UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Luke Riley defeats Kai Kamaka III by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:03
Riley vs Kamaka III — Featherweight · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Kamaka opened with early calf kicks.
Riley dropped him with a right hand.
Follow-up knees and punches forced the stoppage at 3:03.
- Secondary fallback play-by-play reportSherdog · UFC 329 play-by-play
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Riley
The Luke Riley side of this UFC 329 matchup is easy to grasp: the unbeaten prospect has already answered two useful early-career questions in the cage. He came through Bogdan Grad's wrestling-heavy first round before scoring the comeback knockout in his UFC debut, then showed against Michael Aswell Jr. that he can bank rounds over 15 minutes without needing a quick finish. That matters here because Riley does not need this fight to stay a pure Muay Thai showcase to keep winning; if he can stay upright often enough to make Kamaka trade at his pace, the younger featherweight's cleaner boxing and sharper counters can keep the rise moving.
Case for Kamaka III
Kamaka is the spoiler version of this page, and that is why the matchup matters more than a generic unbeaten-prospect spot. He has already lived through UFC, Bellator and PFL rounds, just returned to the roster with a hard split-decision win over Dakota Hope, and brings the exact kind of layered test Riley has barely had to solve yet: body work, wrestling looks and enough composure to stay useful late. If Kamaka can turn Riley's preferred striking fight into a clinch-and-mat grind or simply drag him into another tight round-three decision, the page stops being about hype and starts being about whether Riley is ready for veteran featherweights right now.
What We Were Watching For
- Kamaka's first serious wrestling sequence — Riley solved Grad's pressure after losing round one, but Kamaka is the cleaner veteran version of that problem.
- Riley's willingness to stay patient after landing clean — if he chases a finish too hard, Kamaka has the experience to turn that aggression into clinch time.
- Body work on both sides: Kamaka leans on it in long fights, while Riley's kicking game is one of the simplest ways to slow the veteran's entries.
- Round three if it is close — Kamaka has made a career out of these late reads, while Riley is still proving his undefeated record holds once the fast start fades.
Records & career stats
- 6.67 5.49
- 61% 55%
- 3.86 6.03
- 38% 55%
- 71% 22%
- 13-0-0
- Record
- 18-7-1
- 3-0 last 3
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- UK
- Nationality
- United States
- 26
- Age
- 31
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 07:51
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:05
- NEXT Generation MMA
- Team
- Xtreme Couture - Las Vegas, NV
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Picks Luke Riley by decision.
“I predict Riley to win. I think Riley wins by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
- Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Calls it close and expects Kai Kamaka to have moments, but leans Luke Riley by 29-28 decision. He thinks Riley's light movement, speed, body work and left hook make Kamaka's calf-kick game harder to establish over three rounds.
“We're going to go with Luke Riley by 29-28 decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Gives Kamaka a chance to land early boxing, but sees Riley's offensive pressure and power as the deciding traits once exchanges open up. He expects Riley to keep throwing through Kamaka's offense and overpower him for a second-round knockout.
“I think Luke Riley at the end of the day is going to overpower him in these exchanges, knocking him out in the second round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Makes Riley the clear side, pointing to his speed and team context while openly treating Kamaka as the much less convincing form read. He says Riley can get it done quickly and however he wants, but does not lock a specific method.
“Um I'm going with Luke Riley”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Respects Kamaka as a live, well-rounded opponent, but thinks Riley's boxing advantage is too sharp. He expects Riley to read the kicks, answer with hands and find a knockout once he gets comfortable.
“I'm going with KO. Luke Riley, first or second round over Kamaka.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Takes Riley because his shots should be the more damaging and eye-catching work. He respects Kamaka's toughness and expects him to survive all three rounds, but not to outscore Riley's power.
“I'm going Luke Riley. I'll go damage-based, power-based decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
They have concerns about Luke Riley if Kai Kamaka can force clinches and make rounds ugly, but both still pick Riley. The shared logic is that Riley is the cleaner and faster striker in what should mostly be a striking matchup.
“Luke Riley is the pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.
“I'm going to take Luke Riley to get it done.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Rates Luke Riley's boxing, Cage Warriors experience and finishing power well above the threat Kai Kamaka brings. He expects Riley to handle the grappling well enough and land a heavy first-round shot.
“I'm going to go with Luke Riley by KO in the first round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction.
“Luke Riley to win this fight by KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Leftlane MMA picks Luke Riley in the Riley–Kamaka discussion.
“for now I'll just pick him against this level of comp.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Picks Luke Riley by decision.
“I’m going to go with Luke Riley by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Expects a mostly striking fight and sides with Riley's boxing, Thai boxing, footwork, rhythm and youth. He respects Kamaka's experience and UFC return, but thinks Riley has the cleaner tools to win rounds.
“Luke Riley gets the job done, but it will be via a decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Vreeland expects a striking-heavy matchup to suit Riley and doubts Kamaka’s grappling will deter him.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Luke Riley · Dec
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Luke Riley by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Kai Kamaka III
Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.
