UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan 10 Oct 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Brendan Allen defeats Christian Leroy Duncan by Submission

Win Brendan Allen 28-7-0

Loss Christian Leroy Duncan 15-3-0

Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 5 · 2:46

Analyst Picks (50) 63% 37% (30)

AI Prediction 57% 43%

Market OddsSportsbooks, 7 books · final line 10 Oct 23:28 UTC 51% 49%

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Allen

Allen is 27-7-0 at 30, with six knockouts, 14 submissions and seven decisions, so 20 of his 27 wins are finishes. He has won his last three, a unanimous decision over Marvin Vettori in July 2025, a fourth-round corner stoppage of Reinier de Ridder in October 2025 and a unanimous decision over Edmen Shahbazyan in June 2026, after back-to-back unanimous-decision losses to Nassourdine Imavov in September 2024 and Anthony Hernandez in February 2025. He lands 3.75 significant strikes per minute and stands 187.96 cm with a 190.5 cm reach.

Case for Duncan

Duncan is 15-2-0 at 31 with ten knockouts, one submission and four decisions, a 73% finish rate, and he is 5-0 over his last five. Knockouts featuring spinning strikes, of Eryk Anders in August 2025 and Marco Tulio in November 2025, came between unanimous decisions over Andrey Pulyaev in March 2025 and Roman Dolidze in March 2026, and he followed them with another over Jared Cannonier in July 2026. He lands 4.45 significant strikes per minute, and his 200.66 cm reach is 10.16 cm longer than Allen's at the same 187.96 cm height. Both of his losses, to Armen Petrosyan in June 2023 and Gregory Rodrigues in July 2024, were unanimous decisions.

What We Were Watching For

Range: both stand 187.96 cm, but Duncan has the longer reach (200.66 cm to 190.5 cm) and the higher striking output (4.45 to 3.75 significant strikes per minute).
Allen's submission threat: 14 of his 27 wins came by submission, while Duncan has one submission win and no submission loss on his record.
Five rounds: Allen has been into the fourth round in his October 2025 win over de Ridder and the fifth in his April 2024 split-decision win over Chris Curtis, while no fight on Duncan's record has gone past round three.

Records & career stats

Allen vs Duncan

Allen Duncan

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.75 4.45
Striking def.Striking defense 48% 54%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.78 2.36
Takedown def.Takedown defense 58% 58%
FinishingFinish rate 75% 73%

27-7-0
Record: 15-2-0; 3-2 last 5
Recent form: 5-0 last 5; United States
Nationality: United Kingdom; 30
Age: 31; 187.96 cm
Height: 187.96 cm; 190.5 cm
Reach — Duncan leads: 200.66 cm; Not published
Stance: Not published; 75%
Finish rateFinish %: 73%; 6
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Duncan leads: 10; 15
Wins by submissionSub wins — Allen leads: 1; 3.75
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Duncan leads: 4.45; 3.78
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Duncan leads: 2.36; 48%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Duncan leads: 54%; 58%
Takedown defenseTD def.: 58%; 11:19
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 10:33

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(50) 63%

WAllen

37% (30)

