UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres  27 Jun 2026 · National Gymnastics Arena, Baku, Azerbaijan, AZ

Shara Magomedov defeats Michel Pereira by unanimous decision

Win Shara Magomedov 17-1-0
Loss Michel Pereira 32-15-0
Unanimous decision

Round 3 ·

Magomedov vs Pereira — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Pereira made the early fight messy and scored a knockdown that Magomedov survived.

As the contest continued, it settled into low-output, long-range kicking.

Magomedov adjusted better to that slower pace and took the decision.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Magomedov

Magomedov is the -395 favourite for a reason. His unorthodox, high-volume striking has consistently out-worked opponents, and Pereira — despite flash moments — has been out-struck in four consecutive UFC outings. Magomedov's wrestling base also gives him a grappling answer if Pereira tries to turn this into a chaos bout, and his 16-1 record reflects a fighter who only lost to Michael 'Venom' Page in his last 17.

Case for Pereira

Pereira's entire argument is his finishing danger in brief windows. The 'Demolidor' has genuine Muay Thai power and acrobatic flair that has floored top-15 opponents, and against a Magomedov who absorbed a clear decision loss to Page, there may be a technical gap Pereira can exploit in the early rounds before his gas tank empties.

What We Were Watching For

  • Pereira's cardio after round one — he historically front-loads his efforts and fades badly in middleweight-length fights; does he have anything left if he doesn't finish early?
  • Magomedov's output volume — can he sustain his typically elite striking pace over three full rounds and smother Pereira's highlight moments with sheer workrate?
  • The knockdown threat from Pereira — he has scored spectacular knockdowns on quality opponents; if he catches Magomedov clean, the math changes instantly.
  • Magomedov's rebound mentality — coming off the Page loss, does he fight conservatively to secure a safe win or bring the same aggressive output that makes him dangerous?
Records & career stats
Magomedov vs Pereira
Magomedov Pereira
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 5.55 4.28
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 45% 51%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.62 4.32
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 73% 76%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 71% 72%
16-1-0
Record
32-14-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Russia
Nationality
Brazil
32
Age
32
1.88 m
Height — Magomedov leads
1.85 m
185 cm
Reach
185 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
71%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
72%
12
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Magomedov leads
11
0
Wins by submissionSub wins — Pereira leads
9
5.55
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Magomedov leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.28
3.62
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Magomedov leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.32
45%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Pereira leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
51%
73%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Pereira leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
76%
13:54
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
10:59
GOR MMA
Team
Xtreme Couture / Overcome Academy

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA JOEY
Hear it — 27:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Joey picks Shara by third-round TKO, expecting Pereira to fade badly and get stopped after the early explosiveness is gone.

“I'll say third round TKO for Shirabulat Magomedov.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 16:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.

“I'm going to go Shara Bullet for the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 16:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

Lucrative James picks Shara Magomedov by decision; a later third-round finish is speculative, so the recorded method remains decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 27:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

DFS takes Shara by decision in his lowest-confidence pick, mostly fading Pereira's current cardio, urgency and recent form.

“but give me Sha Magame by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Shara Magomedov by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Baku preview has Jesse Holland picking Shara Magomedov by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)

Analyst picks: MMA JOEY Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Jesse Holland Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
MMA JOEY107 resolved calls
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 27:54

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Joey picks Shara by third-round TKO, expecting Pereira to fade badly and get stopped after the early explosiveness is gone.

“I'll say third round TKO for Shirabulat Magomedov.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
  • Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
  • Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
  • Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
View full track record (107 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · KO/TKO · R3Magomedov · Dec R3HitMissMiss
KennyOkoyeMMA64 resolved calls
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 16:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.

“I'm going to go Shara Bullet for the win.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
  • Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · to winMagomedov · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett
Hear it — 16:49

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

Lucrative James picks Shara Magomedov by decision; a later third-round finish is speculative, so the recorded method remains decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · DecMagomedov · Dec R3HitHitNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 27:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

DFS takes Shara by decision in his lowest-confidence pick, mostly fading Pereira's current cardio, urgency and recent form.

“but give me Sha Magame by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · DecMagomedov · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · KO/TKO

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Shara Magomedov by knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · KO/TKOMagomedov · Dec R3HitMissNot called
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Shara Magomedov · Dec

Fight result: Shara Magomedov · Decision

MMA Mania's UFC Baku preview has Jesse Holland picking Shara Magomedov by unanimous decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · DecMagomedov · Dec R3HitHitNot called

6 of 6 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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