UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2  11 Jul 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Paddy Pimblett defeats Benoît Saint Denis by Submission

Win Paddy Pimblett 24-4-0
Loss Benoît Saint Denis 17-4-0
Submission · Peruvian necktie

Round 1 · 0:52

Pimblett vs Saint Denis — Lightweight · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Pimblett rolled through Saint Denis' first takedown attempt and immediately hunted the front headlock.

He transitioned to a Peruvian necktie as Saint Denis tried to posture out.

Saint Denis lost consciousness in the hold; the technical submission was stopped at 0:52.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Pimblett

The main Paddy Pimblett question at UFC 329 is whether the Justin Gaethje loss exposed a ceiling or simply interrupted his climb. The best case for Pimblett is still the same one that built his run: high output, opportunistic submission chains and the willingness to keep scrambling until the other man accepts a messy fight. Ten of his 23 wins are by submission, and even in the Gaethje loss he proved he could survive hard damage and keep working for five rounds. If Pimblett can turn Saint Denis into a reactive wrestler instead of a front-foot finisher, this becomes the kind of long, ugly fight where his pace and scramble confidence matter most.

Case for Saint Denis

The Benoit Saint Denis case is more direct: force a real top-contender pace on Pimblett before Pimblett can settle into a rhythm. Saint Denis has 17 wins and all 17 are finishes, with the recent four-fight streak showing both sides of the threat: the 16-second knockout of Beneil Dariush and the familiar submission-pressure game that drowned Maurício Ruffy and Kyle Prepolec. This page should answer a simple search-intent question clearly: is Pimblett ready for a finisher who can wrestle and hurt him? Saint Denis is the sharper version of that test because he pressures early, accepts chaos and rarely lets opponents coast through neutral minutes.

What We Were Watching For

  • Pimblett's first few defensive scrambles if Saint Denis gets on top early; that is where the matchup shifts from theory to survival.
  • Whether Pimblett can make Saint Denis fight minute after minute instead of sequence to sequence; Saint Denis has never won by decision and usually prefers momentum over management.
  • How much the Gaethje loss changed Pimblett's risk appetite; a calmer version helps him here, a brawl-first version helps Saint Denis.
  • Which grappler wins the second exchange, not the first; both can attack in transitions, so the reset after a stuffed shot or half-finished takedown matters most.
Records & career stats
Pimblett vs Saint Denis
23-4-0
Record
17-3-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
England
Nationality
France
31
Age
30
1.78 m
Height — Saint Denis leads
1.80 m
185 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Southpaw
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
100%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Pimblett leads
6
—
Wins by submissionSub wins
11
5.48
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.58
3.86
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Pimblett leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.09
43%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
42%
46%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Saint Denis leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
72%
09:49
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
06:41
NEXT Generation MMA
Team
Venum Training Camp Paris

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (3)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 74:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by decision.

“Pimblett by decision after a competitive first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 31:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by submission while admitting Saint Denis' pressure and clinch work are dangerous early. His argument is that Saint Denis' takedown entries play into Pimblett's defensive grappling, reversals and submission threats, and that Pimblett can weather the early storm before finishing in a scramble.

“I'm picking Paddy Pimblett by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 47:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Backs Pimblett despite acknowledging Saint Denis' pressure and early danger. His final read is that Pimblett hurts Saint Denis on the feet first, then uses the scramble or knockdown sequence to finish by second-round submission.

“Submission second round after hurting him on the feet.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 37:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Backs Pimblett as the more durable and more opportunistic finisher in chaotic exchanges. He expects Saint Denis to leave necks or arms exposed while forcing grappling scrambles, giving Pimblett a second-round submission opening.

“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett. I think Paddy Pimblett actually has a couple ways to win this fight. But I'm going to take him to win this fight by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
138 MMA
Hear it — 36:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“I'm going to take Patty Pembblelet to get this one done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Michael Iannone
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Michael Iannone's FantasyAlarm UFC 329 preview picks Paddy Pimblett to win the matchup.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (21 calls)
BetSam
Hear it — 29:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Pick Paddy Pimblett to win this fight via submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Pure Picks
Hear it — 18:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by submission despite explicitly noting low confidence.

“Not too confident, but I’ll go Patty Pimpblelet by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Paddy Pimblett by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · KO/TKO

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Jesse Holland picking Paddy Pimblett by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
TheWeasle
Hear it — 30:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Frames Saint Denis as the fighter more likely to force the pressure and damage in a wild, size-for-size lightweight clash. He gives Pimblett the cardio edge and a possible late rally, but expects Saint Denis to win the first two rounds and take a decision.

“I'm going with Benoit Saint Denis. Patty didn't have the power to earn Gachi's respect. So, I'm gonna go with Ben Saint Denis winning this fight by a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Lucas Tracy
Hear it — 45:00

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · KO/TKO

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

After weighing Pimblett's range work and submission danger, he lands on Saint Denis' clinch pace, judo, and finishing style. He expects the fight to stay in high-pressure exchanges and end with Saint Denis doing damage from the clinch.

