UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry  15 Aug 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US

Dustin Stoltzfus defeats Mansur Abdul-Malik by Submission

Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 2 · 4:25

Abdul-Malik vs Stoltzfus · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

The first round was competitive and close, with Stoltzfus working his jab, closing distance into a body lock and landing a spinning elbow along the fence without being able to take the fight down.

The second turned on his hands rather than his grappling. Stoltzfus stunned Abdul-Malik with right hands on the feet and backed him to the cage, and once he had him hurt he brought the fight to the mat, passed through a guillotine attempt and finished with the rear-naked choke at 4:25. The upset took one of the night’s $100,000 performance bonuses.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Abdul-Malik

Abdul-Malik's path is to keep Stoltzfus under immediate pressure and make the veteran solve power exchanges before he can establish his own rhythm.

Case for Stoltzfus

Stoltzfus's route is to drag the fight away from a single early exchange and test Abdul-Malik once the first attack is denied.

What We Were Watching For

  • Stoltzfus's first answer to Abdul-Malik's pressure and power.
  • Whether Abdul-Malik can reset after a defended finishing sequence.
  • The difference between a quick middleweight firefight and a longer tactical contest.
  • Which fighter gets to choose the next phase after the first clinch.
Records & career stats
Abdul-Malik Stoltzfus
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.34 3.40
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 45% 48%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.50 3.26
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 80% 44%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 100% 63%
9-1-1
Record
16-8-0
3-1-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2-3 last 5
United States
Nationality
United States
28
Age
34
1.88 m
Height — Abdul-Malik leads
1.83 m
202 cm
Reach — Abdul-Malik leads
191 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
100%
Finish rateFinish % — Abdul-Malik leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
63%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Abdul-Malik leads
3
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Stoltzfus leads
7
3.34
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.40
4.50
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Stoltzfus leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.26
45%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Stoltzfus leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
48%
80%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Abdul-Malik leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
44%
07:50
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:47
Xtreme Couture - Las Vegas, NV
Team
Labyrinth Luta Livre Landau

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round knockout.

“I think that Abdul Malik is probably going to KO him in the second round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Expects Mansur Abdul-Malik to overwhelm Stoltzfus with wrestling and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO.

“likes to keep his back on the fence. So, I'm going with Mansour by a first round TKO. Easiest win on the card.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by KO on the strength of his athleticism, wrestling and finishing profile.

“Yeah, I like the KO. Plus 100 Malik by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Takes Abdul-Malik but explicitly does not expect a finish.

“I'm taking Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round ground-and-pound TKO.

“So, yeah, I'm going Mensur Abdul-Malik. Probably takes him down, probably cracks him with a big shot, then takes him down, just finishes him off with ground and pound. I'll go Mensur Abdul-Malik. I'll say second round TKO, ground and pound.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Selects Abdul-Malik in the full-card prediction segment.

“So I'm gonna go Manzer Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by TKO in either round one or two, so no single round is recorded.

“clip Dustin and Dustin won't even know it hit him. Give me Mansor Abdul Malik by round one or round two TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Favors Abdul-Malik's athleticism and striking over Stoltzfus's defense, while noting concern over Abdul-Malik's urgency.

“I'm going to go Maner to win this fight. I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

The hosts explicitly reconfirm that they both picked Abdul-Malik.

“get better and go from there. Either way, Jake and I both picked Mansour here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 20:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round TKO, expecting Stoltzfus to be matched to make prospects look good.

“I'll go second round TKO here for Mansour Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Brian Campbell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Abdul-Malik by second-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Picks Abdul-Malik winner-only.

“But regardless, I'm going to pick Maner Abdul Malik to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Shakiel Mahjouri

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Abdul-Malik by first-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Michael Mormile

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Abdul-Malik by first-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Brandon Wise

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Abdul-Malik by second-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mansur Abdul-Malik by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Brent Brookhouse

Current pick evidence

Picked: Dustin Stoltzfus · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Stoltzfus by second-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Dustin Stoltzfus by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; AJ Devito Miss; Michael Chiesa Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; Brent Brookhouse Hit; James Lynch Miss; Brian Campbell Miss; Half The Battle Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Michael Mormile Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Brandon Wise Miss; Jesse Holland Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round knockout.

“I think that Abdul Malik is probably going to KO him in the second round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Expects Mansur Abdul-Malik to overwhelm Stoltzfus with wrestling and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO.

“likes to keep his back on the fence. So, I'm going with Mansour by a first round TKO. Easiest win on the card.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R1Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by KO on the strength of his athleticism, wrestling and finishing profile.

“Yeah, I like the KO. Plus 100 Malik by KO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKOStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Takes Abdul-Malik but explicitly does not expect a finish.

“I'm taking Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to winStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round ground-and-pound TKO.

“So, yeah, I'm going Mensur Abdul-Malik. Probably takes him down, probably cracks him with a big shot, then takes him down, just finishes him off with ground and pound. I'll go Mensur Abdul-Malik. I'll say second round TKO, ground and pound.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Selects Abdul-Malik in the full-card prediction segment.

“So I'm gonna go Manzer Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to winStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by TKO in either round one or two, so no single round is recorded.

“clip Dustin and Dustin won't even know it hit him. Give me Mansor Abdul Malik by round one or round two TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKOStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Favors Abdul-Malik's athleticism and striking over Stoltzfus's defense, while noting concern over Abdul-Malik's urgency.

“I'm going to go Maner to win this fight. I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

The hosts explicitly reconfirm that they both picked Abdul-Malik.

“get better and go from there. Either way, Jake and I both picked Mansour here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to winStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brent Brookhouse38 resolved calls
Brent Brookhouse

Current pick evidence

Picked: Dustin Stoltzfus · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Stoltzfus by second-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 14.5%. Stoltzfus · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2HitMissHit
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 20:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round TKO, expecting Stoltzfus to be matched to make prospects look good.

“I'll go second round TKO here for Mansour Abdul Malik.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brian Campbell38 resolved calls
Brian Campbell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Abdul-Malik by second-round TKO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Half The Battle98 resolved calls
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Picks Abdul-Malik winner-only.

“But regardless, I'm going to pick Maner Abdul Malik to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
  • Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
View full track record (98 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to winStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Shakiel Mahjouri40 resolved calls
Shakiel Mahjouri

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Abdul-Malik by first-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R1Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Mormile33 resolved calls
Michael Mormile

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Abdul-Malik by first-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R1Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Dustin Stoltzfus by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 14.5%. Stoltzfus · DecStoltzfus · Sub R2HitMissNot called
Brandon Wise38 resolved calls
Brandon Wise

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Abdul-Malik by second-round KO.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R2Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mansur Abdul-Malik by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKOStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mansur Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Dustin Stoltzfus · Submission

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO · R1Stoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 2 of 19 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.