UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Brendson Ribeiro defeats Felipe Franco by Submission
Round 1 · 1:49
Franco vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Predictions summary
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Franco
Franco is 11-2-0 at 25, with seven knockouts and four submissions, so every win has come inside the distance. His grappling stands out on his tape, a 3.70 takedown average at 40% accuracy with 88% takedown defense. His latest fight was a second-round TKO of Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night in July 2026, a bounce-back from a unanimous-decision loss to Mario Pinto in his March 2026 UFC debut.
Case for Ribeiro
Ribeiro is 17-11-0 with nine knockouts, seven submissions and one decision, a 94% finish rate, and his 205.74 cm reach makes him a long striker who lands 2.94 significant strikes per minute. His recent form is the concern: he is 1-4 over his last five with four straight losses, the latest a unanimous decision to Magomed Tuchalov at UFC Fight Night in July 2026. His last win was a second-round kimura of Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2025.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Franco's 3.70 takedown average and 88% takedown defense decide where the fight happens against a striker with seven submission wins.
- Finishing on both sides: all 11 of Franco's wins and 16 of Ribeiro's 17 came inside the distance.
- Recent form: Franco's latest fight was a TKO win in July 2026, Ribeiro's a decision loss in July 2026.
- Experience: Ribeiro has 28 professional fights to Franco's 13.
Records & career stats
- 2.55 2.94
- 44% 54%
- 2.39 3.56
- 88% 32%
- 100% 94%
- 11-2-0
- Record
- 17-11-0
- Not published
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 1-4 last 5
- Brazil
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 25
- Age
- 30
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 12:09
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 07:33
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“i'm going to go Franco i'm going to go Franco inside the distance um but I'd rather pass on the chalky line”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
- Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Angelo expects Franco to be more physically imposing and to win takedowns, though he thinks either man could fold under pressure.
“Felipe is going to be the pick.”
* He warns Franco may slow down or end up on his back, making bets on him dicey.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
MMA JOEY leans toward Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.
“so I'll say Franco wins second round ground and pound TKO”
* Analyst stated a lean
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Burden picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“so I'm going to go Felipe Franco by finish i'll go TKO maybe ground and pound”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“felipe Franco via knockout from Granapon will be my official prediction”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Selects Felipe Franco as a confident winner, citing his grappling and ground-and-pound path. The opponent name is garbled in the captions; the registered card identifies the matchup as Brendson Ribeiro, and no opponent spelling is inferred into the quote.
“So yeah, I'm going Franco here. I think he wins.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Felipe Franco by first-round submission.
“So in this one I got Felipe Franco via first round submission”
* low confidence
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“Franco is a big favorite as you'd expect he is minus 340 Brendson Ribeiro plus 275 I think this is a first round TKO”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
- Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · Sub
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Edwards selects Franco and says he expects him to finish Ribeiro with his fists; the best-bet prop is labeled KO/TKO/DQ with a question mark.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO".
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Finch picks Felipe Franco by TKO, expecting him to mount and finish Ribeiro; the captioned opponent name is garbled, but the bout is established in the preceding matchup discussion.
“FELIPE FRANCO over Brenen Hiro. Brennon Hiro's got the punchers chance, but I think Felipe Franco is getting this mounted TKO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“yo okay I'm going to pick Franco by finish ITD but like I wouldn't play the money now I would just play round one round two finish by submission or some shit”
* Grappling and path of least resistance favor Franco, but Ribeiro has knockout danger and Franco is not worth laying heavy juice on
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Franco as the winner; no method or round is stated.
“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Franco”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“I like Felipe Franco here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“give me Felipe Franco by KO probably first or second round knockout”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article clearly picks Felipe Franco. Its narrative predicts a second-round TKO, while the final betting pick says under 1.5 rounds; method and round are omitted because those details conflict.
“Felipe Franco is my pick to beat Brendson Ribeiro.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“the wrestling's there enough to get Brenson down both those things should materialize in a takedown and a ground and pound finish so despite all my reserves I'm going to take Franco”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“i'm going to go first round TKO for Franco with ground and pound”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“it's going to be Felipe Franco here in a confident pick to get this one done”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“i think Felipe Franco should be able to win this fight inside the distance i'm going to go Felipe Franco by KO plus 170 franco by KO or sub minus 250 and Franco by KO round one plus 320”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Sumian picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Gerardo Rivas selects Felipe Franco as the first leg of his parlay, discussing Franco’s move to the 205-pound division and prior Contender Series bout.
