UFC betting channel publishing full-card breakdowns, predictions and prop analysis.
DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗Scorecard
Called 60 of 88 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner 60 28
-
Method
32 19 9 28
-
Round
11 16 33 28
of 83 picks with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss Never called Winner missed
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price.
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner 5 6
-
Method
3 2 6
-
Round
1 2 2 6
of 11 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Orolbai · Sub · R3 | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Expects Orolbai's strength and grappling to wear Wells down before a late submission; flags Wells's takedown defense and cardio. | |||||
| DOG Gore · Sub · R2 | Gore · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Expects a competitive opening before a sloppy Luque takedown lets Gore catch a guillotine. | |||||
| FAV Fernando · Dec | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Rates Fernando as the better all-round fighter, especially at range and to the body, with more proven competition. | |||||
| FAV Brahimaj · Sub · R1 | Magny · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sees Brahimaj's early submission threat as the path before his cardio becomes a factor. | |||||
| FAV Johnson · KO/TKO · R1 | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
After correcting an earlier captioned slip, explicitly settles on Johnson by first-round knockout. | |||||
| DOG Fernandes · KO/TKO · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Fernandes's leg kicks and durability against Turner's cardio and recent finishing losses. | |||||
| FAV Álvarez · Dec | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Álvarez as more reliable under adversity and ultimately selects a decision despite acknowledging multiple methods are possible. | |||||
| FAV Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2 | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Abdul-Malik's athleticism and striking over Stoltzfus's defense, while noting concern over Abdul-Malik's urgency. | |||||
| FAV Ribovics · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Expects Ribovics's pressure and chin to exploit Barboza's declining durability. | |||||
| FAV Dern · Dec | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Gives Dern a pronounced striking and grappling edge, while allowing that several methods are possible. | |||||
| DOG Machado Garry · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Garry a live major underdog based on his range, striking, takedown defense and ability to stand back up. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner 8 2
-
Method
4 4 2
-
Round
2 4 2 2
of 9 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOG Gamrot · Dec | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Gamrot to win a decision. | |||||
| FAV Ferreira · KO/TKO · R1 | Ferreira · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Wants Ferreira by first-round knockout specifically. | |||||
| FAV del Valle · KO/TKO · R1 | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Calls this the easiest matchup on the card for the favourite and wants the first-round knockout specifically. | |||||
| FAV Miller · Dec | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Miller but expects it to go to the scorecards rather than a finish. | |||||
| FAV Thainara · Dec | Thainara · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Thainara on the scorecards. | |||||
| FAV Sutherland · Dec | Montanha · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Sutherland the rightful favourite and takes him by decision. | |||||
| FAV Nurgozhay · KO/TKO · R1 | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Wants Nurgozhay by first-round knockout. | |||||
| FAV Asplund · KO/TKO · R2 | Asplund · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Takes Asplund by second-round knockout. | |||||
| FAV Sousa · KO/TKO · R2 | Sousa · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Takes Sousa by second-round knockout. | |||||
| Miller · Sub · R1 | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Takes Miller by first-round submission. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner 5 3
-
Method
3 2 3
-
Round
1 1 3 3
of 8 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Medić · KO/TKO · R1 | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Calls Medic a 100%-finish-rate killer with dynamite in his hands, and says Rodriguez at almost 40 has too much tread on the tires, pointing to him being badly hurt by a compromised Kevin Holland. | |||||
| FAV Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Not in love with Stirling and criticises his fight IQ against Cutelaba, but the 15-year age gap, higher volume, speed, cardio and takedown defence beat a 43-year-old, damaged Blachowicz. | |||||