DuncanL

Analyst prediction scorecards

MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls MMA Lock of the Night Hear it — 59:58 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “So I'm going to go All In Brendan Allen to go out there and submit and halt the winning streak of Chris Duncan” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26 Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14 Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 View full track record (99 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
“So I'm going to go All In Brendan Allen to go out there and submit and halt the winning streak of Chris Duncan” Hear it — 59:58 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA Lock of the Night on YouTube ↗ MMA Lock of the Night’s track record → Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jaren Kawada11 resolved calls Jaren Kawada Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Jaren Kawada picks Brendan Allen. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3 Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Jaren Kawada picks Brendan Allen. Read source Jaren Kawada’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andy Lang10 resolved calls Andy Lang Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Lang sides with Duncan as the cleaner striker, while acknowledging Allen’s takedown advantage. “Duncan at +118 is the pick.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Lang sides with Duncan as the cleaner striker, while acknowledging Allen’s takedown advantage. “Duncan at +118 is the pick.” Read source Andy Lang’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls Angelo Bodetti Hear it — 48:00 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Angelo picks Allen because of his wrestling and control, despite viewing Duncan as the cleaner striker. “Anyway, Brendan Allen is the pick, guys.” * He says the fight could get complicated if the judges prioritize striking over Allen’s wrestling. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Angelo picks Allen because of his wrestling and control, despite viewing Duncan as the cleaner striker. “Anyway, Brendan Allen is the pick, guys.” * He says the fight could get complicated if the judges prioritize striking over Allen’s wrestling. Hear it — 48:00 Angelo Bodetti’s track record → Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mate Bersenadze12 resolved calls Mate Bersenadze Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Brendan Allen as his personal pick by submission. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4 Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (12 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Brendan Allen as his personal pick by submission. Read source Mate Bersenadze’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Gabriel Sheehan6 resolved calls Gabriel Sheehan Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Sheehan sees takedown openings when Duncan spins and backs Allen’s wrestling and durability to win the rounds. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (6 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Sheehan sees takedown openings when Duncan spins and backs Allen’s wrestling and durability to win the rounds. Read source Gabriel Sheehan’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ian Undery6 resolved calls Ian Undery Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Ian Undery selects Brendan Allen to win by decision. The article also backs Allen on the moneyline. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (6 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Ian Undery selects Brendan Allen to win by decision. The article also backs Allen on the moneyline. Read source Ian Undery’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls MMA JOEY Hear it — 28:45 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 4 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission MMA JOEY leans toward Brendan Allen by Submission in round 4. “and I think eventually Brendan Allen will find a fourthround submission that's what I'm going with” * Analyst stated a lean Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36 Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28 Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22 Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11 View full track record (107 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub · R4	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Miss
MMA JOEY leans toward Brendan Allen by Submission in round 4. “and I think eventually Brendan Allen will find a fourthround submission that's what I'm going with” * Analyst stated a lean Hear it — 28:45 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗ MMA JOEY’s track record → Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls The MMA Guru Hear it — 34:11 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “So I'm going to go with a slight underdog Christian Leroy Duncan and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by TKO in the second or third round” * slight underdog Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105 Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51 Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25 Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 View full track record (308 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“So I'm going to go with a slight underdog Christian Leroy Duncan and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by TKO in the second or third round” * slight underdog Hear it — 34:11 Gemini YouTube analysis The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drake Burden85 resolved calls Drake Burden Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Burden picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 View full track record (85 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Burden picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Drake Burden’s track record → Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMA Hear it — 18:33 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “so I'm going to go Brendan Allen for the win” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22 Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 View full track record (64 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
“so I'm going to go Brendan Allen for the win” Hear it — 18:33 Gemini YouTube analysis KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls JakeGerberMMA Hear it — 19:12 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission JakeGerberMMA leans Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his striking speed and athleticism and saying he could outpoint or knock out Allen. “I think Christian Leroy Duncan, where my head's at right now, I think he wins this fight.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44 Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7 View full track record (127 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA leans Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his striking speed and athleticism and saying he could outpoint or knock out Allen. “I think Christian Leroy Duncan, where my head's at right now, I think he wins this fight.” Hear it — 19:12 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
James Blissett54 resolved calls James Blissett Hear it — 14:01 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “i'm going to predict Brendan Ladden wins this fight via decision” * tough fight to call Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19 Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 View full track record (54 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
