UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2  11 Jul 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison by KO/TKO

Watch the fight
KO/TKO · knees and punches

Round 1 · 2:31

Steveson vs Ellison — Heavyweight · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Steveson mixed front kicks and power punches to open the fight.

He closed to the clinch and stacked knees and punches.

Ellison collapsed under the sequence at 2:31 of round one.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Steveson

This page is really about the Gable Steveson UFC debut question: how quickly can Olympic-level wrestling turn into a dependable heavyweight UFC weapon? Through three pro fights the answer has been 'very quickly' — first-round takedowns, top pressure and finishes every time, plus enough composure against Hugo Lezama to absorb a clean spinning wheel kick and still take over. Against Ellison, Steveson is not being asked to win a long technical kickboxing match; he is being asked to force his wrestling on a hittable heavyweight before the fight becomes a coin-flip pocket exchange.

Case for Ellison

Ellison is the reminder that Steveson is still only three fights into MMA, not a finished heavyweight yet. He has real first-round power, more cage rounds overall, and the one thing Steveson has not had to solve in public: an opponent who can make the wrestling entries costly with a single punch. If Ellison can stay upright, make Steveson strike on the way in and turn this into a frantic heavyweight exchange rather than a controlled clinch, the debut hype suddenly has to survive a live test instead of a clean showcase.

What We Were Watching For

  • How fast Steveson shoots in his UFC debut — immediate wrestling says he wants certainty, extended striking says he wants to answer bigger questions early.
  • Ellison's first clean counter opportunity when Steveson closes distance — that is the stress test Steveson has not yet had to pass.
  • Whether Steveson can run Ellison to the fence and keep him there — if the clinch belongs to Steveson, the matchup starts looking one-sided fast.
  • What happens after the first completed takedown — Steveson on top has meant a finish in all three pro wins, while Ellison's one submission loss and UFC stoppage both came once he lost control of the geography.
Records & career stats
3-0-0
Record
5-2-0
3-0 last 3
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-2 last 3
USA
Nationality
USA
26
Age
29
1.85 m
Height — Steveson leads
1.83 m
182 cm
Reach — Ellison leads
198 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
100%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
100%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
4
0
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ellison leads
1
15.46
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Steveson leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.61
5.89
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Steveson leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
15.79
59%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Steveson leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
34%
—
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
01:22
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
02:13
Jackson Wink MMA Academy - NM
Team
Combat Sports & Fitness

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

The surrounding segment explicitly identifies Gable Steveson versus Ellison; the source picks Steveson by first-round knockout.

“I’m going Gable Steveson round one... and get the knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Sees Steveson as a heavily protected but legitimate heavyweight prospect, citing his boxing, elite wrestling base, and the matchup placement as signals that the UFC expects him to win cleanly. Picks Steveson to knock Ellison out.

“Gable Steveson, great prospect at heavyweight. He's going to win this fight. He's going to knock this dude out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Treats the matchup as a showcase for Steveson's elite wrestling and athleticism against an opponent he thinks is badly overmatched. He expects Steveson to maul Ellison quickly and finish in round one.

“I'm going with Gable Steveson annihilating Alicia Ellison in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Treats the fight as a Steveson showcase. He expects the Olympic wrestler to put Ellison on the mat quickly, lean on ground-and-pound, and finish in the first round.

“Gable Stevenson should deliver a first round TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Thinks Ellison is an undersized and inexperienced UFC heavyweight debut opponent for this spot. He expects Steveson's athleticism, wrestling threat and power to be enough for a quick TKO, while noting it would not prove top-level heavyweight readiness yet.

“By TKO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Views Ellison as badly overmatched once Steveson wrestles. He points to Ellison's defensive gaps and cardio concerns, expecting Steveson's Olympic-level grappling and top pressure to produce a fast stoppage.

“Give me Gable Steveson to win by first round TKO. It's going to be brutal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

They treat Steveson as the obvious side because of the wrestling base and physical tools, while rejecting the contrarian case against him as overthinking. Ellison is acknowledged as aggressive and hard-hitting, but not enough to offset Steveson's athletic and grappling advantages.

