UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry  15 Aug 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US

Mackenzie Dern defeats Gillian Robertson by unanimous decision

Watch the fight
Unanimous decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Dern vs Robertson — Women's Strawweight Title · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Dern won this on the ground and on control rather than on damage. Takedowns and submission attempts defined the fight, and she came close to finishing Robertson more than once without ever quite getting there.

The closest moment came in the final minute of round one, when a rear-naked choke had Robertson in real trouble and the horn saved her. From there Dern largely maintained position and demonstrated she was the superior grappler, in what reports described as a one-sided but low-action title fight.

The judges returned 49–46, 49–46 and 48–47 for the champion.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Dern

Dern's route is to make Robertson defend layered grappling sequences rather than settle for a single shot.

Case for Robertson

Robertson's route is to win the first scramble, keep positional discipline and avoid giving Dern a settled attacking position.

What We Were Watching For

  • Which fighter wins the first meaningful ground position.
  • Whether Dern can create submission chains before Robertson clears her grips.
  • Robertson's ability to turn top pressure into a decision-winning pace if no finish appears.
  • How the five-round format changes the risk taken in the opening exchanges.
Records & career stats
Dern Robertson
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.38 2.63
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 53% 57%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.74 2.83
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 41% 38%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 50% 71%
16-5-0
Record
17-8-0
3-2 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
United States
Nationality
Canada
33
Age
31
1.63 m
Height — Robertson leads
1.65 m
160 cm
Reach
160 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
50%
Finish rateFinish % — Robertson leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
71%
0
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Robertson leads
3
8
Wins by submissionSub wins — Robertson leads
9
3.38
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Dern leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.63
3.74
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Robertson leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.83
53%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Robertson leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
57%
41%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Dern leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
38%
14:49
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
11:01
Megaton Dias BJJ
Team
The Goat Shed

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (4)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Backs Dern by submission but names either round two or three, so no single round is recorded.

“I'm going to go with Mackenzie Dern by round two or three submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Final call is Dern by decision.

“I'll go Mackenzie Dern via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Backs Dern's submission threat and expects her to beat Robertson.

“Mackenzie Durn should beat Jillian Robertson here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Dern, citing her scrambles and cleaner striking; no definite method call is recorded.

“I do favor Mackenzie Dur in this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Dern's striking and jiu-jitsu edge and explicitly predicts a submission without a single round.

“I got to go with Mackenzie Durn. I think she's going to find a submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Gives Dern a pronounced striking and grappling edge, while allowing that several methods are possible.

“I'm going to take Dur to win this fight. I'll say by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Both hosts align on Dern in the dedicated matchup segment.

“I'm on the Mackenzie Dur side. Jacob is too.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Brent Brookhouse

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Dern by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Michael Iannone

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Picks Dern, citing her higher-level opposition and submission threat against Robertson.

“Pick: Mackenzie Dern”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Brian Campbell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · KO/TKO · Round 4

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Dern by fourth-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Picks Dern but is unsure whether she finishes by submission or another route.

“Ultimately I will pick Durn to come out here and defend her belt.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Both hosts agree on Dern, citing her broader grappling and striking edge and Robertson's five-round uncertainty.

“I believe it's also Dur. So we're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mackenzie Dern by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Low-confidence Robertson decision pick based on cage pressure and top control.

“I'll go Robertson on a weird decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Robertson's matchup and coaching edge, confidently calling a decision.

“I am taking Jillian Robertson by decision. I think Jillian Robertson wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Robertson's broader grappling game and expects her to win a decision over Dern.

“I think Gillian Robertson could put Mackenzie Dern on her back.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Shakiel Mahjouri

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Michael Mormile

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Gillian Robertson by third-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Brandon Wise

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · KO/TKO · Round 4

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Gillian Robertson by fourth-round ground-and-pound stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; Michael Chiesa Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Miss; Brent Brookhouse Hit; Michael Iannone Hit; Brian Campbell Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Michael Mormile Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Brandon Wise Miss; Jesse Holland Hit; Alexander K. Lee Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Backs Dern by submission but names either round two or three, so no single round is recorded.

“I'm going to go with Mackenzie Dern by round two or three submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · SubDern · Dec R5HitMissNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Low-confidence Robertson decision pick based on cage pressure and top control.

“I'll go Robertson on a weird decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Robertson's matchup and coaching edge, confidently calling a decision.

“I am taking Jillian Robertson by decision. I think Jillian Robertson wins this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Final call is Dern by decision.

“I'll go Mackenzie Dern via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · DecDern · Dec R5HitHitNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Backs Dern's submission threat and expects her to beat Robertson.

“Mackenzie Durn should beat Jillian Robertson here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Dern, citing her scrambles and cleaner striking; no definite method call is recorded.

“I do favor Mackenzie Dur in this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Dern's striking and jiu-jitsu edge and explicitly predicts a submission without a single round.

“I got to go with Mackenzie Durn. I think she's going to find a submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · SubDern · Dec R5HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Gives Dern a pronounced striking and grappling edge, while allowing that several methods are possible.

“I'm going to take Dur to win this fight. I'll say by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · DecDern · Dec R5HitHitNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Both hosts align on Dern in the dedicated matchup segment.

“I'm on the Mackenzie Dur side. Jacob is too.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Favors Robertson's broader grappling game and expects her to win a decision over Dern.

“I think Gillian Robertson could put Mackenzie Dern on her back.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brent Brookhouse38 resolved calls
Brent Brookhouse

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Dern by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · DecDern · Dec R5HitHitNot called
Michael Iannone21 resolved calls
Michael Iannone

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Picks Dern, citing her higher-level opposition and submission threat against Robertson.

“Pick: Mackenzie Dern”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
Brian Campbell38 resolved calls
Brian Campbell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · KO/TKO · Round 4

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Dern by fourth-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · KO/TKO · R4Dern · Dec R5HitMissMiss
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Picks Dern but is unsure whether she finishes by submission or another route.

“Ultimately I will pick Durn to come out here and defend her belt.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Both hosts agree on Dern, citing her broader grappling and striking edge and Robertson's five-round uncertainty.

“I believe it's also Dur. So we're on the same page.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to winDern · Dec R5HitNot calledNot called
Shakiel Mahjouri40 resolved calls
Shakiel Mahjouri

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Mormile33 resolved calls
Michael Mormile

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Gillian Robertson by third-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · KO/TKO · R3Dern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brandon Wise38 resolved calls
Brandon Wise

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · Dec

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Robertson by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mackenzie Dern · Sub

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mackenzie Dern by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · SubDern · Dec R5HitMissNot called
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Gillian Robertson · KO/TKO · Round 4

Fight result: Mackenzie Dern · Decision

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Gillian Robertson by fourth-round ground-and-pound stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · KO/TKO · R4Dern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

13 of 21 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.