Final · 25 Jul 2026

Nurullo Aliev defeats Mike Davis by unanimous decision

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

25 Jul 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Decision · unanimousUnanimous decision

5:00

View fight recap
Loss Beast Boy Mike Davis 12-4-0

Davis vs Aliev — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Aliev repeatedly dragged Davis to the mat with his wrestling.

Davis scrambled and chased submissions, but Aliev defended and returned to his control game.

Aliev won the unanimous decision.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Aliev def. Davis
Dec

Analyst picks: DFS By The Numbers perfect call; AJ called it; Bedtime MMA perfect call; We Want Picks called it; Michael Chiesa missed; JakeGerberMMA missed; HopperoMMA missed.

4 of 7 called the winner · 2 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Aliev · Decision. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Aliev to bank takedowns and control against Davis over three rounds.

Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.

AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 52 of 71 AJ: predicted Aliev · to win. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Hit.

Backs Davis as the more complete and proven fighter, expecting his striking and grappling to test Aliev beyond the latter's previous opposition.

Track record: winner called in 52 of 71 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.

Bedtime MMA Analyst called 67 of 99 Bedtime MMA: predicted Aliev · Decision. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Picks Nurullo Aliev by decision, expecting his takedown-led control to edge a dangerous Mike Davis.

Track record: winner called in 67 of 99 resolved picks, 28 a perfect call.

We Want Picks Betting desk called 55 of 87 We Want Picks: predicted Aliev · to win. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Hit.

Picks Nurullo Aliev for his controlling wrestling against Mike Davis.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 87 resolved picks.

Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter called 29 of 42 Michael Chiesa: predicted Davis · to win. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Miss.

Backs Davis as the more technically complete fighter if he stays mobile and keeps Aliev's grappling from dictating the bout.

Track record: winner called in 29 of 42 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.

JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 44 of 62 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Davis · to win. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Miss.

Names Mike Davis as the full-card pick in this preview.

Track record: winner called in 44 of 62 resolved picks, 10 a perfect call.

HopperoMMA Analyst called 41 of 65 HopperoMMA: predicted Davis · to win. Actual Aliev · Dec. Result: Miss.

Names Mike Davis as the full-card pick in this preview.

Track record: winner called in 41 of 65 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.

Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
12-3-0
Record
11-0-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
33
Age
25
1.83 m
Height — Davis leads
1.78 m
184 cm
Reach
183 cm
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
83%
Finish rateFinish % — Davis leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
18%
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Davis leads
2
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Davis leads
0
Not published
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.72
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
United States
Nationality
Tajikistan
Fusion X-Cel
Team
Kaizen MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Davis

Davis is the proven UFC lightweight in the matchup. The UFC preview credits him with a 5-1 run at 155 pounds, three finishes and a Fight of the Night bonus with Mason Jones, with Fares Ziam the only defeat in that stretch.

Case for Aliev

Aliev remains unbeaten through three UFC starts after his strong Contender Series showing. The same UFC preview frames this as a chance for him to regain momentum after a less active stretch, so a composed performance against a veteran would be a meaningful next step.

What We Were Watching For

  • Davis's UFC experience against an opponent who has won all three of his UFC starts.
  • Whether Aliev can turn an unbeaten record into sustained momentum after limited activity.
  • The pace Davis establishes early, given his proven lightweight run.
  • How the prospect handles a veteran whose recent UFC résumé includes finishes and a Fight of the Night.

Fighters

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