| FAV Rakić · Dec | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Frames it as the battle of who is least washed — Rakic has not won in five years, but he is the more skilled striker with better takedown defence against a Tybura who looks horrible. | |||||
| DOG Todorović · KO/TKO · R2 | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes the underdog: says Valentin has poor striking defence, roughly 50% takedown defence and looks bad off his back, while Todorovic is the more skilled fighter whose only real flaw is his chin. “Give me Dusko Todorovic to win this fight by second round TKO.” | |||||
| FAV Cepo · KO/TKO · R1 | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Warns that Cepo has one of the worst ground games he has seen and that Urbina genuinely has a grappling path, but rates Urbina as chinny with horrible fight IQ. | |||||
| FAV Oliveira · KO/TKO · R2 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Describes Oliveira as terrifying and impossible to take down, marching opponents down and breaking them, while Elliott is on back-to-back losses and has been finished repeatedly. | |||||
| FAV Klein · Sub · R2 | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Says Klein is younger, more durable and better everywhere, while Musayev is 36-plus with 30 fights and waning durability, and predicts Klein finally uses the grappling in his back pocket. | |||||
| FAV Grad · Dec | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
His least favourite fight on the card. Grad is a BJJ black belt who throws more volume, lands the bigger shots and can mix in takedowns, so he takes Grad on activity rather than a finish. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner 9 2
-
Method
5 4 2
-
Round
1 4 4 2
of 9 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Ankalaev · Dec | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Ankalaev to use the cleaner, more defensively sound game and clinch/ground control over five rounds against short-notice Guskov. | |||||
| Erceg · Dec | Temirov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Erceg as the better minute-winner through striking, grappling and cardio if he avoids Temirov's early power. | |||||
| FAV Patterson · KO/TKO · R1 | Patterson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Expects Patterson's power to catch the forward-moving Ponzinibbio for a first-round knockout. | |||||
| FAV Kuniev · Dec | Kuniev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Backs Kuniev's cardio, volume and control of where the fight takes place over three rounds. | |||||
| Dulatov vs Turman | Dulatov · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | |||
| FAV Sola · KO/TKO · R3 | Sola · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Takes Sola's cardio and pressure to break Bonfim down for a late knockout. | |||||
| FAV Walker · Sub · R1 | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Calls Walker's familiar heel-hook route for a first-round submission. | |||||
| FAV Tuchalov · Sub · R1 | Tuchalov · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Expects Tuchalov to exploit Ribeiro's defensive grappling weakness for a first-round submission. | |||||
| FAV Zaynukov · Dec | Zaynukov · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Zaynukov's broader striking and grappling tools to carry a decision over the durable Rzepecki. | |||||
| FAV Aliev · Dec | Aliev · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Aliev to bank takedowns and control against Davis over three rounds. | |||||
| Jacoby · KO/TKO · R1 | Saidov · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Jacoby's higher-level experience, kickboxing, kicks, volume and cardio over Saidov's puncher's chance. | |||||
| FAV Hussein · Sub · R2 | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Backs Hussein's power, wrestling and grappling against a 38-year-old Gibson he sees as hittable, slowing down and prone to ground mistakes. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner 8 3
- Method rightCalls the winner, not the method
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
of 11 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Barbosa to use her physical grappling edge against the short-notice newcomer. | |||||
| DOG Delgado · to win | Delgado · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Leans Delgado because his size and striking should offset Bashi's grappling path. | |||||
| FAV Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Duncan on durability and finishing upside against the accumulated damage on Cannonier. | |||||
| FAV Coria · to win | Coria · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rates Coria as a clear level above Nicoll in pressure, output and wrestling resistance. | |||||
| FAV Du Plessis · to win | Du Plessis · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Du Plessis to produce the bigger striking moments and doubts Usman can sustain control. | |||||
| FAV Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game. | |||||
| FAV Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges. | |||||