“First, I have Felipe Franco”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Felipe Franco as his pick.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“give me Filipia Franco”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“Give me a Felipe Franco finish of some sort of facet I think in the second or third round here”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
“I'm all in on the Felipe Franco side”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Christopher Olson writes that Felipe Franco should win the day against Brendson Ribeiro; no method or round is stated.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Alexander K. Lee picks Felipe Franco to defeat Brendson Ribeiro.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco and explicitly calls a knockout, without naming a round.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · Dec
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
TCMMA Podcast goes with Felipe Franco, citing his takedown game and expecting him to win by decision.
“So by default I'm going with Franco in my opinion to win by decision to 12-2 light heavyweight division UFC Vegas 122.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Ryan Wohl backs Felipe Franco to win in rounds 1–2; no single round or method is stated.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendson Ribeiro
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Price-qualified betting selection: Ribeiro at +250 or nothing. Lang also says Franco probably finds enough takedowns and control to grind out a win, so this is a price-dependent lean rather than an unqualified prediction that Ribeiro wins.
“At these odds, Ribeiro +250 or nothing.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendson Ribeiro
Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission
Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Miss; Andy Lang Hit; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; The MMA Guru Miss; Drake Burden Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; James Blissett Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Anthony Marro Miss; MMA OddsBreaker Miss; Nick Marro Miss; James Lynch Miss; Clenbat Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Tim Edwards Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Mike Finch Miss; PickemMMA Miss; Owen Liao Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Half The Battle Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Daniel Vreeland Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; UFCharlesDoBronx Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Zain Bando Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Uselyis Miss; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; MMA JAWN Miss; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; Jeff Fox Miss; DON SMOKE MMA Miss; Matty Betss Miss; Chris Olson Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; Brandon K Miss; Chris Cross Miss; Ryan Wohl Miss; Chris White Miss; FightStudy Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MMA Lock of the Night
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “i'm going to go Franco i'm going to go Franco inside the distance um but I'd rather pass on the chalky line” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“i'm going to go Franco i'm going to go Franco inside the distance um but I'd rather pass on the chalky line” Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andy Lang
Andy Lang
Current pick evidencePicked: Brendson Ribeiro Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Price-qualified betting selection: Ribeiro at +250 or nothing. Lang also says Franco probably finds enough takedowns and control to grind out a win, so this is a price-dependent lean rather than an unqualified prediction that Ribeiro wins. “At these odds, Ribeiro +250 or nothing.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Ribeiro · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Price-qualified betting selection: Ribeiro at +250 or nothing. Lang also says Franco probably finds enough takedowns and control to grind out a win, so this is a price-dependent lean rather than an unqualified prediction that Ribeiro wins. “At these odds, Ribeiro +250 or nothing.” Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Angelo Bodetti
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Angelo expects Franco to be more physically imposing and to win takedowns, though he thinks either man could fold under pressure. “Felipe is going to be the pick.” * He warns Franco may slow down or end up on his back, making bets on him dicey. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Angelo expects Franco to be more physically imposing and to win takedowns, though he thinks either man could fold under pressure. “Felipe is going to be the pick.” * He warns Franco may slow down or end up on his back, making bets on him dicey. Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mate Bersenadze
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission MMA JOEY leans toward Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. “so I'll say Franco wins second round ground and pound TKO” * Analyst stated a lean Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA JOEY leans toward Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. “so I'll say Franco wins second round ground and pound TKO” * Analyst stated a lean Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'm going with Felipe Franco getting this one done” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Burden picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Burden picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “so I'm going to go Felipe Franco by finish i'll go TKO maybe ground and pound” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so I'm going to go Felipe Franco by finish i'll go TKO maybe ground and pound” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “felipe Franco via knockout from Granapon will be my official prediction” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“felipe Franco via knockout from Granapon will be my official prediction” Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Selects Felipe Franco as a confident winner, citing his grappling and ground-and-pound path. The opponent name is garbled in the captions; the registered card identifies the matchup as Brendson Ribeiro, and no opponent spelling is inferred into the quote. “So yeah, I'm going Franco here. I think he wins.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Selects Felipe Franco as a confident winner, citing his grappling and ground-and-pound path. The opponent name is garbled in the captions; the registered card identifies the matchup as Brendson Ribeiro, and no opponent spelling is inferred into the quote. “So yeah, I'm going Franco here. I think he wins.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · Sub · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Felipe Franco by first-round submission. “So in this one I got Felipe Franco via first round submission” * low confidence Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · Sub · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 gives a low-confidence lean to Felipe Franco by first-round submission. “So in this one I got Felipe Franco via first round submission” * low confidence Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Anthony Marro
