UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Felipe Lima defeats Morgan Charriere by unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Charriere vs Lima · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Lima worked jabs, left hooks to the body, leg and oblique kicks and three-to-five-punch bursts, adding a late takedown in each of the first two rounds.
Charriere fought largely one shot at a time and could not turn the clinch into anything.
Lima wobbled Charriere with a one-two late in round three and followed with a four-punch burst and a clubbing right at the bell.
- Ben Cartlidge30–27
- Clemens Werner30–27
- Anders Ohlsson29–28
- Official UFC resultsUFC Paris: Hooker vs Parnasse — Results
- Round-by-round play-by-playUFC Paris 'Hooker vs. Parnasse' play-by-play, results & round scoring
- Official UFC scorecardsUFC Paris — official judges' scorecards
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Charriere
Charrière is the busier and heavier hitter: 4.02 significant strikes a minute to Lima’s 2.86, and 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes against a man who has never scored one in the UFC. He defends 83% of takedowns — and the last time he fought in Paris he knocked Gabriel Miranda out 27 seconds into the second round and took Performance of the Night.
Case for Lima
Lima is 14-2 and much harder to hit or to hold: 65% striking defence to Charrière’s 54%, 86% takedown defence, and 2.91 significant strikes absorbed a minute against 4.51. A former Oktagon bantamweight champion, his UFC breakthrough was a third-round rear-naked choke of Muhammad Naimov — who fights on this same main card.
What We Were Watching For
- Charrière was knocked out by a Melquizael Costa head kick 1:14 into his last fight, in December 2025.
- Knockdown average: 0.88 for Charrière, 0.00 for Lima across his UFC run.
- Lima has landed 1 takedown from 22 attempts, into Charrière’s 83% takedown defence.
- Both men arrive on a loss, and Nathaniel Wood — fighting on this card’s prelims — beat Charrière on the cards in March 2025.
Records & career stats
- 3.65 4.09
- 52% 68%
- 5.18 2.77
- 71% 90%
- 76% 47%
- 21-12-1
- Record
- 14-2-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- France
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 30
- Age
- 28
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:26
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 14:04
- District Training Zone
- Team
- All Stars Training Center
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Morgan Charriere
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Vreeland expects Charriere’s takedown defense to let him keep a striking pace that tests Lima’s cardio.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Picks Felipe Lima to win, but hedges between a decision and a possible knockout; method is therefore left unset.
“more well-rounded. So, we're going to go with Felipe Lima to win that one by decision, maybe a crazy KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Sees Lima as more technical everywhere and expects him to out-work Charriere's wilder power style.
“So I'm going to go with Felipe Lima to shut down Morgan Sharier to a unanimous decision win.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Gives Lima the rounded-approach edge in an expected close fight.
“but I'm going to give the slight lean to Felipe Lima to get it done 29 to 28 here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Picks Felipe Lima by decision.
“Give me Phipe Lemur by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Frames it as grappler against striker and gives Lima more paths to win than a Charriere who lets fights slip.
“go Felipe Lima to win this fight. I'll take Felipe Lima to win this fight by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Thinks Lima staying fast, clean and busy stops Charriere ever finding a rhythm.
“I feel like this is a Felipe win. So, I'm going to pick Felipe here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Rates Lima's grappling and pace above Charriere's toughness.
“I'm going to go Felipe Lima by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Felipe Lima by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Felipe Lima · Dec
Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision
Prefers Lima's tighter kickboxing and grappling to Charriere's chaotic, high-power but less technical style.
“But um I'm going to say Lima decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Mike Finch Hit; Daniel Vreeland Miss.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Picks Felipe Lima to win, but hedges between a decision and a possible knockout; method is therefore left unset. “more well-rounded. So, we're going to go with Felipe Lima to win that one by decision, maybe a crazy KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · to win | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Felipe Lima to win, but hedges between a decision and a possible knockout; method is therefore left unset. “more well-rounded. So, we're going to go with Felipe Lima to win that one by decision, maybe a crazy KO.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Sees Lima as more technical everywhere and expects him to out-work Charriere's wilder power style. “So I'm going to go with Felipe Lima to shut down Morgan Sharier to a unanimous decision win.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Sees Lima as more technical everywhere and expects him to out-work Charriere's wilder power style. “So I'm going to go with Felipe Lima to shut down Morgan Sharier to a unanimous decision win.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Gives Lima the rounded-approach edge in an expected close fight. “but I'm going to give the slight lean to Felipe Lima to get it done 29 to 28 here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Gives Lima the rounded-approach edge in an expected close fight. “but I'm going to give the slight lean to Felipe Lima to get it done 29 to 28 here.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Husky Hustler
MMA Husky Hustler
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Picks Felipe Lima by decision. “Give me Phipe Lemur by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Felipe Lima by decision. “Give me Phipe Lemur by decision.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Frames it as grappler against striker and gives Lima more paths to win than a Charriere who lets fights slip. “go Felipe Lima to win this fight. I'll take Felipe Lima to win this fight by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Frames it as grappler against striker and gives Lima more paths to win than a Charriere who lets fights slip. “go Felipe Lima to win this fight. I'll take Felipe Lima to win this fight by decision.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Thinks Lima staying fast, clean and busy stops Charriere ever finding a rhythm. “I feel like this is a Felipe win. So, I'm going to pick Felipe here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · to win | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Thinks Lima staying fast, clean and busy stops Charriere ever finding a rhythm. “I feel like this is a Felipe win. So, I'm going to pick Felipe here.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Rates Lima's grappling and pace above Charriere's toughness. “I'm going to go Felipe Lima by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Rates Lima's grappling and pace above Charriere's toughness. “I'm going to go Felipe Lima by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Felipe Lima by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Felipe Lima by decision. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Mike Finch
Mike Finch
Current pick evidencePicked: Felipe Lima · Dec Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Prefers Lima's tighter kickboxing and grappling to Charriere's chaotic, high-power but less technical style. “But um I'm going to say Lima decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Prefers Lima's tighter kickboxing and grappling to Charriere's chaotic, high-power but less technical style. “But um I'm going to say Lima decision.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Daniel Vreeland
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidencePicked: Morgan Charriere Fight result: Felipe Lima · Decision Vreeland expects Charriere’s takedown defense to let him keep a striking pace that tests Lima’s cardio. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Charriere · to win | Lima · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Vreeland expects Charriere’s takedown defense to let him keep a striking pace that tests Lima’s cardio. Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
9 of 10 nailed it.
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