Alexander Hernandez defeats Rafael Dos Anjos by KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:12
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Hernandez — Lightweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Dos Anjos looked sharp in the first round, giving Hernandez little space and landing shots throughout.
Hernandez wobbled him just before the horn and carried that momentum into the second.
He stung Dos Anjos early in the round and finished him just after the midpoint.
- primaryUFC 332 prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Rafael Dos Anjos
Dos Anjos brings veteran all-phase experience.
Case for Hernandez
Hernandez brings athletic pressure.
What We Were Watching For
- Veteran craft against pace.
- Who controls the clinch.
Records & career stats
- 3.48 4.23
- 60% 60%
- 3.25 4.4
- 55% 69%
- 50% 58%
- 32-17-0
- Record
- 18-9-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Source pending
- Brazil
- Nationality
- United States
- 41
- Age
- 34
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 14:22
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 10:15
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Rafael dos Anjos by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Picks dos Anjos by decision for his more technical striking, distance control, defense, composure and grappling. He acknowledges concerns about age, inactivity and the return to lightweight but believes dos Anjos can still win the minutes against Hernandez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Dos Anjos
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Rafael Dos Anjos.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Highlights Hernandez as his first betting opportunity because all tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors back him; discusses KO/TKO as a conditional alternative to the moneyline.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Expects Hernandez’s right cross to catch an aging dos Anjos and doubts dos Anjos can outwrestle him.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Tony Sink selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
- Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Livid Larry MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Bedtime expects Hernandez to attack dos Anjos’s lead leg with calf kicks in their southpaw matchup. He expects Hernandez’s movement to avoid the body kicks and make dos Anjos’s takedowns harder to complete. He also favors Hernandez’s conditioning against the older dos Anjos and picks a 30–27 decision rather than a knockout. He acknowledges that dos Anjos could still catch Hernandez in a submission.
“Uh, I think that Hernandez is going to win this fight. I think it's going to be a decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
He expects Hernandez to defend most of Dos Anjos's takedowns and use lateral movement and pressure to make RDA work going backward, where he says RDA's game is weaker. He also favors Hernandez's wrestling and athleticism and predicts a decision.
- He says Dos Anjos is more effective on top than while defending and working from bottom.
“And ultimately, I see him decisioning RDA.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Chiesa considers Dos Anjos' two-year layoff a major disadvantage against Hernandez' speed, explosiveness and technical ability. He expects Hernandez to finish inside the distance.
“I'm going with Alexander Hernandez.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Bodetti favors Hernandez’s youth, speed, power and athleticism against dos Anjos. He expects a straightforward decision, while questioning whether it will produce a useful fantasy score.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Favors Hernandez’s boxing but thinks dos Anjos is durable enough to avoid being finished.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Expects Hernandez’s blitzes and lateral footwork to catch dos Anjos, who may survive early trouble before Hernandez finishes him in round three.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Favors Hernandez to get an early stoppage. Doubts dos Anjos can return successfully after a lengthy layoff following his knee injury, and does not expect him to outgrapple Hernandez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 203 105
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 57 51
- Round Accuracy 32.4% 12 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Jake picks Alexander Hernandez by decision.
“Hernandez by decision, and Walker by”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Feely cites Hernandez’s athletic advantage and dos Anjos’s age and injury layoff. He predicts Hernandez can manage the fight over three rounds.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
HopperoMMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Favors Hernandez’s explosiveness, strength and speed, and thinks his grappling can stop dos Anjos’s grappling.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Lynch picks Hernandez by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
- Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 22 14
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Alexander Hernandez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Expects Hernandez’s power and comfort on the feet to capitalize on dos Anjos’s accumulated wear. Thinks Hernandez has improved since returning to lightweight.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Picks Hernandez despite reservations about his level and acknowledges that dos Anjos could still win.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Expects Hernandez’s counter offense to catch an advancing dos Anjos returning from a long layoff. Predicts a second-round knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Litterine selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fight Productions selects Alexander Hernandez by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects Alexander Hernandez by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Fades dos Anjos’s age, two-year layoff and major knee injury against Hernandez’s explosiveness.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks Alexander Hernandez to win by first-round knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Expects Hernandez to win but thinks dos Anjos’s ability to trade will command enough respect to prevent a stoppage.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Alexander Hernandez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec
Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO
Chris Cross picks Alexander Hernandez to win by decision, expecting him to keep the fight standing and win two rounds.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Analyst picks: UFC Predictions Tracker Hit; Hank Hit; Tony Sink Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Livid Larry MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Matt Hit; Fite Feed Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Tom Feely Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; James Lynch Hit; Clenbat Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Artem MMA Hit; The Octagon Oracle Hit; BeewolfMMA Hit; mmadbm Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Walk The Line MMA Miss; The Finz Chats Hit; D.Rose Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Vinny Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Chris Cross Hit.
