UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Ciryl Gane defeats Alex Pereira by KO/TKO
Pereira vs Gane — Interim Heavyweight Title · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Gane's speed and varied attacks kept Pereira off rhythm in the opening round, where Pereira landed only a smattering of low kicks.
Gane scored with the cleaner shots while Pereira could not get his offence going.
At the start of round two, Gane hurt Pereira with a jab and continued attacking until he secured the stoppage.
- Official UFC resultsUFC · UFC Freedom 250 results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Pereira
Pure, fight-ending power that has finished a who's-who of light heavyweights — 11 of his 13 wins are knockouts, built on a left hook and chopping calf kicks few survive. He stopped Jiří Procházka twice and iced Jamahal Hill in a round, and his takedown defense has quietly become a strength. He doesn't need to win the exchange count; he needs one clean shot, and almost nobody in the sport lands cleaner.
Case for Gane
The most refined movement striker in the division, and for once he's the bigger, true-heavyweight man. Gane lands 5.29 significant strikes a minute while absorbing just 2.33, circling behind a long jab and low kicks to make opponents miss and pay. If he keeps the fight long and at range — and Pereira, unlike a wrestler, won't try to drag him down — his volume and footwork can bank rounds and stretch Pereira into deep water.
What We Were Watching For
- Pereira is moving up from 205 lb to true heavyweight — does the extra mass blunt his speed, or just add to his power?
- Gane has never faced one-shot power like this; can his 61% striking defense hold up over five championship rounds?
- Both of Gane's losses came when he was pressured and grappled — but Pereira is a striker who won't wrestle. Does that quietly play into Gane's hands?
- Pereira's cardio over five hard rounds at a new, heavier weight is the real unknown.
- Neither man is easy to finish, yet both can finish anyone — whoever lands the cleaner counter first likely ends it.
Records & career stats
- 13-3-0
- Record
- 13-2-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-1 (1 NC) last 5
- Brazil
- Nationality
- France
- 38
- Age
- 36
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 85%
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- Source pending
- 11
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- —
- 10:42
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:00
- Light Heavyweight (moving up)
- Weight classWeight
- Heavyweight
- Teixeira MMA & Fitness-Bethel, CT
- Team
- MMA Factory - Paris, France
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Ciryl Gane
Gane says the Pereira fight followed the plan: deny Pereira comfortable pressure, make him work, and then ask for the Aspinall rematch as soon as possible.Gane says the Pereira fight followed the plan: deny Pereira comfortable pressure, make him work, and then ask for the Aspinall rematch as soon as possible.
- Credited his team’s preparation and pressure plan.
- Said letting Pereira settle in the center would have created a bad night.
- Named Paris as an ideal location for the Aspinall rematch while leaving timing to the UFC.
Demetrious Johnson
Demetrious Johnson says Gane’s movement and jabs forced Pereira to turn, kept him from landing the heavyweight equalizer, and set up the Aspinall unification question.Demetrious Johnson says Gane’s movement and jabs forced Pereira to turn, kept him from landing the heavyweight equalizer, and set up the Aspinall unification question.
- Highlighted Gane’s footwork and repeated angle changes.
- Said Pereira was reduced to hunting the big punch without enough clean entries.
- Raised the Aspinall unification as the obvious next heavyweight issue.
We Want Picks
Their pick: Gane to win · ✓ Hit We Want Picks says Gane’s win hurts the Aspinall narrative, gives the UFC a marketable interim champion, and leaves Pereira better served staying at heavyweight.We Want Picks says Gane’s win hurts the Aspinall narrative, gives the UFC a marketable interim champion, and leaves Pereira better served staying at heavyweight.
- Said Pereira’s one-punch path was not enough against Gane’s speed and footwork.
- Viewed Gane’s win as strengthening his claim to the Aspinall rematch.
- Suggested Pereira should remain at heavyweight after adding the weight.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Herrick calls the matchup close but leans Pereira, citing Pereira's power and leg kicks as the clearest route to slowing Gane's movement.
“I'm still going to lean Pereira.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
He calls it the trickiest fight on the card and admits Gane has the size, reach and skill to win, but says Gane has the lowest fight IQ he's seen and will sabotage himself. He expects Pereira more comfortable in the pocket and a close decision, maybe via a Gane mistake.
- Explicitly doesn't see Gane KO'd or badly outstruck — expects it close
- Picks Pereira on fight IQ, not a physical edge
- Predicts a clutch grappling moment decides it
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ.
