UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan  10 Oct 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Francisco Prado defeats Ismael Bonfim by KO/TKO

Win Francisco Prado 13-5-0
Loss Ismael Bonfim 20-8-0
KO/TKO · punches

Round 1 · 4:23

Prado vs Bonfim — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Predictions summary

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Prado

Prado is 12-5-0 with six knockouts and six submissions among his 12 wins, and at 24 he is the younger fighter. He lands 3.68 significant strikes per minute and has a 0.76 submission average, which gives him more than one route to a finish. His recent form is the concern: he is 1-4 over his last five, with four straight decision losses, so the question is whether his finishing record travels to a full three rounds.

Case for Bonfim

Bonfim is 20-7-0 with nine knockouts, four submissions and seven decisions, and he lands 5.10 significant strikes per minute, the higher output of the two. His listed style is boxing, and his last win was a unanimous decision over Vinc Pichel in May 2024. He has since lost three straight by stoppage, most recently to Axel Sola by D'Arce choke in July 2026, so his durability against an opponent with 12 finishes is the open question.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Bonfim's 5.10 strikes landed per minute out-work Prado's 3.68.
  • Finishing against durability: Prado has 12 stoppage wins, while Bonfim has lost his last three fights inside the distance.
  • Form: both fighters are 1-4 over their last five, Prado with four straight decision losses and Bonfim with three straight stoppage losses.
  • Whether the fight reaches the mat: Prado has six submission wins, and Bonfim was submitted by Sola in July 2026.
Records & career stats
Prado vs Bonfim
Prado Bonfim
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.68 5.10
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 54% 63%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.31 3.96
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 40% 77%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 100% 65%
12-5-0
Record
20-7-0
1-4 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Argentina
Nationality
Brazil
24
Age
30
177.8 cm
Height — Prado leads
68.00 in
175.26 cm
Reach — Bonfim leads
71.50 in
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Prado leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
65%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Bonfim leads
9
6
Wins by submissionSub wins — Prado leads
4
3.68
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Bonfim leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.10
4.31
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Bonfim leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.96
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Bonfim leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
63%
40%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Bonfim leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
77%
13:11
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:46

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Billy Ward
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Billy Ward takes Francisco Prado on the moneyline after analyzing Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (4 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 30:53 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I think Pra finally snaps this losing streak and gets the biggest one of his career by round three knockout over Ishmael Bombfi”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Andy Lang
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Lang expects Prado’s energy and pressure to matter as Bonfim fades in the later rounds.

“Prado at +105 is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 17:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Angelo trusts Prado to fight hard for all 15 minutes and absorb damage. He thinks Bonfim may fold if he does not get early success.

“Francisco Praau is going to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Mate Bersenadze
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Francisco Prado as his personal pick by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Cooper Albers
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Cooper Albers picks Francisco Prado on the moneyline.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (6 calls)
Gabriel Sheehan
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Sheehan doubts Bonfim can sustain if an early finish fails and trusts Prado’s durability.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (6 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 14:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY picks Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

“so I'll go Francisco Pra i'll say second round KO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 14:37 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“early second round I reckon tko finish in the second round for the Argentinian Drew Dober Francisco Prada”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Burden picks Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 22:36 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“So I feel like by default I have to pick Francisco Praau”

* Believes Bonfim is more skilled but folds under adversity.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 38:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“francisco Prao via knockout is my official prediction”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 2:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by second-round TKO, at low confidence.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Anthony Marro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
MMA OddsBreaker
Hear it — 13:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm picking the underdog with Prado here yeah so am I we have because that's his dog we have two we have two on this card I think he knocks him out dude”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Nick Marro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 6:27 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“yeah let's just go Francisco on that one francisco by decision”

* Consensus pick settled on Prado by decision despite earlier backing of Bonfim

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA
Hear it — 16:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Artem MMA picks Francisco Prado, expecting a late finish, likely in round two or three, over Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Tim Edwards
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Edwards sides with Prado after weighing Bonfim’s durability and volatility, and names Prado moneyline as his best bet.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 12:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Marcel Dorff picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Adam Martin
Hear it — 13:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Adam Martin picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Mike Finch
Hear it — 27:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Finch picks Francisco Prado by TKO after discussing the miss-weight matchup; captions garble surnames, resolved against this bout’s scheduled pairing.

“I got Francisco Praau. I do think he's going to get this fight done via TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
PickemMMA
Hear it — 80:59 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“And I know a guy that wants a more Prao So I'm going to have to pick him to win here as a dog But like am I like super confident not really But I think he could low-key finish him in one of those later rounds like second round maybe”

* Not super confident; leans Prado due to Bonfim taking the fight on short notice and tending to wilt under pressure

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Lou Finocchiaro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

VSiN names Francisco Prado as the best bet for this event.

