Final · 8 Aug 2026

Juliana Miller defeats Ravena Oliveira by Submission

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld

8 Aug 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 2 · 1:38

View fight recap

Miller vs Oliveira — Women's Flyweight · UFC Fight Night

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Oliveira landed clean shots early, but Miller answered by dominating the grappling exchanges.

Miller put Oliveira back on the deck in the second and worked to the back.

The rear-naked choke ended the fight at 1:38 of round two.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Miller def. Oliveira
Sub R2
Consensus

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA called it; The MMA Guru called it; TheWeasle perfect call; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; MMAPREDICTIONGURU perfect call; Adam Martin called it; Marcel Dorff perfect call; KennyOkoyeMMA called it; JakeGerberMMA perfect call; Michael Chiesa called it; Mike Finch called it; Bookie Beatdown called it; We Want Picks missed.

13 of 14 nailed it · 4 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 67 of 99 Bedtime MMA: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller, hedging between a submission and a decision.

Track record: winner called in 67 of 99 resolved picks, 28 a perfect call.

The MMA Guru Analyst called 44 of 65 The MMA Guru: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller without naming a method.

Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks, 16 a perfect call.

TheWeasle Analyst called 34 of 48 TheWeasle: predicted Miller · Sub · R2. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Miller by second-round submission.

Track record: winner called in 34 of 48 resolved picks, 14 a perfect call.

Half The Battle Analyst called 33 of 48 Half The Battle: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller without a method.

Track record: winner called in 33 of 48 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Miller · Sub · R1. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller by first-round submission.

Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.

MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 15 of 25 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: predicted Miller · Sub · R2. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Miller by second-round submission.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 25 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.

Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 14 of 17 Adam Martin: predicted Miller · Decision. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller by decision.

Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.

Marcel Dorff Analyst called 13 of 16 Marcel Dorff: predicted Miller · Sub. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Miller by submission.

Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.

KennyOkoyeMMA Analyst called 22 of 28 KennyOkoyeMMA: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller without naming a method.

Track record: winner called in 22 of 28 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.

JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 44 of 62 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Miller · Sub. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Miller by submission, hedging the round.

Track record: winner called in 44 of 62 resolved picks, 10 a perfect call.

Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter called 29 of 42 Michael Chiesa: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller to finish inside the distance.

Track record: winner called in 29 of 42 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.

Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 23 of 36 Mike Finch: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller without naming a method.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 36 resolved picks, 9 a perfect call.

Bookie Beatdown Betting deskAnalyst called 14 of 24 Bookie Beatdown: predicted Miller · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Hit.

Takes Miller, hedging between a TKO and a submission.

Track record: winner called in 14 of 24 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.

We Want Picks Betting desk called 55 of 87 We Want Picks: predicted Oliveira · to win. Actual Miller · Sub R2. Result: Miss.

Takes Oliveira on the view that Miller is too far off the pace.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 87 resolved picks.

Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
Miller Oliveira
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.65 1.91
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 44% 46%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.14 3.72
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 44% 46%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 80% 100%
5-4-0
Record
7-4-1
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2-3 last 5
30
Age
29
1.70 m
Height — Miller leads
1.65 m
168 cm
Reach — Miller leads
165 cm
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
80%
Finish rateFinish % — Oliveira leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
100%
1
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Oliveira leads
6
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Miller leads
1
2.65
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Miller leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1.91
4.14
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Oliveira leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.72
44%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
46%
44%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
46%
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Miller

Miller's clearest path is volume grappling: she lands 2.16 takedowns per 15 minutes, averages 1.20 submission attempts over the same span, and three of her five career wins have come by submission. She has been hittable lately — 4.14 significant strikes absorbed per minute behind 44% strike defence — but if she can get Oliveira to the mat, that is where her finishing instincts have shown up before.

Case for Oliveira

Oliveira has finished six of her seven wins by knockout, four of them in the first round, and that power is the fastest way to end this before the grappling starts. She has lost her last three in the UFC, though, and a 46% takedown defence alongside no recorded submission attempts of her own leaves an opening if Miller can close the distance.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Oliveira's power — six of seven wins by knockout, four inside the first round — lands before Miller can complete a takedown.
  • Whether Miller's 1.20 submission attempts per 15 minutes find an opening against a fighter with none of her own on record.
  • Whether either takedown defence holds up under commitment: 44% for Miller, 46% for Oliveira.
  • Whether Oliveira ends a three-fight UFC skid against an opponent who is herself 2-3 across her last five.

Fighters

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