“going to go with Alex Pereira knocking Ciryl Gane out in the second round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
AJ backs Pereira's power and cage pressure to catch Gane after the early movement slows, calling for Pereira to trap him and win by knockout.
“Alex Pereira. I'm going with Alex Pereira to beat Sirill Gan.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Tracy calls it genuinely close but picks Pereira: Gane lacks finishing power and plays the points game at range, while Pereira can match him there and is faster than people remember. He sees leg kicks accumulating, Gane slowing, and Pereira landing the left hook to finish.
- Gane has no real finishing threat — needs huge volume
- Pereira's leg kicks and underrated speed are the difference
- Could be a late TKO or even a decision if Gane shows up great
“I'm going to go with a third-round KO for Alex Pereira.”
* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Gane ("Gan") stings him early and may win a round, but Pereira's superior striking technique and accumulating low kicks/body shots wear Gane down until he crumbles to the cage pressure.
“So, I'm going to go with Alex Pereira round three TKO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Alex Pereira by knockout.
“Give me Alex Pereira by knockout.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
138 MMA sides with Alex Pereira in the close co-main.
“I'm taking Alex Pereira.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Pereira has built a career knocking out elite technical strikers, while Gane's best striking win is Volkov and he carries no real grappling or knockout threat. Gane is smooth and hard to hit, but Pereira has the power and resume and the host trusts him to find a way.
- Low-confidence pick — unknown how Pereira looks at heavyweight
- Gane is the first opponent not smaller than Pereira
- Wants an instant DQ if Gane eye-pokes
“I'm going to go Alex to finish Ciryl Gane in the very first round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Alex Pereira by knockout.
“Picking Alex Pereira to win this fight by KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Artem MMA explicitly picks Alex Pereira by knockout.
“I still really like Alex Pereira in this match up ... win by knockout, too”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Alex Pereira by round-three TKO.
“So yes, in this fight, give me Alex Pereira by round three TKO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
TankTopMMA picks Alex Pereira by second-round knockout.
“I'm going to pick Alex Pereira by round two KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Uselyis explicitly selects Alex Pereira and gives a KO prop as the method evidence.
“I'm going to go Alex Pereira ... Alex by KO”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Alex Pereira by knockout; round remains ambiguous between four and five.
“eventually corner Ciryl and land one of those fight-ending punches. My pick is Alex Pereira by knockout in round four or five.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Rparqs picks Pereira to win by knockout.
“I'm going to take Pereira. I'm going to take him by knockout.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
HorseBeef MMA picks Pereira by a second-round TKO finish.
“I am picking Pereira and I'm going to pick him by a TKO finish in the second round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Alex Pereira by third-round knockout.
“What a fight, man. What a fight Alex against Sir Gan, you know. ... Alex Pereira by third round knockout.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Thomas leans Pereira because he trusts his reliability more than Gane's consistency. He treats Gane's talent as real, but says the fight swings on whether Gane shows up with the right mentality, which makes Pereira the safer side of the matchup.
“I am I am. I am I'm favoring Pereira.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alex Pereira
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Sanko also sides with Pereira, calling him the more reliable winner. Her view is that Gane may look good early, but Pereira's steadier form and ability to take over later make him the likelier winner.
“I am too, actually.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Ciryl Gane by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Wade's flagged upset: he had Pereira the whole buildup but makes a late switch to Gane, reasoning that Gane is the better athlete and a natural heavyweight while Pereira carries unnatural ~250 lb that may sap the speed and timing his counter-punching needs. No one has ever knocked Gane out.
- Gane grinds a methodical, tactical decision over five rounds
- Pereira must land real power early to earn Gane's respect
- If Pereira can't land the big one, Gane finds a way
“Yeah, I think I'm gonna go Gane decision. I am. I think I am.”
* A late switch — he'd backed Pereira the entire buildup before flipping to Gane in this video.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“my pick is Gane to win by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
MMA JOEY picks Ciryl Gane to win by points after the matchup breakdown.
“I'm going to pick at Ciryl Gane probably winning this fight by points.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Lucrative James picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“My official prediction is going to be Ciryl Gane wins the fight via decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
DFS By The Numbers picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“I'm going Ciryl Gane here. I'm going to take Ciryl Gane to actually win this fight by decisions.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Despite being a vocal Pereira fan, he thinks Gane is too fast, too clean and too big for Pereira to walk down and knock out at heavyweight.
