UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Sean Strickland defeats Khamzat Chimaev by split decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Chimaev vs Strickland — Middleweight Title Fight · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Chimaev controlled the opening frame with wrestling, but Strickland defended the next two takedown attempts and took top position in the second.
The third and fourth rounds were contested on the feet, with Chimaev landing heavier individual shots and Strickland answering with greater output.
Strickland edged the split decision, handing Chimaev the first professional loss of his career.
- Official UFC resultsUFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland — Main Card Results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Chimaev
Chimaev's championship route was the same one that carried him through the division: immediate level changes, mauling top pressure and enough front-foot offense to force Strickland into reactive defense. If he could win the first wrestling exchanges cleanly, the fight would tilt toward his pace and physicality.
Case for Strickland
Strickland's answer was attrition. He needed to stay upright often enough to drag Chimaev into long striking stretches, touch him with the jab for five rounds and force the champion to keep shooting without getting easy control time in return.
What We Were Watching For
- How much early control does Chimaev get from his first takedown sequences?
- Can Strickland's jab and stance discipline make the fight feel long instead of frantic?
- Which man is dictating the fence minutes: Chimaev with mat returns or Strickland with stubborn escapes?
Records & career stats
- 4.01 5.98
- 52% 61%
- 2.98 4.53
- 88% 69%
- 80% 52%
- 15-0-0
- Record
- 30-7-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- Russia
- Nationality
- United States
- 32
- Age
- 35
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 09:52
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 16:16
- TKMMA Fit, Akhmat MMA
- Team
- Millennia MMA, Rancho, CA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Chimaev's grappling is too much for Strickland to stop — a round-three submission, in the mould of Khabib–McGregor.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Chimaev's wrestling controls all five rounds for a 50-45 decision, à la the Du Plessis fight.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Backs Chimaev despite openly wanting Strickland to win — doesn't trust Strickland's takedown defence to keep him off the mat.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Khamzat Chimaev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match.
“So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Chimaev's wrestling is just too dominant; sees Strickland losing on control time.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction.
“I have to go with Khamzat Chimaev, unfortunately.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Chimaev shoots immediately, gets it to the floor and submits Strickland in the first.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brent Brookhouse on the selected winner by submission in round 1.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Khamzat Chimaev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Michael Iannone's FantasyAlarm UFC 328 preview picks Khamzat Chimaev by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Artem MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev to win.
“I’m going to pick Chimaev to win this fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brian Campbell on the selected winner by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Bisping has leaned Chimaev all week and, despite growing respect for Strickland's elite cardio, strength and ability to get back up, his gut still says Chimaev gets it done. He concedes he could be wrong and that the longer it goes the more it favours Strickland.
- A gut pick — admits he could be wrong
- Chimaev's one-shot power vs Strickland's five-round cardio
- Strickland's big weight cut flagged as a late-fight factor
“I think Khamzat Chimaev gets the job done.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Khamzat Chimaev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
DJ predicts a dominant Chimaev finish: Chimaev takes everybody down, and while Strickland has never been manhandled or out-grappled, DJ believes Chimaev can be the one to do it — via the submission game from dominant position rather than ground-and-pound.
- Predicts a dominant finish (method left unspecified)
- Chimaev out-grapples and takes everyone down
- Must manage his gas tank or fade late
“I am going to predict a finish for Khamzat Chimaev, and he's going to be dominant.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Khamzat Chimaev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Khamzat Chimaev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Shakiel Mahjouri on the selected winner by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
- Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Michael Mormile on the selected winner by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brandon Wise on the selected winner by submission in round 2.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
- Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
MMA Mania's Jesse Holland pre-event prediction selects the listed winner by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Kyle Anthony sees Chimaev's elite, top-notch wrestling, explosiveness and physicality as too much: Strickland gets stuck on the back foot defending takedowns instead of working his jab and volume, then takes risks getting up and gives up his back, where Chimaev finds the finish.
- Off the -590 moneyline, likes Chimaev by submission at +110
- Strickland has no power to scare Chimaev — death by accumulation
- Lost both Du Plessis fights where wrestling was a factor
“Getting off the minus-590 number, I do like Chimaev by submission, which is sitting at plus 110.”
