UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez  1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Uroš Medić defeats Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO

Win Uroš Medić 14-3-0
Loss Daniel Rodriguez 20-6-0
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · punches

Round 1 · 0:30

Medić vs Rodriguez — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Rodriguez opened with a hard low kick that swept Medic to a knee. Medic got up immediately.

Medic answered with a left hand that put Rodriguez on the canvas. He then followed Rodriguez down.

Medic finished with strikes in front of the home crowd at the 30-second mark.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Medić

Medić has finished all thirteen of his wins, and his last three came in the first round — Geoff Neal, Muslim Salikhov and Gilbert Urbina all folded inside 80 seconds. Fighting at home in Belgrade against an opponent who has been dropped before, he only needs one clean sequence.

Case for Rodriguez

Rodriguez is the more complete boxer, working behind a southpaw jab and a 65% finish rate of his own, and he is comfortable in long fights — 10 of his 25 bouts went to the judges. He out-pointed Kevin Holland and stopped Santiago Ponzinibbio in his last two, and if he survives the opening round the fight tilts toward his volume.

What We Were Watching For

  • The first five minutes — Medić has ended three straight fights inside 80 seconds, and Rodriguez has been stopped by strikes once, by Ian Machado Garry in 2023.
  • Whether either man can handle five rounds — neither has ever fought past the third, and this is a scheduled five-rounder for both.
  • Rodriguez's southpaw jab against Medić's tendency to load up on single power shots.
  • The Belgrade crowd — the first UFC card in Serbia, with a Serbian headliner.
Records & career stats
13-3-0
Record
20-5-0
3-1 last 4
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
Serbia
Nationality
United States
33
Age
39
1.85 m
Height
1.85 m
180 cm
Reach — Rodriguez leads
188 cm
Southpaw
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Southpaw
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
65%
—
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
9
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Rodriguez leads
4
5.77
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Rodriguez leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
7.19
3.4
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Medić leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.44
57%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
57%
56%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Rodriguez leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
64%
03:42
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
11:08
Kings MMA
Team
The Yard Muay Thai / BMF Ranch / Syndicate MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Livid Larry MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Livid Larry MMA picks Uroš Medić by knockout without committing to a specific round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
  • Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (28 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic's real KO power and finishing instinct over Rodriguez's volume boxing, and sees the lead-side front kick to the body bringing D-Rod's hands down for an uppercut.

“entertainment is really here for this card. And I think this main event is card. And I think this main event is going to be fireworks. I'm going to go going to be fireworks. I'm going to go with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, when I break down both of them, I think when I break down both of them, I think D-Rod, D-Rod, um, I don't know what people are um, I don't know what people are commenting on my video, but anyways, commenting on my video, but anyways, D-”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic's speed, timing and kickboxing well above Rodriguez's boxing, and thinks D-Rod gets lit up on the feet in front of a home crowd despite his durability.

“D-Rod, who's more than willing to oblige in a good back and forth war. And I in a good back and forth war. And I think he's going to pay for it. So, think he's going to pay for it. So, we're going Euros Medic in the main we're going Euros Medic in the main event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in main event. I think this card is eating main event. I think this card is eating some [&”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Called it a hard fight to pick and admitted a personal relationship with D-Rod, but went with Medic on explosiveness and fast starts, expecting him to bank big early rounds while conceding Rodriguez gets better the longer it goes.

“with them. I help them prepare. But this isn't that type of situation. As isn't that type of situation. As contradictory as this is, I'm going with contradictory as this is, I'm going with Erceg Medić. I just I just think that Erceg Medić. I just I just think that the he's going to win big rounds early. the he's going to win big rounds early. Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's hard fight for me to pick. hard fight for me to pick. But in this moment right ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Thinks Rodriguez's habit of lunging in and swinging from the waist walks him onto a Medic counter, and that Medic's body kicks plus his first-round finishing record end it early in front of a home crowd.

“over Navaho Sterling. That's what I think's going to happen. We move on. think's going to happen. We move on. Up the card. Up the card. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think he should be a minus 400 favorite, he should be a minus 400 favorite, though. though. Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty underdog to pick here and I don't really underdog to”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says Medic starts faster, is more athletic and hits harder, and that Rodriguez has been showing chin vulnerability lately, expecting an early finish rather than a distance fight.

“hope he doesn't blow out his gas tank, but I do think Yosmedic is the more but I do think Yosmedic is the more confident and comfortable pick for this. confident and comfortable pick for this. So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I think Yosmedic is going to finish him in think Yosmedic is going to finish him in this one. this one. And those are my picks for the card. If And those”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Sees a big speed and timing gap in Medic's favour, with Rodriguez at almost 40 charging in with his hands down, and expects Medic to slide out of range and land the left hand early.

