian Pinas defeats Andrey Pulyaev by KO/TKO

Win Damian Pinas 11-1-0
Loss Andrey Pulyaev 10-6-0
KO/TKO · uppercut

Round 1 · 1:15

Pinas vs Pulyaev — Middleweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

UFC Español's event recap described Pinas spotting an opening and driving an uppercut through it; that single punch ended the fight at 1:15 of the first round.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Pinas

Pinas brings middleweight pressure.

Case for Pulyaev

Pulyaev brings a physical positional challenge.

What We Were Watching For

  • Who controls the clinch.
  • Which fighter sets the pace.
Records & career stats
Pinas Pulyaev
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 6.33 3.6
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 39% 55%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 5.89 2.96
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 86% 56%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 100% 80%
10-1-0
Record
10-5-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Suriname
Nationality
Not published
24
Age
29
1.85 m
Height — Pulyaev leads
193.04 cm
192 cm
Reach — Pulyaev leads
199.39 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Pinas leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
80%
10
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Pinas leads
6
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Pulyaev leads
2
6.33
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Pinas leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.6
5.89
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Pulyaev leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.96
39%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Pulyaev leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
55%
86%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Pinas leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
56%
03:00
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:27
Porrada Training Center
Team
Storm School

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

UFC Predictions Tracker

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Highlights Pinas as a betting opportunity because the tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors all favor him; discusses the conditional knockout market rather than the short moneyline price.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (3 calls)
Hank

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s knockout power and expects him to finish Pulyaev early.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
  • Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Tony Sink

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Tony Sink selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Bedtime favors Pinas’s measured striking, accuracy and defensive reads. He expects a straight right hand to catch Pulyaev as he retreats with his chin raised and picks Pinas by second-round knockout.

“I'm going with Damen Penos by round 2 KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

He expects Pinas to be patient and pick his shots, and contrasts Pulyaev with Almeida, whose naked leg kick Pinas timed with a right hand. He predicts another first-round knockout for Pinas.

  • He describes Pinas as patient and says he picks his moments more carefully against better opposition.
“another first round knockout for Damen Penz. Four in a row. That's what I'm expecting here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Chiesa thinks Pulyaev can make this a longer fight than Pinas usually encounters, but does not expect that to be enough to win. He sees Pulyaev needing to evade the power punches and find his left high kick, and favors Pinas.

“I'm going with Damen Penos.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Bodetti picks Pinas for his speed and power, while respecting Pulyaev’s durability. He questions how Pinas will handle the elevation if the fight reaches later rounds.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Matt

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s power to overwhelm Pulyaev for a first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (21 calls)
Fite Feed

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s varied punching combinations to find a finish despite Pulyaev’s tricky lateral movement.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by first-round TKO. Favors his explosive power and cites his knockout of Cesar Almeida, while seeing Pulyaev as too hesitant against athletic opponents.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Jake picks Damian Pinas by knockout, expecting a straight-right counter as Andrey Pulyaev throws kicks. He acknowledges Pulyaev’s survival against powerful opponents but emphasizes Pinas’s accuracy and patience.

“Damian Penasse by knockout over Andre Puliev.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Feely views Pinas as the stronger, more powerful fighter. He expects Pulyaev to make him work early before Pinas overwhelms him.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Damian Pinas by first-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Kunath selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Picks with the Geek 2

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s power, speed and athleticism in another tough matchup for Pulyaev and suggests a first-round finish without specifying the method.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (8 calls)
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Lynch picks Pinas by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Clenbat selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Damian Pinas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Thinks Pinas’s footwork, ability to close distance and wider striking variety will let him track down Pulyaev and land his knockout power.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
The Octagon Oracle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by TKO but warns that his front chokes provide a submission alternative if he drops Pulyaev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
BeewolfMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s athleticism, striking fundamentals and power, expecting a first-round knockout. Allows that Pinas could also show some wrestling.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
  • Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (23 calls)
mmadbm

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by knockout because his cage cutting and willingness to step into his shots should eventually produce a big right hand. He expects Pulyaev’s footwork to make the fight tricky before Pinas lands.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Litterine selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
The Finz Chats

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

The Finz Chats selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (22 calls)
D.Rose

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s power to knock Pulyaev out in the first round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda selects Damian Pinas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Chris Cross

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Chris Cross picks Damian Pinas to win by second-round knockout, citing Pinas's activity.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Schweppe says Pinas’ striking grade is not supported by the Almeida striking totals and notes Pulyaev outstruck Gautier.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Vinny

Current pick evidence

Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · Sub · Round 3

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pulyaev to weather Pinas’s power and submit him in round three, arguing Pinas is untested in deeper waters.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
  • Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)

Analyst picks: UFC Predictions Tracker Hit; Hank Hit; Tony Sink Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Matt Hit; Fite Feed Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Tom Feely Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; James Lynch Hit; Clenbat Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Hit; The Octagon Oracle Hit; BeewolfMMA Hit; mmadbm Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; The Finz Chats Hit; D.Rose Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Vinny Miss; The MMA Yuda Hit; Chris Cross Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
UFC Predictions Tracker3 resolved calls
UFC Predictions Tracker

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Highlights Pinas as a betting opportunity because the tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors all favor him; discusses the conditional knockout market rather than the short moneyline price.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (3 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Hank12 resolved calls
Hank

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s knockout power and expects him to finish Pulyaev early.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
  • Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Tony Sink9 resolved calls
Tony Sink

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Tony Sink selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Jimbo Ortega MMA29 resolved calls
Jimbo Ortega MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Bedtime favors Pinas’s measured striking, accuracy and defensive reads. He expects a straight right hand to catch Pulyaev as he retreats with his chin raised and picks Pinas by second-round knockout.