Anthony Marro
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA OddsBreaker
MMA OddsBreaker
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “Franco is a big favorite as you'd expect he is minus 340 Brendson Ribeiro plus 275 I think this is a first round TKO” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“Franco is a big favorite as you'd expect he is minus 340 Brendson Ribeiro plus 275 I think this is a first round TKO” Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Marro
Nick Marro
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Felipe Franco by KO/TKO in round 2. Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Lynch
James Lynch
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one. Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco. Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Mathletes
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins” Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · Sub Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · Sub | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission. Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tim Edwards
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Edwards selects Franco and says he expects him to finish Ribeiro with his fists; the best-bet prop is labeled KO/TKO/DQ with a question mark. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Edwards selects Franco and says he expects him to finish Ribeiro with his fists; the best-bet prop is labeled KO/TKO/DQ with a question mark. Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Marcel Dorff
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel on Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Guy Bruhn
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note. “Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)” Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam Martin
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO". Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO". Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mike Finch
Mike Finch
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Finch picks Felipe Franco by TKO, expecting him to mount and finish Ribeiro; the captioned opponent name is garbled, but the bout is established in the preceding matchup discussion. “FELIPE FRANCO over Brenen Hiro. Brennon Hiro's got the punchers chance, but I think Felipe Franco is getting this mounted TKO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Finch picks Felipe Franco by TKO, expecting him to mount and finish Ribeiro; the captioned opponent name is garbled, but the bout is established in the preceding matchup discussion. “FELIPE FRANCO over Brenen Hiro. Brennon Hiro's got the punchers chance, but I think Felipe Franco is getting this mounted TKO.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
PickemMMA
PickemMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “yo okay I'm going to pick Franco by finish ITD but like I wouldn't play the money now I would just play round one round two finish by submission or some shit” * Grappling and path of least resistance favor Franco, but Ribeiro has knockout danger and Franco is not worth laying heavy juice on Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“yo okay I'm going to pick Franco by finish ITD but like I wouldn't play the money now I would just play round one round two finish by submission or some shit” * Grappling and path of least resistance favor Franco, but Ribeiro has knockout danger and Franco is not worth laying heavy juice on Track record: winner called in 12 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Owen Liao
Owen Liao
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish. Track record: winner called in 4 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bert MMA
Bert MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Franco as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Franco” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Franco as the winner; no method or round is stated. “UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Franco” Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Daniel Vreeland
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “I like Felipe Franco here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I like Felipe Franco here.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time. Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage. Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
UFCharlesDoBronx
UFCharlesDoBronx
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “give me Felipe Franco by KO probably first or second round knockout” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“give me Felipe Franco by KO probably first or second round knockout” Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MikesMMAPicks
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Garrett Kerman
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article clearly picks Felipe Franco. Its narrative predicts a second-round TKO, while the final betting pick says under 1.5 rounds; method and round are omitted because those details conflict. “Felipe Franco is my pick to beat Brendson Ribeiro.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article clearly picks Felipe Franco. Its narrative predicts a second-round TKO, while the final betting pick says under 1.5 rounds; method and round are omitted because those details conflict. “Felipe Franco is my pick to beat Brendson Ribeiro.” Track record: winner called in 7 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “the wrestling's there enough to get Brenson down both those things should materialize in a takedown and a ground and pound finish so despite all my reserves I'm going to take Franco” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“the wrestling's there enough to get Brenson down both those things should materialize in a takedown and a ground and pound finish so despite all my reserves I'm going to take Franco” Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Zain Bando
Zain Bando
