UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Robert Valentin defeats Duško Todorović by Submission
Round 1 · 4:14
Todorović vs Valentin — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
The first round was a series of scrambles, and Valentin repeatedly found the dominant position. Todorovic tried to reverse position.
Todorovic left his neck exposed while attempting the reversal. Valentin locked up a high-elbow guillotine.
Todorovic tapped immediately at 4:14 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Todorović
Todorović fights at home in Belgrade and finishes 92% of his wins, most recently choking out Jose Medina in round one. He is the busier striker at 4.73 strikes a minute, which matters against a man whose striking defence sits at 33%.
Case for Valentin
Valentin is the more dangerous submission threat by a wide margin — a 1.78 submission average against Todorović's 0.35 — and he choked out Julien Leblanc inside one round in April. He does not need long stretches of offence; one scramble is enough.
What We Were Watching For
- Ground position — Valentin averages 1.78 submission attempts per fifteen minutes.
- Todorović's output against a 33% striking defence.
- Whether this reaches round two at all; both men finish over 90% of their wins.
- The home crowd behind Todorović on the first UFC card in Serbia.
Records & career stats
- 4.52 1.15
- 48% 33%
- 4.20 2.37
- 40% 52%
- 92% 91%
- 13-6-0
- Record
- 11-6-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- Serbia
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- 31
- Age
- 31
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 07:24
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 05:55
- Thunder Top Team
- Team
- Xtreme Couture - Las Vegas, NV
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Duško Todorović
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Frames it as a battle of two limited fighters and says Todorovic is the less bad one — he hits harder, kicks better and lets his hands go more, and Valentin loses his usual reach edge here.
“who's less worse. I think I think Dusko might be less worse or less bad Dusko might be less worse or less bad than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is my lock of the card. It's not an my lock of the card. It's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog, but it's”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Duško Todorović · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Takes the underdog: says Valentin has poor striking defence, roughly 50% takedown defence and looks bad off his back, while Todorovic is the more skilled fighter whose only real flaw is his chin.
“and get a TKO. But yeah, I mean, I think somebody's probably getting served. I somebody's probably getting served. I think that somebody's going to be think that somebody's going to be Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win this fight by second round TKO. this fight by second round TKO. Let's go. It's going to It's going to be Let's go. It's going to It's going to be good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going against Gilbert U”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Duško Todorović
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Dismisses both records but gives Todorovic the wrestling edge, thinks he can nullify Valentin on the ground and win the cardio battle, with his takedown threat opening up the striking.
“I expect that his wrestling could open up some striking and I just think he's up some striking and I just think he's the more well-rounded guy. the more well-rounded guy. So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic here in this fight. here in this fight. And another really random fight here, And another really random fight here, Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both these guys just trying to hang on for these guys ju”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Duško Todorović
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Treats it as a 50/50 fight where Valentin is KO-or-bust with almost no volume, so he takes the home fighter on the grappling edge and the plus-money price.
“And so, he's KO or bust. Valentin is KO or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not loving it, so I got Dusko. loving it, so I got Dusko. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. Uh moving on down, if you want question Uh moving on down, if you want question marks, you want a high volatility fight, marks, you want a high volatility fight, >> I got >> I got >> you're in the right place here, cuz >> you're in the right place here, cuz Velasco Seppo,”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin · Sub
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Calls Valentin the more dynamic and dangerous fighter and expects him to hurt Todorovic with a combination and then find a guillotine off a panic shot or take the back.
“gets is you're getting a middleweight prospect sliming you out cold on a prospect sliming you out cold on a pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go with Robert Valentine. I think he's with Robert Valentine. I think he's going to win this one by submission. I going to win this one by submission. I feel like overall he's just a little bit feel like overall he's just a little bit more dynamic. I feel like both of these more dynamic. I feel like both of thes”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Started leaning Todorovic then flipped live on air, citing Valentin's speed, kicks, elbows and jiu-jitsu edge and his low opinion of Todorovic.
“going to chop that lead leg down. That's what I'm thinking. The Valentine low what I'm thinking. The Valentine low kicks are going to cause problems for kicks are going to cause problems for Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My confidence as I talked about it with you confidence as I talked about it with you guys here is actually growing on guys here is actually growing on Valentine. The Zinc can told me my Valentine. The Zinc can told me my internal feel”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin · Round 1
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Says Todorovic is repeatedly KO-able, especially to elbows in tight and on clinch breaks with his chin up, and that Valentin is the nastier finisher with an early submission edge.
“but yeah, Vlasto Cepo's getting this one done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We move on. move on. Darko Stosic versus Robert Valentin I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I've I've been a believer in Robert I've I've been a believer in Robert Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you know, he had a fight where he lost his know, he had a fight where he lost his mom and then he has to go”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin · Dec
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Rates Valentin the more durable and dangerous striker with jiu-jitsu good enough to neutralise Todorovic's wrestling, and questions Todorovic's chin.
