UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje  14 Jun 2026 · Washington, D.C., US

Mauricio Ruffy defeats Michael Chandler by KO/TKO

Win Mauricio Ruffy 14-2-0
Loss Michael Chandler 23-11-0
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 4:29

Ruffy vs Chandler — Lightweight · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Ruffy and Chandler circled in the early going as Ruffy took his time to make reads.

Once Ruffy loosened up, an uppercut sent Chandler tumbling backward and spinning wheel kicks landed on Chandler's gloves.

With Chandler on his knees and reeling, Ruffy landed the finishing blows late in the first round.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Ruffy

One of the most explosive young strikers in the division — Ruffy announced himself with a viral spinning wheel-kick knockout of Bobby Green and has gone 4-1 in the UFC with the Fighting Nerds. He's fast, unpredictable and supremely confident, and a signature win over a name like Chandler is exactly the stage he's built for.

Case for Chandler

A former three-time Bellator champion with concussive power and a relentless wrestling-boxing blend — Chandler has shared the cage with the very best at 155 lb and never been an easy night for anyone. If he can close distance, land the overhand and put Ruffy on his back, his experience and physicality are a real problem.

What We Were Watching For

  • Chandler is 1-4 across his last five — is the chin and the timing still there, or is the slide real?
  • Ruffy's flash and creativity against Chandler's pressure and power — speed or violence?
  • Can Chandler's wrestling neutralise Ruffy's striking, or does he get drawn into a firefight?
  • A changing of the guard, or a veteran reminding the prospect how far he still has to go?
Records & career stats
Ruffy Chandler
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.93 3.91
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 59% 44%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.66 4.51
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 88% 62%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 92% 78%
13-2-0
Record
23-10-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Brazil
Nationality
USA
29
Age
40
1.80 m
Height — Ruffy leads
1.73 m
191 cm
Reach — Ruffy leads
180 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
92%
Finish rateFinish % — Ruffy leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
78%
13
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Ruffy leads
11
0
Wins by submissionSub wins — Chandler leads
7
3.93
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.91
3.66
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Ruffy leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.51
59%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ruffy leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
44%
88%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Ruffy leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
62%
07:56
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:14
Fighting Nerds · São Paulo
Team
Kill Cliff FC

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Jaren Kawada

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
The W.A.D.E. Concept

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Wade rates Ruffy as possibly one of the most talented strikers in the world, with size and reach edges, and is confident Chandler — who can't resist turning fights into brawls to please the crowd — invites exactly the firefight he shouldn't and gets brutally knocked out.

  • His pick for Fight of the Night
  • Hedge: if Chandler grapples early to tire Ruffy, it could differ
  • Chandler throws caution to the wind to entertain
“First round knockout for Mauricio Huofy.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Travis Herrick MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Herrick sees Chandler as a ceremonial underdog send-off more than a likely winner. He says Ruffy can be beaten, but only if Chandler suddenly makes disciplined wrestling decisions that Herrick does not trust him to make.

  • Thinks Chandler can win, but only through a low-trust upset path
  • Ruffy's danger and size are the bigger matchup truths
  • Medium confidence on the pick
“However, Ruffy did lose to Benois Saint Deni from majority from the wrestling and Chandler has an opportunity to do the funniest thing ever, do the same thing, get a big win on the White House card, but I just can't trust that he will. And that's why I'm going with Ruffy on this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (7 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

He calls Chandler washed and expects Ruffy to systematically break him down. Chandler may find early success with kicks and pressure, but as he loses composure and abandons the game plan, Ruffy counters with uppercuts, knees and straight rights and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third.

  • Chandler does okay early before fading
  • Ruffy's grappling is underrated — can reverse and land elbows
  • Expects a dominant third round and a TKO
“I'm going to say Mauricio Rufi by round three TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler's fight IQ won't let him wrestle on the White House card; he swings haymakers and gets flatlined by Ruffy's check left hook and right straight.