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 12 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “i'm going to go first round TKO for Franco with ground and pound” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“i'm going to go first round TKO for Franco with ground and pound” Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “it's going to be Felipe Franco here in a confident pick to get this one done” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“it's going to be Felipe Franco here in a confident pick to get this one done” Track record: winner called in 10 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet. Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “i think Felipe Franco should be able to win this fight inside the distance i'm going to go Felipe Franco by KO plus 170 franco by KO or sub minus 250 and Franco by KO round one plus 320” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“i think Felipe Franco should be able to win this fight inside the distance i'm going to go Felipe Franco by KO plus 170 franco by KO or sub minus 250 and Franco by KO round one plus 320” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Sumian
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Sumian picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Sumian picks Felipe Franco over Brendson Ribeiro in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matthew Petela
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidencePicked: Brendson Ribeiro Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Ribeiro · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Track record: winner called in 11 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JAWN
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout. Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Gerardo Rivas
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Gerardo Rivas selects Felipe Franco as the first leg of his parlay, discussing Franco’s move to the 205-pound division and prior Contender Series bout. “First, I have Felipe Franco” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Gerardo Rivas selects Felipe Franco as the first leg of his parlay, discussing Franco’s move to the 205-pound division and prior Contender Series bout. “First, I have Felipe Franco” Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Kalikas
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drew Beaupre
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Felipe Franco as his pick. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Felipe Franco as his pick. Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jeff Fox
Jeff Fox
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “give me Filipia Franco” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“give me Filipia Franco” Track record: winner called in 5 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DON SMOKE MMA
DON SMOKE MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “Give me a Felipe Franco finish of some sort of facet I think in the second or third round here” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“Give me a Felipe Franco finish of some sort of facet I think in the second or third round here” Track record: winner called in 8 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matty Betss
Matty Betss
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission “I'm all in on the Felipe Franco side” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'm all in on the Felipe Franco side” Track record: winner called in 4 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Christopher Olson writes that Felipe Franco should win the day against Brendson Ribeiro; no method or round is stated. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Christopher Olson writes that Felipe Franco should win the day against Brendson Ribeiro; no method or round is stated. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Alexander K. Lee picks Felipe Franco to defeat Brendson Ribeiro. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Alexander K. Lee picks Felipe Franco to defeat Brendson Ribeiro. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brandon K
Brandon K
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco and explicitly calls a knockout, without naming a round. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco and explicitly calls a knockout, without naming a round. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Cross
Chris Cross
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · Dec Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission TCMMA Podcast goes with Felipe Franco, citing his takedown game and expecting him to win by decision. “So by default I'm going with Franco in my opinion to win by decision to 12-2 light heavyweight division UFC Vegas 122.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · Dec | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| TCMMA Podcast goes with Felipe Franco, citing his takedown game and expecting him to win by decision. “So by default I'm going with Franco in my opinion to win by decision to 12-2 light heavyweight division UFC Vegas 122.” Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ryan Wohl
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission Ryan Wohl backs Felipe Franco to win in rounds 1–2; no single round or method is stated. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Ryan Wohl backs Felipe Franco to win in rounds 1–2; no single round or method is stated. Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris White
Chris White
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Felipe Franco. Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
FightStudy
FightStudy
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Franco · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Brendson Ribeiro · Submission FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win. Track record: winner called in 4 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Only 2 of 59 called the upset.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Ribeiro · Submission · R1
Closest probability ChatGPT and Gemini put 28% on Ribeiro.
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight
All 3 models pick Franco
All three expect a win by KO/TKO, with win chances from 72% (ChatGPT and Gemini) to 75% (Claude).
Method mix differs most for Decision: 14% (ChatGPT) to 30% (Claude), a 16-point range.
-
ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 1
Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%.
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 2
Win probability: Franco 75%, Ribeiro 25%.
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Franco by KO/TKO in round 1
Win probability: Franco 72%, Ribeiro 28%.
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail2 areas differ
The models differ on round timing, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 1 |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 1 |
ChatGPT
Pick
Franco by KO/TKO in round 1
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Franco by KO/TKO in round 2
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Franco by KO/TKO in round 1
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
No market odds are available for this fight yet.



































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