UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
RJ Harris defeats Alvin Hines by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
Harris vs Hines — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Harris stayed patient early, making reads rather than forcing the exchange.
A right hand backed Hines up and drew him into re-engaging.
Harris landed an uppercut that dropped Hines, then finished on the ground at 1:40.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Harris
Harris is the unbeaten finisher and the bigger, fresher man — a 6-foot-6 frame with a long reach, four of five wins inside the distance, and a surprising submission game (three subs) behind the boxing power that earned him 'The Hammer.' He steps up from a strong LFA run on the kind of short-notice momentum that has buried flat-footed heavyweights before.
Case for Hines
Hines has the one thing Harris does not: an Octagon round. He is a compact, composed heavyweight who makes simple, correct choices in the clinch and on top, and even his lone loss — a decision to Jhonata Diniz — proves he can survive UFC-level pressure into the later rounds, where a debutant's nerves and gas can betray him.
What We Were Watching For
- Debut nerves vs Octagon reps: Harris has zero UFC fights, Hines is 0-1 — thin experience on both sides, but who settles first?
- Two finishers in heavyweight gloves: one clean shot ends it — whose power lands first?
- Harris's reach and power against Hines's grappling: does Hines close the distance and drag it down, or eat the jab coming in?
- Cardio if it goes long: neither has been deep at this level — the third round is uncharted for both.
Records & career stats
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 7-1-0
- Not published
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 27
- Age
- 34
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 86%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 3
- Not published
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 01:40
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:20
- Sprawlin And Brawlin MMA
- Team
- La Bodega
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout.
“uh should land something big and put Hines away. So, we'll go RJ Harris”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines · KO/TKO
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call.
“Um I'm going to go with Alvin Hines here over RJ Harris.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger.
“three. Give me Alvin Hines to get this one done.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game.
“is bad. I'm going Hines. I'll say Hines by knockout, but I will not be putting”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling.
“cardio and he can wrestle. I'm expecting Alvin to move forward, not get knocked”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Analyst picks: AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout. “uh should land something big and put Hines away. So, we'll go RJ Harris” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout. “uh should land something big and put Hines away. So, we'll go RJ Harris” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Alvin Hines · KO/TKO Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call. “Um I'm going to go with Alvin Hines here over RJ Harris.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call. “Um I'm going to go with Alvin Hines here over RJ Harris.” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alvin Hines Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger. “three. Give me Alvin Hines to get this one done.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger. “three. Give me Alvin Hines to get this one done.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Alvin Hines Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game. “is bad. I'm going Hines. I'll say Hines by knockout, but I will not be putting” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game. “is bad. I'm going Hines. I'll say Hines by knockout, but I will not be putting” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Alvin Hines Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling. “cardio and he can wrestle. I'm expecting Alvin to move forward, not get knocked” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling. “cardio and he can wrestle. I'm expecting Alvin to move forward, not get knocked” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Only 1 of 5 called the upset.
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