UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan 10 Oct 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Jai Herbert defeats Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision

Loss Matheus Camilo 11-4-0

Win Jai Herbert 15-6-1

Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Analyst Picks (61) 78% 22% (17)

AI Prediction 63% 37%

Market OddsSportsbooks, 7 books · final line 10 Oct 23:28 UTC 63% 37%

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Camilo

Camilo is 11-3-0 and 4-1 over his last five, with UFC wins over Viacheslav Borshchev in November 2025 and Nazim Sadykhov in June 2026. His tape is grappling-oriented, with a 4.16 takedown average and 53% takedown accuracy, which gives him a clear plan against an opponent listed at 67% takedown defense.

Case for Herbert

Herbert is 14-6-1 with ten of his wins by knockout, and he lands 3.19 significant strikes per minute while defending 53% of the strikes thrown at him. His 67% takedown defense is the base for keeping the fight standing, where his knockout power is most dangerous.

What We Were Watching For

Whether Camilo's 4.16 takedown average holds up against Herbert's 67% takedown defense.
How much of the fight is spent standing, where Herbert has produced ten of his 14 wins.
Camilo's recent form, 4-1 over his last five, against a veteran with six career losses.
Pace and distance: Camilo's average fight time is 8:25 and Herbert's is 10:42.

Records & career stats

Camilo vs Herbert

11-3-0
Record: 14-6-1; Not published
Recent form: Not published; Brazil
Nationality: United Kingdom; 25
Age: 38; 1.778 m
Height — Herbert leads: 185.42 cm; 176.53 cm
Reach — Herbert leads: 195.58 cm; Not published
Stance: Not published; Source pending
Finish rateFinish %: 73%; —
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins: 10; 2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Camilo leads: 1; 2.22
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Herbert leads: 3.19; 3.05
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Camilo leads: 3.34; 67%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Camilo leads: 53%; 100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Camilo leads: 67%; 08:25
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 10:42; Xtreme Couture - Las Vegas, NV
Team: Renegade MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(61) 78%

LCamilo

22% (17)