“Kai Kamaka by 2928. Unanimous decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; HopperMMA Hit; BetSam Hit; Leftlane MMA Hit; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Miss; Michael Bisping Hit; Daniel Vreeland Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MMA Lock of the Night
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Picks Luke Riley by decision. “I predict Riley to win. I think Riley wins by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Luke Riley by decision. “I predict Riley to win. I think Riley wins by decision.” Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Calls it close and expects Kai Kamaka to have moments, but leans Luke Riley by 29-28 decision. He thinks Riley's light movement, speed, body work and left hook make Kamaka's calf-kick game harder to establish over three rounds. “We're going to go with Luke Riley by 29-28 decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Calls it close and expects Kai Kamaka to have moments, but leans Luke Riley by 29-28 decision. He thinks Riley's light movement, speed, body work and left hook make Kamaka's calf-kick game harder to establish over three rounds. “We're going to go with Luke Riley by 29-28 decision.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Gives Kamaka a chance to land early boxing, but sees Riley's offensive pressure and power as the deciding traits once exchanges open up. He expects Riley to keep throwing through Kamaka's offense and overpower him for a second-round knockout. “I think Luke Riley at the end of the day is going to overpower him in these exchanges, knocking him out in the second round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · KO/TKO · R2 | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Gives Kamaka a chance to land early boxing, but sees Riley's offensive pressure and power as the deciding traits once exchanges open up. He expects Riley to keep throwing through Kamaka's offense and overpower him for a second-round knockout. “I think Luke Riley at the end of the day is going to overpower him in these exchanges, knocking him out in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Makes Riley the clear side, pointing to his speed and team context while openly treating Kamaka as the much less convincing form read. He says Riley can get it done quickly and however he wants, but does not lock a specific method. “Um I'm going with Luke Riley” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Makes Riley the clear side, pointing to his speed and team context while openly treating Kamaka as the much less convincing form read. He says Riley can get it done quickly and however he wants, but does not lock a specific method. “Um I'm going with Luke Riley” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Respects Kamaka as a live, well-rounded opponent, but thinks Riley's boxing advantage is too sharp. He expects Riley to read the kicks, answer with hands and find a knockout once he gets comfortable. “I'm going with KO. Luke Riley, first or second round over Kamaka.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · KO/TKO | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Respects Kamaka as a live, well-rounded opponent, but thinks Riley's boxing advantage is too sharp. He expects Riley to read the kicks, answer with hands and find a knockout once he gets comfortable. “I'm going with KO. Luke Riley, first or second round over Kamaka.” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Takes Riley because his shots should be the more damaging and eye-catching work. He respects Kamaka's toughness and expects him to survive all three rounds, but not to outscore Riley's power. “I'm going Luke Riley. I'll go damage-based, power-based decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Riley because his shots should be the more damaging and eye-catching work. He respects Kamaka's toughness and expects him to survive all three rounds, but not to outscore Riley's power. “I'm going Luke Riley. I'll go damage-based, power-based decision.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO They have concerns about Luke Riley if Kai Kamaka can force clinches and make rounds ugly, but both still pick Riley. The shared logic is that Riley is the cleaner and faster striker in what should mostly be a striking matchup. “Luke Riley is the pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| They have concerns about Luke Riley if Kai Kamaka can force clinches and make rounds ugly, but both still pick Riley. The shared logic is that Riley is the cleaner and faster striker in what should mostly be a striking matchup. “Luke Riley is the pick.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
138 MMA
138 MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Luke Riley to get it done.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Luke Riley to get it done.” Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Rates Luke Riley's boxing, Cage Warriors experience and finishing power well above the threat Kai Kamaka brings. He expects Riley to handle the grappling well enough and land a heavy first-round shot. “I'm going to go with Luke Riley by KO in the first round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · KO/TKO · R1 | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Rates Luke Riley's boxing, Cage Warriors experience and finishing power well above the threat Kai Kamaka brings. He expects Riley to handle the grappling well enough and land a heavy first-round shot. “I'm going to go with Luke Riley by KO in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BetSam
BetSam
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Luke Riley to win this fight by KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Luke Riley to win this fight by KO.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Leftlane MMA
Leftlane MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Leftlane MMA picks Luke Riley in the Riley–Kamaka discussion. “for now I'll just pick him against this level of comp.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Leftlane MMA picks Luke Riley in the Riley–Kamaka discussion. “for now I'll just pick him against this level of comp.” Track record: winner called in 11 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Pure Picks
Pure Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Picks Luke Riley by decision. “I’m going to go with Luke Riley by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Luke Riley by decision. “I’m going to go with Luke Riley by decision.” Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Aniki MMA
Aniki MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Kai Kamaka III Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Kai Kamaka by 2928. Unanimous decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 30.5%. Kamaka III · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Kai Kamaka by 2928. Unanimous decision.” Track record: winner called in 11 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Bisping
Michael Bisping
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Expects a mostly striking fight and sides with Riley's boxing, Thai boxing, footwork, rhythm and youth. He respects Kamaka's experience and UFC return, but thinks Riley has the cleaner tools to win rounds. “Luke Riley gets the job done, but it will be via a decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects a mostly striking fight and sides with Riley's boxing, Thai boxing, footwork, rhythm and youth. He respects Kamaka's experience and UFC return, but thinks Riley has the cleaner tools to win rounds. “Luke Riley gets the job done, but it will be via a decision.” Track record: winner called in 19 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Daniel Vreeland
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Vreeland expects a striking-heavy matchup to suit Riley and doubts Kamaka’s grappling will deter him. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Vreeland expects a striking-heavy matchup to suit Riley and doubts Kamaka’s grappling will deter him. Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Luke Riley · Dec Fight result: Luke Riley · KO/TKO Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Luke Riley by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Luke Riley by decision. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
15 of 16 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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