UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Rafael Fiziev defeats Manuel Torres by KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:15
Fiziev vs Torres — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
The opening round was competitive, with Fiziev mixing takedowns and counters while Torres pressed forward.
Fiziev spun through a wheel kick 15 seconds into round two and dropped Torres.
He followed with ground strikes as Torres tried to rise, forcing the stoppage.
- Official UFC main-card resultsUFC · UFC Baku main-card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Fiziev
Fiziev is the counter-striking genius fighting on home soil in Baku, and his spinning technique library — wheel kicks, back kicks, spinning heel kicks — is uniquely suited to punish Torres's aggressive, forward-pressure style. Despite a rough 1-4 run, Fiziev's technical ceiling is undeniable, and against a fighter who attacks on a straight line, his defensive IQ and timing are decisive weapons.
Case for Torres
Torres is the most dangerous first-round finisher in the division — five UFC wins, all by first-round knockout, with 16 of 17 career wins by stoppage. At 6'0" with a 73" reach, he carries size advantages and a genuine 66% model win probability. If he can get inside Fiziev's range before the crowd-fuelled counter-striker finds his rhythm, the finish could come before any home-crowd factor kicks in.
What We Were Watching For
- The opening two minutes — Torres's entire gameplan is destroying opponents early; every extra minute Fiziev stays upright is time for his timing to develop and for the home crowd to lift him.
- Fiziev's spinning techniques — his wheel kicks and back kicks have ended UFC fights, and Torres's straight-line aggression creates the exact angles Fiziev has always exploited.
- Fiziev's composure — 1-4 in his last five going in, fighting in front of a home crowd that expects a win; can he suppress that pressure and execute a disciplined gameplan?
- Torres's ground game — virtually untested in MMA; if Fiziev clinches to slow Torres's pace, can Torres respond with anything other than striking?
Records & career stats
- 13-5-0
- Record
- 17-3-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- Azerbaijan
- Nationality
- Mexico
- 33
- Age
- 31
- Switch
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Switch
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 94%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 9
- 11:32
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 02:50
- Tiger Muay Thai - Phuket, Thailand
- Team
- Aldama's Muay Thai Gym · Tijuana
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
MMA Joey goes against the Torres momentum and picks Fiziev by second-round TKO, trusting his technical striking, counters and late-fight edge if he survives the early onslaught.
“I'm going to go Fiziev.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Fiziev
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.
“So I'm going to go Rafael Fiziev for the win. I think he's going to beat Manuel Torres.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
Lucrative James picks Rafael Fiziev by knockout in the UFC Baku main event.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
MMA Mania's UFC Baku preview has Jesse Holland picking Rafael Fiziev by technical knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Manuel Torres · KO/TKO
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
Bedtime takes Torres by knockout, arguing his size, reach, forward boxing and finishing instinct can break through Fiziev's kicking range before the later rounds.
“I'm going to go with Manel Torres to win this one.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Manuel Torres · KO/TKO
Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO
DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage.
“I'm going to go Torres.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; Jesse Holland Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Manuel Torres · KO/TKO Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO Bedtime takes Torres by knockout, arguing his size, reach, forward boxing and finishing instinct can break through Fiziev's kicking range before the later rounds. “I'm going to go with Manel Torres to win this one.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Torres · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bedtime takes Torres by knockout, arguing his size, reach, forward boxing and finishing instinct can break through Fiziev's kicking range before the later rounds. “I'm going to go with Manel Torres to win this one.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO MMA Joey goes against the Torres momentum and picks Fiziev by second-round TKO, trusting his technical striking, counters and late-fight edge if he survives the early onslaught. “I'm going to go Fiziev.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Fiziev · KO/TKO · R2 | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| MMA Joey goes against the Torres momentum and picks Fiziev by second-round TKO, trusting his technical striking, counters and late-fight edge if he survives the early onslaught. “I'm going to go Fiziev.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Fiziev Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction. “So I'm going to go Rafael Fiziev for the win. I think he's going to beat Manuel Torres.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Fiziev · to win | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction. “So I'm going to go Rafael Fiziev for the win. I think he's going to beat Manuel Torres.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO Lucrative James picks Rafael Fiziev by knockout in the UFC Baku main event. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Fiziev · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Lucrative James picks Rafael Fiziev by knockout in the UFC Baku main event. Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Manuel Torres · KO/TKO Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage. “I'm going to go Torres.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Torres · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage. “I'm going to go Torres.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidencePicked: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO Fight result: Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO MMA Mania's UFC Baku preview has Jesse Holland picking Rafael Fiziev by technical knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Fiziev · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Baku preview has Jesse Holland picking Rafael Fiziev by technical knockout. Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
4 of 6 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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