UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Ezra Elliot defeats Damien Anderson by unanimous decision
Elliot vs Anderson — Featherweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Elliot's grappling and physicality shut down Anderson's offence from the opening bell.
He began opening up offensively in the second after establishing control.
More takedowns and control time in round three removed any route back for Anderson.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Elliot
Elliot arrives unbeaten at 7-0 with a finish in every professional win: five submissions and two knockouts. All seven recorded victories ended in the first round, giving him a clear early-finishing record on which to build his case.
Case for Anderson
Anderson is also unbeaten, 5-0, with four submission wins and one knockout. His five recorded wins all finished before the scorecards, including a kneebar and an inverted heel hook.
What We Were Watching For
- Two unbeaten featherweights: which fighter establishes the first sustained exchange?
- Submission records on both sides: Elliot has five recorded submission wins and Anderson four.
- Neither professional record contains a decision, so an early finish remains a meaningful historical trend.
- Anderson's documented finishes include a kneebar, an inverted heel hook and rear-naked chokes; Elliot's record includes five submission wins.
Records & career stats
- 0.4 0.47
- 65% 45%
- 0.47 0.4
- 100% 33%
- 100% 100%
- 7-0-0
- Record
- 5-0-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 26
- Age
- 29
- 183 cm
- Reach
- —
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 15:00
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 15:00
- Red Hawk Academy
- Team
- Simple Man Martial Arts, Ambush Muay Thai
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ezra Elliot · Dec
Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision
Picks Elliot's size and striking edge, expecting him to avoid Anderson's ground game and win mainly on the feet over three rounds.
“with Ezra Elliott to win this one though”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ezra Elliot · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision
Picks Elliot by second-round rear-naked choke, citing two more pro fights and, in his view, slightly more experienced opposition.
“I'll say second round rear naked choke for Ezra Elliot.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ezra Elliot · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision
Picks Elliot as the larger, more physical fighter, expecting his grappling to keep him safe from Anderson's submission threats and his aggression to create a TKO.
“I'm going to go with Ezra Elliott here over Damien Anderson.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damien Anderson · Sub
Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision
Picks Anderson by submission, arguing that Elliot repeatedly shoots and is likely to run into Anderson's more advanced jiu-jitsu.
“I got to pick Damen Anderson via submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Mike Finch Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ezra Elliot · Dec Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision Picks Elliot's size and striking edge, expecting him to avoid Anderson's ground game and win mainly on the feet over three rounds. “with Ezra Elliott to win this one though” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Elliot · Dec | Elliot · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Elliot's size and striking edge, expecting him to avoid Anderson's ground game and win mainly on the feet over three rounds. “with Ezra Elliott to win this one though” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Ezra Elliot · Sub · Round 2 Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision Picks Elliot by second-round rear-naked choke, citing two more pro fights and, in his view, slightly more experienced opposition. “I'll say second round rear naked choke for Ezra Elliot.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Elliot · Sub · R2 | Elliot · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Picks Elliot by second-round rear-naked choke, citing two more pro fights and, in his view, slightly more experienced opposition. “I'll say second round rear naked choke for Ezra Elliot.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Ezra Elliot · KO/TKO Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision Picks Elliot as the larger, more physical fighter, expecting his grappling to keep him safe from Anderson's submission threats and his aggression to create a TKO. “I'm going to go with Ezra Elliott here over Damien Anderson.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Elliot · KO/TKO | Elliot · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Elliot as the larger, more physical fighter, expecting his grappling to keep him safe from Anderson's submission threats and his aggression to create a TKO. “I'm going to go with Ezra Elliott here over Damien Anderson.” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mike Finch
Mike Finch
Current pick evidencePicked: Damien Anderson · Sub Fight result: Ezra Elliot · Decision Picks Anderson by submission, arguing that Elliot repeatedly shoots and is likely to run into Anderson's more advanced jiu-jitsu. “I got to pick Damen Anderson via submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Anderson · Sub | Elliot · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Anderson by submission, arguing that Elliot repeatedly shoots and is likely to run into Anderson's more advanced jiu-jitsu. “I got to pick Damen Anderson via submission.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
3 of 4 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.






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