UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan  10 Oct 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Brendson Ribeiro defeats Felipe Franco by Submission

Loss Felipe Franco 11-3-0
Win Brendson Ribeiro 18-11-0
Submission · guillotine choke

Round 1 · 1:49

Franco vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Predictions summary

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Franco

Franco is 11-2-0 at 25, with seven knockouts and four submissions, so every win has come inside the distance. His grappling stands out on his tape, a 3.70 takedown average at 40% accuracy with 88% takedown defense. His latest fight was a second-round TKO of Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night in July 2026, a bounce-back from a unanimous-decision loss to Mario Pinto in his March 2026 UFC debut.

Case for Ribeiro

Ribeiro is 17-11-0 with nine knockouts, seven submissions and one decision, a 94% finish rate, and his 205.74 cm reach makes him a long striker who lands 2.94 significant strikes per minute. His recent form is the concern: he is 1-4 over his last five with four straight losses, the latest a unanimous decision to Magomed Tuchalov at UFC Fight Night in July 2026. His last win was a second-round kimura of Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2025.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Franco's 3.70 takedown average and 88% takedown defense decide where the fight happens against a striker with seven submission wins.
  • Finishing on both sides: all 11 of Franco's wins and 16 of Ribeiro's 17 came inside the distance.
  • Recent form: Franco's latest fight was a TKO win in July 2026, Ribeiro's a decision loss in July 2026.
  • Experience: Ribeiro has 28 professional fights to Franco's 13.
Records & career stats
Franco Ribeiro
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.55 2.94
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 44% 54%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.39 3.56
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 88% 32%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 100% 94%
11-2-0
Record
17-11-0
Not published
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil
25
Age
30
185.42 cm
Height — Ribeiro leads
190.5 cm
196 cm
Reach — Ribeiro leads
205.74 cm
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Franco leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
94%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Ribeiro leads
9
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ribeiro leads
8
2.55
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Ribeiro leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.94
2.39
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Franco leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.56
44%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ribeiro leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
88%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Franco leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
32%
12:09
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:33

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 21:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i'm going to go Franco i'm going to go Franco inside the distance um but I'd rather pass on the chalky line”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Angelo expects Franco to be more physically imposing and to win takedowns, though he thinks either man could fold under pressure.

“Felipe is going to be the pick.”

* He warns Franco may slow down or end up on his back, making bets on him dicey.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Mate Bersenadze

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (12 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 9:00 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMA JOEY leans toward Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

“so I'll say Franco wins second round ground and pound TKO”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 10:09 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Burden picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 6:42 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“so I'm going to go Felipe Franco by finish i'll go TKO maybe ground and pound”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 14:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 43:12 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“felipe Franco via knockout from Granapon will be my official prediction”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Selects Felipe Franco as a confident winner, citing his grappling and ground-and-pound path. The opponent name is garbled in the captions; the registered card identifies the matchup as Brendson Ribeiro, and no opponent spelling is inferred into the quote.

“So yeah, I'm going Franco here. I think he wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 7:19 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Felipe Franco by first-round submission.

“So in this one I got Felipe Franco via first round submission”

* low confidence

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Anthony Marro

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
MMA OddsBreaker
Hear it — 8:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Franco is a big favorite as you'd expect he is minus 340 Brendson Ribeiro plus 275 I think this is a first round TKO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Nick Marro

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 0:56 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Edwards selects Franco and says he expects him to finish Ribeiro with his fists; the best-bet prop is labeled KO/TKO/DQ with a question mark.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Marcel Dorff

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Guy Bruhn

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Adam Martin

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO".

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Finch picks Felipe Franco by TKO, expecting him to mount and finish Ribeiro; the captioned opponent name is garbled, but the bout is established in the preceding matchup discussion.

