UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry  15 Aug 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US

Lucas Fernando defeats Rafael Tobias by KO/TKO

Loss Rafael Tobias 14-3-0
Win Lucas Fernando 14-3-0
KO/TKO · punches

Round 3 · 1:10

Tobias vs Fernando · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Fernando battered Tobias throughout, using punches and kicks to all levels rather than hunting a single finish, and dropped him with a jab in the second round.

The end came early in the third, at 1:10, when a knee to the body finished what the accumulated damage had started.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Tobias

The official UFC card lists Tobias in the red corner for a three-round light-heavyweight bout. His official athlete profile supplies the available UFC record and performance data.

Case for Fernando

The official UFC card lists Fernando in the blue corner. The official athlete page currently establishes his roster identity, while complete professional-history evidence remains explicitly unavailable rather than reconstructed from secondary records.

What We Were Watching For

  • How does Tobias's documented UFC experience translate into this three-round bout?
  • What information does the official broadcast add to Fernando's newly established UFC roster profile?
  • Which fighter controls the first sustained light-heavyweight exchange?
Records & career stats
Tobias vs Fernando
14-2-0
Record
13-3-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil
23
Age
29
1.88 m
Height — Fernando leads
1.91 m
189 cm
Reach — Fernando leads
203 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
79%
Finish rateFinish % — Tobias leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
69%
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Fernando leads
8
6
Wins by submissionSub wins — Tobias leads
2
2.17
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Fernando leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.71
5.95
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Fernando leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.21
37%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Fernando leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
51%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
09:59
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:05
Light Heavyweight
Weight classWeight
Middleweight (moving up)
Fight Sports Deerfield Beach
Team
Rizzo RVT

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

AJ Devito
Hear it — 41:56

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Tobias

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Backs Tobias's physical grappling and questions Fernando's ground game.

“I'm gonna go towards Tobias to pull off the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 5:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · Dec

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors Fernando's jab, calf kicks and reach for a clear decision.

“I am going to go with Fernando to win this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 15:43

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Gives Fernando the edge in the matchup without a method call.

“I got to give the edge to Lucas Fernando in this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 8:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Picks Fernando by first-round knockout.

“I'll go Lucas Fernando to get it done. I'll say first round KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 6:31

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors the LFA light-heavyweight champion Fernando for his size and finishing potential.

“I'm going to go with Lucas Fernando.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 6:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Selects Fernando but explicitly notes he did little research on the matchup.

“I'm going to go Lucas Fernando for this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 17:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors Fernando's technical striking and body work, trusting his takedown defense for a later-stage knockout.

“Give me Lucas Fernando here to get this one done by a later stage knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 7:16

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · Dec

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Rates Fernando as the better all-round fighter, especially at range and to the body, with more proven competition.

“I'm going Fernando here. Give me Fernando to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 48:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Both hosts independently select Fernando in the dedicated matchup segment.

“The pick here, I have to go with Lucas.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:15

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Rates Fernando's striking above Tobias's takedown threat and expects the debutant to take over late.

“I'm going to go Fernando by TKO in the third round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Leftlane MMA
Hear it — 1:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Picks Lucas Fernando by KO; the caption alternates between Fernandes and Fernando, resolved against the canonical matchup.

“hell against Di Anello Geja. Let's go with Fernandes by KO or Fernando by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 39:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Pure pick is Fernando without a method call.

“My pure pick would be Lucas Fernando.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Bookie Beatdown
Hear it — 74:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Both hosts agree on Fernando, characterizing him as the more finished product.

“Fernando, as you said, more of a finished product. We're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Lucas Fernando by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Lucas Fernando.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Leftlane MMA Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Alexander K. Lee Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 5:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · Dec

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors Fernando's jab, calf kicks and reach for a clear decision.

“I am going to go with Fernando to win this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · DecFernando · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 41:56

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Tobias

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Backs Tobias's physical grappling and questions Fernando's ground game.

“I'm gonna go towards Tobias to pull off the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 27.5%. Tobias · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 15:43

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Gives Fernando the edge in the matchup without a method call.

“I got to give the edge to Lucas Fernando in this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 8:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Picks Fernando by first-round knockout.

“I'll go Lucas Fernando to get it done. I'll say first round KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKO · R1Fernando · KO/TKO R3HitHitMiss
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 6:31

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors the LFA light-heavyweight champion Fernando for his size and finishing potential.

“I'm going to go with Lucas Fernando.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 6:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Selects Fernando but explicitly notes he did little research on the matchup.

“I'm going to go Lucas Fernando for this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 17:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Favors Fernando's technical striking and body work, trusting his takedown defense for a later-stage knockout.

“Give me Lucas Fernando here to get this one done by a later stage knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKOFernando · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 7:16

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · Dec

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Rates Fernando as the better all-round fighter, especially at range and to the body, with more proven competition.

“I'm going Fernando here. Give me Fernando to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · DecFernando · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 48:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Both hosts independently select Fernando in the dedicated matchup segment.

“The pick here, I have to go with Lucas.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:15

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Rates Fernando's striking above Tobias's takedown threat and expects the debutant to take over late.

“I'm going to go Fernando by TKO in the third round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKO · R3Fernando · KO/TKO R3HitHitHit
Leftlane MMA18 resolved calls
Leftlane MMA
Hear it — 1:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Picks Lucas Fernando by KO; the caption alternates between Fernandes and Fernando, resolved against the canonical matchup.

“hell against Di Anello Geja. Let's go with Fernandes by KO or Fernando by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKOFernando · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 39:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Pure pick is Fernando without a method call.

“My pure pick would be Lucas Fernando.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown
Hear it — 74:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Both hosts agree on Fernando, characterizing him as the more finished product.

“Fernando, as you said, more of a finished product. We're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Lucas Fernando by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKO · R1Fernando · KO/TKO R3HitHitMiss
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lucas Fernando

Fight result: Lucas Fernando · KO/TKO

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Lucas Fernando.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called

14 of 15 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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