“UFC Vegas 122 Best Bet: Francisco Prado +100”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 28:06 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Round 1

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm gonna take Francisco Prao to get back on track and to do so in very impressive fashion I think he comes out here takes out all his pentup aggression on Islam and knocks him out in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
UFCharlesDoBronx
Hear it — 6:48 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“give me Francisco Praau by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (11 calls)
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Zain Bando
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Hear it — 21:28 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“give me Francisco Praau here at his new weight class to get this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (20 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 20:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda picks Francisco Prado, citing his durability and power advantage over Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Uselyis
Hear it — 8:19 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go proto by K.O”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Matthew Petela
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Petela picks Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Gerardo Rivas
Hear it — 5:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Gerardo Rivas selects Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim, saying he likes the Argentine and sees value.

“Argentine and I think there's value there because of what we discussed in the first part of this episode”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Drew Beaupre
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Francisco Prado as his pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 11:10 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm going with Francisco Prada versus Ismile or over Ismile Bomb Beam”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Matty Betss
Hear it — 35:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I love Francisco Prado here, dude. I'm so done betting on Ismael Bonfim”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Christopher Olson predicts Francisco Prado’s pace should break Ismael Bonfim; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Alexander K. Lee picks Francisco Prado to defeat Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Brandon K
Hear it — 49:23

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The Brandon K channel picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by submission in round two.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
FightStudy
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

FightStudy expects Prado’s hands to catch and finish Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Dan Tom
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Dan Tom selects Francisco Prado to finish in round 1 or 2; recorded as a winner pick without converting the round range to one method or round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (3 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:51 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go Bonfam my points”

* gut feeling

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
James Lynch
Hear it — 10:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

James Lynch picks Ismael Bonfim to beat Francisco Prado by decision. The speaker adds no bet; this is a betting hedge, not a change of pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Clenbat
Hear it — 6:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Clenbat goes with the experience and danger of Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Bert MMA
Hear it — 23:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Bert MMA's card recap has Ismael Bonfim winning by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Bonfim as the winner; no method or round is stated.

“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Bonfim”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Daniel Vreeland
Hear it — 29:11 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm gonna go bone fee, too.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 19:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight Productions leans on skill and takes Ismael Bonfim by decision over Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 14:35

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA sees the value on Ismael Bonfim and says he wins a decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Garrett Kerman
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article picks Ismael Bonfim by decision over Francisco Prado.

“I favor Bonfim by decision after mixing counters with timely grappling.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Schweppe picks Ismael Bonfim by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 30:58 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go Ismael Bon theme to beat Francisco Praau by unanimous decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Andrew Sumian
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Sumian picks Ismael Bonfim over Francisco Prado in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
MMA JAWN
Hear it — 12:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMA JAWN channel picks Ismael Bonfim to beat Francisco Prado. The speaker says he does not know exactly how it ends, so no method is recorded.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Jeff Fox
Hear it — 29:10 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'll go with bomb theme.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Josh Schonwald
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.

“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ismael Bonfim (-110)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (8 calls)
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Millz Young
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Millz Young names Francisco Prado as the slight side if selecting a winner, while treating the rounds over as the stronger play.

“Prado is the slight side if you want one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (5 calls)

Analyst picks: Billy Ward Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Andy Lang Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Cooper Albers Hit; Gabriel Sheehan Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Drake Burden Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Anthony Marro Hit; MMA OddsBreaker Hit; Nick Marro Hit; James Lynch Miss; Clenbat Miss; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Tim Edwards Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Mike Finch Hit; PickemMMA Hit; Lou Finocchiaro Hit; Bert MMA Miss; Half The Battle Hit; Jon Litterine Miss; Daniel Vreeland Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; UFCharlesDoBronx Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Garrett Kerman Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Zain Bando Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Uselyis Hit; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; MMA JAWN Miss; Gerardo Rivas Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Drew Beaupre Hit; Jeff Fox Miss; DON SMOKE MMA Hit; Matty Betss Hit; Chris Olson Hit; Alexander K. Lee Hit; Brandon K Hit; Josh Schonwald Miss; Chris White Miss; FightStudy Hit; Dan Tom Hit; Millz Young Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Billy Ward4 resolved calls
Billy Ward
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Billy Ward takes Francisco Prado on the moneyline after analyzing Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (4 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 30:53 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I think Pra finally snaps this losing streak and gets the biggest one of his career by round three knockout over Ishmael Bombfi”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R3Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Andy Lang10 resolved calls
Andy Lang
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Lang expects Prado’s energy and pressure to matter as Bonfim fades in the later rounds.