“i'm going to predict Brendan Ladden wins this fight via decision” * tough fight to call Hear it — 14:01 Gemini YouTube analysis James Blissett on YouTube ↗ James Blissett’s track record → Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls KingofCrackdown5095 Hear it — 7:10 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission KingofCrackdown5095 picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision, at low confidence. No round is predicted. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14 Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8 Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8 Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 View full track record (39 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision, at low confidence. No round is predicted. Hear it — 7:10 KingofCrackdown5095 on YouTube ↗ KingofCrackdown5095’s track record → Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Anthony Marro11 resolved calls Anthony Marro Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Brendan Allen by Decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4 Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Brendan Allen by Decision. Read source Anthony Marro’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA OddsBreaker11 resolved calls MMA OddsBreaker Hear it — 22:00 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “I wrote down Brandon Allen by decision” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
“I wrote down Brandon Allen by decision” Hear it — 22:00 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA OddsBreaker on YouTube ↗ MMA OddsBreaker’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nick Marro11 resolved calls Nick Marro Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Brendan Allen by Submission in round 3. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub · R3	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Miss
Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Brendan Allen by Submission in round 3. Read source Nick Marro’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
James Lynch44 resolved calls James Lynch Hear it — 21:20 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission James Lynch picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17 Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10 Round Accuracy 0.0% 5 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (44 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
James Lynch picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision. Hear it — 21:20 James Lynch on YouTube ↗ James Lynch’s track record → Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Clenbat36 resolved calls Clenbat Hear it — 22:39 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Clenbat sides with Brendan Allen as a very low-confidence pick, while saying Duncan has value at 220. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Clenbat sides with Brendan Allen as a very low-confidence pick, while saying Duncan has value at 220. Hear it — 22:39 Clenbat on YouTube ↗ Clenbat’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls MMA Mathletes Hear it — 35:25 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “if we're thinking that this goes to decision cuz I believe we're both thinking about this fight going to decision i think we have to go with CLLD on it” * Sean initially picked CLD, Joe picked Brendan Allen, then they agreed to go with CLD on decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (33 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“if we're thinking that this goes to decision cuz I believe we're both thinking about this fight going to decision i think we have to go with CLLD on it” * Sean initially picked CLD, Joe picked Brendan Allen, then they agreed to go with CLD on decision. Hear it — 35:25 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA Mathletes on YouTube ↗ MMA Mathletes’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Artem MMA71 resolved calls Artem MMA Hear it — 30:12 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Artem MMA picks Brendan Allen to win by decision, while expecting a close fight. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28 Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13 Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8 View full track record (71 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Artem MMA picks Brendan Allen to win by decision, while expecting a close fight. Hear it — 30:12 Artem MMA on YouTube ↗ Artem MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Farah Hannoun10 resolved calls Farah Hannoun Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Farah Hannoun selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Farah Hannoun selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Farah Hannoun’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nolan King10 resolved calls Nolan King Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Nolan King selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Nolan King selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Nolan King’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Tim Edwards10 resolved calls Tim Edwards Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Edwards sides with Allen by decision in the main analysis and gives Allen a separate TKO long shot; the primary pick is recorded as decision, with the long shot retained as a separate caveat. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Edwards sides with Allen by decision in the main analysis and gives Allen a separate TKO long shot; the primary pick is recorded as decision, with the long shot retained as a separate caveat. Read source Tim Edwards’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Hank Strandberg5 resolved calls Hank Strandberg Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Hank Strandberg selecting Brendan Allen by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (5 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Hank Strandberg selecting Brendan Allen by unanimous decision. Read source Hank Strandberg’s track record → Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls Andrew Richardson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Richardson predicts Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision, citing his momentum and athleticism. “Prediction: Duncan via decision” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24 Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 View full track record (58 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Richardson predicts Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision, citing his momentum and athleticism. “Prediction: Duncan via decision” Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls Marcel Dorff Hear it — 22:21 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Marcel Dorff picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12 Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 View full track record (29 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub · R3	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Miss
Marcel Dorff picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three. Hear it — 22:21 Marcel Dorff’s track record → Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Guy Bruhn12 resolved calls Guy Bruhn Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brendan Allen (-140)” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (12 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brendan Allen (-140)” Read source Guy Bruhn’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Adam Martin40 resolved calls Adam Martin Hear it — 21:59 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Adam Martin picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17 Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 View full track record (40 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Adam Martin picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision. Hear it — 21:59 Adam Martin’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mike Finch40 resolved calls Mike Finch Hear it — 26:59 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Finch picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout, citing his striking, athleticism, range and timing. “GIVE ME CLD. I'm taking the underdog in the main event. I'm picking him by knockout over a durable, good cardio, good rear naked strangle. Brendan Allen.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17 Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 View full track record (40 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Finch picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout, citing his striking, athleticism, range and timing. “GIVE ME CLD. I'm taking the underdog in the main event. I'm picking him by knockout over a durable, good cardio, good rear naked strangle. Brendan Allen.” Hear it — 26:59 Mike Finch on YouTube ↗ Mike Finch’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