HerbertW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Tony Sink9 resolved calls Tony Sink Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jai Herbert (+165)” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (9 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jai Herbert (+165)” Read source Tony Sink’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls MMA Lock of the Night Hear it — 54:40 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “So I'm going to go Camo here and Camo by knockout but uh I would not be at all surprised if Herbert ends up pulling off the upset” * durability concerns on Herbert, but notes Herbert could pull off the upset Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26 Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14 Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 View full track record (99 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“So I'm going to go Camo here and Camo by knockout but uh I would not be at all surprised if Herbert ends up pulling off the upset” * durability concerns on Herbert, but notes Herbert could pull off the upset Hear it — 54:40 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA Lock of the Night on YouTube ↗ MMA Lock of the Night’s track record → Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jaren Kawada11 resolved calls Jaren Kawada Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Jaren Kawada picks Matheus Camilo by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3 Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Jaren Kawada picks Matheus Camilo by decision. Read source Jaren Kawada’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andy Lang10 resolved calls Andy Lang Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Lang calls Camilo the easy pick, citing his speed, athletic advantage and recent knockout power. “Camilo is the easy pick.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Lang calls Camilo the easy pick, citing his speed, athletic advantage and recent knockout power. “Camilo is the easy pick.” Read source Andy Lang’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls Angelo Bodetti Hear it — 44:52 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Angelo expects Camilo’s pressure, power and grappling to overwhelm Herbert’s movement and low output. “Matt Camo is going to be the pick.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Angelo expects Camilo’s pressure, power and grappling to overwhelm Herbert’s movement and low output. “Matt Camo is going to be the pick.” Hear it — 44:52 Angelo Bodetti’s track record → Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mate Bersenadze12 resolved calls Mate Bersenadze Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Matheus Camilo as his personal pick by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4 Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (12 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Matheus Camilo as his personal pick by decision. Read source Mate Bersenadze’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Gabriel Sheehan6 resolved calls Gabriel Sheehan Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Sheehan favors Camilo’s recent power and layered grappling, giving him more paths to win. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (6 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Sheehan favors Camilo’s recent power and layered grappling, giving him more paths to win. Read source Gabriel Sheehan’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ian Undery6 resolved calls Ian Undery Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Ian Undery backs Matheus Camilo on the moneyline. Under 2.5 rounds is a separate prop; no winner method or round is assigned. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (6 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Ian Undery backs Matheus Camilo on the moneyline. Under 2.5 rounds is a separate prop; no winner method or round is assigned. Read source Ian Undery’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls MMA JOEY Hear it — 24:54 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision MMA JOEY leans toward Matheus Camilo by Decision. “i'm gonna pick him to beat Jai Herbert i'll say decision win mixing it all together” * Analyst stated a lean Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36 Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28 Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22 Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11 View full track record (107 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMA JOEY leans toward Matheus Camilo by Decision. “i'm gonna pick him to beat Jai Herbert i'll say decision win mixing it all together” * Analyst stated a lean Hear it — 24:54 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗ MMA JOEY’s track record → Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls The MMA Guru Hear it — 28:27 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I'm going with J Herbert by TKO” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105 Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51 Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25 Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 View full track record (308 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Not called
“I'm going with J Herbert by TKO” Hear it — 28:27 Gemini YouTube analysis The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drake Burden85 resolved calls Drake Burden Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Burden picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 View full track record (85 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Burden picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Drake Burden’s track record → Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMA Hear it — 15:01 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “i'm going to go Matias Camillo i think he's going to use his wrestling a lot in this fight” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22 Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 View full track record (64 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“i'm going to go Matias Camillo i think he's going to use his wrestling a lot in this fight” Hear it — 15:01 Gemini YouTube analysis KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls JakeGerberMMA Hear it — 43:38 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “so for now I'm going to say Matteos Camo gets this one done man” * Tricky fight and coin flip; wouldn't be surprised if Herbert gets it done. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44 Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7 View full track record (127 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“so for now I'm going to say Matteos Camo gets this one done man” * Tricky fight and coin flip; wouldn't be surprised if Herbert gets it done. Hear it — 43:38 Gemini YouTube analysis JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
James Blissett54 resolved calls James Blissett Hear it — 19:08 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “jera via decision is my official prediction” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19 Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 View full track record (54 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
“jera via decision is my official prediction” Hear it — 19:08 Gemini YouTube analysis James Blissett on YouTube ↗ James Blissett’s track record → Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls KingofCrackdown5095 Hear it — 25:15 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Jai Herbert by third-round TKO. “So in this one I got Jai Herbert via third round TKO” * low confidence Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14 Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8 Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8 Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 View full track record (39 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · KO/TKO · R3	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Jai Herbert by third-round TKO. “So in this one I got Jai Herbert via third round TKO” * low confidence Hear it — 25:15 Gemini YouTube analysis KingofCrackdown5095 on YouTube ↗ KingofCrackdown5095’s track record → Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Anthony Marro11 resolved calls Anthony Marro Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Matheus Camilo by KO/TKO in round 3. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4 Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R3	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Matheus Camilo by KO/TKO in round 3. Read source Anthony Marro’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA OddsBreaker11 resolved calls MMA OddsBreaker Hear it — 20:39 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Round 1 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I think Matheus Camilo knocks him out in the first round that's my prediction” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I think Matheus Camilo knocks him out in the first round that's my prediction” Hear it — 20:39 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA OddsBreaker on YouTube ↗ MMA OddsBreaker’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nick Marro11 resolved calls Nick Marro Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Matheus Camilo by KO/TKO in round 2. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R2	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Matheus Camilo by KO/TKO in round 2. Read source Nick Marro’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
