UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Navajo Stirling defeats Jan Błachowicz by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:56
Błachowicz vs Stirling — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Blachowicz’s stiff jab forced Stirling to a knee in the opening exchanges. Stirling answered with a clean right hand.
The right hand sent Blachowicz backwards, and Stirling chased him to the mat. Stirling then worked with ground-and-pound.
Heavy ground-and-pound opened Blachowicz until the referee stepped in at 2:56 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Błachowicz
Błachowicz has seen every situation this division offers, and his power carries late — he still lands at 3.55 strikes a minute with 52% striking defence. Stirling took this on less than three weeks' notice, and a former champion who fights at range is the worst possible short-notice assignment.
Case for Stirling
Stirling is undefeated at 10-0 with six knockouts and lands 6.24 significant strikes a minute — nearly double Błachowicz's output. He came back from genuine adversity against Ion Cutelaba in June, and at 28 against a 43-year-old whose last win came in May 2022, the physical gap is real.
What We Were Watching For
- Round one output — Stirling's 6.24 strikes per minute against a veteran who tends to start slowly.
- Whether Błachowicz can drag it into the third round — six of Stirling's ten wins ended inside the distance.
- Short-notice conditioning — Stirling accepted this bout on under three weeks' notice.
- Whether Błachowicz looks to grapple — nine of his wins are submissions and he averages 0.36 submission attempts per fifteen minutes, against a 10-0 opponent who has never recorded a submission win, and no attempt in UFC-tracked competition.
Records & career stats
- 29-11-2
- Record
- 10-0-0
- 1-2-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Poland
- Nationality
- New Zealand
- 43
- Age
- 28
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 62%
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- Source pending
- 9
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- —
- 12:49
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 10:24
- Ankos MMA - Zapaśniczy 67, Warszawa
- Team
- City Kickboxing
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Argues Blachowicz has not actually declined — competitive against Ulberg, Guskov and Pereira — and that Stirling lacks Ulberg's one-shot power, especially on short notice.
“[ __ ] believe me, gang. I picked Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and after reviewing the tape I think I'm after reviewing the tape I think I'm going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo Sterling. I think that he's going to win Sterling. I think that he's going to win a crafty decision. I could weirdly see a crafty decision. I could weirdly see Navajo Sterling just destroying him. I Navajo Sterling just destroyi”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jan Błachowicz
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Agonised over picking against Stirling, one of his favourite prospects, but decided the short-notice step up is too much too soon and backed the former champion's veteran savvy as a big underdog.
“Sterling. I'm excited to see what's up, man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm going with the former champion. We're going with the former champion. We're going Yamlhovich for the W. going Yamlhovich for the W. Let's ”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Calls the odds wrong, arguing Blachowicz is still at the top of his game and too hard to catch on the chin, and that he out-jabs and out-low-kicks Stirling at range on short notice.
“him coming in at about 235 240. And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move on. on. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Are these odds having a [ __ ] laugh? +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight I think it's wrong. I think it's wrong. The odds on the weight and still have The odds on the weight and still have Jan Bl”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Says Blachowicz has had close fights with every monster at 205 and still has it at 43, while Stirling's record flatters him. Calls the step up on short notice too much too soon.
“fight that Jan Blachowicz gets it done. He's in Europe, he's going to have the He's in Europe, he's going to have the home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan Błachowicz by decision. Błachowicz by decision. Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he started finishing fights. He o”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Framed it as Stirling's speed against Blachowicz's power and noted that in four-ounce gloves power often beats speed, but closed by saying the rankings have this matchup wrong and the oddsmakers closer to right, siding with them on Stirling.
“get to 40-plus years. I don't know that the rankings room has this right. I the rankings room has this right. I THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that are a little closer here, and I do favor are a little closer here, and I do favor with them Sterling. with them Sterling. >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to just his second fight in 42 days. I just his second fight in 42 days. I should say his s”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Picked Stirling because he does not think Blachowicz, carrying injuries and age, can find his rhythm if it is disrupted, and sees no plan B for him. Explicitly said he does not expect a finish.
