Nelson vs Perez — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Scheduled · 17 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Buckley vs. Malott · Lightweight · Main Card · 3 rounds · Edmonton, Alberta
Kyle
Nelson
Record Record: 17-7-1
Wins
17
Losses
7
Draws
1
6KO/TKO
4Sub
7Dec

Red corner

Source pending
Nationality
Source pending
35
Age
27
71 in
Height — Nelson leads
175.26 cm
71 in
Reach — Perez leads
182.88 cm
3.6
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Nelson leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.30

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+6)
Source pending
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
4.58
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.56
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Nelson leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
39%
67%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Perez leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
88%
09:34
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:33
House of Champions
Team
UFC Performance Institute Mexico City

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

Comments

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Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Andrew Richardson expects Kyle Nelson to draw Cristian Perez into a kickboxing match and out-point him.

“Prediction: Nelson via decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Bert MMA expects Cristian Perez Gonzalez’s speed and explosiveness to give him the first round and an early knockout opportunity. He selects Kyle Nelson to survive, mix in wrestling to tire Perez Gonzalez, and use his experience, striking volume and power to win rounds two and three for a 29–28 decision.

* The pick depends on Nelson surviving Perez Gonzalez’s early finishing threat.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Chris Schweppe picks Kyle Nelson by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Steve Garcia

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

“I switch my picks, guys. Give me Kyle Nelson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Josh Schonwald

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

DocSports author Josh Schonwald explicitly selects Kyle Nelson.

“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+250)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (8 calls)
The Lab Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

The Lab Analytics selects Kyle Nelson at 83.6% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Hear it — 101:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“i lean with Christian Perez at minus 310 here”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 54:34 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

“So I'm gonna go uh Christian Perez and I think he wins this fight by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 26:39 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by knockout.

“Give me Christian Perez by KO via Kyle Nelson quitting to a shot that missed”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Andy Lang expects Cristian Perez to win by a finish, but does not specify KO/TKO or submission, or a round.

“Perez winning by finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

AJ sees Perez as the cleaner technical striker and points to body attacks and counter opportunities against Nelson.

“I'm going to go with the rising prospect Christian Perez to get the finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 33:32 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“so the pick's just going to be the younger faster harderhitting guy that is more durable so we're going with Christian Perez here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

JakeGerberMMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez by first-round knockout; the surrounding analysis describes a knockdown and referee-stopped ground-and-pound.

“I think Perez makes this one look easy. First round knockout for Christian Perez.”

* The analyst and captions call him “Christian Perez”; the official bout roster uses the canonical name Cristian Perez Gonzalez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

James expects Perez to land more damage against Nelson and selects Perez by knockout.

“I got Perez to win this fight to a knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

He favors Cristian Perez Gonzalez for his pace and pressure, with a first-round knockout prediction.

“So, I'm going Perez to win this fight by first round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

138 MMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez while noting Kyle Nelson should not be counted out.

“I've got to go Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

He sees Perez as younger, faster and harder-hitting than Nelson, with wrestling as another path, and points to Nelson’s poor takedown defense and trouble under pressure.

“Give me Perez inside the distance.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 14:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Round 1

“I'm going to go with Perez to finish this fight in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 14:41 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by knockout.

“i have Christian Perez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

Artem rates Perez’s offensive grappling highly and expects him to get it working against Nelson. He acknowledges that Perez’s cardio remains uncertain and that Nelson could win late rounds or find a third-round finish if Perez fades. He nevertheless expects Perez to submit Nelson before that opportunity develops.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 142:38 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez, while noting the challenge of debuting at a -300 price.

“i'm going for Christian Perez but you know minus 300 for a debut i think this is a I think it's a little bit of a task for him”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Litterine explicitly selects Cristian Perez; no method or round is stated.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 31:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

“So I'm going to take Perez i think he should mix in the grappling but even on the feet I still think he can get it done so I'm going Christian Perez round two knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

Teller favors Perez's dangerous striking, youth and developing all-round game, expecting him to land hard on Nelson and finish him. Nelson's response to his recent stoppage loss makes Teller doubt how he will cope with that damage. He views Perez's earlier loss to Souza in the context of a strong performance before the late finish, rather than as evidence of weak durability.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Garrett Kerman

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Kerman selects Cristian Perez, expecting his pressure and power to break down Kyle Nelson.

“Pick: Cristian Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Bookie Beatdown explicitly names Cristian Perez as its pick over Kyle Nelson; the caption spelling differs from the canonical roster name.

“pick Christian Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez by first-round knockout, referring to him as Christian Perez.

“It should be a good first round knockout for Christian Perez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

Greedo selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by first-round knockout; the captions use the shortened name “Christian Perez.”

“with the 27y old Christian Perez beating the 35year-old Ontario native in Nelson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 37:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“I'm going to pick Christian Perez to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

MMA JAWN expects Cristian Perez Gonzalez to secure takedowns, advance position and submit Nelson.

“going to be Christian Perez via a sub.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Dec

Brandon K selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by Decision.

