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View video on X ↗Ismail Naurdiev defeats Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision
Unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Vettori vs Naurdiev — Middleweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(17) 46%
54% (20)
AI Prediction
50%
50%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Naurdiev was the more effective fighter in the first round, landing with more force and variety.
He carried that into the start of the second, where he had Vettori in trouble at one point.
Vettori found some success as the fight went on but could not outscore him, and all three judges had it 29-28 for Naurdiev.
- primaryUFC 332 prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Vettori
Vettori brings durable pressure and veteran experience.
Case for Naurdiev
Naurdiev brings movement and a countering route.
What We Were Watching For
- Who controls the pace.
- Whether Vettori can sustain pressure.
Records & career stats
- 4.74 3.66
- 56% 64%
- 4.57 2.22
- 67% 74%
- 58% 73%
- 19-10-1
- Record
- 25-8-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Italy
- Nationality
- Morocco
- 32
- Age
- 30
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 17:02
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:18
- Kings MMA - Huntington Beach, CA
- Team
- Team Naurdiev
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
(17) 46%
LVettori
54% (20)
NaurdievW
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
- Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Livid Larry MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Chiesa thinks Vettori is settling after training changes and injuries. He hopes to see Vettori return to the volume and output that helped him reach a title fight.
“I'm going with Vtori in this one.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Bodetti favors Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and expects him to combine his skills more effectively than Naurdiev. He calls a decision but expects a modest fantasy score.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Leans toward Vettori despite concern about his recent losses. Expects his output over three rounds to be enough and questions Naurdiev’s level of opposition.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Jake picks Marvin Vettori by decision.
“Smith by knockout, Vettori by decision,”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Marvin Vettori by third-round submission.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
HopperoMMA selects Marvin Vettori.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Trusts Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and sees him as the better striker and grappler. Expects a safe approach and a decision rather than a finish.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Picks Vettori by decision because his durability, cardio and sustained output should outlast Naurdiev’s early explosiveness. He also sees a grappling advantage and wants Vettori to use the clinch and wrestling to slow Naurdiev down.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Litterine selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Greedo Plays MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Favors Vettori’s durability, volume, experience and ability to mix in wrestling.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Chris Cross
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Chris Cross picks Marvin Vettori to finally get his 20th professional win by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Josh Schonwald selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Carlos Cano
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Favors Vettori’s pace, durability and punching volume and doubts Naurdiev will knock him out.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Andio
Current pick evidence
Picked: Marvin Vettori · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Andio selects Marvin Vettori by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Hank
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Thinks Vettori can win but expects Naurdiev to edge a decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Bedtime expects Naurdiev to edge a 29–28 decision because he sees Vettori as too inactive and lacking damaging offense. He doubts Vettori’s takedowns will produce sustained control, while acknowledging that Naurdiev tiring could open a submission opportunity for Vettori.
“I think Nerdy is going to win by decision. 2928.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
TheWeasle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
He describes this as close and says Vettori could win by pressing and wrestling, using his chin to remain in exchanges. Still, he sees Naurdiev as faster, more powerful, and the more technical striker, with the greater damage leading to a decision.
- He identifies Vettori's pressure and takedowns as a plausible opposing route.
“I'm going to go with Ishmail Nardiv getting the win by decision.”
* He calls it very close and says he can see Vettori winning if he pressures and shoots takedowns.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Matt
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Fades Vettori’s recent performances and expects Naurdiev to win the first two rounds before tiring; doubts he finishes Vettori.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Expects Naurdiev to land the bigger, more damaging shots and win the first two rounds, while leaving room for Vettori to rally late.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Tom Feely
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Feely questions Vettori’s current form and favors Naurdiev’s sharper early work. He predicts Naurdiev takes a decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Kunath selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Expects Naurdiev to beat Vettori in the striking and grappling exchanges, though he worries about Vettori’s pressure.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Lynch picks Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
- Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Clenbat selects Ismail Naurdiev in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
MMA Mathletes selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Expects Naurdiev’s speed, athleticism and wider striking arsenal to outland Vettori, whose recent performances he distrusts. Vettori’s durability leads him to a decision pick.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Expects Naurdiev’s faster overhands to land against Vettori’s defense, while leaving open the possibility of a finish.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Fight Productions selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Walk The Line MMA selects Ismail Naurdiev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
The Finz Chats selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
D.Rose
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Favors Naurdiev’s pressure and power against a hittable Vettori who has not been using his wrestling; declines to bet.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Schweppe picks Ismail Naurdiev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Vinny
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
Favors Naurdiev’s slicker skills and sees him winning on the feet, while also allowing a ground finish.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ismail Naurdiev
Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision
The MMA Yuda selects Ismail Naurdiev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; Livid Larry MMA Miss; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; Michael Chiesa Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Matt Hit; Fite Feed Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Tom Feely Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; HopperMMA Miss; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; James Lynch Hit; Clenbat Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Hit; The Octagon Oracle Hit; BeewolfMMA Miss; mmadbm Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Fight Productions Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; The Finz Chats Hit; D.Rose Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Vinny Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Chris Cross Miss; Josh Schonwald Miss; Carlos Cano Miss; Andio Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hank
Hank
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Thinks Vettori can win but expects Naurdiev to edge a decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Thinks Vettori can win but expects Naurdiev to edge a decision. Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 21 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Livid Larry MMA
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Livid Larry MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Livid Larry MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Bedtime expects Naurdiev to edge a 29–28 decision because he sees Vettori as too inactive and lacking damaging offense. He doubts Vettori’s takedowns will produce sustained control, while acknowledging that Naurdiev tiring could open a submission opportunity for Vettori. “I think Nerdy is going to win by decision. 2928.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Bedtime expects Naurdiev to edge a 29–28 decision because he sees Vettori as too inactive and lacking damaging offense. He doubts Vettori’s takedowns will produce sustained control, while acknowledging that Naurdiev tiring could open a submission opportunity for Vettori. “I think Nerdy is going to win by decision. 2928.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision He describes this as close and says Vettori could win by pressing and wrestling, using his chin to remain in exchanges. Still, he sees Naurdiev as faster, more powerful, and the more technical striker, with the greater damage leading to a decision.