“Euros gets back up and then finds a shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a round one knockout. He's too fast, too round one knockout. He's too fast, too explosive right now. He's he's at he's explosive right now. He's he's at he's he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, I feel like it'd be a fun story to see I feel like it'd be a fun sto”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Calls Medic a 100%-finish-rate killer with dynamite in his hands, and says Rodriguez at almost 40 has too much tread on the tires, pointing to him being badly hurt by a compromised Kevin Holland.

“think he's going to get knocked out in the first round. This isn't prison. Um the first round. This isn't prison. Um this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm going Erceg Medić to win this fight. going Erceg Medić to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first I'll take him to win this fight by first round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 fights for UFC Belgrade. It was a grind fights for UFC Belgrade. It w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic faster, more diverse and harder-hitting, and does not expect Rodriguez to land the takedowns that might change it.

“Uros is faster, he's more diverse, he hits harder. This honestly might be a hits harder. This honestly might be a bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just went through to get here, and they do went through to get here, and they do cheer for him winning or losing. Guys, cheer for him winni”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Leans heavily on Rodriguez's long layoff and reads him as a lesser version of Geoff Neal, whom Medic already knocked out. Expects Medic to rush him immediately in front of a wild Serbian crowd.

“knockout, then he might get knocked out himself. That's the type of fighter that himself. That's the type of fighter that Uroš Medić is. Uroš Medić is. But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to deliver a knockout or in the first round deliver a knockout or in the first round in front of Serbia against Daniel in front of Serbia against Daniel Rodriguez. I think this is going to be Rodriguez. I think this is going to be it for Uroš Medić. I really think this it ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says he would have picked Rodriguez if not for the prison layoff and the fight being in Serbia, but Medic's speed, front kicks and one-shot power tip it. Would not commit to a single round.

“I just think he's going to be more ready. ready. And um And um going to go Errol's first, second round going to go Errol's first, second round KO in this fight. KO in this fight. And I'll actually say it will be with a And I'll actually say it will be with a head kick. head kick. So there you have it, guys. It's the So there you have it, guys. It's the full card breakdown and predictions for full card breakdown and predictions for UFC Fight Night Menace versus Rodriguez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says both men will engage but D-Rod is the one who gets dropped; Medic is in his prime and has fought three times since Rodriguez last fought, coming into camp already in shape.

“he's building off these last few performances, whereas D Rod had to get performances, whereas D Rod had to get in shape at the start of his camp. So, I in shape at the start of his camp. So, I just see a lot of positives on the side just see a lot of positives on the side of Medić here, and I think he gets the of Medić here, and I think he gets the biggest win of his career in his first biggest win of his career in his first UFC main event. Next up in the light UFC main event. Next up in the lig”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Uros Medic by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Daniel Rodriguez

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Calls Medic a coin-flip fighter who is a defensive liability and says the price is far too short, so he takes the underdog, expecting Rodriguez to have the edge if the fight escapes the first round.

“cash at this number. So, yeah, again, I don't feel great about it because my guy don't feel great about it because my guy is 39 years old and just got out of is 39 years old and just got out of jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go with Daniel Rodriguez for this main with Daniel Rodriguez for this main event, being that the line is just way event, being that the line is just way off to me. off to me. >> Yeah. No, I mean, I'm not You're not >> Yeah.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)

Analyst picks: Livid Larry MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Jesse Holland Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Livid Larry MMA28 resolved calls
Livid Larry MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Livid Larry MMA picks Uroš Medić by knockout without committing to a specific round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
  • Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (28 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic's real KO power and finishing instinct over Rodriguez's volume boxing, and sees the lead-side front kick to the body bringing D-Rod's hands down for an uppercut.

“entertainment is really here for this card. And I think this main event is card. And I think this main event is going to be fireworks. I'm going to go going to be fireworks. I'm going to go with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, when I break down both of them, I think when I break down both of them, I think D-Rod, D-Rod, um, I don't know what people are um, I don't know what people are commenting on my video, but anyways, commenting on my video, but anyways, D-”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R2Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic's speed, timing and kickboxing well above Rodriguez's boxing, and thinks D-Rod gets lit up on the feet in front of a home crowd despite his durability.

“D-Rod, who's more than willing to oblige in a good back and forth war. And I in a good back and forth war. And I think he's going to pay for it. So, think he's going to pay for it. So, we're going Euros Medic in the main we're going Euros Medic in the main event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in main event. I think this card is eating main event. I think this card is eating some [&”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Called it a hard fight to pick and admitted a personal relationship with D-Rod, but went with Medic on explosiveness and fast starts, expecting him to bank big early rounds while conceding Rodriguez gets better the longer it goes.

