UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway  26 Oct 2024 · Abu Dhabi, UAE, AE

Shara Magomedov defeats Armen Petrosyan by KO/TKO

Win Shara Magomedov 15-0-0
Loss Armen Petrosyan 9-4-0
KO/TKO · spinning backfist

Round 2 · 4:52

Magomedov vs Petrosyan — Middleweight · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Petrosyan got after Magomedov immediately and briefly stunned him, forcing Magomedov to work off his back foot early.

Magomedov found his rhythm as the round developed and surged down the stretch.

He ended the fight with a double spinning backfist at 4:52 of round two.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Magomedov

Magomedov entered 14-0 with 11 knockouts, having finished or outpointed all three of his UFC opponents since debuting in October 2023. His unorthodox spinning game — double backfists, wheel kicks, and rapid combinations thrown from unpredictable angles — had already made him one of the promotion's most-watched prospects. Against a striker who would stand in front of him, his danger was genuine and difficult to blueprint.

Case for Petrosyan

Petrosyan was a technical Muay Thai-based middleweight with a 9-3 record who had beaten multiple UFC veterans. His most recent fight had ended in a submission loss to elite grappler Rodolfo Vieira, but on the feet he remained threatening. His leg kicks, range management, and Thai clinch work were well-calibrated to disrupt the spacing Magomedov needed to generate his spinning attacks.

What We Were Watching For

  • Would Petrosyan's leg-kick pressure and clinch work strip away the distance Magomedov's spinning attacks depend on?
  • How Magomedov handled sustained pressure — his chin and counter-striking when forced back — was genuinely untested at UFC level.
  • Magomedov had not yet faced a dedicated Muay Thai range-closer; Petrosyan's ability to walk him down and stay tight was a different problem from the opponents he'd handled before.
Records & career stats
Magomedov vs Petrosyan
Magomedov Petrosyan
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 5.55 5.84
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 45% 53%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.62 3.31
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 73% 41%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 71% 70%
14-0-0
Record
9-3-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Russia
Nationality
Armenia
32
Age
35
1.88 m
Height — Petrosyan leads
1.91 m
185 cm
Reach — Magomedov leads
180 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
71%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
70%
12
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Magomedov leads
7
0
Wins by submissionSub wins
0
5.55
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Petrosyan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.84
3.62
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Petrosyan leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.31
45%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Petrosyan leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
53%
73%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Magomedov leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
41%
13:54
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
11:04
GOR MMA
Team
Academy MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

AJ Devito
Hear it — 26:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

AJ picks Shara Magomedov over Armen Petrosyan, expecting his speed and striking flow to win the matchup.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 35:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

The MMA Guru picks Shara Magomedov by decision over Armen Petrosyan in a technical range fight.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)

Analyst picks: AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 26:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

AJ picks Shara Magomedov over Armen Petrosyan, expecting his speed and striking flow to win the matchup.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Magomedov · to winMagomedov · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 35:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

The MMA Guru picks Shara Magomedov by decision over Armen Petrosyan in a technical range fight.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Magomedov · DecMagomedov · KO/TKO R2HitMissNot called

2 of 2 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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