“Gable is going to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Either way, I think Gable wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Backs Gable Steveson's Olympic wrestling and Jon Jones camp work to be too much for Elisha Ellison. He sees the matchup as designed for Steveson to get takedowns, control the fight and find an early submission.

“I'm going to go with Gable Stevenson to submit him in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Picks Gable Steveson by knockout.

“Gable Stevenson by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Stevenson by late round one ground and pound TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Makes Steveson a clear pick because of his Olympic wrestling base, heavyweight athleticism, speed, power and elite coaching setup. He sees Ellison's limited UFC sample as a bad setup against a prospect he believes could be fast-tracked.

“that is the potential that he has. Of course, he wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Makes Gable Steveson the straightforward pick in his UFC debut. He treats the wrestling pedigree and matchup dynamics as too wide a gap to back Elisha Ellison, while not committing to a specific finish method.

“that UFC debut is I ain't picking no grown man named Alicia to win a UFC fight. My pick is Gable Stevenson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Gable Steveson by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)

Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

The surrounding segment explicitly identifies Gable Steveson versus Ellison; the source picks Steveson by first-round knockout.

“I’m going Gable Steveson round one... and get the knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Sees Steveson as a heavily protected but legitimate heavyweight prospect, citing his boxing, elite wrestling base, and the matchup placement as signals that the UFC expects him to win cleanly. Picks Steveson to knock Ellison out.

“Gable Steveson, great prospect at heavyweight. He's going to win this fight. He's going to knock this dude out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKOSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Treats the matchup as a showcase for Steveson's elite wrestling and athleticism against an opponent he thinks is badly overmatched. He expects Steveson to maul Ellison quickly and finish in round one.

“I'm going with Gable Steveson annihilating Alicia Ellison in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Treats the fight as a Steveson showcase. He expects the Olympic wrestler to put Ellison on the mat quickly, lean on ground-and-pound, and finish in the first round.

“Gable Stevenson should deliver a first round TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Thinks Ellison is an undersized and inexperienced UFC heavyweight debut opponent for this spot. He expects Steveson's athleticism, wrestling threat and power to be enough for a quick TKO, while noting it would not prove top-level heavyweight readiness yet.

“By TKO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Views Ellison as badly overmatched once Steveson wrestles. He points to Ellison's defensive gaps and cardio concerns, expecting Steveson's Olympic-level grappling and top pressure to produce a fast stoppage.

“Give me Gable Steveson to win by first round TKO. It's going to be brutal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

They treat Steveson as the obvious side because of the wrestling base and physical tools, while rejecting the contrarian case against him as overthinking. Ellison is acknowledged as aggressive and hard-hitting, but not enough to offset Steveson's athletic and grappling advantages.

“Gable is going to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to winSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Either way, I think Gable wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to winSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Backs Gable Steveson's Olympic wrestling and Jon Jones camp work to be too much for Elisha Ellison. He sees the matchup as designed for Steveson to get takedowns, control the fight and find an early submission.

“I'm going to go with Gable Stevenson to submit him in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · Sub · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitMissHit
Pure Picks29 resolved calls
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Picks Gable Steveson by knockout.

“Gable Stevenson by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKOSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Aniki MMA19 resolved calls
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Stevenson by late round one ground and pound TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Michael Bisping33 resolved calls
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Makes Steveson a clear pick because of his Olympic wrestling base, heavyweight athleticism, speed, power and elite coaching setup. He sees Ellison's limited UFC sample as a bad setup against a prospect he believes could be fast-tracked.

“that is the potential that he has. Of course, he wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to winSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Makes Gable Steveson the straightforward pick in his UFC debut. He treats the wrestling pedigree and matchup dynamics as too wide a gap to back Elisha Ellison, while not committing to a specific finish method.

“that UFC debut is I ain't picking no grown man named Alicia to win a UFC fight. My pick is Gable Stevenson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to winSteveson · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Gable Steveson · KO/TKO

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Gable Steveson by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit

14 of 14 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.