UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman  18 Jul 2026 · Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, US

Fatima Kline defeats Tabatha Ricci by unanimous decision

Loss Tabatha Ricci 12-5-0
Win Fatima Kline 10-1-0
Watch the fight
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Ricci vs Kline — Women's Strawweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Kline out-struck Ricci from the opening bell and controlled where the fight took place.

Well-timed takedowns broke up Ricci's momentum each time she started to build it.

Strong takedown defence kept Ricci's own grappling from ever becoming a route back in.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Ricci

Ricci is the more battle-tested name and the better grappler in a pinch — judo entries, top control and enough boxing now to keep rounds close against ranked opposition like Ribas, Hill and Pennington. Her floor is high: even her losses to Jandiroba and Yan came on points against elite strawweights, not by stoppage.

Case for Kline

Kline is six years younger, riding a 4-1 run, and beat the same Angela Hill that Ricci did — only more fluidly. Her striking-to-grappling transitions are quicker, and if she wins the range exchanges she forces Ricci to chase the clinch instead of dictating it.

What We Were Watching For

  • Shared-opponent read: both beat Angela Hill — whose performance looked more like a level-up?
  • Ricci's judo against Kline's scrambles: can Kline stay off the mat, or does Ricci drag her into grappling rounds?
  • Kline's ceiling test: Ricci is the most credentialed opponent of her career — does the jump in level show?
  • Rounds, not finishes: neither finishes often, so control time and volume likely decide it on the cards.
Records & career stats
Ricci vs Kline
Ricci Kline
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.77 4.88
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 58% 62%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.79 2.46
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 54% 65%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 42% 56%
12-4-0
Record
9-1-0
3-2 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
Brazil
Nationality
United States
31
Age
25
1.55 m
Height — Kline leads
1.68 m
155 cm
Reach — Kline leads
170 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
42%
Finish rateFinish % — Kline leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
56%
2
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Kline leads
4
3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ricci leads
1
3.77
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Kline leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.88
4.79
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Kline leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.46
58%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Kline leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
62%
54%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Kline leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
65%
13:11
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:25
Paragon BJJ / Knuckleheadz Boxing
Team
MK Muay Thai

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

AJ Devito
Hear it — 39:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Picks Kline by unanimous decision, seeing her as the prospect with the tools to become a title contender.

“least, potentially of a world champion. So, I'm going for Teima Klein. Unanimous”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 23:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline's size, reach and range striking to do more damage over three rounds.

“Tabatha Ricci versus Fatima Kline. I'm going to go with Fatima Clan. She's a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline by decision, citing her current momentum and Ricci's recent struggles to establish takedowns.

“have price picks. But yeah, this one I like I said, Klein's going to win”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 30:10

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline's superior long-range striking and developing grappling over Ricci.

“go Fatima Klein here. And I think she gets it done by a decision. I could I”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 16:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline as the stronger all-around prospect, particularly in the striking exchanges.

“you know, and I'm I'm going Klein here. Klein is somebody I've had circled for a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 29:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Calls Kline the better striker, wrestler and grappler, and sees no route for the current version of Ricci to control her.

“even if she did, she's not winning this fight. Fatima is the pick. I think she's”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Oklahoma City X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Fatima Kline by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Half The Battle
Hear it — 18:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline to make a statement, praising her hunger, physicality and potential against Ricci.

“Ricci. I'm going Fatima Klein to make a statement Saturday night in Oklahoma”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)

Analyst picks: AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 39:11

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Picks Kline by unanimous decision, seeing her as the prospect with the tools to become a title contender.

“least, potentially of a world champion. So, I'm going for Teima Klein. Unanimous”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · DecKline · Dec R3HitHitNot called
The MMA Guru308 resolved calls
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 23:01

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline's size, reach and range striking to do more damage over three rounds.

“Tabatha Ricci versus Fatima Kline. I'm going to go with Fatima Clan. She's a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
  • Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
View full track record (308 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to winKline · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 9:20

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline by decision, citing her current momentum and Ricci's recent struggles to establish takedowns.

“have price picks. But yeah, this one I like I said, Klein's going to win”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · DecKline · Dec R3HitHitNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 30:10

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline's superior long-range striking and developing grappling over Ricci.

“go Fatima Klein here. And I think she gets it done by a decision. I could I”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to winKline · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 16:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline as the stronger all-around prospect, particularly in the striking exchanges.

“you know, and I'm I'm going Klein here. Klein is somebody I've had circled for a”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to winKline · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 29:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Calls Kline the better striker, wrestler and grappler, and sees no route for the current version of Ricci to control her.

“even if she did, she's not winning this fight. Fatima is the pick. I think she's”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to winKline · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline · Dec

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Oklahoma City X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Fatima Kline by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · DecKline · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle
Hear it — 18:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Fatima Kline

Fight result: Fatima Kline · Decision

Takes Kline to make a statement, praising her hunger, physicality and potential against Ricci.

“Ricci. I'm going Fatima Klein to make a statement Saturday night in Oklahoma”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to winKline · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called

8 of 8 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.