UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song  29 Aug 2026 · Oriental Sports Center, Shanghai, China, CN

Bilal Hasan defeats Nilson Rojas by KO/TKO

Win Bilal Hasan 10-0-0
Loss Nilson Rojas 9-1-0
KO/TKO · right hand

Round 2 · 2:28

Hasan vs Rojas — Flyweight · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Bilal Hasan secured a brilliant knockout victory in his promotional debut on Saturday, but Nilson Rojas made him work for it to kick off the main card.

In the second, Rojas used a push kick to put Hasan on the deck momentarily, but moments later, the promising flyweight put a right hand on his chin that ended the fight in an instant.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Hasan

Hasan is 9-0 with a no contest and eight stoppages, and four of them came off the body — two punches, a front kick and a body kick. He held the CFFC title through three defences, then finished Mridul Saikia in 45 seconds on the Contender Series on 11 August, eighteen days before this fight.

Case for Rojas

Rojas is unbeaten too, 9-0 with seven finishes including a flying-knee knockout in 1:13. He is the one who has been made to work for it: two of his nine fights went to a decision, the most recent in July. Hasan has been to one.

What We Were Watching For

  • Two unbeaten flyweights, 18-0 between them, with fifteen stoppages.
  • The body is the shared signature: four of Hasan's eight finishes and one of Rojas's seven came from body strikes.
  • Between them they have reached a decision three times — once for Hasan, twice for Rojas.
  • Hasan has been to a fourth round once and finished it there. Rojas has never been past three.
Records & career stats
Hasan vs Rojas
9-0-0
Record
9-0-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
United States
Nationality
Peru
25
Age
27
1.70 m
Height — Hasan leads
1.65 m
178 cm
Reach
Not published
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
90%
Finish rateFinish % — Hasan leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
78%
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Hasan leads
7
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Hasan leads
0
9.01
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Hasan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.42
4.38
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Hasan leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
7.1
51%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Rojas leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
59%
—
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
04:07
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:28
Charlie's Combat Club
Team
Pitbull Martial Arts Center

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 17:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round head-kick knockout.

“Bilal Hasan, round one head-kick KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle
Hear it — 17:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by second-round knockout.

“Bilal Hassan knocks out Nelson Rojas in the second round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 44:15

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by knockout rather than submission.

“I'm not picking submission. I'm picking knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 18:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by an early TKO without a specific round.

“Balo Hassan getting this one done by TKO in the earlier rounds.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 34:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan without committing to the earlier knockout lean as a final method call.

“So, Balo is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 8:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan while reserving the exact finish-or-decision outcome.

“Hasan should get it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 31:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan as the cleaner, faster fighter, while warning that his short turnaround, second cut and travel make the bet unattractive.

“Bilal is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 15:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round knockout.

“Bilal Hasan by KO in the first one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Hear it — 34:29

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan while leaving the final result between a late stoppage and decision unresolved.

“So my prediction is going to be Bilal Hasan via decision, but Bilal Hasan either TKO late or dominant decision win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Shanghai X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Bilal Hasan by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 17:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan to exploit Nilson Rojas's striking openings for a knockout.

“Balal Hassan's gonna come out here and knock out Nilson Rojos.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 17:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round head-kick knockout.

“Bilal Hasan, round one head-kick KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO · R1Hasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitMiss
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle
Hear it — 17:06

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by second-round knockout.

“Bilal Hassan knocks out Nelson Rojas in the second round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO · R2Hasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitHit
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 44:15

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by knockout rather than submission.

“I'm not picking submission. I'm picking knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKOHasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 18:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by an early TKO without a specific round.

“Balo Hassan getting this one done by TKO in the earlier rounds.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKOHasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 34:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan without committing to the earlier knockout lean as a final method call.

“So, Balo is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to winHasan · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 8:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan while reserving the exact finish-or-decision outcome.

“Hasan should get it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to winHasan · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 31:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan as the cleaner, faster fighter, while warning that his short turnaround, second cut and travel make the bet unattractive.

“Bilal is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to winHasan · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 15:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round knockout.

“Bilal Hasan by KO in the first one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO · R1Hasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitMiss
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Hear it — 34:29

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan while leaving the final result between a late stoppage and decision unresolved.

“So my prediction is going to be Bilal Hasan via decision, but Bilal Hasan either TKO late or dominant decision win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to winHasan · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Shanghai X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Bilal Hasan by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKOHasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 17:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Fight result: Bilal Hasan · KO/TKO

Picks Bilal Hasan to exploit Nilson Rojas's striking openings for a knockout.

“Balal Hassan's gonna come out here and knock out Nilson Rojos.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKOHasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called

11 of 11 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.