UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Josh Hokit defeats Derrick Lewis by KO/TKO
Hokit vs Lewis — Heavyweight · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Hokit took the fight to Lewis from the opening round, using his speed and movement to avoid Lewis's big swings.
He took Lewis down and worked him over on the canvas in the first round.
In the second, Hokit lit up an exhausted Lewis and secured the stoppage late in the round.
- Official UFC resultsUFC · UFC Freedom 250 results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hokit
Undefeated at 9-0, a freakish athlete with a college wrestling and football background and finishing pop of his own — eight of his nine wins are stoppages. Hokit is younger, fresher and far more active; if he can lean on his motor and wrestling to drag Lewis into the later minutes, the gap in pace could decide it.
Case for Lewis
The most knockout wins in UFC history, and all the explanation you need: Lewis has to land one short, heavy punch and any fight is over. Twenty-four of his 29 wins are knockouts. Against an unbeaten but untested prospect, the veteran's one-punch power and big-fight composure are the great equaliser.
What We Were Watching For
- Lewis needs only one clean shot — can Hokit's chin and defense survive the early exchanges?
- Does Hokit trust his wrestling to take Lewis down, or stay in the pocket with the sport's biggest puncher?
- Lewis's cardio and motivation late against a young, relentless engine.
- Nine pro fights against a 40-plus-fight veteran — does inexperience show under the brightest lights of his career?
Records & career stats
- 9.29 2.41
- 49% 39%
- 5.28 2.79
- 78% 52%
- 89% 86%
- 9-0-0
- Record
- 29-13-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- USA
- Nationality
- USA
- 28
- Age
- 41
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 07:14
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:51
- Jackson Wink MMA Academy - NM
- Team
- 4oz Fight Club
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Demetrious Johnson
Demetrious Johnson says Hokit proved he can fight beyond the persona, using speed, takedowns and top control to shut down Lewis before the finish.Demetrious Johnson says Hokit proved he can fight beyond the persona, using speed, takedowns and top control to shut down Lewis before the finish.
- Said Hokit’s act can distract from the fact that he is dangerous at heavyweight.
- Credited Hokit for getting in front of Lewis and denying the single power shot.
- Highlighted takedowns, guard passing and athleticism as the difference.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Josh Hokit by KO/TKO.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Wade expects Hokit to lean on his elite wrestling rather than trade with Lewis's power — the only way he sees Lewis winning. The grappling wears down the older, slower Lewis, who tends to check out when tired, while Hokit mixes in ground-and-pound for a clean-sweep decision.
- Alternative floated: a late stoppage or submission
- Lewis himself expects Hokit to wrestle and tire him
- Standing with Lewis's power would be a terrible idea for Hokit
“pound and some other things. I think Josh Hokit's going to win. think it”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Herrick allows that Lewis always has one-shot knockout danger, but thinks nearly every other variable points to Hokit: youth, momentum, athleticism, speed, wrestling, grappling and footwork. He expects Hokit to hurt Lewis or finish him on the ground.
- Lewis's only clear path is vintage one-shot power
- Hokit has the athletic and grappling advantages
- Calls Hokit by finish with medium-to-high confidence
“I got Hok by finish.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
He dismisses Lewis as a flat-footed puncher who flops around at range, and sees Hokit as the better athlete in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and fight IQ. He expects Hokit to melt Lewis on the fence or take him down for a first-round TKO; Lewis's only path is a fluke overhand.
- Lists Hokit ahead in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and IQ
- Lewis's only win is a fluke overhand KO
- Calls it the easiest fight on the card to break down
“I'm picking Josh by round one TKO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists.
“So, I'm going to go Josh Hoka by a first round knockout via ground and pound.”
* The transcript identifies the matchup as Derrick Lewis versus Josh Barnett, not the canonical Derrick Lewis versus Josh Hokit bout; the candidate is retained but cannot be mapped across the matchup change.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket.
“Do. He's gonna chin Josh Hogit. But as the analyst, bro, I gotta pick Josh Hokit to win by second round TKO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Tracy argues the 40-something Lewis is old, fragile-chinned and prone to wilting and has only been beating cans, while Hokit is a fast-handed, ferocious, athletic small heavyweight whose avalanche pressure overwhelms opponents. He expects a quick blitz, like the Curtis Blaydes win.
- Gives Lewis a 25-30% puncher's chance
- Hokit's relentless in-your-face style is dangerous to Lewis's chin
- Hokit's grappling is underrated — could finish on the ground
“I think we're going to see Josh Hokit knock out Derrick Lewis in the first round.”
* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit ("Josh Hockett") puts a crazy pace on a fading, quit-prone Lewis, dominating top position and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO crumble.
“I would have entertained the idea of a Derek Lewis upset KO, but I really think Josh Hockett has got this one in”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card.
“Josh Hoquin's going to make Derrick Lewis quit.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit has legit NFL-grade wrestling and Lewis has essentially none, having been out-grappled by much of the division. The host expects an immediate takedown and ground-and-pound, and believes Lewis — a known quitter in high-stakes fights — gives up once on his back.
- Medium confidence — Lewis is the hardest puncher in the division
- Hokit is hittable and must stick to grappling, not trade
- Win comes via ground-and-pound TKO in round one
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Josh Hockett to finish Derrick Lewis by ground and pound finish in the very first round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
- Lewis is knockout-or-bust, mostly early
- Hokit's pace and wrestling are the route to taking over
- Does not attach a specific finish method
“the depths of the ocean and drown him. I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Josh Hokit.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Picks Josh Hokit to win by first-round knockout; the video explicitly identifies the canonical Lewis–Hokit matchup.