“I'm going with Damen Penos by round 2 KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

He expects Pinas to be patient and pick his shots, and contrasts Pulyaev with Almeida, whose naked leg kick Pinas timed with a right hand. He predicts another first-round knockout for Pinas.

  • He describes Pinas as patient and says he picks his moments more carefully against better opposition.
“another first round knockout for Damen Penz. Four in a row. That's what I'm expecting here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Chiesa thinks Pulyaev can make this a longer fight than Pinas usually encounters, but does not expect that to be enough to win. He sees Pulyaev needing to evade the power punches and find his left high kick, and favors Pinas.

“I'm going with Damen Penos.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Bodetti picks Pinas for his speed and power, while respecting Pulyaev’s durability. He questions how Pinas will handle the elevation if the fight reaches later rounds.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Matt21 resolved calls
Matt

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s power to overwhelm Pulyaev for a first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (21 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Fite Feed12 resolved calls
Fite Feed

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s varied punching combinations to find a finish despite Pulyaev’s tricky lateral movement.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by first-round TKO. Favors his explosive power and cites his knockout of Cesar Almeida, while seeing Pulyaev as too hesitant against athletic opponents.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Jake picks Damian Pinas by knockout, expecting a straight-right counter as Andrey Pulyaev throws kicks. He acknowledges Pulyaev’s survival against powerful opponents but emphasizes Pinas’s accuracy and patience.

“Damian Penasse by knockout over Andre Puliev.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Tom Feely20 resolved calls
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Feely views Pinas as the stronger, more powerful fighter. He expects Pulyaev to make him work early before Pinas overwhelms him.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Damian Pinas by first-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Kunath selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Picks with the Geek 28 resolved calls
Picks with the Geek 2

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s power, speed and athleticism in another tough matchup for Pulyaev and suggests a first-round finish without specifying the method.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (8 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Lynch picks Pinas by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Clenbat36 resolved calls
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Clenbat selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Damian Pinas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Thinks Pinas’s footwork, ability to close distance and wider striking variety will let him track down Pulyaev and land his knockout power.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
The Octagon Oracle12 resolved calls
The Octagon Oracle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by TKO but warns that his front chokes provide a submission alternative if he drops Pulyaev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
BeewolfMMA23 resolved calls
BeewolfMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Favors Pinas’s athleticism, striking fundamentals and power, expecting a first-round knockout. Allows that Pinas could also show some wrestling.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
  • Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (23 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
mmadbm23 resolved calls
mmadbm

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Picks Pinas by knockout because his cage cutting and willingness to step into his shots should eventually produce a big right hand. He expects Pulyaev’s footwork to make the fight tricky before Pinas lands.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Litterine selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
The Finz Chats22 resolved calls
The Finz Chats

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

The Finz Chats selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (22 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
D.Rose21 resolved calls
D.Rose

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pinas’s power to knock Pulyaev out in the first round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Schweppe says Pinas’ striking grade is not supported by the Almeida striking totals and notes Pulyaev outstruck Gautier.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Pulyaev · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R1Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Vinny12 resolved calls
Vinny

Current pick evidence

Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · Sub · Round 3

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Expects Pulyaev to weather Pinas’s power and submit him in round three, arguing Pinas is untested in deeper waters.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
  • Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (12 calls)
Pulyaev · Sub · R3Pinas · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda selects Damian Pinas.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Pinas · to winPinas · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Chris Cross20 resolved calls
Chris Cross

Current pick evidence

Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO

Chris Cross picks Damian Pinas to win by second-round knockout, citing Pinas's activity.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Pinas · KO/TKO · R2Pinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss

30 of 32 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Pinas · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability Gemini put 78% on Pinas.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
73% Pinas
27% Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R1ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHit
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
72% Pinas
28% Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R1ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHit
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
78% Pinas
22% Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R2ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMiss
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 29 Sep, 4 days before the fight

All 3 models pick Pinas

All three expect a win by KO/TKO, with win chances from 72% (Claude) to 78% (Gemini).

Method mix differs most for Decision: 29% (Claude) to 34% (ChatGPT), a 5-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1

    Win probability: Pinas 73%, Pulyaev 27%.

    gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep

    High confidence
  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1

    Win probability: Pinas 72%, Pulyaev 28%.

    claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep

    High confidence
  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick Pinas by KO/TKO in round 2

    Win probability: Pinas 78%, Pulyaev 22%.

    Version not reported · 29 Sep

    High confidence
More detail2 areas differ

The models differ on round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 1Round 1Round 2
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 1Round 1Round 2

ChatGPT

Pick

Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Pinas 73%, Pulyaev 27%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 59% overall: Pinas 49%, Pulyaev 10%
Submission, 7% overall: Pinas 4%, Pulyaev 3%
Decision, 34% overall: Pinas 20%, Pulyaev 14%

gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Pinas 72%, Pulyaev 28%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 62% overall: Pinas 50%, Pulyaev 12%
Submission, 9% overall: Pinas 5%, Pulyaev 4%
Decision, 29% overall: Pinas 17%, Pulyaev 12%

claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Pinas by KO/TKO in round 2

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Pinas 78%, Pulyaev 22%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 60% overall: Pinas 52%, Pulyaev 8%
Submission, 7% overall: Pinas 5%, Pulyaev 2%
Decision, 33% overall: Pinas 21%, Pulyaev 12%

Version not reported · 29 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.