“with them. I help them prepare. But this isn't that type of situation. As isn't that type of situation. As contradictory as this is, I'm going with contradictory as this is, I'm going with Erceg Medić. I just I just think that Erceg Medić. I just I just think that the he's going to win big rounds early. the he's going to win big rounds early. Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's hard fight for me to pick. hard fight for me to pick. But in this moment right ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to winMedić · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Thinks Rodriguez's habit of lunging in and swinging from the waist walks him onto a Medic counter, and that Medic's body kicks plus his first-round finishing record end it early in front of a home crowd.

“over Navaho Sterling. That's what I think's going to happen. We move on. think's going to happen. We move on. Up the card. Up the card. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think he should be a minus 400 favorite, he should be a minus 400 favorite, though. though. Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty underdog to pick here and I don't really underdog to”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says Medic starts faster, is more athletic and hits harder, and that Rodriguez has been showing chin vulnerability lately, expecting an early finish rather than a distance fight.

“hope he doesn't blow out his gas tank, but I do think Yosmedic is the more but I do think Yosmedic is the more confident and comfortable pick for this. confident and comfortable pick for this. So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I think Yosmedic is going to finish him in think Yosmedic is going to finish him in this one. this one. And those are my picks for the card. If And those”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Sees a big speed and timing gap in Medic's favour, with Rodriguez at almost 40 charging in with his hands down, and expects Medic to slide out of range and land the left hand early.

“Euros gets back up and then finds a shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a round one knockout. He's too fast, too round one knockout. He's too fast, too explosive right now. He's he's at he's explosive right now. He's he's at he's he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, I feel like it'd be a fun story to see I feel like it'd be a fun sto”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Calls Medic a 100%-finish-rate killer with dynamite in his hands, and says Rodriguez at almost 40 has too much tread on the tires, pointing to him being badly hurt by a compromised Kevin Holland.

“think he's going to get knocked out in the first round. This isn't prison. Um the first round. This isn't prison. Um this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm going Erceg Medić to win this fight. going Erceg Medić to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first I'll take him to win this fight by first round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 fights for UFC Belgrade. It was a grind fights for UFC Belgrade. It w”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Rates Medic faster, more diverse and harder-hitting, and does not expect Rodriguez to land the takedowns that might change it.

“Uros is faster, he's more diverse, he hits harder. This honestly might be a hits harder. This honestly might be a bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just went through to get here, and they do went through to get here, and they do cheer for him winning or losing. Guys, cheer for him winni”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to winMedić · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Leans heavily on Rodriguez's long layoff and reads him as a lesser version of Geoff Neal, whom Medic already knocked out. Expects Medic to rush him immediately in front of a wild Serbian crowd.

“knockout, then he might get knocked out himself. That's the type of fighter that himself. That's the type of fighter that Uroš Medić is. Uroš Medić is. But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to deliver a knockout or in the first round deliver a knockout or in the first round in front of Serbia against Daniel in front of Serbia against Daniel Rodriguez. I think this is going to be Rodriguez. I think this is going to be it for Uroš Medić. I really think this it ”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1Medić · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says he would have picked Rodriguez if not for the prison layoff and the fight being in Serbia, but Medic's speed, front kicks and one-shot power tip it. Would not commit to a single round.

“I just think he's going to be more ready. ready. And um And um going to go Errol's first, second round going to go Errol's first, second round KO in this fight. KO in this fight. And I'll actually say it will be with a And I'll actually say it will be with a head kick. head kick. So there you have it, guys. It's the So there you have it, guys. It's the full card breakdown and predictions for full card breakdown and predictions for UFC Fight Night Menace versus Rodriguez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
  • Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
  • Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
View full track record (69 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Says both men will engage but D-Rod is the one who gets dropped; Medic is in his prime and has fought three times since Rodriguez last fought, coming into camp already in shape.

“he's building off these last few performances, whereas D Rod had to get performances, whereas D Rod had to get in shape at the start of his camp. So, I in shape at the start of his camp. So, I just see a lot of positives on the side just see a lot of positives on the side of Medić here, and I think he gets the of Medić here, and I think he gets the biggest win of his career in his first biggest win of his career in his first UFC main event. Next up in the light UFC main event. Next up in the lig”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to winMedić · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Daniel Rodriguez

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Calls Medic a coin-flip fighter who is a defensive liability and says the price is far too short, so he takes the underdog, expecting Rodriguez to have the edge if the fight escapes the first round.

“cash at this number. So, yeah, again, I don't feel great about it because my guy don't feel great about it because my guy is 39 years old and just got out of is 39 years old and just got out of jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go with Daniel Rodriguez for this main with Daniel Rodriguez for this main event, being that the line is just way event, being that the line is just way off to me. off to me. >> Yeah. No, I mean, I'm not You're not >> Yeah.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Rodriguez · to winMedić · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

Fight result: Uroš Medić · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Uros Medic by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called

14 of 15 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.