Crypto.com UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2  19 Sep 2026 · Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California, US

Casey O'Neill defeats Eduarda Moura by Submission

Win Casey O'Neill 12-2-0
Loss Eduarda Moura 12-3-0
Watch the fight
Submission · armbar

Round 1 · 3:20

O'Neill vs Moura — Women's Flyweight · Crypto.com UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

O'Neill brought the fight toward her pressure-and-grappling route from the opening exchange.

Moura had no chance to turn the bout into a longer striking contest once O'Neill established the decisive ground position.

O'Neill secured the armbar at 3:20 of round one for the submission win.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for O'Neill

O'Neill brings pressure and a grappling route.

Case for Moura

Moura brings athleticism and a developing all-phase game.

What We Were Watching For

  • Who controls the grappling exchanges.
  • Which fighter dictates the pace.
Records & career stats
11-2-0
Record
12-2-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Scotland
Nationality
Brazil
28
Age
32
1.68 m
Height
1.68 m
175 cm
Reach — O'Neill leads
170 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
75%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
4
—
Wins by submissionSub wins
5
7.60
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — O'Neill leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.49
5.36
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Moura leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.4
58%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
59%
70%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Moura leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
80%
09:55
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
10:39
Bangtao Muay Thai
Team
Fight House

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

JakeBreaksMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

JakeBreaksMMA picks Casey O'Neill by decision.

“Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (1 calls)
JetChaosMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

JetChaosMMA picks Casey O'Neill by decision.

“O'Neill to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (1 calls)
TheWagerZone ™

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

TheWagerZone transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“But I'm going to say Casey O'Neal wins by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 78.6% 11 3
  • Method Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (14 calls)
Couch Warrior Podcast

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Couch Warrior Podcast selects Casey O'Neill in the final UFC 331 pick recap.

“I'm going Casey.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 9 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (12 calls)
Billy Ward

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Action Network's UFC 331 article lists Billy Ward's pick as Casey O'Neill on the moneyline.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (4 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Lock of the Night picks Casey O'Neill and says the official prediction is a TKO, while leaving the round as a lean rather than a firm call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Dissection Of Violence

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Dissection Of Violence transcript pick: Casey O’Neill (winner only).

“I gotta go with Casey O'Neal here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (11 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Bedtime MMA transcript pick: Casey O'Neill by decision.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal. I think she's probably going to win this by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

TheWeasle transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“I'm ultimately going to go with Casey O'Neal winning this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

AJ picks Casey O'Neill, leaning toward her pressure and grappling control to win a decision.

“And I'm going to pick Casey O'Neal probably to win a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed We Want Picks selection.

“I think Casey O'Neal wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA JOEY picks Casey O'Neill by decision, expecting her cleaner striking and stronger gas tank to outwork Eduarda Moura after Moura slows down.

“I'm going to say Casey O'Neal gets it done via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

The MMA Guru transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“Casey O'Neal is going to dig deep and win that competitive classic women's MMA 2928 decision. So, I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Tom Feely expects O'Neill's recent improvements to carry her to a decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Lucrative James transcript pick: Casey O'Neill by KO/TKO in round 3.

“I got her via third round stoppage. Casey O'Neil via knockout will be my official prediction.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Husky Hustler transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“Give me Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Sub · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed DFS By The Numbers selection.

“O'Neal is going to finish Mara in the third round by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Rejects Eduarda Moura as the pick and says Casey O'Neill's footwork is the more likely winning side.

“I'm not going to pick her. I think Casey O'Neal's footwork is probably too much.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

138 MMA transcript pick: Casey O'Neill.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal. So, I'm gonna take O'Neal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Casey O’Neill by decision.

“I have Casey O'Neill via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Kunath selection.

“Give me King Casey by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed HopperoMMA selection.

“I'm going to go Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
LF MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

LF MMA picks Casey O'Neill over Eduarda Moura, expecting O'Neill's defense and cleaner striking to prevail.

“give me O'Neill”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (13 calls)
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists James Lynch on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Mathletes includes Casey O'Neill in its UFC 331 full-card parlay.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Artem MMA favors Casey O’Neill’s pace, volume, and takedown defense.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Once Upon A Slugfest

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Once Upon A Slugfest transcript pick: Casey O'Neill (winner only).

“I think my subscribers and I picked Casey O'Neill.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (10 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Source unavailable — 9:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAPG transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by KO/TKO in round 2.

“I'm going to predict she'll win via TKO in round two in this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

GypMMA picks Casey O’Neill by third-round TKO.

“I think she'll get a round three TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Marcel Dorff

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel (Marcel Dorff) on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Adam Martin

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Adam Martin on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Bert MMA gives Casey O'Neill a slight lean over Eduarda Moura without committing to a finish method.

“just another slight lean for Casey.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Daniel Levy transcript pick: Casey O’Neill (winner only).

“I'm leaning a little bit towards Casey O'Neal to get it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
MikesMMAPicks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists MikesMMAPicks on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Both hosts agree that Casey O’Neill gets her hand raised.

