UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje  14 Jun 2026 · Washington, D.C., US

Bo Nickal defeats Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO

Win Bo Nickal 9-1-0
Loss Kyle Daukaus 17-5-0
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 4:34

Nickal vs Daukaus — Middleweight · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Nickal took Daukaus to the canvas early and worked from top position, opening a cut on Daukaus's forehead.

After referee Jason Herzog stood them up, Nickal connected with a right hook and follow-up left that put Daukaus down.

Nickal followed with elbows and punches to seal the stoppage late in the first round.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Nickal

One of the most decorated wrestlers ever to enter the UFC — a three-time NCAA champion whose takedowns and top control can dictate where any fight happens. Nickal can put Daukaus on his back and has finishing instinct off the mat. After the first loss of his career, a dominant grappling performance is the fastest way to reset.

Case for Daukaus

A genuine grappling threat in his own right, on a six-fight win streak with two sub-minute finishes since his 2025 return. Daukaus is long, technical and dangerous off his back — exactly the submission-savvy opponent who can turn Nickal's own takedowns into a trap. Survive the early pressure and his jiu-jitsu is very real.

What We Were Watching For

  • Nickal just suffered his first pro loss, to Reinier de Ridder — how does he respond mentally?
  • If Nickal shoots, does he land in Daukaus's guard — and is that exactly where Daukaus wants him?
  • Nickal's striking and chin remain the open questions; can Daukaus make him stand and trade?
  • Two grapplers — a patient chess match on the mat, or a scramble-heavy firefight?
Records & career stats
Nickal Daukaus
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.36 3.16
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 60% 42%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 1.93 2.94
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 100% 79%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 88% 82%
8-1-0
Record
17-4-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
USA
Nationality
United States
30
Age
33
1.85 m
Height — Daukaus leads
75 in
191 cm
Reach — Daukaus leads
76 in
Southpaw
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
88%
Finish rateFinish % — Nickal leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
82%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Nickal leads
2
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Daukaus leads
12
3.36
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.16
1.93
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Nickal leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.94
60%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Nickal leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
42%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Nickal leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
79%
05:53
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:37
American Top Team
Team
Marquez MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Jaren Kawada

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Bo Nickal by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
The W.A.D.E. Concept

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Wade calls it close but takes Nickal to a smart, safe decision: implement his wrestling and top game without gassing or swinging wild, and crucially without getting caught in one of Daukaus's many submissions.

  • A three-round fight means fewer answers about Nickal's gas tank
  • Daukaus is a dangerous submission artist with better boxing than people think
  • Nickal's 'reintroduce myself' fight at middleweight
“I'm going to go Bo Nickal, decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Travis Herrick MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Herrick labels it hard to predict because both men lack wins over great competition, but leans Nickal on the wrestling background, momentum, and matchmaking setup.

  • Low-to-medium confidence, roughly a coin-flip lean
  • Nickal's wrestling background is the differentiator
  • Does not add a finish or round call
“I'm going to lean Nickal here just cuz he does have that wrestling background.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (7 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

He admits he wanted to pick Daukaus — better jiu-jitsu, a real sweep and submission path — but thinks Daukaus lacks the athleticism to pressure Nickal the way Rakhmonov did. He expects an early blast double, the takedown threat established, then a level-change overhand for a round-two TKO.

  • Concedes Daukaus has the better jiu-jitsu and a submission path
  • Notes Nickal's striking defence is poor and he's been rocked before
  • Expects an early takedown to set up the overhand
“I'm going to go with Bo Nickal by round two KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal out-wrestles and controls Daukaus, defending submissions to advance position and winning on composure and wrestling by decision.

“guys. So, my pick for this fight, I'm going to go with Bo Nickal”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Tracy sees an early-danger test but expects Nickal to return to his wrestling roots, where he finally holds a sizeable grappling edge — unlike his recent better-grappler opponents. He thinks Nickal ragdolls and submits Daukaus, and notes the striking has visibly improved.

  • First time in a while Nickal has a clear grappling advantage
  • Daukaus's best chance is a no-respect early blitz
  • Nickal's striking looked much improved last time out
“I'm going to go with Bo Nickal by a first or second-round submission.”

* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Kasper MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm picking Nickal to win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (18 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY expects Bo Nickal to win a decision in the middleweight matchup.