PickemMMA21 resolved calls PickemMMA Hear it — 107:05 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “But yeah I'm picking I'm picking CL Lee by KO which might which might fucking burn me” * Underdog pick; notes concern about Allen submitting him late if Duncan fails to finish early Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 View full track record (21 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“But yeah I'm picking I'm picking CL Lee by KO which might which might fucking burn me” * Underdog pick; notes concern about Allen submitting him late if Duncan fails to finish early Hear it — 107:05 Gemini YouTube analysis PickemMMA on YouTube ↗ PickemMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bert MMA23 resolved calls Bert MMA Hear it — 3:25 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Bert MMA goes with Brendan Allen, expecting a rear-naked choke in the middle rounds or a decision, and says Duncan will have moments on the feet. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Bert MMA goes with Brendan Allen, expecting a rear-naked choke in the middle rounds or a decision, and says Duncan will have moments on the feet. Hear it — 3:25 Bert MMA on YouTube ↗ Bert MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle98 resolved calls Half The Battle Hear it — 5:26 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “I'mma actually come out here and pick the underdog CLD” * pick the underdog CLD; not that confident in it Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17 View full track record (98 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I'mma actually come out here and pick the underdog CLD” * pick the underdog CLD; not that confident in it Hear it — 5:26 Gemini YouTube analysis Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls Jon Litterine Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Duncan as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Duncan” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15 View full track record (97 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Duncan as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Duncan” Read source Jon Litterine’s track record → Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Daniel Vreeland29 resolved calls Daniel Vreeland Hear it — 19:38 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission No reasoning or quote is available for this pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (29 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Hear it — 19:38 Gemini YouTube analysis Daniel Vreeland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Fight Productions42 resolved calls Fight Productions Hear it — 41:49 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Fight Productions backs Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout, doubting Brendan Allen will fight a smart fight and expecting a striking battle. “I'm going to take CLLD to win this one by round two knockout.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19 Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6 Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (42 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R2	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Fight Productions backs Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout, doubting Brendan Allen will fight a smart fight and expecting a striking battle. “I'm going to take CLLD to win this one by round two knockout.” Hear it — 41:49 Fight Productions on YouTube ↗ Fight Productions’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls Walk The Line MMA Hear it — 53:25 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Walk The Line MMA expects Brendan Allen to win with a late rear-naked choke, with a grappling advantage and a pace advantage over Duncan. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15 Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 View full track record (33 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
Walk The Line MMA expects Brendan Allen to win with a late rear-naked choke, with a grappling advantage and a pace advantage over Duncan. Hear it — 53:25 Walk The Line MMA on YouTube ↗ Walk The Line MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
UFCharlesDoBronx11 resolved calls UFCharlesDoBronx Hear it — 18:40 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “give me CLD by knockout” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 Method Accuracy 100.0% 3 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“give me CLD by knockout” Hear it — 18:40 Gemini YouTube analysis UFCharlesDoBronx on YouTube ↗ UFCharlesDoBronx’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls MikesMMAPicks Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan. Read source MikesMMAPicks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Garrett Kerman13 resolved calls Garrett Kerman Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Garrett Kerman predicts Brendan Allen to win by unanimous decision, 48–47. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (13 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Garrett Kerman predicts Brendan Allen to win by unanimous decision, 48–47. Read source Garrett Kerman’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls Bookie Beatdown Hear it — 6:12 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “why I am going to end up taking him is the experience the grappling the wrestling the pace the cardio the experience of going five rounds” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
“why I am going to end up taking him is the experience the grappling the wrestling the pace the cardio the experience of going five rounds” Hear it — 6:12 Gemini YouTube analysis Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls Cole Shelton Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Cole Shelton picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by late submission. No round is stated. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47 Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14 View full track record (99 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
Cole Shelton picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by late submission. No round is stated. Read source Cole Shelton’s track record → Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Shakiel Mahjouri40 resolved calls Shakiel Mahjouri Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Shakiel Mahjouri’s CBS Sports article selects Brendan Allen by unanimous decision before event start. “Pick: Allen via unanimous decision” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19 Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7 Round Accuracy 0.0% 9 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8 View full track record (40 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Shakiel Mahjouri’s CBS Sports article selects Brendan Allen by unanimous decision before event start. “Pick: Allen via unanimous decision” Read source Shakiel Mahjouri’s track record → Track record: winner called in 21 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Zain Bando23 resolved calls Zain Bando Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Brendan Allen. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Brendan Allen. Read source Zain Bando’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls Chris Schweppe Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Schweppe picks Brendan Allen by split decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36 Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17 Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16 Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 View full track record (72 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Schweppe picks Brendan Allen by split decision. Read source Chris Schweppe’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls Greedo Plays MMA Hear it — 67:27 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Greedo Plays MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan to beat Brendan Allen by knockout in round three. The captions identify the channel brand, not an individual narrator. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24 Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 View full track record (48 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R3	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Greedo Plays MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan to beat Brendan Allen by knockout in round three. The captions identify the channel brand, not an individual narrator. Hear it — 67:27 Greedo Plays MMA on YouTube ↗ Greedo Plays MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)20 resolved calls Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Hear it — 46:49 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “i'm going to go with Christian Leroy Duncan” * not a super confident pick here for Christian Leroy Duncan his fight IQ at times can be questionable Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10 Method Accuracy 100.0% 2 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (20 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“i'm going to go with Christian Leroy Duncan” * not a super confident pick here for Christian Leroy Duncan his fight IQ at times can be questionable Hear it — 46:49 Gemini YouTube analysis Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) on YouTube ↗ Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Sean Zerillo14 resolved calls Sean Zerillo Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Sean Zerillo backs Christian Leroy Duncan on the moneyline and separately projects Duncan to win by decision. “I project a correlated edge on Duncan to win by decision” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 View full track record (14 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Sean Zerillo backs Christian Leroy Duncan on the moneyline and separately projects Duncan to win by decision. “I project a correlated edge on Duncan to win by decision” Read source Sean Zerillo’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
CallumCF MMA12 resolved calls CallumCF MMA Hear it — 17:36 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission CallumCF MMA scores it 48-47 for Brendan Allen, calling the fight razor close while allowing that Duncan can knock Allen out. “what I'm going with is a 4847. And I'm going for a 4847 for Brendan Allen.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (12 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
CallumCF MMA scores it 48-47 for Brendan Allen, calling the fight razor close while allowing that Duncan can knock Allen out. “what I'm going with is a 4847. And I'm going for a 4847 for Brendan Allen.” Hear it — 17:36 CallumCF MMA on YouTube ↗ CallumCF MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brian Garcia10 resolved calls Brian Garcia Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Brian Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Brian Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Brian Garcia’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Danny Segura10 resolved calls Danny Segura Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Danny Segura selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Danny Segura selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Danny Segura’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jero Guerra10 resolved calls Jero Guerra Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Jero Guerra selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Jero Guerra selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Jero Guerra’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ken Hathaway10 resolved calls Ken Hathaway Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Ken Hathaway selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Ken Hathaway selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Ken Hathaway’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mike Bohn10 resolved calls Mike Bohn Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Mike Bohn selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Mike Bohn selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Mike Bohn on YouTube ↗ Mike Bohn’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Danny Howard4 resolved calls Danny Howard Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Howard picks Brendan Allen to win and specifically names an Allen decision as his prop, expecting him to bank rounds with control and positional advantages. “Allen by decision is my prop to watch.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (4 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Howard picks Brendan Allen to win and specifically names an Allen decision as his prop, expecting him to bank rounds with control and positional advantages. “Allen by decision is my prop to watch.” Read source Danny Howard’s track record → Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls Jesse Holland Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Jesse Holland predicts Brendan Allen to win by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28 Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 View full track record (55 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Jesse Holland predicts Brendan Allen to win by decision. Read source Jesse Holland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls The MMA Yuda Hear it — 34:54 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The MMA Yuda picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his creative striking, knockout power, length and takedown defense. “I'm picking Christian Leroy Duncan.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (45 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Yuda picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his creative striking, knockout power, length and takedown defense. “I'm picking Christian Leroy Duncan.” Hear it — 34:54 The MMA Yuda on YouTube ↗ The MMA Yuda’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Uselyis41 resolved calls Uselyis Hear it — 17:35 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “i'm going to go with Brennan Allen 48 47 unanimous decision” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21 Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 View full track record (41 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
“i'm going to go with Brennan Allen 48 47 unanimous decision” Hear it — 17:35 Gemini YouTube analysis Uselyis on YouTube ↗ Uselyis’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Sumian23 resolved calls Andrew Sumian Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Sumian picks Brendan Allen over Christian Leroy Duncan by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Sumian picks Brendan Allen over Christian Leroy Duncan by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Andrew Sumian’s track record → Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matthew Petela23 resolved calls Matthew Petela Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Petela picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen by round 1 knockout in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R1	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Petela picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen by round 1 knockout in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Matthew Petela’s track record → Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls MMA JAWN Hear it — 21:59 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The MMA JAWN channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission. The speaker's round statement is "round four, round five", so no single round is recorded. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11 Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (21 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