“He's going to go out there and swing haymakers and get flatlined by a right hand from Huffy and and that's the end of the show for Chandler. It's done after that. At that point, he should retire. If he gets flatline KO'ed by Mura Huy, he should just retire.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

AJ frames Ruffy as the obvious side: too precise, rangy and dangerous for a 40-year-old Chandler, who might clinch early but eventually gets destroyed on the feet.

“gets up and just destroys him on the feet. Chandler's getting knocked out. We're going Mauricio Ruffy by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Tracy says there's no need to overthink it: Chandler is old, inactive and washed off the worst performance of his career, while the younger, longer, faster Ruffy holds reach, height, speed and defence edges. He expects a jab-then-right-hand viral KO.

  • Reach (3.5in), height, youth, speed and defence edges for Ruffy
  • Even if taken down, Ruffy survives and gets back up to finish
  • Ruffy's grappling likely improved with Volkanovski
“Ruffy is going to knock Michael Chandler out — first or second round, a viral KO.”

* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Kasper MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout.

“I'm picking Ruffier to win this fight by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (18 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY says Ruffy will finish Chandler in the opening fight discussion.

“Ruffi. Ruffi's going to finish him, you know?”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler no longer has the strength game to control Ruffy ("Mauricio Huffy"), who finishes him violently on the feet.

“I'm going against Michael Chandler. Um, I'm taking Mauricio Huffy by brutal, disgusting, despicable palms up, slime out KO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Lucrative James names a Mauricio Rufty by knockout; the captioned identity is not safely mappable to Maurício Ruffy.

“At some point, Michael Chandler will get tired. At some point, the tides will turn. At some point, Mauricio Ruffy will land the kill shot. Head shot dead. My prediction is Mauricio Ruffy wins this fight via knockout in round one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout; the caption renders the surname as Ruotolo, while the surrounding matchup and provider chapter identify Ruffy.

“Give me Mauricio Ruotolo by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler will fight to entertain rather than wrestle, and Ruffy's big finishing power will smack him; one of the more confident picks on the card.

“Mauricio Ruffi's going to get the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

138 MMA acknowledges the rooting interest in Chandler but picks Ruffy.

“Ruffee probably wins this fight. I'm going to be honest with you.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Ruffy is one of the most precise strikers in the division after his KO of Fiziev, while the 40-year-old Chandler is hittable, droppable and coming off poor showings — even Pimblett out-struck him. The host expects Ruffy to counter Chandler's wild swings with a big shot.

  • High confidence; sees the UFC building Ruffy
  • Only path to a loss is if his grappling hasn't improved and Chandler leans on it
  • Likely retires Chandler
“with Mauricio Huffy to knock out Michael Chandler in the first round and probably retire Michael Chandler.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Jake Letarski

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Fight IQ with Von

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight IQ with Von picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout.

“My pick is Mauricio Rufi via KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Artem MMA predicts Mauricio Ruffy will win by knockout.

“I do think he's going to get it done by knockout over Michael Chandler”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Izzysdegenmind

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Izzysdegenmind picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout or TKO.

“Give me Mauricio Ruffi to win by knockout or TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (15 calls)
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

GypMMA leans Ruffy by knockout in the matchup section.

“I'm going to lean KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

The final Pure Picks recap selects Mauricio Ruffy by second-round knockout.

“Rufi, I'm going with round two knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by round-one KO; the transcript caption says Mauricio Rua in this matchup.

“vs. Michael Chandler. Mauricio Rua by round one KO. And let's hope it's a cold”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

All signs point toward Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout. He's precise, taller and longer with spinning kicks and flying knees and now trains with Volkanovski, while Chandler has lost five of his last six and taken a lot of damage.

  • Ruffy: precise, taller, longer, spinning and flying weapons, now at Volkanovski's camp
  • Chandler 5 losses in his last 6 — invokes the Tony Ferguson decline comparison
“All signs pointing towards Mauricio Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Levy thinks Ruffy can weather Chandler's early wrestling threat, punish Chandler's calf-kick vulnerability and eventually land upstairs. He calls for Ruffy to beat Chandler and knock him out.