“I'll say Bo Nickel decision win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm going to say Bo Nickal is my pick. I don't know if he's going to finish. I think I'm going to lean decision in this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by submission; the caption renders his surname as Nickel.

“Give me Bo Nickel by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

DFS By The Numbers takes Nickal by decision.

“I'm actually going to take Bo Nickal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal won't get submitted, should get the takedowns he wants, control where the fight goes and win almost everywhere.

“Bo Nickal is going to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

138 MMA takes Bo Nickal to win by decision.

“I will side with Bo here to get a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal is favoured everywhere — underrated striking plus a huge wrestling base — and the host sees him a step ahead wherever it goes. Daukaus is dangerous and well-rounded and holds his own, but the host doesn't think he beats Nickal.

  • Medium confidence — wary since the de Ridder loss
  • Concern: a de Ridder repeat where Nickal looks good then gets finished
  • Daukaus is a finishing threat everywhere
“with a decision. I'm going Bo Nickal to beat Kyle Dolidze by a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Fight IQ with Von

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Fight IQ with Von picks Bo Nickal by submission.

“My pick is Bo Nickle via submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Izzysdegenmind

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Izzysdegenmind gives Bo Nickal the pick, allowing submission or decision.

“Give me Bo Nickal to win by submission or decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (15 calls)
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

GypMMA takes Bo Nickal to out-wrestle Daukaus to a decision.

“I'm going to go Bo Nickal. I think he wins this with his wrestling ... to a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Nickal but with real hesitation — the spot on the card where he can most see an upset. Daukaus has surged with two first-round finishes since returning, while Nickal is still proving he's a complete mixed martial artist.

  • Picks Nickal but flags it as the most likely upset on the card
  • Daukaus riding two first-round finishes; Nickal still establishing himself
“Bo Nickal probably… but I think that could be the one where the upset is.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Levy sees Daukaus as a live opponent but thinks Nickal's RDR loss may sharpen him, and expects Nickal to get back on track against Daukaus.

  • Calls it a tough matchup to predict
  • Views the RDR loss as a useful corrective for Nickal
  • Does not specify method or round
“I'm going to pick Bo Nickal to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Bo Nickal.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
TankTopMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

TankTopMMA picks Bo Nickal by unanimous decision.

“I've got Bo Nickal by unanimous decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Lightning MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“Bone Nickel against K Dawkins. We got to go with Bone Nickel by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (14 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

AJ does not trust Nickal after the de Ridder loss and thinks Daukaus is live enough with striking and MMA grappling resistance to turn the bout into a rough underdog upset.

“don't trust Bo Nickel. I'm going to pick Kyle Dawkins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Daukaus ("Kyle Dorcas") is dangerous on the feet, breaks Nickal down with strikes and clinch work, and eventually catches him in a D'Arce ("dash") choke off a lazy takedown.

“So, I'm actually going to go with Kyle Daukas.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Jake Letarski

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
BetSam

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by submission.

“Bo Nickal, official prediction by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Clenbat picks the underdog Kyle Daukaus.

“I'm picking Kyle Daukaus for sure.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Artem MMA explicitly picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I am going to be picking Bo Nickal to win this match up by decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

The final Pure Picks recap selects Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm going to Bo Nickal decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“So, give me Bo Nickal by 29-28 or 30-27 decision here with Bo racking up points by holding Kyle Daukaus down.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Mike calls Daukaus the dog he would pick on this card, arguing his striking, southpaw looks and submission danger make him a bad matchup for a Nickal who has not proven enough in MMA yet.

“I'm going Kyle Dawis over Bo Nickel, brother.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Joe SunTszu

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Uselyis explicitly selects Bo Nickal for the win.

“Give me Bo Nickal for the dub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Moneyball MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“as I believe as the fight progresses. My prediction [snorts] here is a Bo Nickal win because I think he's going to return to his wrestling roots and he's going to grind out a decision win against Daukaus, winning mainly due to top control time and ground and pound.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (5 calls)
Rparqs

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Rparqs picks Kyle Daukaus by decision.

“I'm going to pick the Kyle Daukaus by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (24 calls)
FunkyBunch MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

FunkyBunch MMA selects Bo Nickal and discusses the canonical Kyle Daukaus matchup; no finish method is retained.