James Lynch44 resolved calls James Lynch Hear it — 19:10 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision James Lynch picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17 Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10 Round Accuracy 0.0% 5 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (44 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
James Lynch picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Hear it — 19:10 James Lynch on YouTube ↗ James Lynch’s track record → Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Clenbat36 resolved calls Clenbat Hear it — 19:01 Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Clenbat picks the underdog Jai Herbert with low-to-medium confidence, citing his height and reach advantage. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Clenbat picks the underdog Jai Herbert with low-to-medium confidence, citing his height and reach advantage. Hear it — 19:01 Clenbat on YouTube ↗ Clenbat’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls MMA Mathletes Hear it — 26:53 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I definitely think he gets the KO in this fight i have Matas to win this fight” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (33 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I definitely think he gets the KO in this fight i have Matas to win this fight” Hear it — 26:53 Gemini YouTube analysis MMA Mathletes on YouTube ↗ MMA Mathletes’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Artem MMA71 resolved calls Artem MMA Hear it — 25:27 Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Artem MMA picks the 38-year-old Jai Herbert over Matheus Camilo, calling it a hipster pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28 Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13 Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8 View full track record (71 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Artem MMA picks the 38-year-old Jai Herbert over Matheus Camilo, calling it a hipster pick. Hear it — 25:27 Artem MMA on YouTube ↗ Artem MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Farah Hannoun10 resolved calls Farah Hannoun Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Farah Hannoun selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Farah Hannoun selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Farah Hannoun’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nolan King10 resolved calls Nolan King Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Nolan King selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Nolan King selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Nolan King’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Hank Strandberg5 resolved calls Hank Strandberg Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Hank Strandberg selecting Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (5 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Hank Strandberg selecting Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision. Read source Hank Strandberg’s track record → Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls Andrew Richardson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Andrew Richardson picks Jai Herbert to beat Matheus Camilo by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24 Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 View full track record (58 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Andrew Richardson picks Jai Herbert to beat Matheus Camilo by decision. Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls Marcel Dorff Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Matheus Camilo. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12 Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 View full track record (29 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Matheus Camilo. Read source Marcel Dorff’s track record → Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Adam Martin40 resolved calls Adam Martin Hear it — 20:38 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Adam Martin picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by knockout in round one. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17 Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 View full track record (40 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R1	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Adam Martin picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by knockout in round one. Hear it — 20:38 Adam Martin’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mike Finch40 resolved calls Mike Finch Hear it — 22:09 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Finch picks Matheus Camilo by knockout, citing youth, speed and striking power against Jai Herbert. “I think you'll see a fun one with these two with Matteas Camo winning by knockout.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17 Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 View full track record (40 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Finch picks Matheus Camilo by knockout, citing youth, speed and striking power against Jai Herbert. “I think you'll see a fun one with these two with Matteas Camo winning by knockout.” Hear it — 22:09 Mike Finch on YouTube ↗ Mike Finch’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
PickemMMA21 resolved calls PickemMMA Hear it — 100:28 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “Yeah I'm picking I'm picking fucking Jai Herbert man One more time with J Herbert as a dog” * Worried about Camilo's grappling and power, but backing Herbert's striking as an underdog Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 View full track record (21 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
“Yeah I'm picking I'm picking fucking Jai Herbert man One more time with J Herbert as a dog” * Worried about Camilo's grappling and power, but backing Herbert's striking as an underdog Hear it — 100:28 Gemini YouTube analysis PickemMMA on YouTube ↗ PickemMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bert MMA23 resolved calls Bert MMA Hear it — 7:24 Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Bert MMA picks the underdog Jai Herbert on a 29-28 scorecard, expecting a veteran, more technical Herbert to win rounds two and three. “I'm going to go 29-28.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10 Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Bert MMA picks the underdog Jai Herbert on a 29-28 scorecard, expecting a veteran, more technical Herbert to win rounds two and three. “I'm going to go 29-28.” Hear it — 7:24 Bert MMA on YouTube ↗ Bert MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle98 resolved calls Half The Battle Hear it — 10:14 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I'm going to slightly lean towards Camilo in this spot” * slightly lean towards Camilo Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17 View full track record (98 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I'm going to slightly lean towards Camilo in this spot” * slightly lean towards Camilo Hear it — 10:14 Gemini YouTube analysis Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls Jon Litterine Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Camilo as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Camilo” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15 View full track record (97 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Camilo as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Camilo” Read source Jon Litterine’s track record → Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Daniel Vreeland29 resolved calls Daniel Vreeland Hear it — 14:52 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I'm going Camilo” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (29 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I'm going Camilo” Hear it — 14:52 Gemini YouTube analysis Daniel Vreeland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Fight Productions42 resolved calls Fight Productions Hear it — 36:50 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Fight Productions leans Matheus Camilo, citing more ways to mix it up and the finishing edge on the feet, by first-round knockout. “I'm going to take Camilo to win this one by round one knockout.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19 Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6 Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (42 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R1	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Fight Productions leans Matheus Camilo, citing more ways to mix it up and the finishing edge on the feet, by first-round knockout. “I'm going to take Camilo to win this one by round one knockout.” Hear it — 36:50 Fight Productions on YouTube ↗ Fight Productions’s track record → Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls Walk The Line MMA Hear it — 49:45 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Walk The Line MMA expects Matheus Camilo to finish Jai Herbert by TKO, noting Herbert has been finished before. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15 Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 View full track record (33 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Walk The Line MMA expects Matheus Camilo to finish Jai Herbert by TKO, noting Herbert has been finished before. Hear it — 49:45 Walk The Line MMA on YouTube ↗ Walk The Line MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