“FELIPE FRANCO over Brenen Hiro. Brennon Hiro's got the punchers chance, but I think Felipe Franco is getting this mounted TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
PickemMMA
Hear it — 73:38 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“yo okay I'm going to pick Franco by finish ITD but like I wouldn't play the money now I would just play round one round two finish by submission or some shit”

* Grappling and path of least resistance favor Franco, but Ribeiro has knockout danger and Franco is not worth laying heavy juice on

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Owen Liao

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 34:09 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Franco as the winner; no method or round is stated.

“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Daniel Vreeland
Hear it — 21:30 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I like Felipe Franco here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Fight Productions

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
UFCharlesDoBronx
Hear it — 1:26 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“give me Felipe Franco by KO probably first or second round knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (11 calls)
MikesMMAPicks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Garrett Kerman

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article clearly picks Felipe Franco. Its narrative predicts a second-round TKO, while the final betting pick says under 1.5 rounds; method and round are omitted because those details conflict.

“Felipe Franco is my pick to beat Brendson Ribeiro.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Bookie Beatdown
Hear it — 71:36 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“the wrestling's there enough to get Brenson down both those things should materialize in a takedown and a ground and pound finish so despite all my reserves I'm going to take Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Zain Bando

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 20:21 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i'm going to go first round TKO for Franco with ground and pound”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Hear it — 13:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“it's going to be Felipe Franco here in a confident pick to get this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (20 calls)
The MMA Yuda

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Uselyis
Hear it — 4:58 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i think Felipe Franco should be able to win this fight inside the distance i'm going to go Felipe Franco by KO plus 170 franco by KO or sub minus 250 and Franco by KO round one plus 320”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Andrew Sumian

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Sumian picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Gerardo Rivas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Gerardo Rivas selects Felipe Franco as the first leg of his parlay, discussing Franco’s move to the 205-pound division and prior Contender Series bout.

“First, I have Felipe Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Nick Kalikas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Drew Beaupre

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Felipe Franco as his pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Jeff Fox
Hear it — 19:56 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“give me Filipia Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 10:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Give me a Felipe Franco finish of some sort of facet I think in the second or third round here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Matty Betss
Hear it — 21:42 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I'm all in on the Felipe Franco side”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Christopher Olson writes that Felipe Franco should win the day against Brendson Ribeiro; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Alexander K. Lee picks Felipe Franco to defeat Brendson Ribeiro.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco and explicitly calls a knockout, without naming a round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Chris Cross

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Dec

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

TCMMA Podcast goes with Felipe Franco, citing his takedown game and expecting him to win by decision.

“So by default I'm going with Franco in my opinion to win by decision to 12-2 light heavyweight division UFC Vegas 122.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Ryan Wohl

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Ryan Wohl backs Felipe Franco to win in rounds 1–2; no single round or method is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (10 calls)
Chris White

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
FightStudy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brendson Ribeiro

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Price-qualified betting selection: Ribeiro at +250 or nothing. Lang also says Franco probably finds enough takedowns and control to grind out a win, so this is a price-dependent lean rather than an unqualified prediction that Ribeiro wins.

“At these odds, Ribeiro +250 or nothing.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brendson Ribeiro

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)

Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Miss; Andy Lang Hit; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; The MMA Guru Miss; Drake Burden Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; James Blissett Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Anthony Marro Miss; MMA OddsBreaker Miss; Nick Marro Miss; James Lynch Miss; Clenbat Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Tim Edwards Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Mike Finch Miss; PickemMMA Miss; Owen Liao Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Half The Battle Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Daniel Vreeland Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; UFCharlesDoBronx Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Zain Bando Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Uselyis Miss; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; MMA JAWN Miss; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; Jeff Fox Miss; DON SMOKE MMA Miss; Matty Betss Miss; Chris Olson Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; Brandon K Miss; Chris Cross Miss; Ryan Wohl Miss; Chris White Miss; FightStudy Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 21:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i'm going to go Franco i'm going to go Franco inside the distance um but I'd rather pass on the chalky line”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andy Lang10 resolved calls
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brendson Ribeiro

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Price-qualified betting selection: Ribeiro at +250 or nothing. Lang also says Franco probably finds enough takedowns and control to grind out a win, so this is a price-dependent lean rather than an unqualified prediction that Ribeiro wins.

