UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld  8 Aug 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Ty Miller defeats Billy Ray Goff by KO/TKO

Win Ty Miller 8-0-0
Loss Billy Ray Goff 9-5-0
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 3 · 0:15

Miller vs Goff — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Miller defended Goff's early attempts to clinch and grapple.

He seized momentum late in the first and punished Goff throughout the second round.

The stoppage came 15 seconds into round three after Miller opened with a finishing combination.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Miller

Miller is 7-0 and has not lost as a professional, with three of those wins by knockout. At 74 inches tall with a 77.5-inch reach he holds four inches of height and five inches of reach over Goff, a large edge in a division where range usually decides who dictates the terms.

Case for Goff

Goff is 9-4 and carries the heavier finishing record into this one: seven of his nine wins came by knockout. He is 3-2 across his last five, and his most recent defeat came by guillotine choke against Ramiz Brahimaj — both the risk he has to manage and the reminder that this fight can end in a scramble rather than at range.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Goff can close a five-inch reach deficit without giving up the counter.
  • Whether Miller's unbeaten record has prepared him for the first time he is behind.
  • Goff's neck in a scramble: his most recent loss came by guillotine choke.
  • How the four-inch height difference shapes who decides where the fight happens.
Records & career stats
Miller vs Goff
Miller Goff
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 9.13 6.06
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 63% 51%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.90 7.29
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 92% 67%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 50% 78%
7-0-0
Record
9-4-0
4-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
United States
Nationality
United States
26
Age
28
1.88 m
Height — Miller leads
1.78 m
197 cm
Reach — Miller leads
184 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Switch
50%
Finish rateFinish % — Goff leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
78%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Goff leads
7
0
Wins by submissionSub wins
0
9.13
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Miller leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
6.06
3.90
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Miller leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
7.29
63%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Miller leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
51%
92%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Miller leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
67%
10:05
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:11
FIT NHB Albuquerque, NM
Team
Team Dexter Vale Tudo

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 11:12

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Takes Miller by knockout but hedges between a late first and a second round, so no round is recorded.

“it's not a necessarily super easy fight for Ty Miller, but I think he's going to win this one by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle
Hear it — 14:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Expects Miller to drop Goff with the right hand and finish him in the third.

“And Tai drops golf with the right hand, finishing him in the third round. So, I'm going to go with Tai Miller by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 34:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Makes Miller by knockout the official pick and explicitly leaves the round open.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 5:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Goes with Miller without naming a method.

“Definitely going to go with Ty Miller”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 17:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Calls a second-round stoppage for Miller.

“I'm going to say round two TKO for Tim Miller here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Picks Miller for the win with no method given.

“I'm going to go Ty Miller for the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 36:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Leans to a 30-27 decision, describing a striking master class for Miller.

“But I got to go Tai Miller. I think he uh I think he goes out there, puts on a clinic, busts up Billy Ray, maybe even gets a stoppage, but I'll lean towards decision here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 12:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Takes Miller but expects it to go to the scorecards rather than a finish.

“I'm going Miller. I'm going to take Miller to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 15:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Picks Miller on how hard he hits and the size advantage, without committing to a method.

“Ty Miller is going to be the pick though because of how hard he hits and how big he is.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 10:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Backs Miller to get the knockout inside the opening round.

“I'm going to go with Ty Miller to win this one by KO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Ty Miller by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 13:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Sees Miller's technique as clearly superior here.

“I think that Ty Miller is the guy with a lot more potential here. So, I respect Goff. He's a very, very tough guy. I see Tai Miller's technique being superior here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 11:12

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Takes Miller by knockout but hedges between a late first and a second round, so no round is recorded.

“it's not a necessarily super easy fight for Ty Miller, but I think he's going to win this one by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKOMiller · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle
Hear it — 14:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Expects Miller to drop Goff with the right hand and finish him in the third.

“And Tai drops golf with the right hand, finishing him in the third round. So, I'm going to go with Tai Miller by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R3Miller · KO/TKO R3HitHitHit
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 34:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Makes Miller by knockout the official pick and explicitly leaves the round open.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKOMiller · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 5:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Goes with Miller without naming a method.

“Definitely going to go with Ty Miller”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to winMiller · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 17:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Calls a second-round stoppage for Miller.

“I'm going to say round two TKO for Tim Miller here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R2Miller · KO/TKO R3HitHitMiss
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Picks Miller for the win with no method given.

“I'm going to go Ty Miller for the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to winMiller · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 36:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Leans to a 30-27 decision, describing a striking master class for Miller.

“But I got to go Tai Miller. I think he uh I think he goes out there, puts on a clinic, busts up Billy Ray, maybe even gets a stoppage, but I'll lean towards decision here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · DecMiller · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 12:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Takes Miller but expects it to go to the scorecards rather than a finish.

“I'm going Miller. I'm going to take Miller to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · DecMiller · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 15:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Picks Miller on how hard he hits and the size advantage, without committing to a method.

“Ty Miller is going to be the pick though because of how hard he hits and how big he is.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to winMiller · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 10:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Backs Miller to get the knockout inside the opening round.

“I'm going to go with Ty Miller to win this one by KO in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R1Miller · KO/TKO R3HitHitMiss
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller · Dec

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Ty Miller by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · DecMiller · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 13:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Ty Miller

Fight result: Ty Miller · KO/TKO

Sees Miller's technique as clearly superior here.

“I think that Ty Miller is the guy with a lot more potential here. So, I respect Goff. He's a very, very tough guy. I see Tai Miller's technique being superior here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to winMiller · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called

12 of 12 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.