UFCharlesDoBronx11 resolved calls UFCharlesDoBronx Hear it — 16:40 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “i'll go with Camo by knockout probably early” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5 Method Accuracy 100.0% 3 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“i'll go with Camo by knockout probably early” Hear it — 16:40 Gemini YouTube analysis UFCharlesDoBronx on YouTube ↗ UFCharlesDoBronx’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls MikesMMAPicks Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Read source MikesMMAPicks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Garrett Kerman13 resolved calls Garrett Kerman Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article selects Matheus Camilo by second-round TKO. “I favor Camilo by second-round TKO.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (13 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R2	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article selects Matheus Camilo by second-round TKO. “I favor Camilo by second-round TKO.” Read source Garrett Kerman’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls Bookie Beatdown Hear it — 16:17 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “i'm just going to bite the bullet here plug my nose and take Jai Herbert” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6 View full track record (36 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
“i'm just going to bite the bullet here plug my nose and take Jai Herbert” Hear it — 16:17 Gemini YouTube analysis Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls Cole Shelton Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Cole Shelton predicts Matheus Camilo to knock out Jai Herbert in round 1. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47 Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14 View full track record (99 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R1	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton predicts Matheus Camilo to knock out Jai Herbert in round 1. Read source Cole Shelton’s track record → Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Zain Bando23 resolved calls Zain Bando Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Matheus Camilo. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Matheus Camilo. Read source Zain Bando’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls Chris Schweppe Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Schweppe picks Matheus Camilo by first-round knockout. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36 Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17 Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16 Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 View full track record (72 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R1	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Schweppe picks Matheus Camilo by first-round knockout. Read source Chris Schweppe’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls Greedo Plays MMA Hear it — 57:50 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “matteas Camilo to win this one i think he chins Ji Herbert in the first” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24 Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 View full track record (48 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“matteas Camilo to win this one i think he chins Ji Herbert in the first” Hear it — 57:50 Gemini YouTube analysis Greedo Plays MMA on YouTube ↗ Greedo Plays MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)20 resolved calls Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Hear it — 40:00 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “after doing tape study I'm actually going to go with Matteas Camilo in this one” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10 Method Accuracy 100.0% 2 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (20 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“after doing tape study I'm actually going to go with Matteas Camilo in this one” Hear it — 40:00 Gemini YouTube analysis Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) on YouTube ↗ Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brian Garcia10 resolved calls Brian Garcia Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Brian Garcia selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Brian Garcia selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Brian Garcia’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Danny Segura10 resolved calls Danny Segura Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Danny Segura selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Danny Segura selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Danny Segura’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jero Guerra10 resolved calls Jero Guerra Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Jero Guerra selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Jero Guerra selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Jero Guerra’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ken Hathaway10 resolved calls Ken Hathaway Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Ken Hathaway selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Ken Hathaway selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Ken Hathaway’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Mike Bohn10 resolved calls Mike Bohn Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Mike Bohn selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Mike Bohn selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Mike Bohn on YouTube ↗ Mike Bohn’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls Jesse Holland Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Jesse Holland predicts Matheus Camilo to win by technical knockout. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28 Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 View full track record (55 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Jesse Holland predicts Matheus Camilo to win by technical knockout. Read source Jesse Holland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls The MMA Yuda Hear it — 32:15 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The MMA Yuda picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert. “I'm picking Mattheus Camo to win this fight.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (45 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Yuda picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert. “I'm picking Mattheus Camo to win this fight.” Hear it — 32:15 The MMA Yuda on YouTube ↗ The MMA Yuda’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Uselyis41 resolved calls Uselyis Hear it — 15:01 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “give me Camilo if there's any takedown props maybe they drop by tomorrow maybe not on pay-per-view on numbered events they do have those takedown props i like Camilo to land two takedowns three takedowns give me Mattas Camilo by KO plus 150” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21 Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7 Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 View full track record (41 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“give me Camilo if there's any takedown props maybe they drop by tomorrow maybe not on pay-per-view on numbered events they do have those takedown props i like Camilo to land two takedowns three takedowns give me Mattas Camilo by KO plus 150” Hear it — 15:01 Gemini YouTube analysis Uselyis on YouTube ↗ Uselyis’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Sumian23 resolved calls Andrew Sumian Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Sumian picks Jai Herbert over Matheus Camilo by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Sumian picks Jai Herbert over Matheus Camilo by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Andrew Sumian’s track record → Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matthew Petela23 resolved calls Matthew Petela Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Petela picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Petela picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Read source Matthew Petela’s track record → Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls MMA JAWN Hear it — 19:43 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The MMA JAWN channel picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11 Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (21 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA JAWN channel picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Hear it — 19:43 MMA JAWN on YouTube ↗ MMA JAWN’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Gerardo Rivas15 resolved calls Gerardo Rivas Hear it — 10:59 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision No reasoning or quote is available for this pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8 Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (15 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Hear it — 10:59 Gemini YouTube analysis Gerardo Rivas’s track record → Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls Nick Kalikas Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Read source Nick Kalikas’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drew Beaupre11 resolved calls Drew Beaupre Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Matheus Camilo as his pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Matheus Camilo as his pick. Read source Drew Beaupre’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jeff Fox11 resolved calls Jeff Fox Hear it — 16:23 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision No reasoning or quote is available for this pick. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Hear it — 16:23 Gemini YouTube analysis Jeff Fox’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DON SMOKE MMA18 resolved calls DON SMOKE MMA Hear it — 11:01 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I'm going with Jai Herbert to be able to beat Matteos Camilo” * Analyst stated a lean Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (18 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