“We will see. Aljamain Sterling's a big boy, big young athletic guy from New boy, big young athletic guy from New Zealand with a lot of promise. Zealand with a lot of promise. Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, guys, it is time for our main event. guys, it is time for our main event. It's time to get in the weeds and talk It's time to get in the weeds and talk about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. And listen, guys, I a”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Calls Stirling the younger, more athletic fighter whose low kicks and movement will force the older Blachowicz to chase, while stressing he is not confident.
“going to be a walk in the park. I just can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling gets it done though. So, I'm going to go gets it done though. So, I'm going to go Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main event of the evening with Duško event of the evening with Duško Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to take foreve”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
A self-described Blachowicz fan, he says Jan has slowed enough that Stirling catches him at the right time, staying a step ahead behind the jab and leg kicks.
“slowed down enough for Navajo to just be a little bit ahead the entire fight. So a little bit ahead the entire fight. So I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling 29-28. I think this is going to be 29-28. I think this is going to be another fight to where we're going, oh, another fight to where we're going, oh, maybe on one. maybe on one. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at with I feel like ”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Not in love with Stirling and criticises his fight IQ against Cutelaba, but the 15-year age gap, higher volume, speed, cardio and takedown defence beat a 43-year-old, damaged Blachowicz.
“probably leaning the other way potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 years younger, you I think you got to go years younger, you I think you got to go Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win this fight by decision. Blachowicz still this fight by decision. Blachowicz still at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and Sterling by decision. Sterling by decision. All right, next we go”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Says he would rather fade Stirling, but takes him anyway on Blachowicz being 43 and coming off a fight he nearly lost in the second round.
“us the matchup where it was very obvious to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Then we have the main event of the Then we have the main event of the evening. We have Uros Medic, who this evening. We have Uros Medic, who this card was built around, taking on Daniel card was built around, taking on Daniel Rodriguez. No”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Rates Blachowicz the better overall fighter but thinks he is slowing, keeps losing close calls with the judges, and that Stirling's range, leg kicks and clinch work win a competitive decision.
“wrestling and clinch battle to get him tired and then win a decision in this tired and then win a decision in this fight. So, I see it being competitive fight. So, I see it being competitive once again, but I'm going to go with once again, but I'm going to go with Nalvo Sterling via decision. Nalvo Sterling via decision. And then last but not least, we got the And then last but not least, we got the main event, which is going to be a barn main event, which is going to be a barn burner with Earle”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Has been fading Blachowicz for years and thinks Stirling's range, speed, timing and wrestling defence catch the 43-year-old at the perfect time. Explicitly refuses to call the method.
“I've fallen and can't get up. So, don't be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in a takedown or two, but ultimately, I a takedown or two, but ultimately, I don't know if it's going to be a don't know if it's going to be a knockout or a decision, but I am going knockout or a decision, but I am going to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here and get the biggest win of his career and get the biggest win of his career an”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Blachowicz is 43 and a step slow, while Stirling is 28, 6'4" and still improving; expects Stirling to be quicker to the punch and win at range, but thinks Blachowicz is too durable to finish.