“I'm about to pick Ciryl Gane.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Fight IQ with Von picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“My pick is Ciryl Gane via decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Clenbat picks Ciryl Gane with very low confidence.
“My pick is going to be Cyril Gane with beyond low confidence.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Izzysdegenmind picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“Give me Ciryl Gane to win by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
GypMMA picks Ciryl Gane by decision.
“Ciryl Gane will outpoint Pereira and I think he will take the decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
The final Pure Picks recap selects Ciryl Gane by decision.
“Going with Ciryl Gane by decision”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane · Dec
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
Bisping favoured Gane on points the moment the fight was made — a Pereira win would be an upset. Gane's speed, lateral movement, angles and natural heavyweight size are a problematic stylistic matchup for a Pereira who walks straight forward, and the mass that lets Pereira hit hard also slows him down.
- Picked Gane on points the minute the fight was made
- Pereira has to cut the cage off perfectly to land — Gane isn't fazed by size or power
- Thinks the odds should be wider in Gane's favour
“The minute this fight was made, I favoured Ciryl on points. If Alex Pereira pulls it off, in my opinion, it's an upset.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ciryl Gane
Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Ciryl Gane.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Miss; Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; AJ Devito Miss; Lucas Tracy Miss; Kasper MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; Drake Burden Hit; James Blissett Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Miss; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Miss; HopperMMA Miss; Jake Letarski Hit; Fight IQ with Von Hit; BetSam Miss; Clenbat Hit; Artem MMA Miss; Izzysdegenmind Hit; GypMMA Hit; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Miss; Michael Bisping Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Joe SunTszu Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; TankTopMMA Miss; Uselyis Miss; Chris Olson Hit; Moneyball MMA Miss; Rparqs Miss; HorseBeef MMA Miss; Lightning MMA Miss; Din Thomas Miss; Laura Sanko Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaren Kawada
Jaren Kawada
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Ciryl Gane by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Ciryl Gane by decision. Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The W.A.D.E. Concept
The W.A.D.E. Concept
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Wade's flagged upset: he had Pereira the whole buildup but makes a late switch to Gane, reasoning that Gane is the better athlete and a natural heavyweight while Pereira carries unnatural ~250 lb that may sap the speed and timing his counter-punching needs. No one has ever knocked Gane out.
“Yeah, I think I'm gonna go Gane decision. I am. I think I am.” * A late switch — he'd backed Pereira the entire buildup before flipping to Gane in this video. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Wade's flagged upset: he had Pereira the whole buildup but makes a late switch to Gane, reasoning that Gane is the better athlete and a natural heavyweight while Pereira carries unnatural ~250 lb that may sap the speed and timing his counter-punching needs. No one has ever knocked Gane out.
“Yeah, I think I'm gonna go Gane decision. I am. I think I am.” * A late switch — he'd backed Pereira the entire buildup before flipping to Gane in this video. Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Travis Herrick MMA
Travis Herrick MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Herrick calls the matchup close but leans Pereira, citing Pereira's power and leg kicks as the clearest route to slowing Gane's movement. “I'm still going to lean Pereira.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Herrick calls the matchup close but leans Pereira, citing Pereira's power and leg kicks as the clearest route to slowing Gane's movement. “I'm still going to lean Pereira.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO He calls it the trickiest fight on the card and admits Gane has the size, reach and skill to win, but says Gane has the lowest fight IQ he's seen and will sabotage himself. He expects Pereira more comfortable in the pocket and a close decision, maybe via a Gane mistake.
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| He calls it the trickiest fight on the card and admits Gane has the size, reach and skill to win, but says Gane has the lowest fight IQ he's seen and will sabotage himself. He expects Pereira more comfortable in the pocket and a close decision, maybe via a Gane mistake.
“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira by decision.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ. “going to go with Alex Pereira knocking Ciryl Gane out in the second round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R2 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ. “going to go with Alex Pereira knocking Ciryl Gane out in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO AJ backs Pereira's power and cage pressure to catch Gane after the early movement slows, calling for Pereira to trap him and win by knockout. “Alex Pereira. I'm going with Alex Pereira to beat Sirill Gan.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| AJ backs Pereira's power and cage pressure to catch Gane after the early movement slows, calling for Pereira to trap him and win by knockout. “Alex Pereira. I'm going with Alex Pereira to beat Sirill Gan.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Tracy calls it genuinely close but picks Pereira: Gane lacks finishing power and plays the points game at range, while Pereira can match him there and is faster than people remember. He sees leg kicks accumulating, Gane slowing, and Pereira landing the left hook to finish.