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UFC Predictions Tracker
UFC Predictions Tracker
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Highlights Hernandez as his first betting opportunity because all tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors back him; discusses KO/TKO as a conditional alternative to the moneyline. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Highlights Hernandez as his first betting opportunity because all tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors back him; discusses KO/TKO as a conditional alternative to the moneyline. Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Hank
Hank
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Expects Hernandez’s right cross to catch an aging dos Anjos and doubts dos Anjos can outwrestle him. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Expects Hernandez’s right cross to catch an aging dos Anjos and doubts dos Anjos can outwrestle him. Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tony Sink
Tony Sink
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Tony Sink selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Tony Sink selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Track record: winner called in 21 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Livid Larry MMA
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Livid Larry MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Livid Larry MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko. Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Bedtime expects Hernandez to attack dos Anjos’s lead leg with calf kicks in their southpaw matchup. He expects Hernandez’s movement to avoid the body kicks and make dos Anjos’s takedowns harder to complete. He also favors Hernandez’s conditioning against the older dos Anjos and picks a 30–27 decision rather than a knockout. He acknowledges that dos Anjos could still catch Hernandez in a submission. “Uh, I think that Hernandez is going to win this fight. I think it's going to be a decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Bedtime expects Hernandez to attack dos Anjos’s lead leg with calf kicks in their southpaw matchup. He expects Hernandez’s movement to avoid the body kicks and make dos Anjos’s takedowns harder to complete. He also favors Hernandez’s conditioning against the older dos Anjos and picks a 30–27 decision rather than a knockout. He acknowledges that dos Anjos could still catch Hernandez in a submission. “Uh, I think that Hernandez is going to win this fight. I think it's going to be a decision.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasle
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO He expects Hernandez to defend most of Dos Anjos's takedowns and use lateral movement and pressure to make RDA work going backward, where he says RDA's game is weaker. He also favors Hernandez's wrestling and athleticism and predicts a decision.
“And ultimately, I see him decisioning RDA.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| He expects Hernandez to defend most of Dos Anjos's takedowns and use lateral movement and pressure to make RDA work going backward, where he says RDA's game is weaker. He also favors Hernandez's wrestling and athleticism and predicts a decision.
“And ultimately, I see him decisioning RDA.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Chiesa considers Dos Anjos' two-year layoff a major disadvantage against Hernandez' speed, explosiveness and technical ability. He expects Hernandez to finish inside the distance. “I'm going with Alexander Hernandez.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Chiesa considers Dos Anjos' two-year layoff a major disadvantage against Hernandez' speed, explosiveness and technical ability. He expects Hernandez to finish inside the distance. “I'm going with Alexander Hernandez.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Angelo Bodetti
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Bodetti favors Hernandez’s youth, speed, power and athleticism against dos Anjos. He expects a straightforward decision, while questioning whether it will produce a useful fantasy score. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Bodetti favors Hernandez’s youth, speed, power and athleticism against dos Anjos. He expects a straightforward decision, while questioning whether it will produce a useful fantasy score. Track record: winner called in 24 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matt
Matt
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Favors Hernandez’s boxing but thinks dos Anjos is durable enough to avoid being finished. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Favors Hernandez’s boxing but thinks dos Anjos is durable enough to avoid being finished. Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fite Feed
Fite Feed
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Expects Hernandez’s blitzes and lateral footwork to catch dos Anjos, who may survive early trouble before Hernandez finishes him in round three. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R3 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Expects Hernandez’s blitzes and lateral footwork to catch dos Anjos, who may survive early trouble before Hernandez finishes him in round three. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Favors Hernandez to get an early stoppage. Doubts dos Anjos can return successfully after a lengthy layoff following his knee injury, and does not expect him to outgrapple Hernandez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Favors Hernandez to get an early stoppage. Doubts dos Anjos can return successfully after a lengthy layoff following his knee injury, and does not expect him to outgrapple Hernandez. Track record: winner called in 203 of 308 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Jake picks Alexander Hernandez by decision. “Hernandez by decision, and Walker by” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Jake picks Alexander Hernandez by decision. “Hernandez by decision, and Walker by” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tom Feely
Tom Feely
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Feely cites Hernandez’s athletic advantage and dos Anjos’s age and injury layoff. He predicts Hernandez can manage the fight over three rounds. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Feely cites Hernandez’s athletic advantage and dos Anjos’s age and injury layoff. He predicts Hernandez can manage the fight over three rounds. Track record: winner called in 13 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO KingofCrackdown5095 picks Rafael dos Anjos by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Anjos · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 picks Rafael dos Anjos by decision. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kunath
Kunath
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Kunath selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Kunath selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO HopperoMMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| HopperoMMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Picks with the Geek 2