“I'm going with Jai Herbert to be able to beat Matteos Camilo” * Analyst stated a lean Hear it — 11:01 Gemini YouTube analysis DON SMOKE MMA on YouTube ↗ DON SMOKE MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matty Betss9 resolved calls Matty Betss Hear it — 72:38 Gemini YouTube analysis Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision “I do think that Camilo is the side at minus 205.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round Accuracy 100.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 View full track record (9 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
“I do think that Camilo is the side at minus 205.” Hear it — 72:38 Gemini YouTube analysis Matty Betss on YouTube ↗ Matty Betss’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Olson70 resolved calls Chris Olson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Christopher Olson expects Matheus Camilo to take over the bout; no method or round is stated. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39 Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14 View full track record (70 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Christopher Olson expects Matheus Camilo to take over the bout; no method or round is stated. Read source Chris Olson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls Alexander K. Lee Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Alexander K. Lee picks Matheus Camilo to defeat Jai Herbert by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Alexander K. Lee picks Matheus Camilo to defeat Jai Herbert by decision. Read source Alexander K. Lee’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brandon K23 resolved calls Brandon K Hear it — 44:52 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · Dec Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The Brandon K channel picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 3 Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5 View full track record (23 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The Brandon K channel picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Hear it — 44:52 Brandon K on YouTube ↗ Brandon K’s track record → Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Cross20 resolved calls Chris Cross Hear it — 2:52 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision TCMMA Podcast likes Matheus Camilo to get the job done in a very close fight built on takedowns and control time. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12 Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (20 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
TCMMA Podcast likes Matheus Camilo to get the job done in a very close fight built on takedowns and control time. Hear it — 2:52 Chris Cross on YouTube ↗ Chris Cross’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
George Garcia10 resolved calls George Garcia Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision George Garcia selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
George Garcia selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source George Garcia’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matt Erickson10 resolved calls Matt Erickson Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Matt Erickson selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Matt Erickson selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Matt Erickson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Matthew Wells10 resolved calls Matthew Wells Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Matthew Wells selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Matthew Wells selects Matheus Camilo as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Matthew Wells’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Ryan Wohl10 resolved calls Ryan Wohl Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Ryan Wohl recommends Matheus Camilo to win; the source covers either KO/TKO/DQ or decision, so no single method is recorded. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Ryan Wohl recommends Matheus Camilo to win; the source covers either KO/TKO/DQ or decision, so no single method is recorded. Read source Ryan Wohl’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Simon Samano10 resolved calls Simon Samano Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Simon Samano selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Simon Samano selects Jai Herbert as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table. Read source Simon Samano’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Drew Zuhosky5 resolved calls Drew Zuhosky Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Jai Herbert · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Drew Zuhosky selecting Jai Herbert by second-round knockout. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 View full track record (5 calls)	Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 36.9%. Herbert · KO/TKO · R2	Herbert · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Drew Zuhosky selecting Jai Herbert by second-round knockout. Read source Drew Zuhosky’s track record → Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
FightWeek Media8 resolved calls FightWeek Media Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision FightWeek Media’s pre-event card picks Matheus Camilo by TKO; no round is specified. “Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert — TKO” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5 Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (8 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
FightWeek Media’s pre-event card picks Matheus Camilo by TKO; no round is specified. “Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert — TKO” Read source FightWeek Media’s track record → Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris White35 resolved calls Chris White Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8 View full track record (35 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Matheus Camilo. Read source Chris White’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
FightStudy11 resolved calls FightStudy Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision FightStudy expects Herbert to start well but Camilo to land big and finish. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7 Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2 View full track record (11 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R2	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
FightStudy expects Herbert to start well but Camilo to land big and finish. Read source FightStudy’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Dan Tom3 resolved calls Dan Tom Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Dan Tom backs Camilo on the moneyline; the separately described submission sprinkle is not recorded as the method of his main side. “If you're looking for plus-money action on the Camilo side, then I suggest using the aforementioned Under in an SGP with his money line.” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks View full track record (3 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Dan Tom backs Camilo on the moneyline; the separately described submission sprinkle is not recorded as the method of his main side. “If you're looking for plus-money action on the Camilo side, then I suggest using the aforementioned Under in an SGP with his money line.” Read source Dan Tom on YouTube ↗ Dan Tom’s track record → Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Geoffrey Ejiga3 resolved calls Geoffrey Ejiga Read source Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Geoffrey Ejiga's individually authored SportyTrader prediction selects Matheus Camilo; no method or round is specified. Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 Method AccuracyNo method picks Round AccuracyNo round picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (3 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Geoffrey Ejiga's individually authored SportyTrader prediction selects Matheus Camilo; no method or round is specified. Read source Geoffrey Ejiga’s track record → Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Carlos Cano10 resolved calls Carlos Cano Hear it — 10:59 Current pick evidence Picked: Matheus Camilo Fight result: Jai Herbert · Decision Carlos Cano selects Matheus Camilo as a leg of his Xtreme Couture parlay; the auto-dub renders Camilo as “Mateus Mendonça,” and the co-main-event discussion identifies his opponent as Jai Herbert. “the other fighter in my parlay, Mateus Mendonça, a fighter who I think is quite well-rounded” Analyst track record Methodology Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7 Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 View full track record (10 calls)	Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win	Herbert · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Carlos Cano selects Matheus Camilo as a leg of his Xtreme Couture parlay; the auto-dub renders Camilo as “Mateus Mendonça,” and the co-main-event discussion identifies his opponent as Jai Herbert. “the other fighter in my parlay, Mateus Mendonça, a fighter who I think is quite well-rounded” Hear it — 10:59 Carlos Cano’s track record → Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Only 17 of 78 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Herbert · Decision · R3