“At these odds, Ribeiro +250 or nothing.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Ribeiro · to winRibeiro · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Angelo expects Franco to be more physically imposing and to win takedowns, though he thinks either man could fold under pressure.

“Felipe is going to be the pick.”

* He warns Franco may slow down or end up on his back, making bets on him dicey.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Mate Bersenadze12 resolved calls
Mate Bersenadze

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 9:00 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMA JOEY leans toward Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

“so I'll say Franco wins second round ground and pound TKO”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 10:09 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Burden picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 6:42 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“so I'm going to go Felipe Franco by finish i'll go TKO maybe ground and pound”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 14:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett
Hear it — 43:12 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“felipe Franco via knockout from Granapon will be my official prediction”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Selects Felipe Franco as a confident winner, citing his grappling and ground-and-pound path. The opponent name is garbled in the captions; the registered card identifies the matchup as Brendson Ribeiro, and no opponent spelling is inferred into the quote.

“So yeah, I'm going Franco here. I think he wins.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 7:19 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Felipe Franco by first-round submission.

“So in this one I got Felipe Franco via first round submission”

* low confidence

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · Sub · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Anthony Marro11 resolved calls
Anthony Marro

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA OddsBreaker11 resolved calls
MMA OddsBreaker
Hear it — 8:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Franco is a big favorite as you'd expect he is minus 340 Brendson Ribeiro plus 275 I think this is a first round TKO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Nick Marro11 resolved calls
Nick Marro

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Clenbat36 resolved calls
Clenbat

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 0:56 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · SubRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Tim Edwards10 resolved calls
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Edwards selects Franco and says he expects him to finish Ribeiro with his fists; the best-bet prop is labeled KO/TKO/DQ with a question mark.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls
Marcel Dorff

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Guy Bruhn12 resolved calls
Guy Bruhn

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Adam Martin40 resolved calls
Adam Martin

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO".

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Finch picks Felipe Franco by TKO, expecting him to mount and finish Ribeiro; the captioned opponent name is garbled, but the bout is established in the preceding matchup discussion.

“FELIPE FRANCO over Brenen Hiro. Brennon Hiro's got the punchers chance, but I think Felipe Franco is getting this mounted TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
PickemMMA21 resolved calls
PickemMMA
Hear it — 73:38 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“yo okay I'm going to pick Franco by finish ITD but like I wouldn't play the money now I would just play round one round two finish by submission or some shit”

* Grappling and path of least resistance favor Franco, but Ribeiro has knockout danger and Franco is not worth laying heavy juice on

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Owen Liao7 resolved calls
Owen Liao

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 34:09 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Franco as the winner; no method or round is stated.

“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Daniel Vreeland29 resolved calls
Daniel Vreeland
Hear it — 21:30 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I like Felipe Franco here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
UFCharlesDoBronx11 resolved calls
UFCharlesDoBronx
Hear it — 1:26 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“give me Felipe Franco by KO probably first or second round knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls
MikesMMAPicks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Garrett Kerman13 resolved calls
Garrett Kerman

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article clearly picks Felipe Franco. Its narrative predicts a second-round TKO, while the final betting pick says under 1.5 rounds; method and round are omitted because those details conflict.