“Next up, we got Bo Nickal ... I think that with the step down in Kyle Daukaus, find the knockout here, find the submission, or just dominate a decision victory”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (3 calls)

Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Miss; Lucas Tracy Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; Drake Burden Miss; James Blissett Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Jake Letarski Miss; Fight IQ with Von Hit; BetSam Miss; Clenbat Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Izzysdegenmind Hit; GypMMA Hit; Pure Picks Miss; Aniki MMA Miss; Michael Bisping Hit; Mike Finch Miss; Half The Battle Hit; Jon Litterine Miss; Joe SunTszu Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; TankTopMMA Hit; Uselyis Miss; Chris Olson Miss; Moneyball MMA Miss; Rparqs Miss; Lightning MMA Hit; FunkyBunch MMA Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Jaren Kawada11 resolved calls
Jaren Kawada

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Bo Nickal by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
The W.A.D.E. Concept7 resolved calls
The W.A.D.E. Concept

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Wade calls it close but takes Nickal to a smart, safe decision: implement his wrestling and top game without gassing or swinging wild, and crucially without getting caught in one of Daukaus's many submissions.

  • A three-round fight means fewer answers about Nickal's gas tank
  • Daukaus is a dangerous submission artist with better boxing than people think
  • Nickal's 'reintroduce myself' fight at middleweight
“I'm going to go Bo Nickal, decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Travis Herrick MMA7 resolved calls
Travis Herrick MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Herrick labels it hard to predict because both men lack wins over great competition, but leans Nickal on the wrestling background, momentum, and matchmaking setup.

  • Low-to-medium confidence, roughly a coin-flip lean
  • Nickal's wrestling background is the differentiator
  • Does not add a finish or round call
“I'm going to lean Nickal here just cuz he does have that wrestling background.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

He admits he wanted to pick Daukaus — better jiu-jitsu, a real sweep and submission path — but thinks Daukaus lacks the athleticism to pressure Nickal the way Rakhmonov did. He expects an early blast double, the takedown threat established, then a level-change overhand for a round-two TKO.

  • Concedes Daukaus has the better jiu-jitsu and a submission path
  • Notes Nickal's striking defence is poor and he's been rocked before
  • Expects an early takedown to set up the overhand
“I'm going to go with Bo Nickal by round two KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · KO/TKO · R2Nickal · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal out-wrestles and controls Daukaus, defending submissions to advance position and winning on composure and wrestling by decision.

“guys. So, my pick for this fight, I'm going to go with Bo Nickal”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

AJ does not trust Nickal after the de Ridder loss and thinks Daukaus is live enough with striking and MMA grappling resistance to turn the bout into a rough underdog upset.

“don't trust Bo Nickel. I'm going to pick Kyle Dawkins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Lucas Tracy53 resolved calls
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Tracy sees an early-danger test but expects Nickal to return to his wrestling roots, where he finally holds a sizeable grappling edge — unlike his recent better-grappler opponents. He thinks Nickal ragdolls and submits Daukaus, and notes the striking has visibly improved.

  • First time in a while Nickal has a clear grappling advantage
  • Daukaus's best chance is a no-respect early blitz
  • Nickal's striking looked much improved last time out
“I'm going to go with Bo Nickal by a first or second-round submission.”

* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · SubNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Kasper MMA18 resolved calls
Kasper MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm picking Nickal to win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY expects Bo Nickal to win a decision in the middleweight matchup.

“I'll say Bo Nickel decision win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Daukaus ("Kyle Dorcas") is dangerous on the feet, breaks Nickal down with strikes and clinch work, and eventually catches him in a D'Arce ("dash") choke off a lazy takedown.

“So, I'm actually going to go with Kyle Daukas.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · SubNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm going to say Bo Nickal is my pick. I don't know if he's going to finish. I think I'm going to lean decision in this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by submission; the caption renders his surname as Nickel.

“Give me Bo Nickel by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · SubNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

DFS By The Numbers takes Nickal by decision.

“I'm actually going to take Bo Nickal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal won't get submitted, should get the takedowns he wants, control where the fight goes and win almost everywhere.

