Analyst video · DFS By The Numbers · UFC 328

DFS By The Numbers — UFC 328 predictions

DFS BY THE NUMBERS' fight predictions across 12 bouts at UFC 328, with timestamped clips and linked FightCardIQ bout coverage.

Picks scorecard

7 of 12 decided picks correct

  1. 3:16Watch this pick

    Jose Ochoa vs Clayton Carpenter

    Pick Jose Ochoa · Decision

    Result Jose Ochoa by Dec, R3 Perfect call

    All analysts: 7 picks — 5 Ochoa · 2 Carpenter

    DFS leans Ochoa by decision because his damage, bigger moments and offensive tools should outweigh Carpenter's takedown control.

  2. 4:41Watch this pick

    Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos

    Pick Baisangur Susurkaev · Decision

    Result Baisangur Susurkaev by Sub, R3 Hit

    All analysts: 3 picks — 2 Susurkaev · 1 Santos

    DFS says this should be Susurkaev because he is better everywhere, but expects a decision if he coasts and plays around instead of forcing a finish.

  3. 7:11Watch this pick

    Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis

    Pick Pat Sabatini · Sub · R2

    Result Pat Sabatini by Dec, R3 Hit

    All analysts: 6 picks — 6 Sabatini · 0 Gomis

    DFS takes Sabatini by second-round submission, arguing Gomis has been put in bad grappling spots and Sabatini's neck attacks are much more dangerous.

  4. 9:11Watch this pick

    Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio

    Pick Marco Tulio · Decision

    Result Roman Kopylov by Dec, R3 Miss

    All analysts: 4 picks — 2 Kopylov · 2 Tulio

    DFS takes Tulio by decision, citing volume, cage-pushing and grappling upside against a Kopylov who has struggled with pressure.

  5. 10:29Watch this pick

    Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon

    Pick Jared Gordon · Decision

    Result Jim Miller by Sub, R1 Miss

    All analysts: 4 picks — 0 Miller · 4 Gordon

    DFS takes Gordon on the scorecards, saying he should be the minute-winner wherever the fight goes unless Miller lands an early finish.

  6. 12:31Watch this pick

    Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rębecki

    Pick Grant Dawson · KO/TKO · R3

    Result Grant Dawson by Sub, R3 Hit

    All analysts: 6 picks — 3 Dawson · 3 Rębecki

    DFS leans Dawson, expecting takedowns and top control to exhaust Rebecki and potentially produce a late ground-and-pound finish.

  7. 15:38Watch this pick

    Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Álvarez

    Pick Joel Álvarez · KO/TKO

    Result Yaroslav Amosov by Sub, R2 Miss

    All analysts: 4 picks — 2 Amosov · 2 Álvarez

    DFS likes Alvarez as a live dog and picks the finish, arguing his improved takedown defense and knockout threat give him the higher-upside path.

  8. 17:26Watch this pick

    Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz

    Pick Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO

    Result Ateba Gautier by KO/TKO, R2 Perfect call

    All analysts: 2 picks — 2 Gautier · 0 Diaz

    DFS expects Gautier to regain hype against an opponent who will come forward enough to be hit, with a finish the likeliest outcome.

  9. 19:53Watch this pick

    King Green vs Jeremy Stephens

    Pick King Green · Decision

    Result King Green by Sub, R1 Hit

    All analysts: 23 picks — 20 Green · 3 Stephens

    He gives Stephens some one-shot danger, but expects Green's cleaner minute-winning boxing and greater current activity to carry a points win.

    “For me it's Green and I think it's Green probably by decision.”
  10. 24:42Watch this pick

    Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta

    Pick Alexander Volkov · Decision

    Result Alexander Volkov by Dec, R3 Perfect call

    All analysts: 24 picks — 19 Volkov · 5 Cortes Acosta

    He thinks Cortes-Acosta needs a knockout to win, while Volkov's size, output and broader skill set carry the minutes if he stays disciplined.

    “Give me Volkov to win this fight by decision.”
  11. 26:28Watch this pick

    Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira

    Pick Tatsuro Taira · Sub · R2

    Result Joshua Van by KO/TKO, R5 Miss

    All analysts: 26 picks — 8 Van · 18 Taira

    He sees the fight turning on grappling control: if Taira can get his wrestling going and force back-take sequences, Van's boxing edge never has time to matter.

    “Give me Tatsuro Taira. I'll take Taira to win this fight by second round submission.”
  12. Pick Khamzat Chimaev · Sub · R1

    Result Sean Strickland by Dec, R5 Miss

    All analysts: 26 picks — 24 Chimaev · 2 Strickland

    He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match.

    “So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.”