“Prado at +105 is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 17:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Angelo trusts Prado to fight hard for all 15 minutes and absorb damage. He thinks Bonfim may fold if he does not get early success.

“Francisco Praau is going to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Mate Bersenadze12 resolved calls
Mate Bersenadze
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Francisco Prado as his personal pick by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Cooper Albers6 resolved calls
Cooper Albers
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Cooper Albers picks Francisco Prado on the moneyline.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (6 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Gabriel Sheehan6 resolved calls
Gabriel Sheehan
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Sheehan doubts Bonfim can sustain if an early finish fails and trusts Prado’s durability.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (6 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 14:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY picks Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

“so I'll go Francisco Pra i'll say second round KO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 14:37 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“early second round I reckon tko finish in the second round for the Argentinian Drew Dober Francisco Prada”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Burden picks Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:51 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go Bonfam my points”

* gut feeling

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 22:36 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“So I feel like by default I have to pick Francisco Praau”

* Believes Bonfim is more skilled but folds under adversity.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett
Hear it — 38:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“francisco Prao via knockout is my official prediction”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 2:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by second-round TKO, at low confidence.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Anthony Marro11 resolved calls
Anthony Marro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
MMA OddsBreaker11 resolved calls
MMA OddsBreaker
Hear it — 13:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm picking the underdog with Prado here yeah so am I we have because that's his dog we have two we have two on this card I think he knocks him out dude”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Nick Marro11 resolved calls
Nick Marro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Francisco Prado by KO/TKO in round 2.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch
Hear it — 10:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

James Lynch picks Ismael Bonfim to beat Francisco Prado by decision. The speaker adds no bet; this is a betting hedge, not a change of pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Clenbat36 resolved calls
Clenbat
Hear it — 6:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Clenbat goes with the experience and danger of Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 6:27 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“yeah let's just go Francisco on that one francisco by decision”

* Consensus pick settled on Prado by decision despite earlier backing of Bonfim

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA
Hear it — 16:03

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Artem MMA picks Francisco Prado, expecting a late finish, likely in round two or three, over Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Tim Edwards10 resolved calls
Tim Edwards
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Edwards sides with Prado after weighing Bonfim’s durability and volatility, and names Prado moneyline as his best bet.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Marcel Dorff29 resolved calls
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 12:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Marcel Dorff picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Adam Martin40 resolved calls
Adam Martin
Hear it — 13:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Adam Martin picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch
Hear it — 27:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Finch picks Francisco Prado by TKO after discussing the miss-weight matchup; captions garble surnames, resolved against this bout’s scheduled pairing.

“I got Francisco Praau. I do think he's going to get this fight done via TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
PickemMMA21 resolved calls
PickemMMA
Hear it — 80:59 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“And I know a guy that wants a more Prao So I'm going to have to pick him to win here as a dog But like am I like super confident not really But I think he could low-key finish him in one of those later rounds like second round maybe”

* Not super confident; leans Prado due to Bonfim taking the fight on short notice and tending to wilt under pressure

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledMiss
Lou Finocchiaro7 resolved calls
Lou Finocchiaro
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

VSiN names Francisco Prado as the best bet for this event.

“UFC Vegas 122 Best Bet: Francisco Prado +100”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA
Hear it — 23:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Bert MMA's card recap has Ismael Bonfim winning by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 28:06 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Round 1

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm gonna take Francisco Prao to get back on track and to do so in very impressive fashion I think he comes out here takes out all his pentup aggression on Islam and knocks him out in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledHit
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Bonfim as the winner; no method or round is stated.

“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Bonfim”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Daniel Vreeland29 resolved calls
Daniel Vreeland
Hear it — 29:11 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm gonna go bone fee, too.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions
Hear it — 19:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight Productions leans on skill and takes Ismael Bonfim by decision over Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 14:35

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Walk The Line MMA sees the value on Ismael Bonfim and says he wins a decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
UFCharlesDoBronx11 resolved calls
UFCharlesDoBronx
Hear it — 6:48 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“give me Francisco Praau by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKOPrado · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Garrett Kerman13 resolved calls
Garrett Kerman
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Garrett Kerman’s pre-event ClutchPoints article picks Ismael Bonfim by decision over Francisco Prado.