“I'm going to go with a third-round KO for Alex Pereira.” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Tracy calls it genuinely close but picks Pereira: Gane lacks finishing power and plays the points game at range, while Pereira can match him there and is faster than people remember. He sees leg kicks accumulating, Gane slowing, and Pereira landing the left hook to finish.
“I'm going to go with a third-round KO for Alex Pereira.” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kasper MMA
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “my pick is Gane to win by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “my pick is Gane to win by decision.” Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO MMA JOEY picks Ciryl Gane to win by points after the matchup breakdown. “I'm going to pick at Ciryl Gane probably winning this fight by points.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| MMA JOEY picks Ciryl Gane to win by points after the matchup breakdown. “I'm going to pick at Ciryl Gane probably winning this fight by points.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Gane ("Gan") stings him early and may win a round, but Pereira's superior striking technique and accumulating low kicks/body shots wear Gane down until he crumbles to the cage pressure. “So, I'm going to go with Alex Pereira round three TKO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Gane ("Gan") stings him early and may win a round, but Pereira's superior striking technique and accumulating low kicks/body shots wear Gane down until he crumbles to the cage pressure. “So, I'm going to go with Alex Pereira round three TKO.” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Lucrative James picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “My official prediction is going to be Ciryl Gane wins the fight via decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Lucrative James picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “My official prediction is going to be Ciryl Gane wins the fight via decision.” Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Husky Hustler
MMA Husky Hustler
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “Give me Alex Pereira by knockout.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “Give me Alex Pereira by knockout.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO DFS By The Numbers picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “I'm going Ciryl Gane here. I'm going to take Ciryl Gane to actually win this fight by decisions.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| DFS By The Numbers picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “I'm going Ciryl Gane here. I'm going to take Ciryl Gane to actually win this fight by decisions.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Despite being a vocal Pereira fan, he thinks Gane is too fast, too clean and too big for Pereira to walk down and knock out at heavyweight. “I'm about to pick Ciryl Gane.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Despite being a vocal Pereira fan, he thinks Gane is too fast, too clean and too big for Pereira to walk down and knock out at heavyweight. “I'm about to pick Ciryl Gane.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
138 MMA
138 MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO 138 MMA sides with Alex Pereira in the close co-main. “I'm taking Alex Pereira.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| 138 MMA sides with Alex Pereira in the close co-main. “I'm taking Alex Pereira.” Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Pereira has built a career knocking out elite technical strikers, while Gane's best striking win is Volkov and he carries no real grappling or knockout threat. Gane is smooth and hard to hit, but Pereira has the power and resume and the host trusts him to find a way.
“I'm going to go Alex to finish Ciryl Gane in the very first round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R1 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Pereira has built a career knocking out elite technical strikers, while Gane's best striking win is Volkov and he carries no real grappling or knockout threat. Gane is smooth and hard to hit, but Pereira has the power and resume and the host trusts him to find a way.
“I'm going to go Alex to finish Ciryl Gane in the very first round.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jake Letarski
Jake Letarski
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 40 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight IQ with Von
Fight IQ with Von
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Fight IQ with Von picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “My pick is Ciryl Gane via decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Fight IQ with Von picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “My pick is Ciryl Gane via decision.” Track record: winner called in 10 of 16 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BetSam
BetSam
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “Picking Alex Pereira to win this fight by KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “Picking Alex Pereira to win this fight by KO.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Clenbat picks Ciryl Gane with very low confidence. “My pick is going to be Cyril Gane with beyond low confidence.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat picks Ciryl Gane with very low confidence. “My pick is going to be Cyril Gane with beyond low confidence.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Artem MMA explicitly picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “I still really like Alex Pereira in this match up ... win by knockout, too” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Artem MMA explicitly picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “I still really like Alex Pereira in this match up ... win by knockout, too” Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Izzysdegenmind
Izzysdegenmind
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Izzysdegenmind picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “Give me Ciryl Gane to win by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Izzysdegenmind picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “Give me Ciryl Gane to win by decision.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
GypMMA
GypMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO GypMMA picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “Ciryl Gane will outpoint Pereira and I think he will take the decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| GypMMA picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “Ciryl Gane will outpoint Pereira and I think he will take the decision.” Track record: winner called in 10 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Pure Picks
Pure Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO The final Pure Picks recap selects Ciryl Gane by decision. “Going with Ciryl Gane by decision” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| The final Pure Picks recap selects Ciryl Gane by decision. “Going with Ciryl Gane by decision” Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Aniki MMA
Aniki MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Alex Pereira by round-three TKO. “So yes, in this fight, give me Alex Pereira by round three TKO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Alex Pereira by round-three TKO. “So yes, in this fight, give me Alex Pereira by round three TKO.” Track record: winner called in 11 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Bisping
Michael Bisping
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane · Dec Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Bisping favoured Gane on points the moment the fight was made — a Pereira win would be an upset. Gane's speed, lateral movement, angles and natural heavyweight size are a problematic stylistic matchup for a Pereira who walks straight forward, and the mass that lets Pereira hit hard also slows him down.
