UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Michael Oliveira defeats Oban Elliott by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:49
Elliott vs Oliveira — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Oliveira dropped Elliott with a stiff right hand early. Elliott then looked to wrestle his way back into the fight.
Oliveira stuffed the takedown entries. A clean one-two then put Elliott down for a second time.
Oliveira finished on the ground at 1:49 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Elliott
Elliott has faced far better opposition, and he is the only wrestler in the matchup — 1.48 takedowns per fifteen minutes against an opponent who has not recorded one in UFC-tracked competition. Oliveira built his 9-0 on the Brazilian regional circuit and Contender Series without meeting a ranked UFC name, and taking an undefeated striker into deep water is the clearest path to ending that run.
Case for Oliveira
Oliveira is 9-0 with an 89% finish rate and lands 8.28 significant strikes a minute — the highest figure recorded on this card, and more than double Elliott's 3.62. Eight of his nine wins are finishes, and Elliott has been stopped once already this year.
What We Were Watching For
- Oliveira's output — 8.28 strikes a minute is more than double Elliott's 3.62.
- Whether Elliott looks for takedowns early to break Oliveira's rhythm.
- Elliott's recovery from a submission loss in January.
- Oliveira's first real step up in competition at 9-0.
Records & career stats
- 3.62 8.28
- 60% 64%
- 2.36 3.35
- 52% 100%
- 50% 89%
- 12-4-0
- Record
- 9-0-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- British
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 28
- Age
- 28
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 11:34
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 05:23
- Shore Mixed Martial Arts
- Team
- KO Squad
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Oban Elliott · Dec
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Backs Elliott as a near 3-to-1 underdog on craft and experience, saying the green Oliveira has not seen entries like Elliott's takedown-to-knee-and-low-kick sequences.
“Nikolic getting this one done by brutal finish, in all honesty, in the first two finish, in all honesty, in the first two rounds. rounds. Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Oliveira. Listen. Oliveira. Listen. Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one off. off. I've been casting spells on Michael I've been casting spells on Michael Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem voodoo to ensure our”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Believes Elliott's wrestling will not land on the bigger, more physically gifted Oliveira, who controls range behind the jab and counters patiently.
“You know what I'm saying, dude? Like, Oan Elliot, it was nice having you Oan Elliot, it was nice having you around. You know, listen, I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I do feel like, listen, here's this is do feel like, listen, here's this is what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can actually do good in this matchup. I feel actually do good in this matchup. I feel like this is going to be one of those like this is”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Sees Oliveira as a freakishly powerful, technically patient striker with a large size and reach edge, and thinks a declining Elliott has been handed a nightmare matchup.
“to me fading him against a terrifying Brazilian UFC debut. His game's Brazilian UFC debut. His game's ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're going with the Brazilian freak to pull going with the Brazilian freak to pull this one off. And I think he is getting this one off. And I think he is getting a KO. Next fight up the card featured a KO. Next fight up the card featured prelim of the ni”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Named in the rapid-fire prelim run-through with no accompanying analysis, and repeated in his own recap of the prelim slate.
“card, I'm taking Mark O. Madsen. And then in the welterweight tilt between then in the welterweight tilt between Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm going with Oliveira. And in the featured going with Oliveira. And in the featured prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm takin”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Expects a close first round, then Oliveira coming alive with the faster, harder shots, while admitting he is rooting for Elliott and calling it a close decision fight.
“comfortable in winning, it's like I'll probably lean Oliveira by either late probably lean Oliveira by either late finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm going to go Michael Oliveira, but this going to go Michael Oliveira, but this is still a competitive close fight. It is still a competitive close fight. It could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] with Oban. Oban, we still follow each with Ob”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Thinks Elliott has been badly overrated and calls this a layup for Oliveira, who has a six-and-a-half-inch reach edge, real power and a solid gas tank.
“like the UFC just tossing a layup here for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand jam and put on some style points here. jam and put on some style points here. Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Elliott. And I think it might take a Elliott. And I think it might take a little bit of time, but I'm going to say little bit of time, but I'm going to say first or second round knockout. I'll first or second round knockout. I'll l”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Describes Oliveira as terrifying and impossible to take down, marching opponents down and breaking them, while Elliott is on back-to-back losses and has been finished repeatedly.