“I'm going to go with Ishmail Nardiv getting the win by decision.” * He calls it very close and says he can see Vettori winning if he pressures and shoots takedowns. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| He describes this as close and says Vettori could win by pressing and wrestling, using his chin to remain in exchanges. Still, he sees Naurdiev as faster, more powerful, and the more technical striker, with the greater damage leading to a decision.
“I'm going to go with Ishmail Nardiv getting the win by decision.” * He calls it very close and says he can see Vettori winning if he pressures and shoots takedowns. Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Chiesa thinks Vettori is settling after training changes and injuries. He hopes to see Vettori return to the volume and output that helped him reach a title fight. “I'm going with Vtori in this one.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chiesa thinks Vettori is settling after training changes and injuries. He hopes to see Vettori return to the volume and output that helped him reach a title fight. “I'm going with Vtori in this one.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Angelo Bodetti
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Bodetti favors Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and expects him to combine his skills more effectively than Naurdiev. He calls a decision but expects a modest fantasy score. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bodetti favors Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and expects him to combine his skills more effectively than Naurdiev. He calls a decision but expects a modest fantasy score. Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matt
Matt
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Fades Vettori’s recent performances and expects Naurdiev to win the first two rounds before tiring; doubts he finishes Vettori. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Fades Vettori’s recent performances and expects Naurdiev to win the first two rounds before tiring; doubts he finishes Vettori. Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fite Feed
Fite Feed
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Expects Naurdiev to land the bigger, more damaging shots and win the first two rounds, while leaving room for Vettori to rally late. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Naurdiev to land the bigger, more damaging shots and win the first two rounds, while leaving room for Vettori to rally late. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Leans toward Vettori despite concern about his recent losses. Expects his output over three rounds to be enough and questions Naurdiev’s level of opposition. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Leans toward Vettori despite concern about his recent losses. Expects his output over three rounds to be enough and questions Naurdiev’s level of opposition. Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Jake picks Marvin Vettori by decision. “Smith by knockout, Vettori by decision,” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Jake picks Marvin Vettori by decision. “Smith by knockout, Vettori by decision,” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tom Feely
Tom Feely
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Feely questions Vettori’s current form and favors Naurdiev’s sharper early work. He predicts Naurdiev takes a decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Feely questions Vettori’s current form and favors Naurdiev’s sharper early work. He predicts Naurdiev takes a decision. Track record: winner called in 13 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision KingofCrackdown5095 picks Marvin Vettori by third-round submission. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Sub · R3 | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 picks Marvin Vettori by third-round submission. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kunath
Kunath
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Kunath selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Kunath selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision HopperoMMA selects Marvin Vettori. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| HopperoMMA selects Marvin Vettori. Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Picks with the Geek 2
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Expects Naurdiev to beat Vettori in the striking and grappling exchanges, though he worries about Vettori’s pressure. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Expects Naurdiev to beat Vettori in the striking and grappling exchanges, though he worries about Vettori’s pressure. Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Lynch
James Lynch
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Lynch picks Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Lynch picks Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Clenbat selects Ismail Naurdiev in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat selects Ismail Naurdiev in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Mathletes
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision MMA Mathletes selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mathletes selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Expects Naurdiev’s speed, athleticism and wider striking arsenal to outland Vettori, whose recent performances he distrusts. Vettori’s durability leads him to a decision pick. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Naurdiev’s speed, athleticism and wider striking arsenal to outland Vettori, whose recent performances he distrusts. Vettori’s durability leads him to a decision pick. Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Octagon Oracle
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Expects Naurdiev’s faster overhands to land against Vettori’s defense, while leaving open the possibility of a finish. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Naurdiev’s faster overhands to land against Vettori’s defense, while leaving open the possibility of a finish. Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BeewolfMMA
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Trusts Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and sees him as the better striker and grappler. Expects a safe approach and a decision rather than a finish. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Trusts Vettori’s experience against stronger opposition and sees him as the better striker and grappler. Expects a safe approach and a decision rather than a finish. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
mmadbm
mmadbm