The MMA JAWN channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission. The speaker's round statement is "round four, round five", so no single round is recorded. Hear it — 21:59 MMA JAWN on YouTube ↗ MMA JAWN’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Gerardo Rivas15 resolved calls Gerardo Rivas Hear it — 6:49 Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Gerardo Rivas selects Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen, citing value as the underdog and his striking threat. “The animal, the striker CLD, paying plus money, being an underdog. I think there's a lot of value in Christian Leroy Duncan in the main event” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8 Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (15 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Gerardo Rivas selects Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen, citing value as the underdog and his striking threat. “The animal, the striker CLD, paying plus money, being an underdog. I think there's a lot of value in Christian Leroy Duncan in the main event” Hear it — 6:49 Gerardo Rivas’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls Nick Kalikas Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Brendan Allen. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Brendan Allen. Read source Nick Kalikas’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drew Beaupre11 resolved calls Drew Beaupre Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Brendan Allen as his pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Brendan Allen as his pick. Read source Drew Beaupre’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jeff Fox11 resolved calls Jeff Fox Hear it — 19:00 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission No reasoning or quote is available for this pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Hear it — 19:00 Gemini YouTube analysis Jeff Fox’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DON SMOKE MMA18 resolved calls DON SMOKE MMA Hear it — 8:20 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission “Give me a Brendan Allen decision A 4847 or a 4946” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (18 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
“Give me a Brendan Allen decision A 4847 or a 4946” Hear it — 8:20 Gemini YouTube analysis DON SMOKE MMA on YouTube ↗ DON SMOKE MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Olson70 resolved calls Chris Olson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Christopher Olson explicitly picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win via KO/TKO; no round is stated. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14 View full track record (70 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Christopher Olson explicitly picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win via KO/TKO; no round is stated. Read source Chris Olson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls Alexander K. Lee Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Alexander K. Lee picks Brendan Allen to defeat Christian Leroy Duncan. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Alexander K. Lee picks Brendan Allen to defeat Christian Leroy Duncan. Read source Alexander K. Lee’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brandon K23 resolved calls Brandon K Hear it — 44:42 Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The Brandon K channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 3 Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub · R3	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Miss
The Brandon K channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three. Hear it — 44:42 Brandon K on YouTube ↗ Brandon K’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
George Garcia10 resolved calls George Garcia Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission George Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
George Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source George Garcia’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matt Erickson10 resolved calls Matt Erickson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Matt Erickson selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Matt Erickson selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Matt Erickson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matthew Wells10 resolved calls Matthew Wells Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Matthew Wells selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Matthew Wells selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Matthew Wells’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ryan Wohl10 resolved calls Ryan Wohl Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Ryan Wohl selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Ryan Wohl selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win. Read source Ryan Wohl’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Simon Samano10 resolved calls Simon Samano Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Simon Samano selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Simon Samano selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Simon Samano’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drew Zuhosky5 resolved calls Drew Zuhosky Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Drew Zuhosky selecting Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (5 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R2	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Drew Zuhosky selecting Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout. Read source Drew Zuhosky’s track record → Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
FightWeek Media8 resolved calls FightWeek Media Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission FightWeek Media’s pre-event card picks Brendan Allen by submission. “Fight Week Pick: Brendan Allen by Submission” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5 Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (8 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub	Allen · Sub R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
FightWeek Media’s pre-event card picks Brendan Allen by submission. “Fight Week Pick: Brendan Allen by Submission” Read source FightWeek Media’s track record → Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris White35 resolved calls Chris White Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan. Read source Chris White’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
FightStudy11 resolved calls FightStudy Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission FightStudy calls Allen the safer choice but selects Duncan to win by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7 Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
FightStudy calls Allen the safer choice but selects Duncan to win by decision. Read source FightStudy’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Geoffrey Ejiga3 resolved calls Geoffrey Ejiga Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Geoffrey Ejiga's individually authored SportyTrader prediction selects Christian Leroy Duncan; no method or round is specified. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (3 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Geoffrey Ejiga's individually authored SportyTrader prediction selects Christian Leroy Duncan; no method or round is specified. Read source Geoffrey Ejiga’s track record → Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Millz Young5 resolved calls Millz Young Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission Millz Young’s pre-event article selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win late. The over 3.5 rounds is a separate bet, so no method or exact round is assigned. “Christian Leroy Duncan the pick to finish strong down the stretch.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3 View full track record (5 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win	Allen · Sub R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Millz Young’s pre-event article selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win late. The over 3.5 rounds is a separate bet, so no method or exact round is assigned. “Christian Leroy Duncan the pick to finish strong down the stretch.” Read source Millz Young’s track record → Track record: winner called in 1 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