“Felipe Franco is my pick to beat Brendson Ribeiro.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown
Hear it — 71:36 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“the wrestling's there enough to get Brenson down both those things should materialize in a takedown and a ground and pound finish so despite all my reserves I'm going to take Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Zain Bando23 resolved calls
Zain Bando

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 20:21 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i'm going to go first round TKO for Franco with ground and pound”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)20 resolved calls
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Hear it — 13:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“it's going to be Felipe Franco here in a confident pick to get this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (20 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis
Hear it — 4:58 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“i think Felipe Franco should be able to win this fight inside the distance i'm going to go Felipe Franco by KO plus 170 franco by KO or sub minus 250 and Franco by KO round one plus 320”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andrew Sumian23 resolved calls
Andrew Sumian

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Sumian picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Matthew Petela23 resolved calls
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brendson Ribeiro

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Ribeiro · to winRibeiro · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Gerardo Rivas15 resolved calls
Gerardo Rivas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Gerardo Rivas selects Felipe Franco as the first leg of his parlay, discussing Franco’s move to the 205-pound division and prior Contender Series bout.

“First, I have Felipe Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls
Nick Kalikas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Drew Beaupre11 resolved calls
Drew Beaupre

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Felipe Franco as his pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jeff Fox11 resolved calls
Jeff Fox
Hear it — 19:56 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“give me Filipia Franco”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DON SMOKE MMA18 resolved calls
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 10:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“Give me a Felipe Franco finish of some sort of facet I think in the second or third round here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Matty Betss9 resolved calls
Matty Betss
Hear it — 21:42 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

“I'm all in on the Felipe Franco side”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Christopher Olson writes that Felipe Franco should win the day against Brendson Ribeiro; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Alexander K. Lee picks Felipe Franco to defeat Brendson Ribeiro.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brandon K23 resolved calls
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco and explicitly calls a knockout, without naming a round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKORibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Cross20 resolved calls
Chris Cross

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · Dec

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

TCMMA Podcast goes with Felipe Franco, citing his takedown game and expecting him to win by decision.

“So by default I'm going with Franco in my opinion to win by decision to 12-2 light heavyweight division UFC Vegas 122.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (20 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · DecRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Ryan Wohl10 resolved calls
Ryan Wohl

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

Ryan Wohl backs Felipe Franco to win in rounds 1–2; no single round or method is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris White35 resolved calls
Chris White

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to winRibeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
FightStudy11 resolved calls
FightStudy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission

FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1Ribeiro · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 2 of 59 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Ribeiro · Submission · R1

Closest probability ChatGPT and Gemini put 28% on Ribeiro.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
72% Franco
28% Ribeiro
PickFranco · KO/TKO · R1ActualRibeiro · Submission · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
75% Franco
25% Ribeiro
PickFranco · KO/TKO · R2ActualRibeiro · Submission · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
72% Franco
28% Ribeiro
PickFranco · KO/TKO · R1ActualRibeiro · Submission · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight

All 3 models pick Franco

All three expect a win by KO/TKO, with win chances from 72% (ChatGPT and Gemini) to 75% (Claude).

Method mix differs most for Decision: 14% (ChatGPT) to 30% (Claude), a 16-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 1

    Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%.

    gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct

    High confidence
  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 2

    Win probability: Franco 75%, Ribeiro 25%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct

    High confidence
  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 1

    Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%.

    Version not reported · 9 Oct

    High confidence
More detail2 areas differ

The models differ on round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 1Round 2Round 1
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 1Round 2Round 1

ChatGPT

Pick

Franco by KO/TKO in round 1

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 57% overall: Franco 43%, Ribeiro 14%
Submission, 29% overall: Franco 20%, Ribeiro 9%
Decision, 14% overall: Franco 9%, Ribeiro 5%

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Franco by KO/TKO in round 2

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Franco 75%, Ribeiro 25%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 47% overall: Franco 32%, Ribeiro 15%
Submission, 23% overall: Franco 20%, Ribeiro 3%
Decision, 30% overall: Franco 23%, Ribeiro 7%

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Franco by KO/TKO in round 1

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 57% overall: Franco 40%, Ribeiro 17%
Submission, 26% overall: Franco 20%, Ribeiro 6%
Decision, 17% overall: Franco 12%, Ribeiro 5%

Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.