“Medina, man. Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't know with this fight, but I am going to know with this fight, but I am going to side with Robert Valentine. I like him. side with Robert Valentine. I like him. I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you know, he was emotional after this. You know, he was emotional after this. You know, I thi”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Calls Valentin the more durable man and expects his forward pressure, grinding and takedown mixing to get him on top — while saying he could not bet the fight either way.
“Robert Valentine is the pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Sees Todorovic as very beatable with never-great grappling, and expects the newly locked-in Valentin to skip the striking war, shoot a takedown and hunt a finish on the mat.
“I'm going to go with Robert Valentin by some in the first round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin · KO/TKO
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Robert Valentin by knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Robert Valentin
Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission
Says Todorovic is trending downward after knee injuries and is phoning in his camps, while Valentin is now training with elite guys in Vegas and can find an opening off a Todorovic mistake.
“I'm going to pick Robert Valentine to win this fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Miss; Andrew Richardson Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin · Sub Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Calls Valentin the more dynamic and dangerous fighter and expects him to hurt Todorovic with a combination and then find a guillotine off a panic shot or take the back. “gets is you're getting a middleweight prospect sliming you out cold on a prospect sliming you out cold on a pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go with Robert Valentine. I think he's with Robert Valentine. I think he's going to win this one by submission. I going to win this one by submission. I feel like overall he's just a little bit feel like overall he's just a little bit more dynamic. I feel like both of these more dynamic. I feel like both of thes” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · Sub | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Calls Valentin the more dynamic and dangerous fighter and expects him to hurt Todorovic with a combination and then find a guillotine off a panic shot or take the back. “gets is you're getting a middleweight prospect sliming you out cold on a prospect sliming you out cold on a pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go pay-per-view prelim. Uh I am going to go with Robert Valentine. I think he's with Robert Valentine. I think he's going to win this one by submission. I going to win this one by submission. I feel like overall he's just a little bit feel like overall he's just a little bit more dynamic. I feel like both of these more dynamic. I feel like both of thes” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Started leaning Todorovic then flipped live on air, citing Valentin's speed, kicks, elbows and jiu-jitsu edge and his low opinion of Todorovic. “going to chop that lead leg down. That's what I'm thinking. The Valentine low what I'm thinking. The Valentine low kicks are going to cause problems for kicks are going to cause problems for Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My confidence as I talked about it with you confidence as I talked about it with you guys here is actually growing on guys here is actually growing on Valentine. The Zinc can told me my Valentine. The Zinc can told me my internal feel” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Started leaning Todorovic then flipped live on air, citing Valentin's speed, kicks, elbows and jiu-jitsu edge and his low opinion of Todorovic. “going to chop that lead leg down. That's what I'm thinking. The Valentine low what I'm thinking. The Valentine low kicks are going to cause problems for kicks are going to cause problems for Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My confidence as I talked about it with you confidence as I talked about it with you guys here is actually growing on guys here is actually growing on Valentine. The Zinc can told me my Valentine. The Zinc can told me my internal feel” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin · Round 1 Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Says Todorovic is repeatedly KO-able, especially to elbows in tight and on clinch breaks with his chin up, and that Valentin is the nastier finisher with an early submission edge. “but yeah, Vlasto Cepo's getting this one done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We move on. move on. Darko Stosic versus Robert Valentin I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I've I've been a believer in Robert I've I've been a believer in Robert Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you know, he had a fight where he lost his know, he had a fight where he lost his mom and then he has to go” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
| Says Todorovic is repeatedly KO-able, especially to elbows in tight and on clinch breaks with his chin up, and that Valentin is the nastier finisher with an early submission edge. “but yeah, Vlasto Cepo's getting this one done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We done. I reckon he'll find a KO blow. We move on. move on. Darko Stosic versus Robert Valentin I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I'm going to go with Robert Valentin. I've I've been a believer in Robert I've I've been a believer in Robert Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you Valentin. Sometimes incorrectly, you know, he had a fight where he lost his know, he had a fight where he lost his mom and then he has to go” Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Duško Todorović Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Frames it as a battle of two limited fighters and says Todorovic is the less bad one — he hits harder, kicks better and lets his hands go more, and Valentin loses his usual reach edge here. “who's less worse. I think I think Dusko might be less worse or less bad Dusko might be less worse or less bad than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is my lock of the card. It's not an my lock of the card. It's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog, but it's” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Todorović · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Frames it as a battle of two limited fighters and says Todorovic is the less bad one — he hits harder, kicks better and lets his hands go more, and Valentin loses his usual reach edge here. “who's less worse. I think I think Dusko might be less worse or less bad Dusko might be less worse or less bad than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going than Robert Valentine. So, I'm going Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is Serbian gets it done in Serbia. This is my lock of the card. It's not an my lock of the card. It's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog lock cuz of course it's not an underdog, but it's” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin · Dec Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Rates Valentin the more durable and dangerous striker with jiu-jitsu good enough to neutralise Todorovic's wrestling, and questions Todorovic's chin. “Medina, man. Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't know with this fight, but I am going to know with this fight, but I am going to side with Robert Valentine. I like him. side with Robert Valentine. I like him. I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you know, he was emotional after this. You know, he was emotional after this. You know, I thi” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · Dec | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Rates Valentin the more durable and dangerous striker with jiu-jitsu good enough to neutralise Todorovic's wrestling, and questions Todorovic's chin. “Medina, man. Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't know with this fight, but I am going to know with this fight, but I am going to side with Robert Valentine. I like him. side with Robert Valentine. I like him. I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you know, he was emotional after this. You know, he was emotional after this. You know, I thi” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Duško Todorović · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Takes the underdog: says Valentin has poor striking defence, roughly 50% takedown defence and looks bad off his back, while Todorovic is the more skilled fighter whose only real flaw is his chin. “and get a TKO. But yeah, I mean, I think somebody's probably getting served. I somebody's probably getting served. I think that somebody's going to be think that somebody's going to be Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win this fight by second round TKO. this fight by second round TKO. Let's go. It's going to It's going to be Let's go. It's going to It's going to be good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going against Gilbert U” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Todorović · KO/TKO · R2 | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes the underdog: says Valentin has poor striking defence, roughly 50% takedown defence and looks bad off his back, while Todorovic is the more skilled fighter whose only real flaw is his chin. “and get a TKO. But yeah, I mean, I think somebody's probably getting served. I somebody's probably getting served. I think that somebody's going to be think that somebody's going to be Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win Valentin. Give me Dusko Todorovic to win this fight by second round TKO. this fight by second round TKO. Let's go. It's going to It's going to be Let's go. It's going to It's going to be good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going good. We got Vlasenko Chepko going against Gilbert U” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Calls Valentin the more durable man and expects his forward pressure, grinding and takedown mixing to get him on top — while saying he could not bet the fight either way. “Robert Valentine is the pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Calls Valentin the more durable man and expects his forward pressure, grinding and takedown mixing to get him on top — while saying he could not bet the fight either way. “Robert Valentine is the pick.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin · Sub · Round 1 Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Sees Todorovic as very beatable with never-great grappling, and expects the newly locked-in Valentin to skip the striking war, shoot a takedown and hunt a finish on the mat. “I'm going to go with Robert Valentin by some in the first round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · Sub · R1 | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Sees Todorovic as very beatable with never-great grappling, and expects the newly locked-in Valentin to skip the striking war, shoot a takedown and hunt a finish on the mat. “I'm going to go with Robert Valentin by some in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Current pick evidencePicked: Duško Todorović Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Dismisses both records but gives Todorovic the wrestling edge, thinks he can nullify Valentin on the ground and win the cardio battle, with his takedown threat opening up the striking. “I expect that his wrestling could open up some striking and I just think he's up some striking and I just think he's the more well-rounded guy. the more well-rounded guy. So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic here in this fight. here in this fight. And another really random fight here, And another really random fight here, Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both these guys just trying to hang on for these guys ju” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Todorović · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Dismisses both records but gives Todorovic the wrestling edge, thinks he can nullify Valentin on the ground and win the cardio battle, with his takedown threat opening up the striking. “I expect that his wrestling could open up some striking and I just think he's up some striking and I just think he's the more well-rounded guy. the more well-rounded guy. So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic So I'm going to go with Dusko Todorovic here in this fight. here in this fight. And another really random fight here, And another really random fight here, Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both Marcin Tybura Aleksandar Rakic. And both these guys just trying to hang on for these guys ju”
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Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin · KO/TKO Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Robert Valentin by knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · KO/TKO | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Robert Valentin by knockout. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The Battle
Current pick evidencePicked: Robert Valentin Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Says Todorovic is trending downward after knee injuries and is phoning in his camps, while Valentin is now training with elite guys in Vegas and can find an opening off a Todorovic mistake. “I'm going to pick Robert Valentine to win this fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Says Todorovic is trending downward after knee injuries and is phoning in his camps, while Valentin is now training with elite guys in Vegas and can find an opening off a Todorovic mistake. “I'm going to pick Robert Valentine to win this fight.” Track record: winner called in 55 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidencePicked: Duško Todorović Fight result: Robert Valentin · Submission Treats it as a 50/50 fight where Valentin is KO-or-bust with almost no volume, so he takes the home fighter on the grappling edge and the plus-money price. “And so, he's KO or bust. Valentin is KO or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not loving it, so I got Dusko. loving it, so I got Dusko. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. Uh moving on down, if you want question Uh moving on down, if you want question marks, you want a high volatility fight, marks, you want a high volatility fight, >> I got >> I got >> you're in the right place here, cuz >> you're in the right place here, cuz Velasco Seppo,” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Todorović · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Treats it as a 50/50 fight where Valentin is KO-or-bust with almost no volume, so he takes the home fighter on the grappling edge and the plus-money price. “And so, he's KO or bust. Valentin is KO or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not or bust, and at minus 160, I'm just not loving it, so I got Dusko. loving it, so I got Dusko. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. Uh moving on down, if you want question Uh moving on down, if you want question marks, you want a high volatility fight, marks, you want a high volatility fight, >> I got >> I got >> you're in the right place here, cuz >> you're in the right place here, cuz Velasco Seppo,” Track record: winner called in 19 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
8 of 12 nailed it.
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