“Elliott's been subbed once, but I think he's going to get knocked out again he's going to get knocked out again here. I mean, I give me a Michael here. I mean, I give me a Michael Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by brutal brutal brutal brutal brutal second round knockout. brutal second round knockout. Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic going against Hailey Cowan. going against Hailey Cowan. We got Milosevic”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Elliott’s losses come from being taken down and Oliveira does not wrestle, so he expects a striker-versus-striker fight that Oliveira’s volume and pressure win.
“This is not as clear as people are going to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap decision. I don't necessarily agree with decision. I don't necessarily agree with that. Michael is the pick. He should that. Michael is the pick. He should win. win. But odds matter. But odds matter. And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, but that's because he was taken down. but that's because he was taken down. His losses are from people ”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Says he was never on the Oban Elliott hype train — good everywhere, great nowhere — against an athletic undefeated Brazilian with an 89% KO rate.
“striking subpar. And then he got dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Michael Oliveira by KO in the first Michael Oliveira by KO in the first round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks everybody out”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Grants Elliott heart, cardio and the only grappling path, but expects him to press forward and run into Oliveira's left hook from a much longer, more damaging striker.
“feel like he's that likely to be able to strike for three rounds without getting strike for three rounds without getting clipped with that heat. So, give me clipped with that heat. So, give me Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. And man, I mean, the good fights just And man, I mean, the good fights just keep on coming. I know a lot of people keep on coming. I know a lot of people [ __ ] on this card, but maybe I'm like a [ __ ] on this card, but mayb”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Names Oliveira his fighter to watch and a future top-10 guy — cerebral, technical, good takedown defence — while Elliott has fallen off since the Hafez win.
“main card for a numbered event because this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the absolute goods and I think he's going to absolute goods and I think he's going to show that on Saturday when he comes out show that on Saturday when he comes out here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If you're planning on betting on the fights you're planning on betting on the fights this weekend, I wanted to let y'all know this weekend, I wanted to let y'”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Oliveira
Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO
Rates Oliveira a far better athlete with a stiff jab, reach and power, and sees Elliott as a generalist with takedown and striking-defence holes.
“know, trying to move away, try to mitigate some of the damage. And none of mitigate some of the damage. And none of that looks good for the judges. So, it's that looks good for the judges. So, it's Michael Oliveira for me. Michael Oliveira for me. >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh Bogdan Grad taking on Dennis Buzukja. Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come back on Buzukja plus 174. back on Buzukja ”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Believes Elliott's wrestling will not land on the bigger, more physically gifted Oliveira, who controls range behind the jab and counters patiently. “You know what I'm saying, dude? Like, Oan Elliot, it was nice having you Oan Elliot, it was nice having you around. You know, listen, I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I do feel like, listen, here's this is do feel like, listen, here's this is what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can actually do good in this matchup. I feel actually do good in this matchup. I feel like this is going to be one of those like this is” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Believes Elliott's wrestling will not land on the bigger, more physically gifted Oliveira, who controls range behind the jab and counters patiently. “You know what I'm saying, dude? Like, Oan Elliot, it was nice having you Oan Elliot, it was nice having you around. You know, listen, I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I I'm picking Michael Olivera by KO. I I I do feel like, listen, here's this is do feel like, listen, here's this is what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can what I'll say. I think Oan Elliot can actually do good in this matchup. I feel actually do good in this matchup. I feel like this is going to be one of those like this is” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Sees Oliveira as a freakishly powerful, technically patient striker with a large size and reach edge, and thinks a declining Elliott has been handed a nightmare matchup. “to me fading him against a terrifying Brazilian UFC debut. His game's Brazilian UFC debut. His game's ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're going with the Brazilian freak to pull going with the Brazilian freak to pull this one off. And I think he is getting this one off. And I think he is getting a KO. Next fight up the card featured a KO. Next fight up the card featured prelim of the ni” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Sees Oliveira as a freakishly powerful, technically patient striker with a large size and reach edge, and thinks a declining Elliott has been handed a nightmare matchup. “to me fading him against a terrifying Brazilian UFC debut. His game's Brazilian UFC debut. His game's ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're going with the Brazilian freak to pull going with the Brazilian freak to pull this one off. And I think he is getting this one off. And I think he is getting a KO. Next fight up the card featured a KO. Next fight up the card featured prelim of the ni” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Named in the rapid-fire prelim run-through with no accompanying analysis, and repeated in his own recap of the prelim slate. “card, I'm taking Mark O. Madsen. And then in the welterweight tilt between then in the welterweight tilt between Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm going with Oliveira. And in the featured going with Oliveira. And in the featured prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm takin” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Named in the rapid-fire prelim run-through with no accompanying analysis, and repeated in his own recap of the prelim slate. “card, I'm taking Mark O. Madsen. And then in the welterweight tilt between then in the welterweight tilt between Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm going with Oliveira. And in the featured going with Oliveira. And in the featured prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm takin” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Oban Elliott · Dec Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Backs Elliott as a near 3-to-1 underdog on craft and experience, saying the green Oliveira has not seen entries like Elliott's takedown-to-knee-and-low-kick sequences. “Nikolic getting this one done by brutal finish, in all honesty, in the first two finish, in all honesty, in the first two rounds. rounds. Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Oliveira. Listen. Oliveira. Listen. Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one off. off. I've been casting spells on Michael I've been casting spells on Michael Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem voodoo to ensure our” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 23.5%. Elliott · Dec | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Backs Elliott as a near 3-to-1 underdog on craft and experience, saying the green Oliveira has not seen entries like Elliott's takedown-to-knee-and-low-kick sequences. “Nikolic getting this one done by brutal finish, in all honesty, in the first two finish, in all honesty, in the first two rounds. rounds. Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Ode Osbourne Elliott versus Michael Oliveira. Listen. Oliveira. Listen. Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one Somehow, someway, we're pulling this one off. off. I've been casting spells on Michael I've been casting spells on Michael Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem Oliveira. I've done some Garusalem voodoo to ensure our” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Expects a close first round, then Oliveira coming alive with the faster, harder shots, while admitting he is rooting for Elliott and calling it a close decision fight. “comfortable in winning, it's like I'll probably lean Oliveira by either late probably lean Oliveira by either late finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm going to go Michael Oliveira, but this going to go Michael Oliveira, but this is still a competitive close fight. It is still a competitive close fight. It could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] with Oban. Oban, we still follow each with Ob” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Expects a close first round, then Oliveira coming alive with the faster, harder shots, while admitting he is rooting for Elliott and calling it a close decision fight. “comfortable in winning, it's like I'll probably lean Oliveira by either late probably lean Oliveira by either late finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm finish or Oliveira by uh points. So, I'm going to go Michael Oliveira, but this going to go Michael Oliveira, but this is still a competitive close fight. It is still a competitive close fight. It could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] could should be interesting. I do [ __ ] with Oban. Oban, we still follow each with Ob” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Thinks Elliott has been badly overrated and calls this a layup for Oliveira, who has a six-and-a-half-inch reach edge, real power and a solid gas tank. “like the UFC just tossing a layup here for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand jam and put on some style points here. jam and put on some style points here. Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Elliott. And I think it might take a Elliott. And I think it might take a little bit of time, but I'm going to say little bit of time, but I'm going to say first or second round knockout. I'll first or second round knockout. I'll l” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO · R2 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Thinks Elliott has been badly overrated and calls this a layup for Oliveira, who has a six-and-a-half-inch reach edge, real power and a solid gas tank. “like the UFC just tossing a layup here for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand jam and put on some style points here. jam and put on some style points here. Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Elliott. And I think it might take a Elliott. And I think it might take a little bit of time, but I'm going to say little bit of time, but I'm going to say first or second round knockout. I'll first or second round knockout. I'll l” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Describes Oliveira as terrifying and impossible to take down, marching opponents down and breaking them, while Elliott is on back-to-back losses and has been finished repeatedly. “Elliott's been subbed once, but I think he's going to get knocked out again he's going to get knocked out again here. I mean, I give me a Michael here. I mean, I give me a Michael Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by brutal brutal brutal brutal brutal second round knockout. brutal second round knockout. Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic going against Hailey Cowan. going against Hailey Cowan. We got Milosevic” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO · R2 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Describes Oliveira as terrifying and impossible to take down, marching opponents down and breaking them, while Elliott is on back-to-back losses and has been finished repeatedly. “Elliott's been subbed once, but I think he's going to get knocked out again he's going to get knocked out again here. I mean, I give me a Michael here. I mean, I give me a Michael Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by Oliveira. Give me a Michael Oliveira by brutal brutal brutal brutal brutal second round knockout. brutal second round knockout. Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic Up [snorts] next we have Nina Milosevic going against Hailey Cowan. going against Hailey Cowan. We got Milosevic” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Elliott’s losses come from being taken down and Oliveira does not wrestle, so he expects a striker-versus-striker fight that Oliveira’s volume and pressure win. “This is not as clear as people are going to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap decision. I don't necessarily agree with decision. I don't necessarily agree with that. Michael is the pick. He should that. Michael is the pick. He should win. win. But odds matter. But odds matter. And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, but that's because he was taken down. but that's because he was taken down. His losses are from people ” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Elliott’s losses come from being taken down and Oliveira does not wrestle, so he expects a striker-versus-striker fight that Oliveira’s volume and pressure win. “This is not as clear as people are going to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap decision. I don't necessarily agree with decision. I don't necessarily agree with that. Michael is the pick. He should that. Michael is the pick. He should win. win. But odds matter. But odds matter. And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, but that's because he was taken down. but that's because he was taken down. His losses are from people ” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Says he was never on the Oban Elliott hype train — good everywhere, great nowhere — against an athletic undefeated Brazilian with an 89% KO rate. “striking subpar. And then he got dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Michael Oliveira by KO in the first Michael Oliveira by KO in the first round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks everybody out” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO · R1 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Says he was never on the Oban Elliott hype train — good everywhere, great nowhere — against an athletic undefeated Brazilian with an 89% KO rate. “striking subpar. And then he got dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by dominated by Suk Kim Cowan, destroyed by Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Jonathan Mekhonnin. I'm going to go with Michael Oliveira by KO in the first Michael Oliveira by KO in the first round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks round. Yeah, Michael Oliveira looks dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, dangerous, man. Very athletic guy, undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks undefeated guy from Brazil who knocks everybody out” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Grants Elliott heart, cardio and the only grappling path, but expects him to press forward and run into Oliveira's left hook from a much longer, more damaging striker. “feel like he's that likely to be able to strike for three rounds without getting strike for three rounds without getting clipped with that heat. So, give me clipped with that heat. So, give me Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. And man, I mean, the good fights just And man, I mean, the good fights just keep on coming. I know a lot of people keep on coming. I know a lot of people [ __ ] on this card, but maybe I'm like a [ __ ] on this card, but mayb” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO · R2 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Grants Elliott heart, cardio and the only grappling path, but expects him to press forward and run into Oliveira's left hook from a much longer, more damaging striker. “feel like he's that likely to be able to strike for three rounds without getting strike for three rounds without getting clipped with that heat. So, give me clipped with that heat. So, give me Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. Oliveira via round two KO/TKO. And man, I mean, the good fights just And man, I mean, the good fights just keep on coming. I know a lot of people keep on coming. I know a lot of people [ __ ] on this card, but maybe I'm like a [ __ ] on this card, but mayb”
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Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Names Oliveira his fighter to watch and a future top-10 guy — cerebral, technical, good takedown defence — while Elliott has fallen off since the Hafez win. “main card for a numbered event because this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the absolute goods and I think he's going to absolute goods and I think he's going to show that on Saturday when he comes out show that on Saturday when he comes out here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If you're planning on betting on the fights you're planning on betting on the fights this weekend, I wanted to let y'all know this weekend, I wanted to let y'” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Names Oliveira his fighter to watch and a future top-10 guy — cerebral, technical, good takedown defence — while Elliott has fallen off since the Hafez win. “main card for a numbered event because this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the absolute goods and I think he's going to absolute goods and I think he's going to show that on Saturday when he comes out show that on Saturday when he comes out here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If you're planning on betting on the fights you're planning on betting on the fights this weekend, I wanted to let y'all know this weekend, I wanted to let y'” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Oliveira Fight result: Michael Oliveira · KO/TKO Rates Oliveira a far better athlete with a stiff jab, reach and power, and sees Elliott as a generalist with takedown and striking-defence holes. “know, trying to move away, try to mitigate some of the damage. And none of mitigate some of the damage. And none of that looks good for the judges. So, it's that looks good for the judges. So, it's Michael Oliveira for me. Michael Oliveira for me. >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh Bogdan Grad taking on Dennis Buzukja. Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come back on Buzukja plus 174. back on Buzukja ” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Rates Oliveira a far better athlete with a stiff jab, reach and power, and sees Elliott as a generalist with takedown and striking-defence holes. “know, trying to move away, try to mitigate some of the damage. And none of mitigate some of the damage. And none of that looks good for the judges. So, it's that looks good for the judges. So, it's Michael Oliveira for me. Michael Oliveira for me. >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh >> All right, moving on down, we've got uh Bogdan Grad taking on Dennis Buzukja. Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come Bogdan Grad minus 200 favorite, come back on Buzukja plus 174. back on Buzukja ” Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
11 of 12 nailed it.
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