UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Michael Venom Page defeats Nursulton Ruziboev by unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Page vs Ruziboev · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Ruziboev took Page down inside the first ten seconds and controlled the round from side control and guard with elbows. Page failed a buggy-choke attempt and struggled to stand.
From round two Page had space, working behind lead-leg stomps, clinch knees and counter right hands to take the last two rounds while the crowd booed the inactivity.
Ruziboev landed further takedowns in round three but did nothing with them.
- Ben Cartlidge29–28
- Anders Ohlsson29–28
- Clemens Werner29–28
- Official UFC resultsUFC Paris: Hooker vs Parnasse — Results
- Round-by-round play-by-playUFC Paris 'Hooker vs. Parnasse' play-by-play, results & round scoring
- Official UFC scorecardsUFC Paris — official judges' scorecards
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Page
Page absorbs 1.51 significant strikes a minute, the lowest figure on this main card, defends 62% of what comes at him, and carries a 201 cm reach — eight centimetres more than Ruziboev. He has won three straight, over Sharabutdin Magomedov, Jared Cannonier and Sam Patterson.
Case for Ruziboev
Ruziboev has 48 professional fights to Page’s 28 and ends them far sooner: a 07:21 average against Page’s 11:21, and 1.02 knockdowns per 15 minutes to Page’s 0.19. Against a 39-year-old who has not stopped anyone in his last five, that power is the clearest route to a result.
What We Were Watching For
- Page’s last five fights have all gone to a decision — wins over Magomedov, Cannonier and Patterson, and a loss to Ian Machado Garry.
- Ruziboev defends 33% of takedowns, the lowest figure on this main card, but Page has landed none from six attempts.
- Knockdown average: 1.02 for Ruziboev against 0.19 for Page.
- 58% of Page’s significant strikes land against 46% of Ruziboev’s, and Page gives up 1.51 a minute to Ruziboev’s 2.68.
Records & career stats
- 25-3-0
- Record
- 37-9-2
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- United Kingdom
- Nationality
- Uzbekistan
- 39
- Age
- 32
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 62%
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- Source pending
- 3
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- —
- 11:48
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:27
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Venom Page · Dec
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Thinks Page's cagey low-output style is hard to solve on the feet and doubts Ruziboev forces the grappling he needs.
“I am going to pick MVP. I think he's going to win by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Venom Page
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Says repeatedly he dislikes the pick, then leans Page on footwork and elusiveness despite Ruziboev's grappling.
“So, for now, I'll say MVP.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Venom Page · Dec
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Picks Michael Venom Page by decision.
“Give me Michael Paige by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Venom Page · Dec
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Doubts Ruziboev can close distance on Page's defence, leaving a low-action decision.
“I'll go page to win a boring decision here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Michael Venom Page · Dec
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Michael Page by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nursulton Ruziboev
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Picks Nurullo Ruziboev after identifying the size, pressure, knockout power, and submission threat as problems for Michael Page; no method is stated in the pick cue.
“I'm going to go with Nur Sultan Rizzy Boy.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nursulton Ruziboev
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Takes the underdog on the bet that an ageing Page eventually slows enough for Ruziboev's size and pressure.
“I'm picking Nerzleton here. 0% chance I bet on this because MVP is just so freaking good.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nursulton Ruziboev · Dec
Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision
Argues Page's grappling weakness gets exposed by Ruziboev's underrated wrestling.
“Yeah, I'm going to go Rusev to be MVP by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Miss; HopperMMA Miss; Andrew Richardson Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Venom Page · Dec Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Thinks Page's cagey low-output style is hard to solve on the feet and doubts Ruziboev forces the grappling he needs. “I am going to pick MVP. I think he's going to win by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · Dec | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Thinks Page's cagey low-output style is hard to solve on the feet and doubts Ruziboev forces the grappling he needs. “I am going to pick MVP. I think he's going to win by decision.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Nursulton Ruziboev Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Picks Nurullo Ruziboev after identifying the size, pressure, knockout power, and submission threat as problems for Michael Page; no method is stated in the pick cue. “I'm going to go with Nur Sultan Rizzy Boy.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Nurullo Ruziboev after identifying the size, pressure, knockout power, and submission threat as problems for Michael Page; no method is stated in the pick cue. “I'm going to go with Nur Sultan Rizzy Boy.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Venom Page Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Says repeatedly he dislikes the pick, then leans Page on footwork and elusiveness despite Ruziboev's grappling. “So, for now, I'll say MVP.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Says repeatedly he dislikes the pick, then leans Page on footwork and elusiveness despite Ruziboev's grappling. “So, for now, I'll say MVP.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Husky Hustler
MMA Husky Hustler
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Venom Page · Dec Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Picks Michael Venom Page by decision. “Give me Michael Paige by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · Dec | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Michael Venom Page by decision. “Give me Michael Paige by decision.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Venom Page · Dec Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Doubts Ruziboev can close distance on Page's defence, leaving a low-action decision. “I'll go page to win a boring decision here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · Dec | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Doubts Ruziboev can close distance on Page's defence, leaving a low-action decision. “I'll go page to win a boring decision here.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Nursulton Ruziboev Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Takes the underdog on the bet that an ageing Page eventually slows enough for Ruziboev's size and pressure. “I'm picking Nerzleton here. 0% chance I bet on this because MVP is just so freaking good.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes the underdog on the bet that an ageing Page eventually slows enough for Ruziboev's size and pressure. “I'm picking Nerzleton here. 0% chance I bet on this because MVP is just so freaking good.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Nursulton Ruziboev · Dec Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision Argues Page's grappling weakness gets exposed by Ruziboev's underrated wrestling. “Yeah, I'm going to go Rusev to be MVP by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · Dec | Page · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Argues Page's grappling weakness gets exposed by Ruziboev's underrated wrestling. “Yeah, I'm going to go Rusev to be MVP by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Michael Venom Page · Dec Fight result: Michael Venom Page · Decision MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Michael Page by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · Dec | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Michael Page by decision. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
5 of 8 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 5 sportsbooks
Favoured: Page (65%) Called it
Page defeats Ruziboev · Dec









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