| DOG Montes · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Montes because one grappling exchange can expose his proven front-choke game. | |||||
| FAV Kline · to win | Kline · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Kline as the stronger all-around prospect, particularly in the striking exchanges. | |||||
| FAV Rodrigues Jr. · to win | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Rodrigues based on the more convincing striking, power and cardio from the regional tape. | |||||
| DOG Lebosnoyani · to win | Lebosnoyani · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls the Lebosnoyani upset, valuing his grappling threats, power and durability over Ko's wrestling-led form. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner 9 2
-
Method
8 1 2
-
Round
3 4 2 2
of 11 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOG Cortez · Dec | Wang · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Cortez to win the grappling exchanges. He argues Wang Cong is most vulnerable on the mat, while Cortez can close distance, get takedowns and bank enough control time to take a decision. “Give me Cortez. Cortez by decision.” | |||||
| FAV Whittaker · KO/TKO · R2 | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Still trusts Whittaker as the sharper striker at 205. He thinks Krylov has moved away from the wrestling that made him dangerous and now gives Whittaker enough clean striking looks to finish him in round two. | |||||
| FAV Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Riley because his shots should be the more damaging and eye-catching work. He respects Kamaka's toughness and expects him to survive all three rounds, but not to outscore Riley's power. “I'm going Luke Riley. I'll go damage-based, power-based decision.” | |||||
| FAV Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Views Ellison as badly overmatched once Steveson wrestles. He points to Ellison's defensive gaps and cardio concerns, expecting Steveson's Olympic-level grappling and top pressure to produce a fast stoppage. | |||||
| FAV Yañez · KO/TKO · R2 | Yañez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Leans to Yanez because Garbrandt has become low-volume and chin-conscious. He expects Yanez's forward pressure, boxing volume and power to eventually find Cody in the second round. | |||||
| FAV Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Gandra to force a short, violent fight. He expects Gandra to pressure forward, stuff Reese's takedown attempts and hurt him with power before the matchup can settle into a longer contest. | |||||
| FAV Pinas · KO/TKO · R1 | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Takes Pinas to be the first fighter to knock Almeida out. He acknowledges Almeida has never been stopped by strikes, but believes Pinas' power and aggression can break that trend early. | |||||
| FAV Kavanagh · KO/TKO · R2 | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Trusts Kavanagh's boxing and power against Royval's hittable style. He thinks Royval's chin will be there to touch repeatedly, giving Kavanagh enough opportunities to land the finishing shot. | |||||
| DOG Bautista · Dec | Bautista · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Calls it extremely close but sides with Bautista's wrestling, grappling and takedown threat. He likes Sandhagen's striking, yet thinks Bautista can bank enough control and blunt enough output to edge the cards. | |||||
| DOG Pimblett · Sub · R2 | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Backs Pimblett as the more durable and more opportunistic finisher in chaotic exchanges. He expects Saint Denis to leave necks or arms exposed while forcing grappling scrambles, giving Pimblett a second-round submission opening. | |||||
| FAV Holloway · KO/TKO · R2 | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Gives McGregor only a brief early puncher's chance after the long layoff. He expects Holloway's pressure and volume to take over quickly, wearing McGregor down and finishing him in round two. “I'm going Max Holloway. Second round KO.” | |||||
UFC Baku
Fiziev vs. Torres
Event scorecard
- Winner 9 4
-
Method
6 2 1 4
-
Round
2 7 4
of 12 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOG Abdullayev · to win | Abdullayev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
DFS leans Abdullayev because he is the natural welterweight, the local-side fighter, and has the physicality to survive Nascimento's pocket exchanges before finding top control or ground-and-pound.
| |||||
| FAV Matsumoto · Dec | Matsumoto · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS prefers Matsumoto by decision behind pressure, volume, cardio, and wrestling looks if his chin holds up over fifteen minutes.
| |||||
| FAV Donchenko · KO/TKO · R2 | Donchenko · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
DFS expects Donchenko's elbows and danger in exchanges to catch Berggren and finish him in the second round.