““We’ll take Perez there by decision.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

They rate Perez’s wrestling, experience, and ability to pressure Nelson more highly.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

BennyPMMA selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to go with Christian Perez via KO.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
Joshua Bell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

Joshua Bell selects Cristian Perez by submission; the article says he should take Kyle Nelson to the canvas and find a submission. The bout record identifies the fighter as Cristian Perez Gonzalez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (3 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

MMA.SOCIAL selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by KO/TKO; no round is stated.

“Gonzalez by KO/TKO.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie Claude selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by ko/tko in round 2. Perez’s power and recent stoppage win meet Nelson’s recent knockout losses; Perez’s debut and own KO loss are caveats. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie GPT selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by ko/tko in round 2. Nelson’s recent knockout losses support a Perez stoppage pick, tempered by Perez’s debut and recent knockout loss. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Cristian Perez as its AI/model pick against Kyle Nelson. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Cristian Perez as its AI/model pick against Kyle Nelson. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Combat Edge Model selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez as its model lean (64%) against Kyle Nelson. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
MCA PICKS
Hear it — 17:35 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

MCA PICKS predicts Pérez after using the opening round to read Nelson.

“yo qué creo que va a hacer que en un segundo asalto va a poder encontrar un espacio después de en el primero estar midiendo estar conociendo lo que proponga Kyle Nelson el octágono y lo va a terminar finalizando”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record

Analyst picks: The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Perez; MMA Lock of the Night picks Perez; Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Perez; Andy Lang picks Perez; AJ Devito picks Perez; Angelo Bodetti picks Perez; JakeGerberMMA picks Perez; James Blissett picks Perez; DFS By The Numbers picks Perez; 138 MMA picks Perez; Kunath picks Perez; HopperMMA picks Perez; MMA Mathletes picks Perez; Artem MMA picks Perez; Andrew Richardson picks Nelson; Jacob Lines picks Perez; Bert MMA picks Nelson; Jon Litterine picks Perez; Fight Productions picks Perez; Walk The Line MMA picks Perez; Garrett Kerman picks Perez; Bookie Beatdown picks Perez; TonyHasDiedMMA picks Perez; Chris Schweppe picks Nelson; Greedo Plays MMA picks Perez; The MMA Yuda picks Perez; MMA JAWN picks Perez; Steve Garcia picks Nelson; Brandon K picks Perez; Locked Door MMA picks Perez; BennyPMMA picks Perez; Josh Schonwald picks Nelson; Joshua Bell picks Perez; MMA.SOCIAL picks Perez; The Lab Analytics picks Nelson; Fight Genie (Claude) picks Perez; Fight Genie (GPT) picks Perez; AI Sports Metrics picks Perez; FIGHT//AI picks Perez; Combat Edge Model picks Perez; MCA PICKS picks Perez; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) picks Perez.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
The Die Hard MMA Podcast4 resolved calls
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Hear it — 101:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“i lean with Christian Perez at minus 310 here”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 54:34 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

“So I'm gonna go uh Christian Perez and I think he wins this fight by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
Jimbo Ortega MMA29 resolved calls
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 26:39 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by knockout.

“Give me Christian Perez by KO via Kyle Nelson quitting to a shot that missed”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
Andy Lang10 resolved calls
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Andy Lang expects Cristian Perez to win by a finish, but does not specify KO/TKO or submission, or a round.

“Perez winning by finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

AJ sees Perez as the cleaner technical striker and points to body attacks and counter opportunities against Nelson.

“I'm going to go with the rising prospect Christian Perez to get the finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 33:32 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“so the pick's just going to be the younger faster harderhitting guy that is more durable so we're going with Christian Perez here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

JakeGerberMMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez by first-round knockout; the surrounding analysis describes a knockdown and referee-stopped ground-and-pound.

“I think Perez makes this one look easy. First round knockout for Christian Perez.”

* The analyst and captions call him “Christian Perez”; the official bout roster uses the canonical name Cristian Perez Gonzalez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Perez · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR1
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

James expects Perez to land more damage against Nelson and selects Perez by knockout.

“I got Perez to win this fight to a knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

He favors Cristian Perez Gonzalez for his pace and pressure, with a first-round knockout prediction.

“So, I'm going Perez to win this fight by first round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Perez · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR1
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

138 MMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez while noting Kyle Nelson should not be counted out.

“I've got to go Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

He sees Perez as younger, faster and harder-hitting than Nelson, with wrestling as another path, and points to Nelson’s poor takedown defense and trouble under pressure.

“Give me Perez inside the distance.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 14:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Round 1

“I'm going to go with Perez to finish this fight in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledR1
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 14:41 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by knockout.

“i have Christian Perez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

Artem rates Perez’s offensive grappling highly and expects him to get it working against Nelson. He acknowledges that Perez’s cardio remains uncertain and that Nelson could win late rounds or find a third-round finish if Perez fades. He nevertheless expects Perez to submit Nelson before that opportunity develops.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Perez · SubUpcomingPerezSubNot called
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Andrew Richardson expects Kyle Nelson to draw Cristian Perez into a kickboxing match and out-point him.

“Prediction: Nelson via decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Nelson · DecUpcomingNelsonDecNot called
Jacob Lines7 resolved calls
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 142:38 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez, while noting the challenge of debuting at a -300 price.