“out of there. Even if he's long in the tooth, everything like that, he's tooth, everything like that, he's slower. slower. Uh Sterling by decision would be the Uh Sterling by decision would be the official pick. But uh I'm just I feel official pick. But uh I'm just I feel like this fight like this fight on paper and everything that we kind of on paper and everything that we kind of said, like said, like everything points towards the 6'4 young, everything points towards the 6'4 young, improving k”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Analyst picks: Chael Sonnen Hit; Bedtime MMA Miss; AJ Devito Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Miss; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Jesse Holland Miss.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chael Sonnen
Chael Sonnen
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Framed it as Stirling's speed against Blachowicz's power and noted that in four-ounce gloves power often beats speed, but closed by saying the rankings have this matchup wrong and the oddsmakers closer to right, siding with them on Stirling. “get to 40-plus years. I don't know that the rankings room has this right. I the rankings room has this right. I THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that are a little closer here, and I do favor are a little closer here, and I do favor with them Sterling. with them Sterling. >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to just his second fight in 42 days. I just his second fight in 42 days. I should say his s” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Framed it as Stirling's speed against Blachowicz's power and noted that in four-ounce gloves power often beats speed, but closed by saying the rankings have this matchup wrong and the oddsmakers closer to right, siding with them on Stirling. “get to 40-plus years. I don't know that the rankings room has this right. I the rankings room has this right. I THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that THINK THE ODDS MAKERS are the one that are a little closer here, and I do favor are a little closer here, and I do favor with them Sterling. with them Sterling. >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to >> Sterling jumping at every opportunity to just his second fight in 42 days. I just his second fight in 42 days. I should say his s” Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Argues Blachowicz has not actually declined — competitive against Ulberg, Guskov and Pereira — and that Stirling lacks Ulberg's one-shot power, especially on short notice. “[ __ ] believe me, gang. I picked Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and after reviewing the tape I think I'm after reviewing the tape I think I'm going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo Sterling. I think that he's going to win Sterling. I think that he's going to win a crafty decision. I could weirdly see a crafty decision. I could weirdly see Navajo Sterling just destroying him. I Navajo Sterling just destroyi” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Argues Blachowicz has not actually declined — competitive against Ulberg, Guskov and Pereira — and that Stirling lacks Ulberg's one-shot power, especially on short notice. “[ __ ] believe me, gang. I picked Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and Yanlohovich to beat Israel Adosana and after reviewing the tape I think I'm after reviewing the tape I think I'm going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo going to pick Yanlohic to beat Navajo Sterling. I think that he's going to win Sterling. I think that he's going to win a crafty decision. I could weirdly see a crafty decision. I could weirdly see Navajo Sterling just destroying him. I Navajo Sterling just destroyi” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Jan Błachowicz Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Agonised over picking against Stirling, one of his favourite prospects, but decided the short-notice step up is too much too soon and backed the former champion's veteran savvy as a big underdog. “Sterling. I'm excited to see what's up, man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm going with the former champion. We're going with the former champion. We're going Yamlhovich for the W. going Yamlhovich for the W. Let's ” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Agonised over picking against Stirling, one of his favourite prospects, but decided the short-notice step up is too much too soon and backed the former champion's veteran savvy as a big underdog. “Sterling. I'm excited to see what's up, man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm going with the former champion. We're going with the former champion. We're going Yamlhovich for the W. going Yamlhovich for the W. Let's ” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Picked Stirling because he does not think Blachowicz, carrying injuries and age, can find his rhythm if it is disrupted, and sees no plan B for him. Explicitly said he does not expect a finish. “We will see. Aljamain Sterling's a big boy, big young athletic guy from New boy, big young athletic guy from New Zealand with a lot of promise. Zealand with a lot of promise. Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, guys, it is time for our main event. guys, it is time for our main event. It's time to get in the weeds and talk It's time to get in the weeds and talk about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. And listen, guys, I a” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picked Stirling because he does not think Blachowicz, carrying injuries and age, can find his rhythm if it is disrupted, and sees no plan B for him. Explicitly said he does not expect a finish. “We will see. Aljamain Sterling's a big boy, big young athletic guy from New boy, big young athletic guy from New Zealand with a lot of promise. Zealand with a lot of promise. Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, Taking Aljamain Sterling. All right, guys, it is time for our main event. guys, it is time for our main event. It's time to get in the weeds and talk It's time to get in the weeds and talk about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. about Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez. And listen, guys, I a” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Calls the odds wrong, arguing Blachowicz is still at the top of his game and too hard to catch on the chin, and that he out-jabs and out-low-kicks Stirling at range on short notice. “him coming in at about 235 240. And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move on. on. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Are these odds having a [ __ ] laugh? +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight I think it's wrong. I think it's wrong. The odds on the weight and still have The odds on the weight and still have Jan Bl” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Calls the odds wrong, arguing Blachowicz is still at the top of his game and too hard to catch on the chin, and that he out-jabs and out-low-kicks Stirling at range on short notice. “him coming in at about 235 240. And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move And piecing up Tybura with ease. We move on. on. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Jan Blachowicz versus Navajo Sterling. Are these odds having a [ __ ] laugh? +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 +240 Jan Blachowicz -300 Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight Navajo Sterling. The odds on the weight I think it's wrong. I think it's wrong. The odds on the weight and still have The odds on the weight and still have Jan Bl” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Calls Stirling the younger, more athletic fighter whose low kicks and movement will force the older Blachowicz to chase, while stressing he is not confident. “going to be a walk in the park. I just can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling gets it done though. So, I'm going to go gets it done though. So, I'm going to go Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main event of the evening with Duško event of the evening with Duško Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to take foreve” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Calls Stirling the younger, more athletic fighter whose low kicks and movement will force the older Blachowicz to chase, while stressing he is not confident. “going to be a walk in the park. I just can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling can't do it. I think Aljamain Sterling gets it done though. So, I'm going to go gets it done though. So, I'm going to go Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Aljamain Sterling to defeat Jan Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main Błachowicz. Which brings me to the main event of the evening with Duško event of the evening with Duško Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to Todorović versus D Rod and it's going to take foreve” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO A self-described Blachowicz fan, he says Jan has slowed enough that Stirling catches him at the right time, staying a step ahead behind the jab and leg kicks. “slowed down enough for Navajo to just be a little bit ahead the entire fight. So a little bit ahead the entire fight. So I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling 29-28. I think this is going to be 29-28. I think this is going to be another fight to where we're going, oh, another fight to where we're going, oh, maybe on one. maybe on one. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at with I feel like ” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| A self-described Blachowicz fan, he says Jan has slowed enough that Stirling catches him at the right time, staying a step ahead behind the jab and leg kicks. “slowed down enough for Navajo to just be a little bit ahead the entire fight. So a little bit ahead the entire fight. So I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling 29-28. I think this is going to be 29-28. I think this is going to be another fight to where we're going, oh, another fight to where we're going, oh, maybe on one. maybe on one. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at with I feel like ” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Not in love with Stirling and criticises his fight IQ against Cutelaba, but the 15-year age gap, higher volume, speed, cardio and takedown defence beat a 43-year-old, damaged Blachowicz. “probably leaning the other way potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 years younger, you I think you got to go years younger, you I think you got to go Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win this fight by decision. Blachowicz still this fight by decision. Blachowicz still at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and Sterling by decision. Sterling by decision. All right, next we go” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Not in love with Stirling and criticises his fight IQ against Cutelaba, but the 15-year age gap, higher volume, speed, cardio and takedown defence beat a 43-year-old, damaged Blachowicz. “probably leaning the other way potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 potentially, but um yeah, as of now, 15 years younger, you I think you got to go years younger, you I think you got to go Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win Sterling here. I'll go Sterling to win this fight by decision. Blachowicz still this fight by decision. Blachowicz still at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and at 43 is is super tough. So Sterling and Sterling by decision. Sterling by decision. All right, next we go” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Says he would rather fade Stirling, but takes him anyway on Blachowicz being 43 and coming off a fight he nearly lost in the second round. “us the matchup where it was very obvious to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Then we have the main event of the Then we have the main event of the evening. We have Uros Medic, who this evening. We have Uros Medic, who this card was built around, taking on Daniel card was built around, taking on Daniel Rodriguez. No” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Says he would rather fade Stirling, but takes him anyway on Blachowicz being 43 and coming off a fight he nearly lost in the second round. “us the matchup where it was very obvious to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Then we have the main event of the Then we have the main event of the evening. We have Uros Medic, who this evening. We have Uros Medic, who this card was built around, taking on Daniel card was built around, taking on Daniel Rodriguez. No” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Says Blachowicz has had close fights with every monster at 205 and still has it at 43, while Stirling's record flatters him. Calls the step up on short notice too much too soon. “fight that Jan Blachowicz gets it done. He's in Europe, he's going to have the He's in Europe, he's going to have the home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan Błachowicz by decision. Błachowicz by decision. Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he started finishing fights. He o” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Says Blachowicz has had close fights with every monster at 205 and still has it at 43, while Stirling's record flatters him. Calls the step up on short notice too much too soon. “fight that Jan Blachowicz gets it done. He's in Europe, he's going to have the He's in Europe, he's going to have the home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan home crowd an I'm going to go with Jan Błachowicz by decision. Błachowicz by decision. Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with Nawaz Sterling had a close fight with two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and two Khalil Rountree, Ivan Erslan, and Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he Rodolfo Beltran, and only now has he started finishing fights. He o” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Rates Blachowicz the better overall fighter but thinks he is slowing, keeps losing close calls with the judges, and that Stirling's range, leg kicks and clinch work win a competitive decision. “wrestling and clinch battle to get him tired and then win a decision in this tired and then win a decision in this fight. So, I see it being competitive fight. So, I see it being competitive once again, but I'm going to go with once again, but I'm going to go with Nalvo Sterling via decision. Nalvo Sterling via decision. And then last but not least, we got the And then last but not least, we got the main event, which is going to be a barn main event, which is going to be a barn burner with Earle” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Rates Blachowicz the better overall fighter but thinks he is slowing, keeps losing close calls with the judges, and that Stirling's range, leg kicks and clinch work win a competitive decision. “wrestling and clinch battle to get him tired and then win a decision in this tired and then win a decision in this fight. So, I see it being competitive fight. So, I see it being competitive once again, but I'm going to go with once again, but I'm going to go with Nalvo Sterling via decision. Nalvo Sterling via decision. And then last but not least, we got the And then last but not least, we got the main event, which is going to be a barn main event, which is going to be a barn burner with Earle”
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Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by decision. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Has been fading Blachowicz for years and thinks Stirling's range, speed, timing and wrestling defence catch the 43-year-old at the perfect time. Explicitly refuses to call the method. “I've fallen and can't get up. So, don't be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in a takedown or two, but ultimately, I a takedown or two, but ultimately, I don't know if it's going to be a don't know if it's going to be a knockout or a decision, but I am going knockout or a decision, but I am going to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here and get the biggest win of his career and get the biggest win of his career an” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Has been fading Blachowicz for years and thinks Stirling's range, speed, timing and wrestling defence catch the 43-year-old at the perfect time. Explicitly refuses to call the method. “I've fallen and can't get up. So, don't be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in a takedown or two, but ultimately, I a takedown or two, but ultimately, I don't know if it's going to be a don't know if it's going to be a knockout or a decision, but I am going knockout or a decision, but I am going to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here and get the biggest win of his career and get the biggest win of his career an” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Blachowicz is 43 and a step slow, while Stirling is 28, 6'4" and still improving; expects Stirling to be quicker to the punch and win at range, but thinks Blachowicz is too durable to finish. “out of there. Even if he's long in the tooth, everything like that, he's tooth, everything like that, he's slower. slower. Uh Sterling by decision would be the Uh Sterling by decision would be the official pick. But uh I'm just I feel official pick. But uh I'm just I feel like this fight like this fight on paper and everything that we kind of on paper and everything that we kind of said, like said, like everything points towards the 6'4 young, everything points towards the 6'4 young, improving k” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Blachowicz is 43 and a step slow, while Stirling is 28, 6'4" and still improving; expects Stirling to be quicker to the punch and win at range, but thinks Blachowicz is too durable to finish. “out of there. Even if he's long in the tooth, everything like that, he's tooth, everything like that, he's slower. slower. Uh Sterling by decision would be the Uh Sterling by decision would be the official pick. But uh I'm just I feel official pick. But uh I'm just I feel like this fight like this fight on paper and everything that we kind of on paper and everything that we kind of said, like said, like everything points towards the 6'4 young, everything points towards the 6'4 young, improving k” Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidencePicked: Jan Błachowicz · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Jan Blachowicz by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
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