“I favor Bonfim by decision after mixing counters with timely grappling.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Zain Bando23 resolved calls
Zain Bando
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.2% 12 11
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Schweppe picks Ismael Bonfim by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · KO/TKO · R1Prado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 30:58 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim · Dec

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go Ismael Bon theme to beat Francisco Praau by unanimous decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · DecPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)20 resolved calls
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Hear it — 21:28 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“give me Francisco Praau here at his new weight class to get this one done”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (20 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 20:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMA Yuda picks Francisco Prado, citing his durability and power advantage over Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis
Hear it — 8:19 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“i'm going to go proto by K.O”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Andrew Sumian23 resolved calls
Andrew Sumian
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Sumian picks Ismael Bonfim over Francisco Prado in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Matthew Petela23 resolved calls
Matthew Petela
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Petela picks Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls
MMA JAWN
Hear it — 12:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMA JAWN channel picks Ismael Bonfim to beat Francisco Prado. The speaker says he does not know exactly how it ends, so no method is recorded.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Gerardo Rivas15 resolved calls
Gerardo Rivas
Hear it — 5:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Gerardo Rivas selects Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim, saying he likes the Argentine and sees value.

“Argentine and I think there's value there because of what we discussed in the first part of this episode”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Francisco Prado.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Drew Beaupre11 resolved calls
Drew Beaupre
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Francisco Prado as his pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Jeff Fox11 resolved calls
Jeff Fox
Hear it — 29:10 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'll go with bomb theme.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DON SMOKE MMA18 resolved calls
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 11:10 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I'm going with Francisco Prada versus Ismile or over Ismile Bomb Beam”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Matty Betss9 resolved calls
Matty Betss
Hear it — 35:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

“I love Francisco Prado here, dude. I'm so done betting on Ismael Bonfim”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Christopher Olson predicts Francisco Prado’s pace should break Ismael Bonfim; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Alexander K. Lee picks Francisco Prado to defeat Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Brandon K23 resolved calls
Brandon K
Hear it — 49:23

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The Brandon K channel picks Francisco Prado to beat Ismael Bonfim by submission in round two.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · Sub · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitMissMiss
Josh Schonwald8 resolved calls
Josh Schonwald
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.

“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ismael Bonfim (-110)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (8 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris White35 resolved calls
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Ismael Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
FightStudy11 resolved calls
FightStudy
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

FightStudy expects Prado’s hands to catch and finish Bonfim.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
  • Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2Prado · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Dan Tom3 resolved calls
Dan Tom
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Francisco Prado

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Dan Tom selects Francisco Prado to finish in round 1 or 2; recorded as a winner pick without converting the round range to one method or round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (3 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Millz Young5 resolved calls
Millz Young
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ismael Bonfim

Fight result: Francisco Prado · KO/TKO

Millz Young names Francisco Prado as the slight side if selecting a winner, while treating the rounds over as the stronger play.

“Prado is the slight side if you want one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (5 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to winPrado · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

42 of 60 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Prado · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability ChatGPT put 51% on Prado.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
51% Prado
49% Bonfim
PickPrado · KO/TKO · R2ActualPrado · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
47% Prado
53% Bonfim
PickBonfim · DecisionActualPrado · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedHistoric market underdogMissHistoric market underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Historic market underdog: underdog call, miss
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
49% Prado
51% Bonfim
PickBonfim · DecisionActualPrado · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedHistoric market underdogMissHistoric market underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Historic market underdog: underdog call, miss
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 9 Oct, 1 day before the fight

2 of 3 models pick Bonfim

ChatGPT picks Prado; Claude and Gemini pick Bonfim.

Method mix differs most for Submission: 9% (Gemini) to 25% (Claude), a 16-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Prado by KO/TKO in round 2

    Win probability: Prado 51%, Bonfim 49%.

    gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct

    Low confidence

  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick Bonfim by decision

    Win probability: Prado 47%, Bonfim 53%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct

    Low confidence

  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick Bonfim by decision

    Win probability: Prado 49%, Bonfim 51%.

    Version not reported · 9 Oct

    Low confidence
More detail4 areas differ

The models differ on winner, finish method, round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 2——
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
RoundRound 2——

ChatGPT

Pick

Prado by KO/TKO in round 2

Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Prado 51%, Bonfim 49%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 37% overall: Prado 27%, Bonfim 10%
Submission, 13% overall: Prado 9%, Bonfim 4%
Decision, 50% overall: Prado 15%, Bonfim 35%

gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Bonfim by decision

Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Prado 47%, Bonfim 53%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 32% overall: Prado 17%, Bonfim 15%
Submission, 25% overall: Prado 10%, Bonfim 15%
Decision, 43% overall: Prado 20%, Bonfim 23%

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Bonfim by decision

Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Prado 49%, Bonfim 51%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 37% overall: Prado 25%, Bonfim 12%
Submission, 9% overall: Prado 5%, Bonfim 4%
Decision, 54% overall: Prado 19%, Bonfim 35%

Version not reported · 9 Oct50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.