Yan vs Dvalishvili — Bantamweight Title · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Scheduled · 24 Oct 2026 UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev UFC 333 · Bantamweight Title · Co-Main Event · 5 rounds · Abu Dhabi
Petr
Yan
Record Record: 20-5-0
Wins
20
Losses
5
Draws
0
7KO/TKO
1Sub
12Dec

Red corner

20-5-0
Record
21-5-0
Source pending
Nationality
Source pending
33
Age
35
67.5 in
Height — Yan leads
66 in
67 in
Reach — Dvalishvili leads
68 in
5.16
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Yan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.42
40%
Finish rateFinish % — Yan leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
24%
Merab
Dvalishvili
Record Record: 21-5-0
Wins
21
Losses
5
Draws
0
3KO/TKO
2Sub
16Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+9)
20-5-0
Record
21-5-0
Source pending
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Source pending
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Yan leads
3
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Dvalishvili leads
2
4.24
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Dvalishvili leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.8
60%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Yan leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
86%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Yan leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
76%
17:38
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
17:36

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

Videos

Event coverage and the pre-fight lead-up.

Event coverage
Signature moments
Signature moments

Browse all videos for this fight

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Lucas Tracy
Hear it — 29:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

Lucas Tracy picks Petr Yan, trusting his striking and body work while acknowledging the challenge of Merab Dvalishvili's pressure.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 9:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · Dec

The MMA Guru picks Petr Yan, citing his damage and body work and a healthier matchup profile, with a 49-46 score expectation.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 22:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA picks Petr Yan to dominate Merab Dvalishvili and finish the trilogy by late TKO.

“I think he dominates Merab in the trilogy... and gets a late TKO stoppage via going to the body.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

HopperoMMA picks Petr Yan to beat Merab Dvalishvili again without committing to a method or round.

“I'm going to go with Yan to beat Merab again... I think he beats Merab Dvalishvili.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 15:37

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Petr Yan without committing to a method or round.

“So, give me Petr Yan to win this.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 6:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · Dec

Don Smoke MMA picks Petr Yan by decision.

“I’m going to go with Petr Yan decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Fight Society
Hear it — 13:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

Fight Society favors Petr Yan after comparing the fighters' recent form and injury context, and later summarizes the card with Yan as the pick.

“I'm going to go Volk, Yan, Temirov.”

* The earlier discussion mentions a possible late-round finish, but this row preserves the requested explicit summary winner call only; no method or round is carried over.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili · Dec

Schweppe explicitly selects Dvalishvili by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)

Analyst picks: Lucas Tracy picks Yan; The MMA Guru picks Yan; JakeGerberMMA picks Yan; HopperMMA picks Yan; TonyHasDiedMMA picks Yan; Chris Schweppe picks Dvalishvili; DON SMOKE MMA picks Yan; Fight Society picks Yan.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Lucas Tracy53 resolved calls
Lucas Tracy
Hear it — 29:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

Lucas Tracy picks Petr Yan, trusting his striking and body work while acknowledging the challenge of Merab Dvalishvili's pressure.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Yan · to winUpcomingYanNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 9:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · Dec

The MMA Guru picks Petr Yan, citing his damage and body work and a healthier matchup profile, with a 49-46 score expectation.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Yan · DecUpcomingYanDecNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 22:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA picks Petr Yan to dominate Merab Dvalishvili and finish the trilogy by late TKO.

“I think he dominates Merab in the trilogy... and gets a late TKO stoppage via going to the body.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Yan · KO/TKOUpcomingYanKO/TKONot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

HopperoMMA picks Petr Yan to beat Merab Dvalishvili again without committing to a method or round.

“I'm going to go with Yan to beat Merab again... I think he beats Merab Dvalishvili.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Yan · to winUpcomingYanNot calledNot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 15:37

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Petr Yan without committing to a method or round.

“So, give me Petr Yan to win this.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Yan · to winUpcomingYanNot calledNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili · Dec

Schweppe explicitly selects Dvalishvili by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Dvalishvili · DecUpcomingDvalishviliDecNot called
DON SMOKE MMA18 resolved calls
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 6:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan · Dec

Don Smoke MMA picks Petr Yan by decision.

“I’m going to go with Petr Yan decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Yan · DecUpcomingYanDecNot called
Fight Society
Fight Society
Hear it — 13:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Petr Yan

Fight Society favors Petr Yan after comparing the fighters' recent form and injury context, and later summarizes the card with Yan as the pick.

“I'm going to go Volk, Yan, Temirov.”

* The earlier discussion mentions a possible late-round finish, but this row preserves the requested explicit summary winner call only; no method or round is carried over.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Yan · to winUpcomingYanNot calledNot called

1 of 8 see a finish — 1 by KO/TKO, 3 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.

Sportsbook consensus · Who wins

61% Petr Yan
39% Merab Dvalishvili

Favoured: Yan

Steady since open

All 4 books consensus 61%

  • BetOnline.ag62%+1
  • BetRivers61%0
  • DraftKings62%+1
  • FanDuel60%−1

4 books within 2 points

Vig-stripped win probability for Yan at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.

Best available price

Petr Yan
-172 at FanDuel
Merab Dvalishvili
+160 at BetRivers

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 14, 23:29 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Static odds shown. Checking the latest live price when online.

4 sportsbooks as of 14 Sep 22:35 UTC · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight preview. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.