UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates
Ian Machado Garry defeats Carlos Prates by Decision - Unanimous
Round 5 · 5:00
Machado Garry vs Prates · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Machado Garry was the more active fighter through the first three rounds, mixing his attacks and timing level changes to keep Prates off balance.
Prates took greater control in the fourth and pursued a finish down the stretch.
Machado Garry saw out the final round to earn the unanimous decision.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates — Main Card Results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Machado Garry
Garry's clearest route was to keep the fight long, use his footwork and kicks to make Prates reset, then score cleanly without getting trapped against the fence. His range management and takedown threat gave him ways to win minutes even when the Brazilian's power was present.
Case for Prates
Prates needed to turn the fight into a pocket battle and make Garry pay for every retreat. His power and pressure could change the fight with one clean connection, but he had to close distance without chasing into the taller fighter's counters.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Prates could force Garry into sustained pocket exchanges.
- How Garry's kicks and footwork shaped the five-round pace.
- Whether Garry's late defensive wrestling held up under Prates' finishing push.
Records & career stats
- 15-1-0
- Record
- 21-6-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Ireland
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 28
- Age
- —
- 1.91 m
- Height
- —
- 189 cm
- Reach
- —
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 47%
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
- 7
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- —
- 1
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- —
- 4.29
- Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- 2.59
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- 53%
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 71%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 15:37
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry
Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous
MMA Lock of the Night transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only).
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
- Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ian Machado Garry
Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous
AJ transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only).
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Carlos Prates
Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous
TheWeasle transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only).
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Carlos Prates
Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only).
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Analyst picks: MMA Lock of the Night Hit; TheWeasle Miss; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MMA Lock of the Night
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous MMA Lock of the Night transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Machado Garry · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMA Lock of the Night transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Track record: winner called in 73 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Carlos Prates Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous TheWeasle transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Prates · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| TheWeasle transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Ian Machado Garry Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous AJ transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Machado Garry · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| AJ transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Carlos Prates Fight result: Ian Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Prates · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| The MMA Guru transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
2 of 4 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.