“Casey O'Neil gets her hand raised. We're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Zain Bando

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection.

“I'm going to take Casey O'Neal to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Uselyis selection.

“I like her by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Andrew Sumian

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Anatoly Pimentel

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Anatoly Pimentel's BetMGM UFC 331 preview predicts Casey O'Neill by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (13 calls)
Chris White

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Chris White on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Punters Edge

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Punters Edge selection.

“I'm taking O'Neal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (13 calls)
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · KO/TKO

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Lucas Tracy transcript pick: Eduarda Moura by KO/TKO.

“I am going to pick Eduarda Moura to win this fight by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Schweppe says O’Neill looked improved after an 18-month layoff and that her striking could be as high as 70.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Kyle Marley

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · Sub

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

SportsLine reports Kyle Marley's UFC 331 pick as Eduarda Moura by submission over Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (4 calls)
Nick Kalikas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Nick Kalikas on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)

Analyst picks: JakeBreaksMMA Hit; JetChaosMMA Hit; TheWagerZone ™ Hit; Couch Warrior Podcast Hit; Billy Ward Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Dissection Of Violence Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Lucas Tracy Miss; Angelo Bodetti Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Tom Feely Hit; James Blissett Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; HopperMMA Hit; LF MMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Once Upon A Slugfest Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; GypMMA Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Bert MMA Hit; Half The Battle Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Zain Bando Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Kyle Marley Miss; Uselyis Hit; Andrew Sumian Hit; Matthew Petela Hit; Anatoly Pimentel Hit; Nick Kalikas Miss; Chris White Hit; Punters Edge Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
JakeBreaksMMA1 resolved call
JakeBreaksMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

JakeBreaksMMA picks Casey O'Neill by decision.

“Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (1 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
JetChaosMMA1 resolved call
JetChaosMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

JetChaosMMA picks Casey O'Neill by decision.

“O'Neill to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (1 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
TheWagerZone ™14 resolved calls
TheWagerZone ™

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

TheWagerZone transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“But I'm going to say Casey O'Neal wins by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 78.6% 11 3
  • Method Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (14 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Couch Warrior Podcast12 resolved calls
Couch Warrior Podcast

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Couch Warrior Podcast selects Casey O'Neill in the final UFC 331 pick recap.

“I'm going Casey.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 9 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (12 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Billy Ward4 resolved calls
Billy Ward

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Action Network's UFC 331 article lists Billy Ward's pick as Casey O'Neill on the moneyline.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (4 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Lock of the Night picks Casey O'Neill and says the official prediction is a TKO, while leaving the round as a lean rather than a firm call.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKOO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Dissection Of Violence11 resolved calls
Dissection Of Violence

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Dissection Of Violence transcript pick: Casey O’Neill (winner only).

“I gotta go with Casey O'Neal here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Bedtime MMA transcript pick: Casey O'Neill by decision.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal. I think she's probably going to win this by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

TheWeasle transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“I'm ultimately going to go with Casey O'Neal winning this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

AJ picks Casey O'Neill, leaning toward her pressure and grappling control to win a decision.

“And I'm going to pick Casey O'Neal probably to win a decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Lucas Tracy53 resolved calls
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · KO/TKO

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Lucas Tracy transcript pick: Eduarda Moura by KO/TKO.

“I am going to pick Eduarda Moura to win this fight by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Moura · KO/TKOO'Neill · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed We Want Picks selection.

“I think Casey O'Neal wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA JOEY picks Casey O'Neill by decision, expecting her cleaner striking and stronger gas tank to outwork Eduarda Moura after Moura slows down.

“I'm going to say Casey O'Neal gets it done via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

The MMA Guru transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“Casey O'Neal is going to dig deep and win that competitive classic women's MMA 2928 decision. So, I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Tom Feely20 resolved calls
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Tom Feely expects O'Neill's recent improvements to carry her to a decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (20 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Lucrative James transcript pick: Casey O'Neill by KO/TKO in round 3.

“I got her via third round stoppage. Casey O'Neil via knockout will be my official prediction.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKO · R3O'Neill · Sub R1HitMissMiss
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Husky Hustler transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by Decision.

“Give me Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Sub · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed DFS By The Numbers selection.

“O'Neal is going to finish Mara in the third round by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · Sub · R3O'Neill · Sub R1HitHitMiss
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Rejects Eduarda Moura as the pick and says Casey O'Neill's footwork is the more likely winning side.

“I'm not going to pick her. I think Casey O'Neal's footwork is probably too much.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

138 MMA transcript pick: Casey O'Neill.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal. So, I'm gonna take O'Neal.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Casey O’Neill by decision.

“I have Casey O'Neill via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Kunath selection.

“Give me King Casey by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed HopperoMMA selection.

“I'm going to go Casey O'Neal by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
LF MMA13 resolved calls
LF MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

LF MMA picks Casey O'Neill over Eduarda Moura, expecting O'Neill's defense and cleaner striking to prevail.