“i'm going for Christian Perez but you know minus 300 for a debut i think this is a I think it's a little bit of a task for him”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Bert MMA expects Cristian Perez Gonzalez’s speed and explosiveness to give him the first round and an early knockout opportunity. He selects Kyle Nelson to survive, mix in wrestling to tire Perez Gonzalez, and use his experience, striking volume and power to win rounds two and three for a 29–28 decision.

* The pick depends on Nelson surviving Perez Gonzalez’s early finishing threat.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Nelson · DecUpcomingNelsonDecNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Litterine explicitly selects Cristian Perez; no method or round is stated.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions
Hear it — 31:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

“So I'm going to take Perez i think he should mix in the grappling but even on the feet I still think he can get it done so I'm going Christian Perez round two knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Perez · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR2
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

Teller favors Perez's dangerous striking, youth and developing all-round game, expecting him to land hard on Nelson and finish him. Nelson's response to his recent stoppage loss makes Teller doubt how he will cope with that damage. He views Perez's earlier loss to Souza in the context of a strong performance before the late finish, rather than as evidence of weak durability.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
Garrett Kerman13 resolved calls
Garrett Kerman

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Kerman selects Cristian Perez, expecting his pressure and power to break down Kyle Nelson.

“Pick: Cristian Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (13 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Bookie Beatdown explicitly names Cristian Perez as its pick over Kyle Nelson; the caption spelling differs from the canonical roster name.

“pick Christian Perez”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cristian Perez Gonzalez by first-round knockout, referring to him as Christian Perez.

“It should be a good first round knockout for Christian Perez.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Perez · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR1
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson · Dec

Chris Schweppe picks Kyle Nelson by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Nelson · DecUpcomingNelsonDecNot called
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 1

Greedo selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by first-round knockout; the captions use the shortened name “Christian Perez.”

“with the 27y old Christian Perez beating the 35year-old Ontario native in Nelson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Perez · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR1
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 37:03 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

“I'm going to pick Christian Perez to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

MMA JAWN expects Cristian Perez Gonzalez to secure takedowns, advance position and submit Nelson.

“going to be Christian Perez via a sub.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Perez · SubUpcomingPerezSubNot called
Steve Garcia9 resolved calls
Steve Garcia

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

“I switch my picks, guys. Give me Kyle Nelson.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Nelson · to winUpcomingNelsonNot calledNot called
Brandon K23 resolved calls
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Dec

Brandon K selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by Decision.

““We’ll take Perez there by decision.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Perez · DecUpcomingPerezDecNot called
Locked Door MMA7 resolved calls
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

They rate Perez’s wrestling, experience, and ability to pressure Nelson more highly.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
BennyPMMA8 resolved calls
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

BennyPMMA selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to go with Christian Perez via KO.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
Josh Schonwald8 resolved calls
Josh Schonwald

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

DocSports author Josh Schonwald explicitly selects Kyle Nelson.

“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+250)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
View full track record (8 calls)
Nelson · to winUpcomingNelsonNot calledNot called
Joshua Bell3 resolved calls
Joshua Bell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · Sub

Joshua Bell selects Cristian Perez by submission; the article says he should take Kyle Nelson to the canvas and find a submission. The bout record identifies the fighter as Cristian Perez Gonzalez.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (3 calls)
Perez · SubUpcomingPerezSubNot called
MMA.SOCIAL
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO

MMA.SOCIAL selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez by KO/TKO; no round is stated.

“Gonzalez by KO/TKO.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · KO/TKOUpcomingPerezKO/TKONot called
The Lab Analytics
The Lab Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Nelson

The Lab Analytics selects Kyle Nelson at 83.6% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Nelson · to winUpcomingNelsonNot calledNot called
Fight Genie (Claude)
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie Claude selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by ko/tko in round 2. Perez’s power and recent stoppage win meet Nelson’s recent knockout losses; Perez’s debut and own KO loss are caveats. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR2
Fight Genie (GPT)
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie GPT selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez over Kyle Nelson by ko/tko in round 2. Nelson’s recent knockout losses support a Perez stoppage pick, tempered by Perez’s debut and recent knockout loss. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingPerezKO/TKOR2
AI Sports Metrics
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Cristian Perez as its AI/model pick against Kyle Nelson. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
FIGHT//AI
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Cristian Perez as its AI/model pick against Kyle Nelson. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
Combat Edge Model
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

Combat Edge Model selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez as its model lean (64%) against Kyle Nelson. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
MCA PICKS
MCA PICKS
Hear it — 17:35 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

MCA PICKS predicts Pérez after using the opening round to read Nelson.

“yo qué creo que va a hacer que en un segundo asalto va a poder encontrar un espacio después de en el primero estar midiendo estar conociendo lo que proponga Kyle Nelson el octágono y lo va a terminar finalizando”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Cristian Perez

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Cristian Perez Gonzalez; no method or round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Perez · to winUpcomingPerezNot calledNot called

17 of 42 see a finish — 14 by KO/TKO, 3 by submission, 4 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

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