“Derek Lewis against Josh Hockett. ... I believe Josh can knock him out with his speed in the first round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Drake Burden Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Jake Letarski Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Joe SunTszu Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Chris Olson Hit; Lightning MMA Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaren Kawada
Jaren Kawada
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Josh Hokit by KO/TKO. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Josh Hokit by KO/TKO. Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The W.A.D.E. Concept
The W.A.D.E. Concept
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Wade expects Hokit to lean on his elite wrestling rather than trade with Lewis's power — the only way he sees Lewis winning. The grappling wears down the older, slower Lewis, who tends to check out when tired, while Hokit mixes in ground-and-pound for a clean-sweep decision.
“pound and some other things. I think Josh Hokit's going to win. think it” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Wade expects Hokit to lean on his elite wrestling rather than trade with Lewis's power — the only way he sees Lewis winning. The grappling wears down the older, slower Lewis, who tends to check out when tired, while Hokit mixes in ground-and-pound for a clean-sweep decision.
“pound and some other things. I think Josh Hokit's going to win. think it” Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Travis Herrick MMA
Travis Herrick MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Herrick allows that Lewis always has one-shot knockout danger, but thinks nearly every other variable points to Hokit: youth, momentum, athleticism, speed, wrestling, grappling and footwork. He expects Hokit to hurt Lewis or finish him on the ground.
“I got Hok by finish.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Herrick allows that Lewis always has one-shot knockout danger, but thinks nearly every other variable points to Hokit: youth, momentum, athleticism, speed, wrestling, grappling and footwork. He expects Hokit to hurt Lewis or finish him on the ground.
“I got Hok by finish.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO He dismisses Lewis as a flat-footed puncher who flops around at range, and sees Hokit as the better athlete in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and fight IQ. He expects Hokit to melt Lewis on the fence or take him down for a first-round TKO; Lewis's only path is a fluke overhand.
“I'm picking Josh by round one TKO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| He dismisses Lewis as a flat-footed puncher who flops around at range, and sees Hokit as the better athlete in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and fight IQ. He expects Hokit to melt Lewis on the fence or take him down for a first-round TKO; Lewis's only path is a fluke overhand.
“I'm picking Josh by round one TKO.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists. “So, I'm going to go Josh Hoka by a first round knockout via ground and pound.” * The transcript identifies the matchup as Derrick Lewis versus Josh Barnett, not the canonical Derrick Lewis versus Josh Hokit bout; the candidate is retained but cannot be mapped across the matchup change. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists. “So, I'm going to go Josh Hoka by a first round knockout via ground and pound.” * The transcript identifies the matchup as Derrick Lewis versus Josh Barnett, not the canonical Derrick Lewis versus Josh Hokit bout; the candidate is retained but cannot be mapped across the matchup change. Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket. “Do. He's gonna chin Josh Hogit. But as the analyst, bro, I gotta pick Josh Hokit to win by second round TKO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R2 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket. “Do. He's gonna chin Josh Hogit. But as the analyst, bro, I gotta pick Josh Hokit to win by second round TKO.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Tracy argues the 40-something Lewis is old, fragile-chinned and prone to wilting and has only been beating cans, while Hokit is a fast-handed, ferocious, athletic small heavyweight whose avalanche pressure overwhelms opponents. He expects a quick blitz, like the Curtis Blaydes win.
“I think we're going to see Josh Hokit knock out Derrick Lewis in the first round.” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Tracy argues the 40-something Lewis is old, fragile-chinned and prone to wilting and has only been beating cans, while Hokit is a fast-handed, ferocious, athletic small heavyweight whose avalanche pressure overwhelms opponents. He expects a quick blitz, like the Curtis Blaydes win.
“I think we're going to see Josh Hokit knock out Derrick Lewis in the first round.” * An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week. Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Hokit ("Josh Hockett") puts a crazy pace on a fading, quit-prone Lewis, dominating top position and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO crumble. “I would have entertained the idea of a Derek Lewis upset KO, but I really think Josh Hockett has got this one in” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Hokit ("Josh Hockett") puts a crazy pace on a fading, quit-prone Lewis, dominating top position and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO crumble. “I would have entertained the idea of a Derek Lewis upset KO, but I really think Josh Hockett has got this one in” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card. “Josh Hoquin's going to make Derrick Lewis quit.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card. “Josh Hoquin's going to make Derrick Lewis quit.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Hokit has legit NFL-grade wrestling and Lewis has essentially none, having been out-grappled by much of the division. The host expects an immediate takedown and ground-and-pound, and believes Lewis — a known quitter in high-stakes fights — gives up once on his back.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Josh Hockett to finish Derrick Lewis by ground and pound finish in the very first round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Hokit has legit NFL-grade wrestling and Lewis has essentially none, having been out-grappled by much of the division. The host expects an immediate takedown and ground-and-pound, and believes Lewis — a known quitter in high-stakes fights — gives up once on his back.
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Josh Hockett to finish Derrick Lewis by ground and pound finish in the very first round.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jake Letarski
Jake Letarski
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 40 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
“the depths of the ocean and drown him. I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
“the depths of the ocean and drown him. I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Joe SunTszu
Joe SunTszu
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Josh Hokit. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Josh Hokit. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lightning MMA
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO Picks Josh Hokit to win by first-round knockout; the video explicitly identifies the canonical Lewis–Hokit matchup. “Derek Lewis against Josh Hockett. ... I believe Josh can knock him out with his speed in the first round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Picks Josh Hokit to win by first-round knockout; the video explicitly identifies the canonical Lewis–Hokit matchup. “Derek Lewis against Josh Hockett. ... I believe Josh can knock him out with his speed in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 5 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
18 of 18 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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