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Picks Vettori by decision because his durability, cardio and sustained output should outlast Naurdiev’s early explosiveness. He also sees a grappling advantage and wants Vettori to use the clinch and wrestling to slow Naurdiev down. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Vettori by decision because his durability, cardio and sustained output should outlast Naurdiev’s early explosiveness. He also sees a grappling advantage and wants Vettori to use the clinch and wrestling to slow Naurdiev down. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Litterine selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Litterine selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Fight Productions selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Fight Productions selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Walk The Line MMA selects Ismail Naurdiev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Walk The Line MMA selects Ismail Naurdiev. Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Finz Chats
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision The Finz Chats selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| The Finz Chats selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
D.Rose
D.Rose
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Favors Naurdiev’s pressure and power against a hittable Vettori who has not been using his wrestling; declines to bet. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Naurdiev’s pressure and power against a hittable Vettori who has not been using his wrestling; declines to bet. Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Schweppe picks Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Schweppe picks Ismail Naurdiev by decision. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Greedo Plays MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Greedo Plays MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Vinny
Vinny
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Favors Naurdiev’s slicker skills and sees him winning on the feet, while also allowing a ground finish. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · KO/TKO · R2 | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Favors Naurdiev’s slicker skills and sees him winning on the feet, while also allowing a ground finish. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Ismail Naurdiev Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision The MMA Yuda selects Ismail Naurdiev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMA Yuda selects Ismail Naurdiev. Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Gerardo Rivas
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Favors Vettori’s durability, volume, experience and ability to mix in wrestling. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Favors Vettori’s durability, volume, experience and ability to mix in wrestling. Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Cross
Chris Cross
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Chris Cross picks Marvin Vettori to finally get his 20th professional win by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chris Cross picks Marvin Vettori to finally get his 20th professional win by decision. Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Josh Schonwald
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Josh Schonwald selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Josh Schonwald selects Marvin Vettori in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Carlos Cano
Carlos Cano
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Favors Vettori’s pace, durability and punching volume and doubts Naurdiev will knock him out. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Favors Vettori’s pace, durability and punching volume and doubts Naurdiev will knock him out. Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andio
Andio
Current pick evidencePicked: Marvin Vettori · Dec Fight result: Ismail Naurdiev · Decision Andio selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Andio selects Marvin Vettori by decision. Track record: winner called in 2 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
20 of 37 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Naurdiev · Decision · R3
Closest probability Claude put 55% on Naurdiev.
58%
Vettori
42%
Naurdiev
PickVettori · DecisionActualNaurdiev · Decision · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
45%
Vettori
55%
Naurdiev
PickNaurdiev · KO/TKO · R2ActualNaurdiev · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing round
47%
Vettori
53%
Naurdiev
PickNaurdiev · DecisionActualNaurdiev · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundAI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 29 Sep, 4 days before the fight
2 of 3 models pick Naurdiev
ChatGPT picks Vettori; Claude and Gemini pick Naurdiev.
Method mix differs most for Decision: 53% (Claude) to 86% (Gemini), a 33-point range.
-
ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Vettori by decision
Win probability: Vettori 58%, Naurdiev 42%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Naurdiev by KO/TKO in round 2
Win probability: Vettori 45%, Naurdiev 55%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Naurdiev by decision
Win probability: Vettori 47%, Naurdiev 53%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail5 areas differ
The models differ on winner, finish method, round timing, confidence, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | Round 2 | — |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | Round 2 | — |
ChatGPT
Pick
Vettori by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Vettori 58%, Naurdiev 42%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 12% overall: Vettori 5%, Naurdiev 7%
Submission, 11% overall: Vettori 9%, Naurdiev 2%
Decision, 77% overall: Vettori 44%, Naurdiev 33%
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Naurdiev by KO/TKO in round 2
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Vettori 45%, Naurdiev 55%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 35% overall: Vettori 5%, Naurdiev 30%
Submission, 12% overall: Vettori 6%, Naurdiev 6%
Decision, 53% overall: Vettori 34%, Naurdiev 19%
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Naurdiev by decision
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Vettori 47%, Naurdiev 53%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 8% overall: Vettori 3%, Naurdiev 5%
Submission, 6% overall: Vettori 4%, Naurdiev 2%
Decision, 86% overall: Vettori 40%, Naurdiev 46%
Version not reported · 29 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
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