“I'm going Mauricio Huffy”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Joe SunTszu

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
TankTopMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

TankTopMMA picks Ruffy to knock Chandler out in round one.

“I'm going to be picking Chandler to get knocked out by Hoofie in round number one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Uselyis explicitly selects Ruffy by KO.

“What I really like is Ruffee by KO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Lightning MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Michael Chandler · Dec

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Michael Chandler by decision.

“Michael Chandler against Mauricio Rafi or Rafi against Michael Chandler. We got to go with Michael Chandler. ... Chandler by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (14 calls)

Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Drake Burden Hit; James Blissett Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Jake Letarski Hit; Fight IQ with Von Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Izzysdegenmind Hit; GypMMA Hit; Pure Picks Hit; Aniki MMA Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Joe SunTszu Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; TankTopMMA Hit; Uselyis Hit; Chris Olson Hit; Lightning MMA Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Jaren Kawada11 resolved calls
Jaren Kawada

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
The W.A.D.E. Concept7 resolved calls
The W.A.D.E. Concept

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Wade rates Ruffy as possibly one of the most talented strikers in the world, with size and reach edges, and is confident Chandler — who can't resist turning fights into brawls to please the crowd — invites exactly the firefight he shouldn't and gets brutally knocked out.

  • His pick for Fight of the Night
  • Hedge: if Chandler grapples early to tire Ruffy, it could differ
  • Chandler throws caution to the wind to entertain
“First round knockout for Mauricio Huofy.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Travis Herrick MMA7 resolved calls
Travis Herrick MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Herrick sees Chandler as a ceremonial underdog send-off more than a likely winner. He says Ruffy can be beaten, but only if Chandler suddenly makes disciplined wrestling decisions that Herrick does not trust him to make.

  • Thinks Chandler can win, but only through a low-trust upset path
  • Ruffy's danger and size are the bigger matchup truths
  • Medium confidence on the pick
“However, Ruffy did lose to Benois Saint Deni from majority from the wrestling and Chandler has an opportunity to do the funniest thing ever, do the same thing, get a big win on the White House card, but I just can't trust that he will. And that's why I'm going with Ruffy on this one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (7 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

He calls Chandler washed and expects Ruffy to systematically break him down. Chandler may find early success with kicks and pressure, but as he loses composure and abandons the game plan, Ruffy counters with uppercuts, knees and straight rights and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third.

  • Chandler does okay early before fading
  • Ruffy's grappling is underrated — can reverse and land elbows
  • Expects a dominant third round and a TKO
“I'm going to say Mauricio Rufi by round three TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R3Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler's fight IQ won't let him wrestle on the White House card; he swings haymakers and gets flatlined by Ruffy's check left hook and right straight.

“He's going to go out there and swing haymakers and get flatlined by a right hand from Huffy and and that's the end of the show for Chandler. It's done after that. At that point, he should retire. If he gets flatline KO'ed by Mura Huy, he should just retire.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

AJ frames Ruffy as the obvious side: too precise, rangy and dangerous for a 40-year-old Chandler, who might clinch early but eventually gets destroyed on the feet.

“gets up and just destroys him on the feet. Chandler's getting knocked out. We're going Mauricio Ruffy by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Lucas Tracy53 resolved calls
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Tracy says there's no need to overthink it: Chandler is old, inactive and washed off the worst performance of his career, while the younger, longer, faster Ruffy holds reach, height, speed and defence edges. He expects a jab-then-right-hand viral KO.

  • Reach (3.5in), height, youth, speed and defence edges for Ruffy
  • Even if taken down, Ruffy survives and gets back up to finish
  • Ruffy's grappling likely improved with Volkanovski
“Ruffy is going to knock Michael Chandler out — first or second round, a viral KO.”

* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
View full track record (53 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Kasper MMA18 resolved calls
Kasper MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout.

“I'm picking Ruffier to win this fight by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
View full track record (18 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY says Ruffy will finish Chandler in the opening fight discussion.

“Ruffi. Ruffi's going to finish him, you know?”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler no longer has the strength game to control Ruffy ("Mauricio Huffy"), who finishes him violently on the feet.