“give me O'Neill”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (13 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists James Lynch on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMA Mathletes includes Casey O'Neill in its UFC 331 full-card parlay.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Artem MMA favors Casey O’Neill’s pace, volume, and takedown defense.

“I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Once Upon A Slugfest10 resolved calls
Once Upon A Slugfest

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Once Upon A Slugfest transcript pick: Casey O'Neill (winner only).

“I think my subscribers and I picked Casey O'Neill.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Source unavailable — 9:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAPG transcript pick: Casey O’Neill by KO/TKO in round 2.

“I'm going to predict she'll win via TKO in round two in this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKO · R2O'Neill · Sub R1HitMissMiss
GypMMA17 resolved calls
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

GypMMA picks Casey O’Neill by third-round TKO.

“I think she'll get a round three TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKO · R3O'Neill · Sub R1HitMissMiss
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls
Marcel Dorff

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel (Marcel Dorff) on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Adam Martin40 resolved calls
Adam Martin

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Adam Martin on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Bert MMA gives Casey O'Neill a slight lean over Eduarda Moura without committing to a finish method.

“just another slight lean for Casey.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Daniel Levy transcript pick: Casey O’Neill (winner only).

“I'm leaning a little bit towards Casey O'Neal to get it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls
MikesMMAPicks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists MikesMMAPicks on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Both hosts agree that Casey O’Neill gets her hand raised.

“Casey O'Neil gets her hand raised. We're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Zain Bando23 resolved calls
Zain Bando

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection.

“I'm going to take Casey O'Neal to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Schweppe says O’Neill looked improved after an 18-month layoff and that her striking could be as high as 70.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Moura · DecO'Neill · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Kyle Marley4 resolved calls
Kyle Marley

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura · Sub

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

SportsLine reports Kyle Marley's UFC 331 pick as Eduarda Moura by submission over Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (4 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Moura · SubO'Neill · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Uselyis selection.

“I like her by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Andrew Sumian23 resolved calls
Andrew Sumian

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Matthew Petela23 resolved calls
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Anatoly Pimentel13 resolved calls
Anatoly Pimentel

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Anatoly Pimentel's BetMGM UFC 331 preview predicts Casey O'Neill by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (13 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls
Nick Kalikas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduarda Moura

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Nick Kalikas on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Moura · to winO'Neill · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
NolanKnowsMMA5 resolved calls
NolanKnowsMMA

Current pick evidence

No pick has been recorded.

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Official bet is fight ends by finish at +150; no winner is named.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (5 calls)
No pickO'Neill · Sub R1No pickNot calledNot called
Chris White35 resolved calls
Chris White

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Chris White on Casey O'Neill.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to winO'Neill · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Punters Edge13 resolved calls
Punters Edge

Current pick evidence

Picked: Casey O'Neill · Dec

Fight result: Casey O'Neill · Submission

Transcript-reviewed Punters Edge selection.

“I'm taking O'Neal to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (13 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · DecO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called

44 of 48 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual O'Neill · Submission · R1

Closest probability Claude put 65% on O'Neill.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
63% O'Neill
37% Moura
PickO'Neill · DecisionActualO'Neill · Submission · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
65% O'Neill
35% Moura
PickO'Neill · DecisionActualO'Neill · Submission · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
63% O'Neill
37% Moura
PickO'Neill · DecisionActualO'Neill · Submission · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 18 Sep, 2 days before the fight

All 3 models pick O'Neill

All three expect a win by decision, with win chances from 63% (ChatGPT and Gemini) to 65% (Claude).

Method mix differs most for Decision: 57% (Claude) to 68% (ChatGPT), a 11-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick O'Neill by decision

    Win probability: O'Neill 63%, Moura 37%.

    gpt-6-astra · 18 Sep

    Medium confidence
  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick O'Neill by decision

    Win probability: O'Neill 65%, Moura 35%.

    claude-sonnet-5 · 18 Sep

    Medium confidence
  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick O'Neill by decision

    Win probability: O'Neill 63%, Moura 37%.

    Version not reported · 18 Sep

    Medium confidence
More detail1 area differs

The models differ on probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round———
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round———

ChatGPT

Pick

O'Neill by decision

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: O'Neill 63%, Moura 37%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 19% overall: O'Neill 15%, Moura 4%
Submission, 13% overall: O'Neill 5%, Moura 8%
Decision, 68% overall: O'Neill 43%, Moura 25%

gpt-6-astra · 18 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

O'Neill by decision

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: O'Neill 65%, Moura 35%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 27% overall: O'Neill 20%, Moura 7%
Submission, 16% overall: O'Neill 10%, Moura 6%
Decision, 57% overall: O'Neill 35%, Moura 22%

claude-sonnet-5 · 18 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

O'Neill by decision

Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: O'Neill 63%, Moura 37%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 19% overall: O'Neill 14%, Moura 5%
Submission, 17% overall: O'Neill 5%, Moura 12%
Decision, 64% overall: O'Neill 44%, Moura 20%

Version not reported · 18 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.