“I'm going to pick him to win this fight. I'm going to go with a finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 25:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Calls it a close, low-confidence fight but picks Benoit Saint Denis for having more ways to win. He expects Saint Denis to punish Paddy Pimblett's striking defense, mix in his own grappling and do enough across three rounds.

“I'm going to go with Ben Saint to win this one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Leftlane MMA
Hear it — 15:52

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Leftlane MMA retains the initial Saint Denis call after discussing the matchup.

“I'm going to say BSD wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Andrew Richardson picking Benoit Saint-Denis by decision over Paddy Pimblett.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Aniki MMA
Hear it — 36:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Benoît Saint Denis to win this fight via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)

Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Miss; Lucas Tracy Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; 138 MMA Hit; HopperMMA Miss; Michael Iannone Hit; BetSam Hit; Leftlane MMA Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Jesse Holland Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 74:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by decision.

“Pimblett by decision after a competitive first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · DecPimblett · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 31:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by submission while admitting Saint Denis' pressure and clinch work are dangerous early. His argument is that Saint Denis' takedown entries play into Pimblett's defensive grappling, reversals and submission threats, and that Pimblett can weather the early storm before finishing in a scramble.

“I'm picking Paddy Pimblett by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · SubPimblett · Sub R1HitHitNot called
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle
Hear it — 30:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Frames Saint Denis as the fighter more likely to force the pressure and damage in a wild, size-for-size lightweight clash. He gives Pimblett the cardio edge and a possible late rally, but expects Saint Denis to win the first two rounds and take a decision.

“I'm going with Benoit Saint Denis. Patty didn't have the power to earn Gachi's respect. So, I'm gonna go with Ben Saint Denis winning this fight by a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · DecPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Lucas Tracy53 resolved calls
Lucas Tracy
Hear it — 45:00

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · KO/TKO

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

After weighing Pimblett's range work and submission danger, he lands on Saint Denis' clinch pace, judo, and finishing style. He expects the fight to stay in high-pressure exchanges and end with Saint Denis doing damage from the clinch.

“I'm going to pick him to win this fight. I'm going to go with a finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · KO/TKOPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 47:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Backs Pimblett despite acknowledging Saint Denis' pressure and early danger. His final read is that Pimblett hurts Saint Denis on the feet first, then uses the scramble or knockdown sequence to finish by second-round submission.

“Submission second round after hurting him on the feet.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · Sub · R2Pimblett · Sub R1HitHitMiss
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 37:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Backs Pimblett as the more durable and more opportunistic finisher in chaotic exchanges. He expects Saint Denis to leave necks or arms exposed while forcing grappling scrambles, giving Pimblett a second-round submission opening.

“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett. I think Paddy Pimblett actually has a couple ways to win this fight. But I'm going to take him to win this fight by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · Sub · R2Pimblett · Sub R1HitHitMiss
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA
Hear it — 36:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“I'm going to take Patty Pembblelet to get this one done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · to winPimblett · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 25:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Calls it a close, low-confidence fight but picks Benoit Saint Denis for having more ways to win. He expects Saint Denis to punish Paddy Pimblett's striking defense, mix in his own grappling and do enough across three rounds.

“I'm going to go with Ben Saint to win this one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · DecPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Iannone21 resolved calls
Michael Iannone
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Michael Iannone's FantasyAlarm UFC 329 preview picks Paddy Pimblett to win the matchup.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · to winPimblett · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
BetSam26 resolved calls
BetSam
Hear it — 29:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Pick Paddy Pimblett to win this fight via submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · SubPimblett · Sub R1HitHitNot called
Leftlane MMA18 resolved calls
Leftlane MMA
Hear it — 15:52

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Leftlane MMA retains the initial Saint Denis call after discussing the matchup.

“I'm going to say BSD wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · to winPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Andrew Richardson picking Benoit Saint-Denis by decision over Paddy Pimblett.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · DecPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Pure Picks29 resolved calls
Pure Picks
Hear it — 18:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · Sub

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Picks Paddy Pimblett by submission despite explicitly noting low confidence.

“Not too confident, but I’ll go Patty Pimpblelet by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · SubPimblett · Sub R1HitHitNot called
Aniki MMA19 resolved calls
Aniki MMA
Hear it — 36:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Benoît Saint Denis · Dec

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Benoît Saint Denis to win this fight via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · DecPimblett · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Paddy Pimblett by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · KO/TKO · R2Pimblett · Sub R1HitMissMiss
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Paddy Pimblett · KO/TKO

Fight result: Paddy Pimblett · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Jesse Holland picking Paddy Pimblett by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · KO/TKOPimblett · Sub R1HitMissNot called

10 of 16 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.