Diego Ferreira defeats Billy Quarantillo by unanimous decision
Ferreira vs Quarantillo — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Ferreira produced the most significant-strike output of his career in the opening round.
He continued to build on that advantage in the second while Quarantillo kept pressing forward.
Ferreira controlled the third-round exchanges well enough to close out the unanimous decision.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Main Card Results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: The MMA Guru called it; TheWeasle called it; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; HopperoMMA perfect call; KennyOkoyeMMA called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; Michael Chiesa called it; Adam Martin called it; Marcel Dorff called it; MMAPREDICTIONGURU missed; Bedtime MMA missed; AJ missed.
10 of 13 nailed it · 1 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
The MMA Guru Analyst called 44 of 65 The MMA Guru: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Expects Ferreira to stop Quarantillo in the first or second round, so no single round is recorded.
Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks, 16 a perfect call.
TheWeasle Analyst called 34 of 48 TheWeasle: predicted Ferreira · Sub · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Sees Ferreira drop Quarantillo with an overhand and choke him out in the second.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 48 resolved picks, 14 a perfect call.
Half The Battle Analyst called 33 of 48 Half The Battle: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Picks Ferreira to beat Quarantillo, without a method.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 48 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Wants Ferreira by first-round knockout specifically.
Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 41 of 65 HopperoMMA: predicted Ferreira · Decision. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Perfect call.
Calls a unanimous decision for Ferreira.
Track record: winner called in 41 of 65 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
KennyOkoyeMMA Analyst called 22 of 28 KennyOkoyeMMA: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Goes with Ferreira partly on feel and partly on doubting Quarantillo's chin.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 28 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 44 of 62 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Ferreira · Sub · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Ferreira by second-round submission.
Track record: winner called in 44 of 62 resolved picks, 10 a perfect call.
Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter called 29 of 42 Michael Chiesa: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Goes with Ferreira without naming a method.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 42 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 14 of 17 Adam Martin: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Ferreira by knockout.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 13 of 16 Marcel Dorff: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Ferreira by second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 15 of 25 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: predicted Quarantillo · KO/TKO · R3. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Goes to Quarantillo for a third-round stoppage.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 25 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 67 of 99 Bedtime MMA: predicted Quarantillo · Decision. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Takes Quarantillo on the scorecards.
Track record: winner called in 67 of 99 resolved picks, 28 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 52 of 71 AJ: predicted Quarantillo · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Picks Quarantillo to knock Ferreira out.
Track record: winner called in 52 of 71 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 4.70 7.44
- 56% 43%
- 3.46 5.83
- 58% 61%
- 63% 72%
- 19-7-0
- Record
- 18-7-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:43
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 11:05
- Lightweight
- Weight classWeight
- Featherweight (moving up)
- Brazil
- Nationality
- United States
- Team Ferreira BJJ · Pharr, TX
- Team
- Gracie Tampa South
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Ferreira
Ferreira is the more efficient striker on paper — 4.70 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.46 absorbed, behind 56% striking defence. His opponent defends only 43% of what is thrown at him, and that defensive gap is the asset. Ferreira's 63% finish rate says he does not need the judges if the openings arrive early.
Case for Quarantillo
Quarantillo's 7.44 significant strikes per minute is far and away the highest figure in this matchup, and an 11:05 average fight time says he is comfortable holding that rate into the later rounds. He is not purely a striker either, adding 1.47 takedowns and 1.02 submission attempts per 15 minutes against Ferreira's 0.55, and his 72% finish rate is the better of the two. Ferreira has lost two of his last three, to Alexander Hernandez and Grant Dawson.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Quarantillo's 43% striking defence holds against an opponent who lands more than he absorbs.
- Ferreira's takedown defence, listed at 58%, against Quarantillo's 1.47 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- How each man looks late: Quarantillo averages 11:05 a fight, Ferreira 9:43.
- Whether two matching 2-3 runs produce a cautious fight or a reckless one.
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