| |||||
| FAV Reyes · KO/TKO | Ofli · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS takes Reyes by knockout, arguing Ofli is hittable and Reyes brings the more dangerous finishing threat on the feet. | |||||
| DOG Pulyaev · Dec | Ruziboev · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS takes Pulyaev as an upset decision, expecting him to make the fight ugly at range and survive Ruziboev's dangerous moments. | |||||
| FAV Yakhyaev · Sub · R1 | Yakhyaev · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
DFS picks Yakhyaev to win quickly by first-round submission, framing Walker as a favorable matchup for Yakhyaev's early grappling. | |||||
| FAV Hasanov · Dec | Hasanov · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS goes with Hasanov in a greasy decision, siding with the hometown fighter's control path despite respecting Nolan's power. | |||||
| Magomedov · Sub | Magomedov · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS ultimately picks Abus by submission, seeing his wrestling and grappling as the clearest route even though Oleksiejczuk's pressure makes the under interesting. | |||||
| FAV Aliskerov · Dec | Aliskerov · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS takes Aliskerov by decision, expecting him to choose grappling rather than trade with Ferreira and use more ways to win over three rounds. | |||||
| FAV Almabayev · Dec | Almabayev · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
DFS is tired of trying to solve Johnson fights and backs Almabayev's wrestling to expose Johnson's grappling hole over three rounds. | |||||
| FAV Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2 | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl. | |||||
| FAV Magomedov · Dec | Magomedov · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS takes Shara by decision in his lowest-confidence pick, mostly fading Pereira's current cardio, urgency and recent form. | |||||
| FAV Torres · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner 7 5
-
Method
3 4 5
-
Round
1 1 5 5
of 11 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Chimaev · Sub · R1 | Strickland · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match. “So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.” | |||||
| FAV Taira · Sub · R2 | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
He sees the fight turning on grappling control: if Taira can get his wrestling going and force back-take sequences, Van's boxing edge never has time to matter. “Give me Tatsuro Taira. I'll take Taira to win this fight by second round submission.” | |||||
| FAV Volkov · Dec | Volkov · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
He thinks Cortes-Acosta needs a knockout to win, while Volkov's size, output and broader skill set carry the minutes if he stays disciplined. “Give me Volkov to win this fight by decision.” | |||||
| FAV Green · Dec | Green · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
He gives Stephens some one-shot danger, but expects Green's cleaner minute-winning boxing and greater current activity to carry a points win. “For me it's Green and I think it's Green probably by decision.” | |||||
| FAV Ochoa · Dec | Ochoa · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS leans Ochoa by decision because his damage, bigger moments and offensive tools should outweigh Carpenter's takedown control. | |||||
| FAV Susurkaev · Dec | Susurkaev · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
DFS says this should be Susurkaev because he is better everywhere, but expects a decision if he coasts and plays around instead of forcing a finish. | |||||
| FAV Sabatini · Sub · R2 | Sabatini · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
DFS takes Sabatini by second-round submission, arguing Gomis has been put in bad grappling spots and Sabatini's neck attacks are much more dangerous. | |||||
| FAV Tulio · Dec | Kopylov · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS takes Tulio by decision, citing volume, cage-pushing and grappling upside against a Kopylov who has struggled with pressure. | |||||
| FAV Gordon · Dec | Miller · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS takes Gordon on the scorecards, saying he should be the minute-winner wherever the fight goes unless Miller lands an early finish. | |||||
| FAV Dawson · KO/TKO · R3 | Dawson · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
DFS leans Dawson, expecting takedowns and top control to exhaust Rebecki and potentially produce a late ground-and-pound finish. | |||||
| DOG Álvarez · KO/TKO | Amosov · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DFS likes Alvarez as a live dog and picks the finish, arguing his improved takedown defense and knockout threat give him the higher-upside path. | |||||
| Gautier · KO/TKO | Gautier · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
DFS expects Gautier to regain hype against an opponent who will come forward enough to be hit, with a finish the likeliest outcome. | |||||
UFC 327
Event scorecard
- Winner 1
- Method rightNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round rightNo correct calls to break down yet
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOG Prochazka · KO/TKO · R2 | Ulberg · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
He expects Ulberg to look competitive early, but sees Prochazka's pressure and durability flipping the fight once Jiri starts marching him down in round two. “I'll take Jiri Prochazka to win this fight by second round knockout.” | |||||
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