Closest probability ChatGPT and Claude put 38% on Herbert.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

62% Camilo

38% Herbert

PickCamilo · DecisionActualHerbert · Decision · R3

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

62% Camilo

38% Herbert

PickCamilo · DecisionActualHerbert · Decision · R3

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

64% Camilo

36% Herbert

PickCamilo · KO/TKO · R1ActualHerbert · Decision · R3

WinnerMethodRoundSportsbook favourite

AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight

All 3 models pick Camilo

They differ on how the fight ends, with win chances from 62% (ChatGPT and Claude) to 64% (Gemini).

Method mix differs most for KO/TKO: 39% (Claude) to 55% (Gemini), a 16-point range.

ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Pick Camilo by decision

Win probability: Camilo 62%, Herbert 38%.

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct
Medium confidence
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Pick Camilo by decision

Win probability: Camilo 62%, Herbert 38%.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct
Medium confidence
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

Pick Camilo by KO/TKO in round 1

Win probability: Camilo 64%, Herbert 36%.

Version not reported · 9 Oct
Medium confidence

More detail3 areas differ

The models differ on finish method, round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
Detail	ChatGPT	Claude	Gemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round	—	—	Round 1

Forecast comparison by model
Detail	ChatGPT	Claude	Gemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round	—	—	Round 1

ChatGPT

Pick

Camilo by decision

Medium confidence

Winner probability by method

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Camilo by decision

Medium confidence

Winner probability by method

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Camilo by KO/TKO in round 1

Medium confidence

Winner probability by method

Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 7 sportsbooks

63% Matheus Camilo

37% Jai Herbert

Favoured: Camilo (63%) Upset

Herbert defeats Camilo · Dec

Final pre-fight line · as of 10 Oct 23:28 UTC · 7 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Jai Herbert defeats Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision

Camilo vs Herbert — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Predictions summary

Case for Camilo

Case for Herbert

What We Were Watching For

Social Posts

Comments

Who Called It?

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Current pick evidence

Analyst track record iTrack record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

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