50 of 80 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Allen · Submission · R5

Closest probability ChatGPT and Gemini put 58% on Allen.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

58% Allen

42% Duncan

PickAllen · Submission · R3ActualAllen · Submission · R5

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

54% Allen

46% Duncan

PickAllen · DecisionActualAllen · Submission · R5

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

58% Allen

42% Duncan

PickAllen · Submission · R2ActualAllen · Submission · R5

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight

All 3 models pick Allen

They differ on how the fight ends, with win chances from 54% (Claude) to 58% (ChatGPT and Gemini).

Method mix differs most for Decision: 38% (ChatGPT) to 53% (Claude), a 15-point range.

ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Pick Allen by submission in round 3

Win probability: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct
Medium confidence
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Pick Allen by decision

Win probability: Allen 54%, Duncan 46%.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct
Low confidence
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

Pick Allen by submission in round 2

Win probability: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.

Version not reported · 9 Oct
Medium confidence

More detail4 areas differ

The models differ on finish method, round timing, confidence, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
Detail	ChatGPT	Claude	Gemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round	Round 3	—	Round 2

Forecast comparison by model
Detail	ChatGPT	Claude	Gemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round	Round 3	—	Round 2

ChatGPT

Pick

Allen by submission in round 3

Medium confidence

Winner probability by method

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Allen by decision

Low confidence

Winner probability by method

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Allen by submission in round 2

Medium confidence

Winner probability by method

Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 7 sportsbooks

51% Brendan Allen

49% Christian Leroy Duncan

Favoured: Allen (51%) Called it

Allen defeats Duncan · Sub R5

Final pre-fight line · as of 10 Oct 23:28 UTC · 7 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Brendan Allen defeats Christian Leroy Duncan by Submission

Allen vs Duncan — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Predictions summary

Case for Allen

Case for Duncan

What We Were Watching For

Videos

Social Posts

Comments

Who Called It?

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

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