* A betting handicap on WagerTalk's UFC 328 show.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Sean Strickland · KO/TKO · Round 4
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
Makes Strickland the value upset pick, arguing he has a clear striking edge, can punish Chimaev if the fight gets extended, and could finish late if Chimaev gets desperate.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Sean Strickland
Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision
RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Sean Strickland.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; Lucas Tracy Miss; The MMA Guru Miss; Drake Burden Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; 138 MMA Miss; HopperMMA Miss; Brent Brookhouse Miss; Jake Letarski Miss; Michael Iannone Miss; Artem MMA Miss; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; Brian Campbell Miss; Michael Bisping Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Demetrious Johnson Miss; Joe SunTszu Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Michael Mormile Miss; Brandon Wise Miss; Jesse Holland Miss; Chris Olson Hit; Kyle Anthony Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 3 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Chimaev's grappling is too much for Strickland to stop — a round-three submission, in the mould of Khabib–McGregor. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub · R3 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chimaev's grappling is too much for Strickland to stop — a round-three submission, in the mould of Khabib–McGregor. Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on. Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Lucas Tracy
Lucas Tracy
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Chimaev's wrestling controls all five rounds for a 50-45 decision, à la the Du Plessis fight. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chimaev's wrestling controls all five rounds for a 50-45 decision, à la the Du Plessis fight. Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Backs Chimaev despite openly wanting Strickland to win — doesn't trust Strickland's takedown defence to keep him off the mat. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Backs Chimaev despite openly wanting Strickland to win — doesn't trust Strickland's takedown defence to keep him off the mat. Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Khamzat Chimaev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Khamzat Chimaev. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match. “So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub · R1 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match. “So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Chimaev's wrestling is just too dominant; sees Strickland losing on control time. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chimaev's wrestling is just too dominant; sees Strickland losing on control time. Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
138 MMA
138 MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I have to go with Khamzat Chimaev, unfortunately.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I have to go with Khamzat Chimaev, unfortunately.” Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Chimaev shoots immediately, gets it to the floor and submits Strickland in the first. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub · R1 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chimaev shoots immediately, gets it to the floor and submits Strickland in the first. Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brent Brookhouse
Brent Brookhouse
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 1 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brent Brookhouse on the selected winner by submission in round 1. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub · R1 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brent Brookhouse on the selected winner by submission in round 1. Track record: winner called in 24 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jake Letarski
Jake Letarski
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Khamzat Chimaev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Khamzat Chimaev. Track record: winner called in 40 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Iannone
Michael Iannone
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Michael Iannone's FantasyAlarm UFC 328 preview picks Khamzat Chimaev by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Michael Iannone's FantasyAlarm UFC 328 preview picks Khamzat Chimaev by decision. Track record: winner called in 13 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Artem MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev to win. “I’m going to pick Chimaev to win this fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Artem MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev to win. “I’m going to pick Chimaev to win this fight.” Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Current pick evidencePicked: Sean Strickland · KO/TKO · Round 4 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Makes Strickland the value upset pick, arguing he has a clear striking edge, can punish Chimaev if the fight gets extended, and could finish late if Chimaev gets desperate. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 19.5%. Strickland · KO/TKO · R4 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Makes Strickland the value upset pick, arguing he has a clear striking edge, can punish Chimaev if the fight gets extended, and could finish late if Chimaev gets desperate.
Hear it — 69:46
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record →
Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brian Campbell
Brian Campbell
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brian Campbell on the selected winner by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brian Campbell on the selected winner by decision. Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Bisping
Michael Bisping
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Bisping has leaned Chimaev all week and, despite growing respect for Strickland's elite cardio, strength and ability to get back up, his gut still says Chimaev gets it done. He concedes he could be wrong and that the longer it goes the more it favours Strickland.
“I think Khamzat Chimaev gets the job done.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bisping has leaned Chimaev all week and, despite growing respect for Strickland's elite cardio, strength and ability to get back up, his gut still says Chimaev gets it done. He concedes he could be wrong and that the longer it goes the more it favours Strickland.
“I think Khamzat Chimaev gets the job done.” Track record: winner called in 19 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Khamzat Chimaev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Khamzat Chimaev. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Demetrious Johnson
Demetrious Johnson
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision DJ predicts a dominant Chimaev finish: Chimaev takes everybody down, and while Strickland has never been manhandled or out-grappled, DJ believes Chimaev can be the one to do it — via the submission game from dominant position rather than ground-and-pound.
“I am going to predict a finish for Khamzat Chimaev, and he's going to be dominant.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| DJ predicts a dominant Chimaev finish: Chimaev takes everybody down, and while Strickland has never been manhandled or out-grappled, DJ believes Chimaev can be the one to do it — via the submission game from dominant position rather than ground-and-pound.
“I am going to predict a finish for Khamzat Chimaev, and he's going to be dominant.” Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Joe SunTszu
Joe SunTszu
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Khamzat Chimaev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Khamzat Chimaev. Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Khamzat Chimaev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Khamzat Chimaev. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Shakiel Mahjouri
Shakiel Mahjouri
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Shakiel Mahjouri on the selected winner by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Shakiel Mahjouri on the selected winner by decision. Track record: winner called in 21 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Mormile
Michael Mormile
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Michael Mormile on the selected winner by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Michael Mormile on the selected winner by decision. Track record: winner called in 17 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brandon Wise
Brandon Wise
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · Round 2 Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brandon Wise on the selected winner by submission in round 2. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub · R2 | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brandon Wise on the selected winner by submission in round 2. Track record: winner called in 19 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Dec Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision MMA Mania's Jesse Holland pre-event prediction selects the listed winner by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Dec | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Mania's Jesse Holland pre-event prediction selects the listed winner by decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Sean Strickland Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Sean Strickland. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 19.5%. Strickland · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 328 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Sean Strickland. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kyle Anthony
Kyle Anthony
Current pick evidencePicked: Khamzat Chimaev · Sub Fight result: Sean Strickland · Decision Kyle Anthony sees Chimaev's elite, top-notch wrestling, explosiveness and physicality as too much: Strickland gets stuck on the back foot defending takedowns instead of working his jab and volume, then takes risks getting up and gives up his back, where Chimaev finds the finish.
“Getting off the minus-590 number, I do like Chimaev by submission, which is sitting at plus 110.” * A betting handicap on WagerTalk's UFC 328 show. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · Sub | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Kyle Anthony sees Chimaev's elite, top-notch wrestling, explosiveness and physicality as too much: Strickland gets stuck on the back foot defending takedowns instead of working his jab and volume, then takes risks getting up and gives up his back, where Chimaev finds the finish.
“Getting off the minus-590 number, I do like Chimaev by submission, which is sitting at plus 110.” * A betting handicap on WagerTalk's UFC 328 show. Track record: winner called in 2 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Only 2 of 26 called the upset.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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