“The minute this fight was made, I favoured Ciryl on points. If Alex Pereira pulls it off, in my opinion, it's an upset.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Bisping favoured Gane on points the moment the fight was made — a Pereira win would be an upset. Gane's speed, lateral movement, angles and natural heavyweight size are a problematic stylistic matchup for a Pereira who walks straight forward, and the mass that lets Pereira hit hard also slows him down.
“The minute this fight was made, I favoured Ciryl on points. If Alex Pereira pulls it off, in my opinion, it's an upset.” Track record: winner called in 19 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Joe SunTszu
Joe SunTszu
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TankTopMMA
TankTopMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO TankTopMMA picks Alex Pereira by second-round knockout. “I'm going to pick Alex Pereira by round two KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R2 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| TankTopMMA picks Alex Pereira by second-round knockout. “I'm going to pick Alex Pereira by round two KO.” Track record: winner called in 8 of 16 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Uselyis explicitly selects Alex Pereira and gives a KO prop as the method evidence. “I'm going to go Alex Pereira ... Alex by KO” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Uselyis explicitly selects Alex Pereira and gives a KO prop as the method evidence. “I'm going to go Alex Pereira ... Alex by KO” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Ciryl Gane Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Ciryl Gane. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Ciryl Gane. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Moneyball MMA
Moneyball MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Alex Pereira by knockout; round remains ambiguous between four and five. “eventually corner Ciryl and land one of those fight-ending punches. My pick is Alex Pereira by knockout in round four or five.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Alex Pereira by knockout; round remains ambiguous between four and five. “eventually corner Ciryl and land one of those fight-ending punches. My pick is Alex Pereira by knockout in round four or five.” Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Rparqs
Rparqs
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Rparqs picks Pereira to win by knockout. “I'm going to take Pereira. I'm going to take him by knockout.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Rparqs picks Pereira to win by knockout. “I'm going to take Pereira. I'm going to take him by knockout.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HorseBeef MMA
HorseBeef MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO HorseBeef MMA picks Pereira by a second-round TKO finish. “I am picking Pereira and I'm going to pick him by a TKO finish in the second round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R2 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| HorseBeef MMA picks Pereira by a second-round TKO finish. “I am picking Pereira and I'm going to pick him by a TKO finish in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lightning MMA
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Picks Alex Pereira by third-round knockout. “What a fight, man. What a fight Alex against Sir Gan, you know. ... Alex Pereira by third round knockout.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Alex Pereira by third-round knockout. “What a fight, man. What a fight Alex against Sir Gan, you know. ... Alex Pereira by third round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Din Thomas
Din Thomas
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Thomas leans Pereira because he trusts his reliability more than Gane's consistency. He treats Gane's talent as real, but says the fight swings on whether Gane shows up with the right mentality, which makes Pereira the safer side of the matchup. “I am I am. I am I'm favoring Pereira.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Thomas leans Pereira because he trusts his reliability more than Gane's consistency. He treats Gane's talent as real, but says the fight swings on whether Gane shows up with the right mentality, which makes Pereira the safer side of the matchup. “I am I am. I am I'm favoring Pereira.” Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Laura Sanko
Laura Sanko
Current pick evidencePicked: Alex Pereira Fight result: Ciryl Gane · KO/TKO Sanko also sides with Pereira, calling him the more reliable winner. Her view is that Gane may look good early, but Pereira's steadier form and ability to take over later make him the likelier winner. “I am too, actually.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Sanko also sides with Pereira, calling him the more reliable winner. Her view is that Gane may look good early, but Pereira's steadier form and ability to take over later make him the likelier winner. “I am too, actually.” Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
19 of 39 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.