“I'm going against Michael Chandler. Um, I'm taking Mauricio Huffy by brutal, disgusting, despicable palms up, slime out KO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Lucrative James names a Mauricio Rufty by knockout; the captioned identity is not safely mappable to Maurício Ruffy.

“At some point, Michael Chandler will get tired. At some point, the tides will turn. At some point, Mauricio Ruffy will land the kill shot. Head shot dead. My prediction is Mauricio Ruffy wins this fight via knockout in round one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout; the caption renders the surname as Ruotolo, while the surrounding matchup and provider chapter identify Ruffy.

“Give me Mauricio Ruotolo by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Chandler will fight to entertain rather than wrestle, and Ruffy's big finishing power will smack him; one of the more confident picks on the card.

“Mauricio Ruffi's going to get the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

138 MMA acknowledges the rooting interest in Chandler but picks Ruffy.

“Ruffee probably wins this fight. I'm going to be honest with you.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Ruffy is one of the most precise strikers in the division after his KO of Fiziev, while the 40-year-old Chandler is hittable, droppable and coming off poor showings — even Pimblett out-struck him. The host expects Ruffy to counter Chandler's wild swings with a big shot.

  • High confidence; sees the UFC building Ruffy
  • Only path to a loss is if his grappling hasn't improved and Chandler leans on it
  • Likely retires Chandler
“with Mauricio Huffy to knock out Michael Chandler in the first round and probably retire Michael Chandler.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Jake Letarski64 resolved calls
Jake Letarski

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Fight IQ with Von16 resolved calls
Fight IQ with Von

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight IQ with Von picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout.

“My pick is Mauricio Rufi via KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Artem MMA predicts Mauricio Ruffy will win by knockout.

“I do think he's going to get it done by knockout over Michael Chandler”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Izzysdegenmind15 resolved calls
Izzysdegenmind

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Izzysdegenmind picks Mauricio Ruffy by knockout or TKO.

“Give me Mauricio Ruffi to win by knockout or TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
View full track record (15 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
GypMMA17 resolved calls
GypMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

GypMMA leans Ruffy by knockout in the matchup section.

“I'm going to lean KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.8% 10 7
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (17 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Pure Picks29 resolved calls
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

The final Pure Picks recap selects Mauricio Ruffy by second-round knockout.

“Rufi, I'm going with round two knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R2Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
Aniki MMA19 resolved calls
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Mauricio Ruffy by round-one KO; the transcript caption says Mauricio Rua in this matchup.

“vs. Michael Chandler. Mauricio Rua by round one KO. And let's hope it's a cold”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Michael Bisping33 resolved calls
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

All signs point toward Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout. He's precise, taller and longer with spinning kicks and flying knees and now trains with Volkanovski, while Chandler has lost five of his last six and taken a lot of damage.

  • Ruffy: precise, taller, longer, spinning and flying weapons, now at Volkanovski's camp
  • Chandler 5 losses in his last 6 — invokes the Tony Ferguson decline comparison
“All signs pointing towards Mauricio Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Levy thinks Ruffy can weather Chandler's early wrestling threat, punish Chandler's calf-kick vulnerability and eventually land upstairs. He calls for Ruffy to beat Chandler and knock him out.

“I'm going Mauricio Huffy”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Joe SunTszu64 resolved calls
Joe SunTszu

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
TankTopMMA16 resolved calls
TankTopMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

TankTopMMA picks Ruffy to knock Chandler out in round one.

“I'm going to be picking Chandler to get knocked out by Hoofie in round number one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (16 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1Ruffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Uselyis explicitly selects Ruffy by KO.

“What I really like is Ruffee by KO”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Lightning MMA14 resolved calls
Lightning MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Michael Chandler · Dec

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Picks Michael Chandler by decision.

“Michael Chandler against Mauricio Rafi or Rafi against Michael Chandler. We got to go with Michael Chandler. ... Chandler by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (14 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 19.0%. Chandler · DecRuffy · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

31 of 32 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.