“Bo Nickal is going to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

138 MMA takes Bo Nickal to win by decision.

“I will side with Bo here to get a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Nickal is favoured everywhere — underrated striking plus a huge wrestling base — and the host sees him a step ahead wherever it goes. Daukaus is dangerous and well-rounded and holds his own, but the host doesn't think he beats Nickal.

  • Medium confidence — wary since the de Ridder loss
  • Concern: a de Ridder repeat where Nickal looks good then gets finished
  • Daukaus is a finishing threat everywhere
“with a decision. I'm going Bo Nickal to beat Kyle Dolidze by a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Jake Letarski64 resolved calls
Jake Letarski

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Fight IQ with Von16 resolved calls
Fight IQ with Von

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Fight IQ with Von picks Bo Nickal by submission.

“My pick is Bo Nickle via submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · SubNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
BetSam26 resolved calls
BetSam

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by submission.

“Bo Nickal, official prediction by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · SubNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Clenbat36 resolved calls
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Clenbat picks the underdog Kyle Daukaus.

“I'm picking Kyle Daukaus for sure.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Artem MMA explicitly picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“I am going to be picking Bo Nickal to win this match up by decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Izzysdegenmind15 resolved calls
Izzysdegenmind

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Izzysdegenmind gives Bo Nickal the pick, allowing submission or decision.

“Give me Bo Nickal to win by submission or decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
GypMMA17 resolved calls
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

GypMMA takes Bo Nickal to out-wrestle Daukaus to a decision.

“I'm going to go Bo Nickal. I think he wins this with his wrestling ... to a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Pure Picks29 resolved calls
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

The final Pure Picks recap selects Bo Nickal by decision.

“I'm going to Bo Nickal decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Aniki MMA19 resolved calls
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“So, give me Bo Nickal by 29-28 or 30-27 decision here with Bo racking up points by holding Kyle Daukaus down.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Bisping33 resolved calls
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Nickal but with real hesitation — the spot on the card where he can most see an upset. Daukaus has surged with two first-round finishes since returning, while Nickal is still proving he's a complete mixed martial artist.

  • Picks Nickal but flags it as the most likely upset on the card
  • Daukaus riding two first-round finishes; Nickal still establishing himself
“Bo Nickal probably… but I think that could be the one where the upset is.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Mike calls Daukaus the dog he would pick on this card, arguing his striking, southpaw looks and submission danger make him a bad matchup for a Nickal who has not proven enough in MMA yet.

“I'm going Kyle Dawis over Bo Nickel, brother.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Levy sees Daukaus as a live opponent but thinks Nickal's RDR loss may sharpen him, and expects Nickal to get back on track against Daukaus.

  • Calls it a tough matchup to predict
  • Views the RDR loss as a useful corrective for Nickal
  • Does not specify method or round
“I'm going to pick Bo Nickal to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Joe SunTszu64 resolved calls
Joe SunTszu

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Bo Nickal.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
TankTopMMA16 resolved calls
TankTopMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

TankTopMMA picks Bo Nickal by unanimous decision.

“I've got Bo Nickal by unanimous decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Uselyis explicitly selects Bo Nickal for the win.

“Give me Bo Nickal for the dub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Kyle Daukaus.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Moneyball MMA5 resolved calls
Moneyball MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“as I believe as the fight progresses. My prediction [snorts] here is a Bo Nickal win because I think he's going to return to his wrestling roots and he's going to grind out a decision win against Daukaus, winning mainly due to top control time and ground and pound.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (5 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Rparqs24 resolved calls
Rparqs

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Rparqs picks Kyle Daukaus by decision.

“I'm going to pick the Kyle Daukaus by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (24 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Lightning MMA14 resolved calls
Lightning MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bo Nickal · Dec

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

Picks Bo Nickal by decision.

“Bone Nickel against K Dawkins. We got to go with Bone Nickel by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (14 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · DecNickal · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
FunkyBunch MMA3 resolved calls
FunkyBunch MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Bo Nickal · KO/TKO

FunkyBunch MMA selects Bo Nickal and discusses the canonical Kyle Daukaus matchup; no finish method is retained.

“Next up, we got Bo Nickal ... I think that with the step down in Kyle Daukaus, find the knockout here, find the submission, or just dominate a decision victory”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (3 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

22 of 39 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.