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Favors Hernandez’s explosiveness, strength and speed, and thinks his grappling can stop dos Anjos’s grappling. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Hernandez’s explosiveness, strength and speed, and thinks his grappling can stop dos Anjos’s grappling. Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Lynch
James Lynch
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Lynch picks Hernandez by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Lynch picks Hernandez by decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 44 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
Clenbat
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Clenbat selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 22 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Mathletes
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO MMA Mathletes selects Alexander Hernandez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMA Mathletes selects Alexander Hernandez. Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Expects Hernandez’s power and comfort on the feet to capitalize on dos Anjos’s accumulated wear. Thinks Hernandez has improved since returning to lightweight. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Hernandez’s power and comfort on the feet to capitalize on dos Anjos’s accumulated wear. Thinks Hernandez has improved since returning to lightweight. Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Octagon Oracle
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Picks Hernandez despite reservations about his level and acknowledges that dos Anjos could still win. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Hernandez despite reservations about his level and acknowledges that dos Anjos could still win. Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BeewolfMMA
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Expects Hernandez’s counter offense to catch an advancing dos Anjos returning from a long layoff. Predicts a second-round knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R2 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Expects Hernandez’s counter offense to catch an advancing dos Anjos returning from a long layoff. Predicts a second-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
mmadbm
mmadbm
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Picks dos Anjos by decision for his more technical striking, distance control, defense, composure and grappling. He acknowledges concerns about age, inactivity and the return to lightweight but believes dos Anjos can still win the minutes against Hernandez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Anjos · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks dos Anjos by decision for his more technical striking, distance control, defense, composure and grappling. He acknowledges concerns about age, inactivity and the return to lightweight but believes dos Anjos can still win the minutes against Hernandez. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Litterine selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Litterine selects Alexander Hernandez in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fight Productions selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Fight Productions selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Dos Anjos Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Walk The Line MMA selects Rafael Dos Anjos. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Anjos · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Walk The Line MMA selects Rafael Dos Anjos. Track record: winner called in 18 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Finz Chats
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO The Finz Chats selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| The Finz Chats selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
D.Rose
D.Rose
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Fades dos Anjos’s age, two-year layoff and major knee injury against Hernandez’s explosiveness. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Fades dos Anjos’s age, two-year layoff and major knee injury against Hernandez’s explosiveness. Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Schweppe picks Alexander Hernandez to win by first-round knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Schweppe picks Alexander Hernandez to win by first-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO · Round 1 Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Greedo Plays MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Greedo Plays MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Vinny
Vinny
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Expects Hernandez to win but thinks dos Anjos’s ability to trade will command enough respect to prevent a stoppage. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects Hernandez to win but thinks dos Anjos’s ability to trade will command enough respect to prevent a stoppage. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO The MMA Yuda selects Alexander Hernandez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMA Yuda selects Alexander Hernandez. Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Cross
Chris Cross
Current pick evidencePicked: Alexander Hernandez · Dec Fight result: Alexander Hernandez · KO/TKO Chris Cross picks Alexander Hernandez to win by decision, expecting him to keep the fight standing and win two rounds. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Chris Cross picks Alexander Hernandez to win by decision, expecting him to keep the fight standing and win two rounds. Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
32 of 35 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Hernandez · KO/TKO · R2
Closest probability Gemini put 67% on Hernandez.
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 29 Sep, 4 days before the fight
All 3 models pick Hernandez
They differ on how the fight ends, with win chances from 62% (Claude) to 67% (Gemini).
Method mix differs most for KO/TKO: 27% (Gemini) to 40% (Claude), a 13-point range.
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ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Hernandez by decision
Win probability: Anjos 34%, Hernandez 66%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Hernandez by KO/TKO in round 2
Win probability: Anjos 38%, Hernandez 62%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Hernandez by decision
Win probability: Anjos 33%, Hernandez 67%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail3 areas differ
The models differ on finish method, round timing, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | Round 2 | — |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | Round 2 | — |
ChatGPT
Pick
Hernandez by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Hernandez by KO/TKO in round 2
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Hernandez by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
Version not reported · 29 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
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